Thursday, November 14, 2024

Friday, 15th November 2024: Technical Market Analysis and Trading Signals

Technical Analysis Table for Key Assets

Asset Direction Pivot 1st Support 1st Resistance Technical Indicators
DXY Bearish 107.21 106.48 107.89 RSI, MACD, Fib Levels
EUR/USD Bullish 1.0503 1.0462 1.0615 Moving Averages, RSI
EUR/JPY Bearish 164.92 163.31 165.96 MACD, Fib Retracements
EUR/GBP Neutral - 0.8269 0.8347 Bollinger Bands, RSI
GBP/USD Bearish 1.2719 1.2613 1.2817 Trendlines, MACD
GBP/JPY Bearish 199.58 196.73 202.51 Stochastics, RSI
USD/CHF Bearish 0.8919 0.8762 0.9039 MACD, Bollinger Bands
USD/JPY Bearish 157.71 154.66 161.84 RSI, Fib Levels
USD/CAD Bullish 1.4000 1.3959 1.4145 Trendlines, MACD

Investing Strategy 382173

Asset Direction Pivot 1st Support 1st Resistance Technical Indicators
AUD/USD Bearish 0.6488 0.6438 0.6542 RSI, MACD, Fib Levels
NZD/USD Bearish 0.5868 0.5780 0.5936 Moving Averages, RSI
US30 Bullish 43,331.19 42,747.66 43,879.76 MACD, Fib Retracements
DE40 Bearish 19,278.40 19,098.90 19,512.15 Bollinger Bands, RSI
US500 Bullish 5,871.63 5,802.90 5,963.30 Trendlines, MACD
BTC/USD Bullish 86,719.44 80,166.28 92,927.49 Stochastics, RSI
ETH/USD Bullish 3,065.22 2,853.86 3,316.04 MACD, Bollinger Bands
WTI/USD Bullish 67.66 66.02 70.39 RSI, Fib Levels
XAU/USD Bearish 2,588.80 2,529.88 2,649.48 Trendlines, MACD

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Sourcehttps://www.investing.com/studios/article-382173

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https://www.investing.com/studios/article-382173

DXY (US Dollar Index)

  • Potential Direction: Bearish
  • Pivot: 107.21
    • Supporting Reasons: The pivot serves as a swing-high resistance, indicating an area where selling pressure may intensify.
  • 1st Support: 106.48
    • Supporting Reasons: An overlap support aligning closely with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement, marking a potential support area if the index declines.
  • 1st Resistance: 107.89
    • Supporting Reasons: Swing-high resistance, likely capping any immediate upside momentum.

Additional Technical Indicators:

  • RSI: The index's RSI is approaching overbought levels, suggesting a possible reversal.
  • MACD: Currently bearish, with momentum signaling a potential downward move.
  • Fibonacci Levels: Resistance aligns with critical retracement zones, reinforcing the bearish outlook.

Upcoming Economic Events Impact:

  • 15:30 USD Retail Sales (MoM) (Oct): A decline in retail sales could weaken the dollar, supporting the bearish outlook on the DXY.

https://preview.redd.it/4bpb6nbdg01e1.png?width=1459&format=png&auto=webp&s=e703b3e2af0c24d7ba7abe7c2f28af566788c3b1

EUR/USD

  • Potential Direction: Bullish
  • Pivot: 1.0503
    • Supporting Reasons: Swing-low support aligning with the 100% Fibonacci projection, indicating a zone for renewed buying interest.
  • 1st Support: 1.0462
    • Supporting Reasons: Multi-swing low support, potentially acting as a strong floor if prices dip.
  • 1st Resistance: 1.0615
    • Supporting Reasons: Pullback resistance aligned with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement, likely to cap gains temporarily.

Additional Technical Indicators:

  • Moving Averages: 50-day MA crossing above the 200-day MA, signaling a potential reversal to the upside.
  • RSI: Rising towards bullish territory, suggesting strengthening momentum.
  • Bollinger Bands: Price is close to the lower band, indicating a potential reversal.

