Bitcoin pulse, guides and news: 03/24/21

Wednesday, March 24, 2021

BITCOIN BTC Daily Technical Outlook MARCH 25 🧙‍♂️

BTC closed bearish and more bearish pressure is present in the chart. $50,000 is the next major support target. The bearishness is mostly manipulation ahead of the options expiring on March 26. Bitcoin will become bullish again after the event. 👀

Cardano Rumor Rundown 03.25.2021

Hey Everyone!

I've been obsessively consuming all the Cardano news and media on a daily basis for years now. I figured it wouldn’t hurt to share a list of what I'm seeing for anyone else who's interested. Feel free to make additions as you see fit. Many of your additions from yesterday are in the “Newly Covered” list for today. Also let me know if you think any of the “Previously Covered but Still Interesting” items are no longer interesting and should leave the list.

Check out the daily youtube companion to today’s post: https://youtu.be/4oOrWCXWa4M

Let's go....

Newly covered today:

Today is Cardano 360 day!!!! Watch it at the link below at 10:30AM Pacific, 17:30 GMT, 18:30 CET. This is the live monthly streaming show from IOHK. Watch this one. Hopefully we’ll get a target date for Alonzo. That’ll tell us when we get smart contracts. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uQt7AjimaAg
Looks like the Cardano 360 show may highlight how Cardano will not experience some of the shortcomings that leading blockchains have in the past (like the time that bitcoin accidentally issued 184 billion BTC in one block). https://twitter.com/IOHK_Charles/status/1374783084881608706
Catalyst Fund 5 will have a $2MM total budget! Included will be a very interesting $50k Metadata challenge in Fund 5. Metadata can be used to prove the existence of a certain document or event to third parties without necessarily revealing the data contained therein. This means you can do cool things on the blockchain without using smart contracts as in the prior New Balance anti-counterfeiting and Beefchain traceability Cardano projects.The winners of this challenge are actually going to be incubated and supported by the IOHK Metadata team! People waiting for Goguen and smart contracts are definitely sleeping on what can be done with metadata on Cardano today. https://www.crowdcast.io/e/fund4-6 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pjg_u7Oeel0
There is a Catalyst Dashboard available that gives you all the stats on the current projects in Cardano’s multi-million dollar decentralized innovation fund (the world’s biggest). https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/15R-Vbajy4t4fGs1TipNMfL1pEO9cwdn6WV13lKviX4Q/edit#gid=40774150
Charles says they are going to end up spending $15-30MM this year on research and they will hire 100-200 people. That’s an investment in the future of the ecosystem! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bLwyFADws8w

Previously Covered but still interesting:

Charles posts a pic of a taxidermy African bird called a Turacos. He follows up that post by saying " Guys sometimes a stuffed Ethiopian exotic bird next to an old identity book is just a stuffed Ethiopian exotic bird next to an old identity book. Stop reading into things". Everyone enjoys speculating what exactly this could mean with the obvious implication being that the African bird announcement involves digital identity in Ethiopia. https://twitter.com/IOHK_Charles/status/1369397063583227911 https://twitter.com/IOHK_Charles/status/1369402020067766275
Famed crypto enthusiast and billionaire Mike Novogratz asks the Cardano world "Can anyone make a real bull case for $ADA? Does anyone build on it? Use it? Why is market cap so high? Should it be a funding asset? It’s one of the few cryptos I haven’t traded in my life." https://twitter.com/novogratz/status/1369255782462746624
It's announced that 591 different assets have been minted on Cardano in the last eight days. https://twitter.com/IOHK_Charles/status/1369347294324162561
Catalyst Fund 3 Voting is ongoing, it looks like the Yoroi team has worked out the voting problem in the Yoroi wallet. https://twitter.com/YoroiWallet/status/1369050858546200585
Charles was on Real Vision earlier this week. https://twitter.com/RaoulGMI/status/1367804256783372288
Cardano SPO Schweta Chauhan was profiled by Forbes. https://www.forbes.com/sites/tommywilliams1/2021/03/08/meet-30-inspirational-women-this-womens-history-month/?sh=383b28405208
UAE Fund FD7 Ventures says ADA could 20x in next 2-3 years https://twitter.com/CardanoPoolXYZ/status/1367927864658690054/photo/1
Charles will be speaking at the Blockchain Africa Conference this week which may or may not give us more clues as to the African Bird announcement. https://blockchainafrica.co/
SingularityNet collaboration with Cardano going down. How else is Skynet gonna pay the Terminators? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MWdp33bYJpQ https://www.youtube.com/c/SingularityNET/videos
Wolfram Alpha collaboration with Cardano. What will it look like? Mentioned in several recent AMAs. Sounds like Charles and Stephen Wolfram want to be best brohs. That feels good broh.
~~What did Charles actually do (if anything) on the day of the recent Thanos Infinity Gauntlet snap pic? Just general or was something specific happening behind the scenes?~~https://twitter.com/IOHK_Charles/status/1367874091722694656/photo/1 RETIRED!
Alonzo hard fork (non)event to complete Goguen and add smart contracts in Q2. You’ll barely feel it broh. Not even an event. Lots of combinator broh.
Actual target date of Alonzo hardfork combinator event (smart contracts) will be revealed at Cardano 360 show at end of March. https://twitter.com/IOHK_Charles/status/1366519588519731203
Charles claimed Elon was trolling Cardano with “meta for k” on twitter. Can anyone argue one way or another on this? https://twitter.com/IOHK_Charles/status/1364350825271685122
Ourobouros omega is slated to bring significant innovation to the Cardano consensus protocol. https://twitter.com/IOHK_Charles/status/1357364560504709120
Possible Soulja Boy Cardano collab on NFT. Maybe Soulja Boy could be best brohs with Charles and Stephen Wolfram broh? https://twitter.com/souljaboy/status/1355770383396347907
~~Coinbase Listing of ADA. Will the DCG Mafia ever allow ADA to compete on an even playing field with “their precious” (read in Gollum voice) ETH? Maybe we don’t even need them?~~ RETIRED!
Twitter revamp via Cardano? Charles did a whole vid on fixing social media curation. ~~Other hand: they won’t even give Charles a blue check mark.~~ (Retired: he finally got it) Other other hand: Jack has a mutual love of Africa. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JilEb42q-CI&t=2325s
In the Protocol Parameters vid, Charles suggested they will introduce a CIP (Cardano Improvement Proposal) to change the inflation model to accommodate pay for stakepools for processing transactions/data from the ETH, IELE, and Catalyst sidechains. We’ll get to vote on CIPs like this. Kablam! Democracy! Kablam! Voltaire! Kablam! More duckets for staking! Don’t worry broh. They’re gonna stay serious here broh. Charles squinting real hard/blinking/talking slower/using hands a lot here broh. Not planning to violate the things learned from the long Oxford research arc and the input of the Prism Group (Harvard dudes) broh. Snake still eats tail broh. Kablam! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JJorRPk767s
Charles mentioned a seven person anti-corruption committee reviewing the Ethiopia project. Hopefully no shenanigans there broh.
Charles is scheduled to appear on Lex Fridman’s Podcast in June. Lex seems like a nice guy broh. He’ll probably end up best brohs with Charles, Stephen Wolfram, & Soulja Boy. Ben Goertzel is also in broh. Lex needs a girlfriend but no paying ADA to romance the androids. Just take lion’s mane, maybe some ‘83 Gordon & McPhail, and solve global issues together broh.
Will a Joe Rogan appearance follow this? It was always ”Goguen before Rogan.” They both love meat and you can barely tell they’re both filthy rich. Match made in heaven?
100% Decentralization of block validation incoming this month!!!!
~~Liquidity bird to land sometime soon? What is it?~~ RETIRED!
What about the whispers of a telecom deal? Part of the Ethiopia project?
What about paying for utilities and transportation? Part of the Ethiopia deal?
Academic credentialing project in the nation state of Georgia. Lots of mentions of this over the years.
