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Here is Your Complete Market Rundown (11/03/2025):
Company News
Nvidia Corporation (NVDA)
Performance Overview
1D Change: 2.18%
5D Change: 8.08%
News Volume: 349
Unusual Volume Factor: 2x
Trump Administration Blocks Nvidia's China Chip Exports While Major Cloud Deals Drive Stock to New Highs
Nvidia shares climbed 3% Monday as the company navigated conflicting policy developments and announced massive infrastructure deals worth tens of billions of dollars. President Trump confirmed that China and other countries will be barred from accessing Nvidia's advanced Blackwell AI chips, with top administration officials including Secretary of State Marco Rubio blocking the company's lobbying efforts to maintain Chinese sales on national security grounds. Trump ultimately decided against raising the issue with Chinese President Xi Jinping during recent talks. Despite export restrictions, Nvidia benefited from surging domestic and allied demand. Amazon Web Services signed a landmark $38 billion seven-year deal with OpenAI to supply hundreds of thousands of Nvidia GPUs for AI model training and deployment. Microsoft secured US approval to export Nvidia's A100, H100, and H200 chips to the United Arab Emirates for the first time, supporting a $15.2 billion investment in UAE data centers. The tech giant also inked a $9.7 billion five-year contract with IREN to deploy Nvidia's GB300 GPUs at a Texas facility, while Lambda Labs announced a multibillion-dollar Microsoft partnership for Nvidia-powered infrastructure. Loop Capital raised its price target on Nvidia to $350 from $250, the highest on Wall Street, projecting the company could reach an $8.5 trillion valuation on what analysts called a "Golden Wave" of AI infrastructure spending. The firm expects Nvidia to double GPU shipments to 2.1 million units by early 2026 with rising prices driving growth. The developments highlighted Nvidia's dominant position in AI infrastructure despite geopolitical headwinds. South Korean tech stocks rallied on new Nvidia partnerships with Samsung and SK Hynix, while Credo Technology surged 20.6% after adding a former Nvidia executive to its board. Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella noted that power shortages, rather than chip availability, now constrain some AI deployments, with Nvidia chips sitting in inventory awaiting adequate electricity infrastructure. The stock added nearly $100 billion in market capitalization over recent days, cementing its position as the world's most valuable company at over $5 trillion. Nvidia now exceeds the size of six S&P 500 sectors and all but five global stock markets.
Full coverage of $NVDA on MarketFlux.io
, Inc. (AMZN)
Performance Overview
1D Change: 3.88%
5D Change: 11.9%
News Volume: 331
Unusual Volume Factor: 2x
Amazon Stock Hits Record High on $38 Billion OpenAI Cloud Computing Partnership
Amazon shares surged to an all-time high Monday after announcing a seven-year, $38 billion cloud computing deal with OpenAI, marking the ChatGPT maker's first major partnership with Amazon Web Services. The agreement provides OpenAI immediate access to hundreds of thousands of Nvidia graphics processors through AWS infrastructure to train and operate its artificial intelligence models, with all capacity targeted for deployment by the end of 2026. The deal represents a significant expansion of OpenAI's cloud infrastructure beyond its existing Microsoft relationship, positioning AWS as a critical AI infrastructure provider. Amazon stock jumped over 5% in premarket trading and closed at record levels, with analysts responding positively to the announcement. Wedbush raised its price target to $340 from $330, maintaining an Outperform rating, while Deutsche Bank increased its target to $300 from $278. The partnership fueled broader market optimism around AI infrastructure demand, lifting the Magnificent Seven tech stocks and pushing the Nasdaq higher. Nvidia shares also gained on the news, rising as much as 3% as the deal underscores continued strong demand for its GPU technology. In related developments, Amazon Web Services signed a separate $5.5 billion, 15-year data center lease agreement with Cipher Mining to provide 300 megawatts of AI capacity starting in 2026, sending Cipher Mining stock soaring despite an earnings miss. Additionally, Verizon announced plans to build a new fiber network connecting Amazon's expanding AI data centers. The OpenAI agreement strengthens Amazon's position in the intensifying competition for AI infrastructure dominance among cloud providers. Analysts view the deal as validation of AWS's pricing, performance, scale and security advantages in the rapidly growing AI computing market. The partnership allows OpenAI to diversify its infrastructure strategy while Amazon solidifies its role as a foundational player in the AI revolution, with the deal expected to generate substantial long-term revenue for the cloud division.