Upcoming Economic Events Impact:

  • 09:45 EUR Consumer Price Index (YoY) (Oct): A strong CPI could bolster the euro, aligning with the bullish EUR/USD outlook.

https://preview.redd.it/m3r2chfeg01e1.png?width=1459&format=png&auto=webp&s=5a01762282f259b53491bcd0380a442b8b8efeef

EUR/JPY

  • Potential Direction: Bearish
  • Pivot: 164.92
    • Supporting Reasons: Overlap resistance aligned with a 50% Fibonacci retracement, signaling potential selling pressure.
  • 1st Support: 163.31
    • Supporting Reasons: Overlap support near the 38.2% Fibonacci level, providing a solid floor if the price drops.
  • 1st Resistance: 165.96
    • Supporting Reasons: Pullback resistance close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, likely capping any further upward movement.

Additional Technical Indicators:

  • MACD: Bearish crossover hints at further downside potential.
  • Fibonacci Retracement: Key retracement levels align with support and resistance.
  • Stochastic Oscillator: Indicates overbought territory, suggesting a bearish reversal.

Upcoming Economic Events Impact:

  • 10:00 EUR Wholesale Price Index (MoM): Weak wholesale price data could further pressure EUR/JPY, supporting the bearish outlook.

https://preview.redd.it/jgogmerog01e1.png?width=1462&format=png&auto=webp&s=192d5dd2f3afee0081137a7d8bfb87bf984e5228

GBP/USD

  • Potential Direction: Bearish
  • Pivot: 1.2719
    • Supporting Reasons: Overlap resistance close to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement, suggesting a potential reversal.
  • 1st Support: 1.2613
    • Supporting Reasons: Swing-low support that could offer a foundation if the price falls.
  • 1st Resistance: 1.2817
    • Supporting Reasons: Overlap resistance near the 50% Fibonacci retracement, potentially capping further upward movement.

Additional Technical Indicators:

  • Trendlines: Major trendline resistance highlights downward pressure.
  • MACD: Bearish divergence signals a possible continuation of the downtrend.
  • RSI: Bearish territory, indicating limited upside.

Upcoming Economic Events Impact:

  • 26' GBP Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) (Q3): A weaker-than-expected GDP reading could put further pressure on GBP/USD, supporting the bearish outlook.

https://preview.redd.it/tpqgfqqqg01e1.png?width=1459&format=png&auto=webp&s=0a3f2d1177749571f4663171a1b68f14a93e43d5

USD/JPY

  • Potential Direction: Bearish
  • Pivot: 157.71
    • Supporting Reasons: Overlap resistance aligned with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, suggesting intensified selling pressure.
  • 1st Support: 154.66
    • Supporting Reasons: Overlap support providing a base for potential price stabilization.
  • 1st Resistance: 161.84
    • Supporting Reasons: Swing-high resistance likely to cap further gains.

Additional Technical Indicators:

  • RSI: Overbought levels suggest a possible reversal.
  • Fibonacci Levels: Align with both support and resistance, strengthening the analysis.
  • MACD: Negative divergence indicates further bearish momentum.

Upcoming Economic Events Impact:

  • 15:30 USD Retail Sales (MoM) (Oct): Weak sales figures could support a bearish outlook for USD/JPY.

https://preview.redd.it/ylic8e4tg01e1.png?width=1461&format=png&auto=webp&s=f7c00dd57f8485bc3d791b000c6763c19df9c860

USD/CAD

  • Potential Direction: Bullish
  • Pivot: 1.4000
    • Supporting Reasons: Pullback support near the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, suggesting potential upward momentum.
  • 1st Support: 1.3959
    • Supporting Reasons: 50% Fibonacci retracement level, providing an additional layer of support.
  • 1st Resistance: 1.4145
    • Supporting Reasons: Resistance aligned with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection, potentially limiting gains.