Mongolia project. Also lots of mentions of this over the years.
Uganda, Rwanda, Kenya, Ghana, & South Africa. It seems like there have been a decent number of indicators over the years that these governments are also already in play or targeted for the pan-Africa strategy of 100 MM users in 5-10 years.
In the recent Cardano 360 show there was talk of Emurgo possibly being in the process of building something that sounded kind of like a Metamask for Cardano. Sebastian building stuff works good broh. If not, what will fill the Metamask role in the Cardano ecosystem as a sort of universal(ish) bridge for users of smart contracts? Daedalus? Or something new that would be standalone?
Justin Roiland knows about Cardano. What if they ever mention it on the show broh? https://twitter.com/JustinRoiland/status/1363000121248473088
There is also the looming possibility of a Bitstamp listing. https://www.bitstamp.net/article/bitstamp-continues-exploring-support-additional-di/
Yoroi reaches 100k installs! https://twitter.com/YoroiWallet/status/1369952496307736578
Cardano tattoos are starting to get elaborate. https://twitter.com/BloomPool_io/status/1370148734177325056
There will be a “Mastering Cardano” book. No author signed on yet. Hopefully he or she will have a hairline that is even more dracula than Andreas Antonopoulos. I kid. Love Andreas.
Cardano reached 550k wallets in half the time it took BTC https://twitter.com/nierop_pieter/status/1369933366368362496
Cardano now has it’s own thirst trap twitter accounts. I won’t list them. But, you probably already know which ones those are if you follow #cardano. It’s probably bullish that we are now big enough for them to target us.
We can now claim that Catalyst is the world’s biggest DAO! Luckily, I think it is safe to suspect that ours is less susceptible to recursive call attacks than ETH’s first big DAO. https://twitter.com/InputOutputHK/status/1369961368946946053
IOHK releases a good article contrasting the various blockchain accounting methods: EUTXO (Cardano) vs. UTXO (Bitcoin) vs. Account Balance (Ethereum). This is one of those nice articles where the British guy pleasantly reads it to you if you want. Use this one to convince all your friends you are the ultimate blockchain expert: “listen Kyle...the shortcoming of UTXO accounting is....” https://iohk.io/en/blog/posts/2021/03/11/cardanos-extended-utxo-accounting-model/
Cardano devs at IOHK are the most productive in the industry! Already 3,170 commits and climbing this week! I sleep better at night knowing they are not allowed to sleep. Kidding….kidding. https://twitter.com/InputOutputHK/status/1369589307720269825
~~Actual spycam footage of Brian Armstrong watching Coinbase customers discover ADA.~~ https://twitter.com/ArmySpies/status/1370516335298420736 RETIRED!
Novogratz follows up that he’s bearish for now but will jump on a call with Charles next week. https://twitter.com/novogratz/status/1370482108553105408
Apparently the first $1200 stimulus check if invested in ADA would be $44,800 now. https://twitter.com/CryptoIRELAND1/status/1369426234883645443/photo/1
Charles gives us that real talk about why a young billionaire would devote his life to this Cardano thing. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T7Da6sFAxuI
Cardano uses a tiny fraction of the energy some other top-ten blockchains use. This factoid alone should allow you to hook up with eco-obsessed nature people. https://twitter.com/RichardMcCrackn/status/1370571904969551875
Now you can drive your drinking buddies crazy with your ADA obsession without even saying a word! https://twitter.com/KenzieByrne6/status/1370566690073935872
Will Babel Fees in Cardano lead to delegators receiving an almost index fund like assortment of native tokens? Will SPOs be willing to accept a wide assortment as payment for transaction fees? Will the economics of the delegation/staking landscape require SPOs to share those Babel Fee tokens with their delegators?
Will NFTs be a glaring exclusion from Babel Fees? Will I have to pay for the transaction fees on my NFT in ADA because I don’t want to give an SPO a small piece of the ownership interest in the digital art or other asset represented by the NFT?
There’s a new Crypto Time Traveler and this one loves Cardano. https://twitter.com/CryptoTimeTrav2
Business Insider covers Cardano among four other coins. https://markets.businessinsider.com/currencies/news/5-altcoins-under-the-radar-avalanche-cardano-polkadot-cosmos-graph-2021-3-1030187382
The “Cardano Pizza” event becomes an NFT. https://twitter.com/RichardMcCrackn/status/1370924728534376449
Bloomberg covers Cardano, Cites Charles as saying 100 Companies Coming Over https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-03-14/crypto-s-next-big-thing-raises-questions-while-the-price-surges
Cardano definition added to search function in Bloomberg Terminal https://twitter.com/CryptoJeromeFR/status/1371195771798884352
Commenter Report: Africa Special has finished recording
Cryptoviser apparently is not romantically in love with us. https://twitter.com/IOHK_Charles/status/1371097989968666626
There is a Part 2 to the IOHK EUTXO discussion we reported under item 39. Good read for verbally upstaging your ETH & BTC supporting co-workers. Be the king of the post-zoom call crypto banter! https://iohk.io/en/blog/posts/2021/03/12/cardanos-extended-utxo-accounting-model-part-2/
Commenter Report: the “metamask of Cardano” speculated about previously in item 30 is the “Yoroi dApp connector”. It’ll be rolled out “with Ergo first and Cardano once Plutus is released.” https://github.com/Emurgo/yoroi-ergo-connector