Full coverage of $AMZN on MarketFlux.io
Microsoft Corporation (MSFT)
Performance Overview
1D Change: -0.19%
5D Change: -2.74%
News Volume: 249
Unusual Volume Factor: 3x
Microsoft Unleashes $15.2 Billion UAE Investment Wave While Securing Major AI Infrastructure Deals
Microsoft announced a sweeping $15.2 billion investment in the United Arab Emirates through 2029, marking a significant expansion of its AI infrastructure in the Middle East. The tech giant secured first-time U.S. Commerce Department approval to export advanced Nvidia AI chips—including A100, H100, and H200 GPUs—to the UAE, with plans to ship approximately 60,000 chips and triple GPU capacity to over 81,000 units. Microsoft President Brad Smith confirmed the company received export licenses in September under strict U.S. security requirements. The UAE investment comes alongside a $9.7 billion five-year cloud computing contract with Australian data center operator IREN, formerly a Bitcoin mining company. Under this agreement, IREN will provide Microsoft access to Nvidia GB300 GPUs at its 750-megawatt facility in Childress, Texas, with phased deployments through 2026. IREN's stock surged over 25 percent on the news, with the company also securing a $5.8 billion hardware purchase from Dell Technologies to support the buildout. Microsoft separately announced a multibillion-dollar AI infrastructure agreement with cloud startup Lambda, backed by Nvidia, to deploy additional GPU capacity on Azure. This follows similar partnerships with companies like Nebius and CoreWeave as Microsoft works to meet surging demand for AI computing power. The deals address a critical challenge facing Microsoft: CEO Satya Nadella recently revealed the company has Nvidia chips sitting in inventory due to power shortages, highlighting infrastructure constraints despite strong AI demand. The IREN partnership specifically targets this capacity crunch by securing dedicated computing resources. Meanwhile, OpenAI announced a $38 billion cloud computing deal with Amazon Web Services, marking its first major partnership with AWS and reducing its exclusive reliance on Microsoft's Azure platform. Amazon stock jumped 5 percent on the news. The OpenAI-Amazon agreement includes deployment of hundreds of thousands of Nvidia GPUs, further intensifying competition in the AI infrastructure space. The flurry of announcements underscores the massive capital deployment underway in AI infrastructure, with tech giants racing to secure computing capacity amid concerns about supply constraints and export controls. Microsoft's UAE expansion positions the Gulf state as a testing ground for U.S. AI diplomacy and export policy in strategic regions.