Additional Technical Indicators:

  • MACD: Positive crossover indicates bullish momentum.
  • Moving Averages: 20-day MA above 50-day MA supports an upward trend.
  • RSI: Bullish zone, with levels around 60 signaling a continued uptrend.

Upcoming Economic Events Impact:

  • 15:30 CAD Wholesale Sales (MoM) (Sep): Positive results could support CAD, while weak sales figures may boost USD/CAD.

https://preview.redd.it/goys7n6ug01e1.png?width=1461&format=png&auto=webp&s=a4c29d0df6b4db57ca311ad800b364a326774b13

AUD/USD

  • Potential Direction: Bearish
  • Pivot: 0.6488
    • Supporting Reasons: This pivot serves as an overlap resistance, indicating potential selling pressure and a reversal opportunity.
  • 1st Support: 0.6438
    • Supporting Reasons: Identified as a swing-low support, potentially stabilizing the price if it falls.
  • 1st Resistance: 0.6542
    • Supporting Reasons: Pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, likely to halt further gains.

Additional Technical Indicators:

  • RSI: The RSI is nearing oversold levels, supporting a potential bearish reversal.
  • MACD: Currently bearish, indicating downward momentum.
  • Fibonacci Levels: Resistance levels are reinforced by key retracement points.

Upcoming Economic Events Impact:

  • 15:30 USD Retail Sales (MoM): Positive sales data may support USD, reinforcing a bearish view on AUD/USD.

https://preview.redd.it/isss6dhvg01e1.png?width=1463&format=png&auto=webp&s=78bc7a5920aef9de3c460f45b8270b78d97ec9a5

NZD/USD

  • Potential Direction: Bearish
  • Pivot: 0.5868
    • Supporting Reasons: Positioned as a pullback resistance, likely to invite selling pressure.
  • 1st Support: 0.5780
    • Supporting Reasons: Swing-low support provides a potential support area for price stabilization.
  • 1st Resistance: 0.5936
    • Supporting Reasons: Aligned with the 50% Fibonacci retracement, this level may limit any upward movement.

Additional Technical Indicators:

  • Moving Averages: A 50-day MA crossover below the 20-day MA indicates sustained bearish momentum.
  • RSI: Approaching oversold, suggesting limited upside potential.
  • MACD: Bearish crossover, signaling further downside.

Upcoming Economic Events Impact:

  • 15:30 USD Import Price Index (MoM): Higher import prices could favor the USD, supporting a bearish outlook for NZD/USD.

https://preview.redd.it/wpm0u9owg01e1.png?width=1467&format=png&auto=webp&s=f200dd1e3cf2aa2cd44a6721999365ec7b0eb0c0

US30 (DJIA)

  • Potential Direction: Bullish
  • Pivot: 43,331.19
    • Supporting Reasons: The pivot aligns closely with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, potentially attracting buyers.
  • 1st Support: 42,747.66
    • Supporting Reasons: Positioned at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, offering a strong floor for price support.
  • 1st Resistance: 43,879.76
    • Supporting Reasons: An overlap resistance that could cap gains temporarily.

Additional Technical Indicators:

  • MACD: Positive divergence suggests potential bullish momentum.
  • Fibonacci Levels: Multiple levels aligning with support and resistance.
  • RSI: Neutral zone, providing flexibility for price movement.

Upcoming Economic Events Impact:

  • Fed Speech: Any indication of economic support could bolster the outlook for the US30.

https://preview.redd.it/xh3ckyyxg01e1.png?width=1459&format=png&auto=webp&s=7de54d6df002c6672a88d79aba2ef94592c52282

DE40 (DAX)

  • Potential Direction: Bearish
  • Pivot: 19,278.40
    • Supporting Reasons: Resistance aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, suggesting potential selling pressure.
  • 1st Support: 19,098.90
    • Supporting Reasons: Pullback support near the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, likely to act as a key support.
  • 1st Resistance: 19,512.15
    • Supporting Reasons: Multi-swing high resistance could limit further upward movement.