Full coverage of $MSFT on MarketFlux.io
Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB)
Performance Overview
1D Change: -14.57%
5D Change: -15.2%
Kimberly-Clark Plunges 15% on $48.7 Billion Kenvue Acquisition Amid Tylenol Liability Concerns
Kimberly-Clark announced Monday it will acquire Kenvue, maker of Tylenol and other consumer health products, in a $48.7 billion cash-and-stock deal that values Kenvue at $21.01 per share. The transaction combines the Huggies diaper maker with brands including Tylenol, creating a $32 billion global health and wellness company with projected annual revenues of $32 billion and anticipated run-rate synergies of $2.1 billion. Kimberly-Clark shares suffered their worst single-day decline since Black Monday in October 1987, closing down 15% and hitting a 52-week low of $104.71. Investors reacted negatively to the company's assumption of potential liabilities related to ongoing Tylenol lawsuits and recent White House criticism of the painkiller. The deal represents a significant bet that legal and regulatory risks surrounding acetaminophen are manageable. Conversely, Kenvue shares surged 22%, marking potentially the stock's best day ever. The 46% premium offered by Kimberly-Clark provided a lifeline to activist investors including D.E. Shaw, which held approximately 3% of Kenvue and had been facing losses exceeding $200 million before the announcement. The deal allows these investors to break even or exit with gains. Under the agreement, Kenvue shareholders will receive $3.50 in cash plus 0.14625 Kimberly-Clark shares for each share held. The combined entity will be owned 54% by Kimberly-Clark shareholders and 46% by Kenvue shareholders. Management expects the transaction to be accretive to adjusted earnings per share by year two and projects a combined EBITDA of $7 billion. The transaction requires regulatory approval and is targeted to close in the second half of 2026. Barclays raised its price target on Kimberly-Clark to $132 from $131, seeing 10% upside potential. Legal firms have announced investigations into the fairness of the deal to shareholders of both companies. Assistant: Headline: Kimberly-Clark Plunges 15% on $48.7 Billion Kenvue Acquisition Amid Tylenol Liability Concerns Summary: Kimberly-Clark announced Monday it will acquire Kenvue, maker of Tylenol and other consumer health products, in a $48.7 billion cash-and-stock deal that values Kenvue at $21.01 per share. The transaction combines the Huggies diaper maker with brands including Tylenol, creating a $32 billion global health and wellness company with projected annual revenues of $32 billion and anticipated run-rate synergies of $2.1 billion. Kimberly-Clark shares suffered their worst single-day decline since Black Monday in October 1987, closing down 15% and hitting a 52-week low of $104.71. Investors reacted negatively to the company's assumption of potential liabilities related to ongoing Tylenol lawsuits and recent White House criticism of the painkiller. The deal represents a significant bet that legal and regulatory risks surrounding acetaminophen are manageable. Conversely, Kenvue shares surged 22%, marking potentially the stock's best day ever. The 46% premium offered by Kimberly-Clark provided a lifeline to activist investors including D.E. Shaw, which held approximately 3% of Kenvue and had been facing losses exceeding $200 million before the announcement. The deal allows these investors to break even or exit with gains. Under the agreement, Kenvue shareholders will receive $3.50 in cash plus 0.14625 Kimberly-Clark shares for each share held. The combined entity will be owned 54% by Kimberly-Clark shareholders and 46% by Kenvue shareholders. Management expects the transaction to be accretive to adjusted earnings per share by year two and projects a combined EBITDA of $7 billion. The transaction requires regulatory approval and is targeted to close in the second half of 2026. Barclays raised its price target on Kimberly-Clark to $132 from $131, seeing 10% upside potential. Legal firms have announced investigations into the fairness of the deal to shareholders of both companies.
Full coverage of $KMB on MarketFlux.io
Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER)
Performance Overview
1D Change: 3.48%
5D Change: 3.62%
Uber Invests in Autonomous Future and Expands Restaurant Partnerships Ahead of Q3 Earnings
Uber Technologies is making strategic moves across multiple fronts as it prepares to report third-quarter earnings on November 4. The company is investing approximately $100 million in Pony.ai's Hong Kong IPO, which raised $863 million at HK$139 per share, signaling continued commitment to autonomous vehicle technology. In a significant partnership announcement, Uber formed a global alliance with Toast, making Uber Eats the preferred delivery marketplace for Toast restaurants. Beginning in the U.S. and Canada, the collaboration will launch integrated tools in 2026 allowing restaurants to manage Uber Eats promotions and advertising directly through Toast's platform. Market expectations for the earnings report are elevated, with options pricing indicating a potential 7 percent stock move. Analysts are focusing on gross bookings performance, forward guidance, and autonomous vehicle partnership developments. Wall Street anticipates Uber will beat earnings estimates, with the stock outperforming competitors in recent trading sessions. The earnings release comes during a busy week for technology companies, with investors particularly interested in how Uber's rideshare business compares to competitor Lyft and the company's progress toward autonomous rideshare operations.