Additional Technical Indicators:

  • MACD: Bearish crossover indicates downside potential.
  • Bollinger Bands: Price near the upper band suggests a reversal.
  • Stochastic Oscillator: Overbought levels support a bearish outlook.

Upcoming Economic Events Impact:

  • 09:45 EUR Consumer Price Index (YoY): Lower-than-expected CPI data could weigh on the DAX, reinforcing a bearish outlook.

https://preview.redd.it/7vhi8d9zg01e1.png?width=1456&format=png&auto=webp&s=1f46e60340cf4d8084a018a2817f1f2af8c4aa7a

US500 (S&P 500)

  • Potential Direction: Bullish
  • Pivot: 5,871.63
    • Supporting Reasons: Pullback support near the 50% Fibonacci retracement, indicating a potential rebound area.
  • 1st Support: 5,802.90
    • Supporting Reasons: 61.8% Fibonacci retracement support, likely to provide stability.
  • 1st Resistance: 5,963.30
    • Supporting Reasons: Pullback resistance, possibly limiting further gains.

Additional Technical Indicators:

  • Trendlines: Upward trendline provides support for further gains.
  • MACD: Positive crossover favors bullish momentum.
  • Bollinger Bands: Price nearing lower band indicates potential for reversal.

Upcoming Economic Events Impact:

  • 15:30 USD Retail Sales (MoM): Positive retail data may support the US500 outlook.

https://preview.redd.it/7sb7e0b1h01e1.png?width=1466&format=png&auto=webp&s=a0356d94b819247bc8f99ba4472e6e5d57a2c7cf

BTC/USD (Bitcoin)

  • Potential Direction: Bullish
  • Pivot: 86,719.44
    • Supporting Reasons: Pullback support near the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement, indicating a favorable level for buyers.
  • 1st Support: 80,166.28
    • Supporting Reasons: Positioned around the 50% Fibonacci level, reinforcing support.
  • 1st Resistance: 92,927.49
    • Supporting Reasons: Swing-high resistance near the 161.8% Fibonacci extension, likely to cap gains.

Additional Technical Indicators:

  • MACD: Positive divergence supports a bullish outlook.
  • RSI: Bullish territory, strengthening the outlook.
  • Fibonacci Levels: Multiple retracement levels align with support and resistance zones.

Upcoming Economic Events Impact:

  • Fed Speech: Hawkish tones could impact BTC, making it a risk-sensitive asset.

https://preview.redd.it/tmq08ze2h01e1.png?width=1463&format=png&auto=webp&s=354b88f71fd639a8cc482a63f7ed11c87885aaee

ETH/USD (Ethereum)

  • Potential Direction: Bullish
  • Pivot: 3,065.22
    • Supporting Reasons: Overlap support near the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, attracting buying interest.
  • 1st Support: 2,853.86
    • Supporting Reasons: Aligned with the 50% Fibonacci retracement, adding support.
  • 1st Resistance: 3,316.04
    • Supporting Reasons: 61.8% Fibonacci resistance, potentially limiting gains.

Additional Technical Indicators:

  • RSI: Rising towards bullish territory.
  • MACD: Positive crossover, supporting potential gains.
  • Bollinger Bands: Price close to the lower band indicates possible reversal.

Upcoming Economic Events Impact:

  • Fed Chair Speech: Any market sentiment shifts could impact Ethereum.

https://preview.redd.it/vdqexxi3h01e1.png?width=1465&format=png&auto=webp&s=b7363e6a5af6e28aed29b0d0c37a7cc77453be6e

WTI/USD (Oil)

  • Potential Direction: Bullish
  • Pivot: 67.66
    • Supporting Reasons: Multi-swing-low support, reinforcing potential for a rebound.
  • 1st Support: 66.02
    • Supporting Reasons: Swing-low support, providing a firm base for stabilization.
  • 1st Resistance: 70.39
    • Supporting Reasons: 50% Fibonacci resistance, likely capping further gains.

Additional Technical Indicators:

  • MACD: Bullish crossover indicates upward momentum.
  • RSI: Neutral zone, allowing flexibility for price action.
  • Bollinger Bands: Near the lower band, supporting reversal potential.

Upcoming Economic Events Impact:

  • EIA Oil Inventory Report: Increased inventory may dampen bullish outlook, while a draw could support it.

https://preview.redd.it/7ys59a15h01e1.png?width=1464&format=png&auto=webp&s=41d5d0c923fc49987d483670c271a4f3ebe41644

XAU/USD (Gold)

  • Potential Direction: Bearish
  • Pivot: 2,588.80
    • Supporting Reasons: Overlap resistance near the 23.6% Fibonacci level, suggesting selling pressure.
  • 1st Support: 2,529.88
    • Supporting Reasons: Pullback support near critical levels, providing a floor for the price.
  • 1st Resistance: 2,649.48
    • Supporting Reasons: Pullback resistance, likely to limit upward momentum.

Additional Technical Indicators:

  • MACD: Bearish crossover, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
  • RSI: Approaching overbought, suggesting potential downside.
  • Trendlines: Major trendline resistance aligns with the bearish forecast.

Upcoming Economic Events Impact:

  • 15:30 USD Retail Sales: Higher retail sales could support USD, adding to bearish pressure on gold.

https://preview.redd.it/hwlh5v96h01e1.png?width=1460&format=png&auto=webp&s=05e1627bf2a7db028cee29247cb18e8c06dbd05c

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https://www.investing.com/studios/article-382173

Sourcehttps://www.investing.com/studios/article-382173

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Elon Musk Hails Bonk Coin as the Next Big Thing in Cryptocurrency

In a surprising announcement that has sent waves throughout the cryptocurrency community, tech mogul Elon Musk has declared Bonk Coin as the next big cryptocurrency to watch. The statement, made during a recent Twitter Spaces event, has ignited excitement among investors and enthusiasts eager to capitalize on what Musk believes could be a revolutionary shift in the crypto landscape. Bonk Coin, which has gained traction for its playful branding and community-driven approach, has been on the rise, but Musk’s endorsement has provided a significant boost to its visibility and perceived legitimacy. Known for his influential role in the cryptocurrency market—having previously driven the prices of Bitcoin and Dogecoin with his tweets—Musk's support for Bonk Coin is expected to attract a wave of new investors looking to ride the latest crypto trend. “Bonk Coin represents more than just a digital currency; it embodies the spirit of community and innovation that defines the future of finance,” Musk stated. “I believe it has the potential to change the game for both investors and casual users.” The announcement has led to a spike in Bonk Coin's value, with trading volumes surging as followers of Musk flock to acquire the coin. Crypto analysts are now weighing in on the potential implications of Musk's endorsement. Some predict that Bonk Coin could rival more established cryptocurrencies, while others caution that the market's volatility remains a concern. In response to Musk's endorsement, the Bonk Coin development team expressed their gratitude and excitement, emphasizing their commitment to building a strong community and ensuring the coin's long-term viability. “We’re thrilled to have Elon’s support,” said a spokesperson for the team. “This is just the beginning; we’re focused on delivering real value and utility for our users.” As the cryptocurrency market continues to evolve, all eyes are now on Bonk Coin to see if it can live up to the hype generated by Musk's declaration. Investors are urged to exercise caution as they navigate this unpredictable landscape, but for now, the buzz around Bonk Coin is undeniable. With Musk's track record of influencing the market, only time will tell whether Bonk Coin truly becomes the next big player in the world of cryptocurrency.