Full coverage of $UBER on MarketFlux.io
Macro Events
Fed's Cook Prioritizes Labor Market Amidst Divided Views on Rate Cuts
Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook indicated a greater concern for risks in the labor market than for inflation, though she acknowledged upside risks to inflation and is closely monitoring the labor market for signs of weakness. Cook stated the labor market remains solid but can deteriorate quickly, and she expressed concern about a potential unemployment uptick. She emphasized the tension between the Fed's dual mandates and her attentiveness to risks on both sides. Cook also addressed her dispute with the Trump administration and voiced support for recent rate cuts. Meanwhile, other Fed officials, including Goolsbee and Miran, have differing views on future rate cuts, highlighting a division among policymakers ahead of the December meeting.
Goolsbee Cautious on Rate Cuts Amid Inflation Worries
Federal Reserve's Goolsbee expressed concerns about persistent inflation, particularly in services, stating that recent data is worrisome. He indicated unease with frontloading rate cuts, suggesting the threshold for cuts is now higher. While he believes rates will eventually settle below current levels, Goolsbee emphasized the importance of rates decreasing in tandem with inflation. He noted that the low hiring rate is one of the economy's weakest factors and is cautious about layoff data, but is more worried about inflation than job market risks.
Swiss Inflation Misses Forecasts; Turkish Inflation Eases
Swiss consumer prices fell 0.3% month-over-month in October and rose 0.1% year-over-year, missing forecasts of -0.1% and +0.3%, respectively. Core CPI also fell short of expectations, rising 0.5% year-over-year versus a forecast of 0.7%. Turkish inflation eased slightly to 32.87% year-over-year, below the forecast of 33.2%. In manufacturing, the Sweden Swedbank/Silf PMI edged down to 55.1. Across Asia-Pacific, manufacturing PMIs varied, with Indonesia, the Philippines, Thailand, Vietnam and India showing expansion while Korea, Malaysia and Taiwan contracted. The Indonesian manufacturing sector showed modest improvement. Pakistan's manufacturing sector showed a slight improvement. Markets are focused on upcoming Fed speakers and job data for clues about potential December rate cuts.
Trump Administration Partially Funds Food Stamps After Court Loss
The Trump administration will partially fund the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) after court rulings required the food aid program to continue. The Department of Justice says funds are available for 50% of November food aid benefits. Emergency funds will be used.
REITs in Focus Amidst Earnings, Deals, and Fed Speculation
AG Mortgage Investment Trust and Robinhood highlight the Q3 earnings season. Rabobank and PGGM finalized a 1 billion euro real estate risk-sharing deal. VICI Properties received a rating upgrade. BlackRock suggests potential Fed rate cuts could alleviate housing market pressures. P/E ratios for Realty Income and NNN REIT are under scrutiny.
Fed's Cook Warns of AI's Uncertain Impact on Labor Market
Fed's Cook cautioned that AI could have significant negative consequences for the labor market. While generative AI may boost productivity growth, its overall impact remains uncertain. Cook noted that if AI increases productivity, it should help lower inflation over the long run, though the speed of adoption will be a key factor.
Eurozone Manufacturing Stagnates Amidst Mixed National Data
Eurozone Manufacturing PMI remained flat at 50.0 in October. Spain's PMI exceeded expectations at 52.1, while Italy's also beat estimates at 49.9. However, France and Germany's PMIs remained below 50, signaling continued contraction in those manufacturing sectors.
Manufacturing PMIs Mixed in October
US Manufacturing PMI edged up to 52.5. Canadian Manufacturing PMI rose to 49.6, but remains in contraction territory.
Earnings Events
Palantir Surges on Strong Q3 Earnings, Raised Guidance
Palantir (PLTR) shares jumped after Q3 earnings beat estimates with $1.18 billion in revenue and adjusted EPS of 21 cents. U.S. commercial revenue rose 121% year-over-year. The company raised its full-year revenue outlook to $4.40 billion and expects adjusted operating profit of $2.15 billion to $2.16 billion, driven by strong enterprise AI demand.
Oil And Gas Events
Oil Demand Forecasts Remain Strong
OPEC+ increased oil output amid strong demand forecasts. The UAE anticipates demand exceeding 100 million barrels per day until at least 2040. ExxonMobil's CEO sees healthy demand for oil, gas, and chemicals, but warned that EU sustainability laws could end Europe operations.
BP Sells Permian, Eagle Ford Stakes for $1.5B
BP will divest its non-controlling interests in US onshore midstream assets, including Permian and Eagle Ford, to Sixth Street for $1.5 billion.
Geopolitics Events
US Manufacturing Continues Contraction in October
US manufacturing contracted in October for the eighth consecutive month, with the ISM manufacturing index falling to 48.7, below the estimate of 49.5. New orders edged up to 49.4. Employment rose slightly to 46. Prices paid fell to 58.0. Treasury yields declined following the release of the manufacturing data.
Soybeans Rise on China Deal, Tariff Uncertainty Looms
Soybeans rose after the U.S. announced China agreed to halt retaliatory tariffs and increase purchases. Industrial giants are recovering as tariff concerns ease. The Supreme Court will hear arguments on the legality of President Trump's global tariffs on November 5, with officials expecting them to remain in place long term. Trump calls the case "one of the most important in the history of the country".
China Signals Broad Cooperation Amidst Geopolitical Shifts
China is expanding cooperation across sectors and deepening strategic communication, particularly with Russia, emphasizing their neighborly relations and mutual trust. These developments occur as U.S. talks seemingly cement China's position as an equal partner, while the Taiwan issue remains a point of internal sovereignty.
Crypto Events
Crypto Market Slides as Bitcoin, XRP Tumble
Bitcoin fell below $108k, ending its seven-year "uptober" streak. XRP dropped 5% to $2.40 after hitting $2.60. Analysts are evaluating if spot XRP ETFs can save the bull run. The market faces uncertainty in November after a rough month.
Strategy Adds 397 Bitcoin for $45.6M
Michael Saylor's Strategy acquired 397 Bitcoin for $45.6 million between October 27 and November 2. The average price was $114,771. Strategy now holds 641,205 Bitcoin.
Fixed Income And Interest Rates Events
Treasury Revises Borrowing Estimate Downward
The U.S. Treasury reduced its Q4 borrowing estimate to $569 billion, a $21 billion decrease from July projections. This revision is mainly attributed to a higher starting cash balance. The Treasury anticipates ending December with $850 billion in cash.
States and Groups Challenge Student Loan Forgiveness Rule
Nearly two dozen states, labor unions, and nonprofit organizations are suing the Trump administration over a rule limiting student loan forgiveness for public servants. Two lawsuits challenge the Education Department's changes to the Public Service Loan Forgiveness program, arguing the new rules will cut off loan forgiveness for millions.
Alphabet Bond Sale Draws High Demand; NYC CDS Spreads Low
Alphabet's US dollar bond sale saw approximately $90 billion in demand. AB Corporate Bond ETF announced a monthly distribution of $0.1361. The Nasdaq reprimanded TON Treasury for a $558 million stock sale and crypto purchase. NYC 5-year CDS spreads are pinned to lows ahead of the election.
Legal Events
Pfizer Files Antitrust Suit Against Novo Nordisk, Metsera
Pfizer $PFE filed a second lawsuit against Novo Nordisk $NVO and Metsera $MTSR, alleging antitrust violations. The suit claims Novo's acquisition of Metsera would stifle competition in the GLP-1 drug market, violating the Clayton and Sherman Acts. Pfizer asserts the deal aims to eliminate a potential competitor.
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