Cryptocurrency Market is Challenging Economic Conditions

Geopolitics and global macro conditions have left economists at their wits’ end and obliterated most markets, while on the other, developments in the crypto and blockchain space continue at an unprecedented and truly unrelenting pace, according to Beinsure’s Crypto Market Review.

Up to November the cryptocurrency market downturn is influenced by several factors:

  • Political Uncertainty: The upcoming U.S. presidential election has introduced volatility into the crypto markets. Bitcoin’s recent decline is partly attributed to the diminishing re-election prospects of Donald Trump, who has been perceived as favorable to cryptocurrencies.
  • Regulatory Environment: The cryptocurrency industry faces ongoing regulatory scrutiny. Both U.S. presidential candidates are courting crypto-supportive voters, indicating that the regulatory landscape will continue to evolve, potentially affecting market stability.
  • Market Concentration Risks: The dominance of large technology stocks, often referred to as the ‘Magnificent 7,’ has led to concerns about market concentration. This focus on a few high-valuation sectors increases the risk for investors, as overvalued sectors may present challenges if market conditions shift.

Given these factors, investors are advised to exercise caution when considering investments in risk assets like cryptocurrencies. Diversification and a thorough assessment of individual risk tolerance are essential strategies to navigate the current market environment.

Economic conditions for crypto have worsened

https://preview.redd.it/blpgckzowx0e1.jpg?width=1300&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=7bd427ddd8d7c3ad3a308b8aa9286c031e1528ae

According Binance Research Report, economic conditions have worsened since the start of the year. Issues such as persistent inflation, high commodity prices, and tightening monetary policies have contributed to a more challenging investing landscape. Crypto fundraising landscape is showing signs of recovery. In the last months, we’ve been in the same cycle in terms of sentiment.

Across sectors, only Energy stocks performed well during the period (up more than 30% for S&P 500 listed stocks) while Consumer Discretionary performed the worst, being down more than 30%.

Crypto was not spared from the market downturn that also plagued traditional asset classes such as stocks and bonds. Black swan events such as the suspension of fund withdrawals by several centralized lending platforms and the collapse of the algorithmic stablecoin TerraUSD (UST) in the first half of this year contributed to further negative sentiments and worries.

Nonetheless, price action alone is not representative of the health of the ecosystem, nor does it show the full picture of the underlying developments. As such, in this report, we aim to share a holistic review of the past half-year in crypto by analyzing the latest data, trends, and outlook across different areas of the crypto ecosystem. We remain optimistic about the long-term outlook for crypto since we continue to see further adoption and innovation in the space.

Crypto was not immune to the market downturn

Crypto was not immune to the market downturn that affected traditional asset classes like stocks and bonds. Unexpected events, such as the suspension of fund withdrawals by several centralized lending platforms and the collapse of the algorithmic stablecoin TerraUSD (UST) in the first half of this year, added to negative sentiment and concerns (see New Trends in the Use Crypto).

Nonetheless, price action alone is not representative of the health of the ecosystem, nor does it show the full picture of the underlying developments. As such, in this report, we aim to share a holistic review of the past half-year in crypto by analyzing the latest data, trends, and outlook across different areas of the crypto ecosystem. We remain optimistic about the long-term outlook for crypto since we continue to see further adoption and innovation in the space.

Cryptocurrency market is challenging economic conditions

The cryptocurrency market is currently facing challenging economic conditions, influenced by several key factors:

  • Regulatory Scrutiny
  • Political Uncertainty
  • Market Volatility
  • Institutional Challenges
  • Global Regulatory Developments

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has intensified its focus on the cryptocurrency sector, extending its oversight into 2025. This heightened scrutiny has led to enforcement actions against major crypto entities, contributing to market uncertainty.

Recent data shows significant fluctuations in cryptocurrency prices, with Bitcoin experiencing notable swings that reflect broader market instability. Major cryptocurrency firms are also facing operational difficulties; for instance, ConsenSys announced a 20% workforce reduction due to macroeconomic pressures and regulatory challenges (see FATF Updates Guidance on Virtual Crypto Assets – NFT, DeFi & Stablecoin’s Standards).

These factors collectively contribute to a challenging economic environment for cryptocurrencies, necessitating cautious consideration by investors and stakeholders.

L1 Development

Competing Layer 1 (“L1”) protocols have innovated with new consensus algorithms, blockchain architectures, and execution environments, but how did they perform this year?

2024 has been a turbulent year for crypto. Total Value Locked (“TVL”) of L1s declined throughout the year, and Ethereum has been losing market share to alternative L1s.

Throughout last year and this, L1s kept on fighting for market share, trying to scale, grow and win in the ongoing multichain battle. Each L1 has tried to gain market share by innovating and trying to solve the “trilemma” of decentralization, security, and scalability.

L1 TVL declining

Source: DefiLlama, Binance Research

Looking closer at the market share across L1s, the downfall of Terra is probably the most noteworthy event, with other chains like BNB Chain and Ethereum absorbing their TVL.

However, with the de-pegging of USDD on 13th June, TVL came down to around US$4B at the time of writing. Despite ongoing competition among L1s, we note that Ethereum is still the market leader by a significant margin.

TVL distribution amongst L1s

Source: DefiLlama, Binance Research

2024 was eventful, to say the least. Polkadot parachains have proven their limits with only limited slots, Polygon experienced congestion, Terra de-pegged and exacerbated the market turmoil, Ethereum announced its testnet merge, and so much more. The list can go on forever.

Perhaps the world may not be ready for full decentralization, but there have been stepping stones in getting there this year. Scaling is slowly happening, and different approaches will position the different L1s to each have their strengths and weaknesses. While Avalanche is bringing online new subnets, Ethereum is targeting rollups – in the end, it remains to be seen which approach works the best.

L2 Development

The challenge of scalability within L1 platforms has transitioned from a distant and theoretical limitation to one that desperately needs to be tackled in the current market climate.

This fundamental issue, perhaps most notably illustrated by the exorbitantly high fees in the Ethereum ecosystem, has given rise to what is maybe one of the key crypto narratives in 2022-2024: layer 2 (“L2”) scaling solutions. In this section, we discuss the increasingly visible integration of L2 solutions within dApps across the space, the leading L2 projects and their upcoming or rumored tokens, and the possible trajectory of the broader L2 network landscape.

L2 Fees and Increasing dApp Integration

To open our discussion, we can have a quick look at how transaction fees have continued to spike, even in a relatively quiet market, and thus have necessitated a move towards L2. Given that Ethereum’s ecosystem remains the largest by TVL and number of dApps, we can use it as a proxy for our general discussion.

Layer 2 Fees

L2 solutions process transactions off the main blockchain (Layer 1), alleviating congestion and lowering fees. For instance, Ethereum’s mainnet can handle approximately 15 transactions per second, leading to high fees during peak times.

L2 networks, such as rollups, batch multiple transactions off-chain and then submit them to the mainnet, significantly reducing costs. This approach not only decreases fees but also maintains the security and decentralization of the main blockchain.

Impact on dApp Integration

The reduced fees and enhanced scalability offered by L2 solutions have spurred increased dApp integration. Developers are leveraging L2 networks to provide users with faster and more cost-effective experiences.

Notably, Layer-2 solutions like Optimism and Arbitrum have seen significant growth in dApp integration, with increases of 590.91% and 160.87% respectively. This trend underscores the growing popularity of L2s among dApp developers and users, as they offer faster and more affordable solutions than Layer-1 blockchains.

With this in mind, and the trend we have seen so far, L2 deployment appears on track to become more and more ubiquitous as we enter the second half of the year and it would not be surprising to see most, if not all, of the top ranked dApps being deployed on some form of L2.

AUTHOR: Peter Sonner