It looks like this Yoroi dApp Connector info has even been detailed by Sebastien and Rob on yt. Not sure if we can link directly to this video. But, here is the link to the link. Looks like the dApp Connector talk starts at 1:23:10. https://twitter.com/NicoArqueros/status/1353203943195734017
The visionaries among us are already thinking about advanced NFT derivative instruments (some even created by AI) in our ecosystem. https://twitter.com/NicoArqueros/status/1370150347113648132
Today is staking rewards day for Epoch 253! Let’s get those duckets!
Cardano is getting a disproportionate cut of the attention market compared to its CMC neighbors. https://twitter.com/CardanoRise/status/1371431289895665665
“Ask the Doctor” is switching from ERC-20 to Cardano. Note that Ask the Doctor is linked to FD7 Ventures in Item 7 below. https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20210315005744/en/Global-Healthcare-Platform-Ask-The-Doctor-to-Use-Cardano-for-World
We get another People of Input Output Global video. This one features Dan Friedman. He currently lives in Japan. But, the interview starts off with some very interesting stories about his youth in 1980s Kiev, Ukraine. His speaking and story-telling style is similar to the captain in a 1990s buddy cop movie (in a good way). Very interesting and compelling guy. https://twitter.com/IOHK_Charles/status/1371574441637937153
St. Patrick brings us the green today! The Liquidity Bird has landed!!!!!! We begin going live on Coinbase Pro tomorrow!!!! https://blog.coinbase.com/cardano-ada-is-launching-on-coinbase-pro-694b1cb8c778 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z2gcNkeJ4Rk
Native Token Minting Workshop released on the Slack Dev Community Channel. https://files.slack.com/files-pri/T01G2PY2E1M-F01RF61QVQS/download/minting_native_tokens.mp4
This Minting Workshop above is a follow up after a previous Native Token Workshop from 03.04.2021. https://iohkdevcommunity.slack.com/files/U01H7BUQAKS/F01Q3GT4GP7/native_tokens_workshop.mp4
The Coinbase News is allowing us to retire rumors 11, 17, and 41 above.
Today is Coinbase day! Finally! Rejoice. Trading on Coinbase Pro is supposed to open at or after 9am Pacific! https://pro.coinbase.com/ https://blog.coinbase.com/cardano-ada-is-launching-on-coinbase-pro-694b1cb8c778
Charles finally gets the blue check on twitter. https://twitter.com/IOHK_Charles/status/1372182831430955008
Perceptions are shifting on which platform will be #1 for smart contracts over the next decade. Here’s the biggest crypto youtuber asking his co-host if he’s losing faith in the traditional #1. If you’re in Cardano, you can guess which coin his answer is shifting away from. https://youtu.be/4jRCmdWva40?t=3270
Even septuagenarians are getting in on Cardano. https://twitter.com/Emini_Scalper/status/1371061383975030787
Coinbase Pro did actually happen yesterday morning. Congratulations everyone. It’s been a long road and it was beautiful watching those initial candles build on the chart after all these years. https://pro.coinbase.com/
The Crypto Time Traveler mentioned last week (Item 49) has apparently left us and now gone back to the future. It definitely adds a touch of realism when they actually leave. https://twitter.com/CryptoTimeTrav2/status/1371492636884865029
Charles delivered his pre-recorded keynote address at the Blockchain Africa Conference. His remarks support the rumor that the initial Ethiopia project will be around identity. He specifically mentioned Atala Prism. There was talk of the digital identity being able to be linked to wallets, payment systems, and property. He also reasserted that the deals on the table in Africa would bring “millions of users” into the Cardano ecosystem. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CGEs99I6qV8
If you haven’t seen it in the past, the Atala Prism website has a demo that works with the mobile app showing how the identity solution (along with academic credentialing, health insurance, and proof of employment) would run on Cardano. https://www.atalaprism.io/
ADA is now live on coinbase.com as well as Coinbase Pro! So, you don’t even need to understand orderbooks to buy ADA now. https://blog.coinbase.com/cardano-ada-is-now-available-on-coinbase-dd30c1e0d93a
Tim Harrison of IOG sums up this week perfectly: “Glass of nice red tonight, I think. Quite a week.” https://twitter.com/timbharrison/status/1372985361794760705
Never imagined there would be a holiday light display that flashed “Screw Doge Coin; ADA is Best” to the original Doge music. Friendly rivalry is probably good in crypto. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eM135pv72mY&t=31s
Charles doubles down on the declaration that Cardano’s defining moment will be when it can provide the rails for micro finance from the developed world to the developing world not as a form of charity but as a profitable financial activity for both lender and loan recipient. He thinks it will be the biggest transfer of wealth in the history of the world. He says the base infrastructure for this is being rolled out over the next 24-36 months. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oMRGUCLQPYo
The ADA adoption numbers are looking really good lately! https://twitter.com/nierop_pieter/status/1372686310901747712
Max Keiser is also not romantically in love with us. Charles lays down the stick pretty hard on this one. I’m saying good. If you can’t take the heat...stay out of the Cardano kitchen, my man. https://twitter.com/IOHK_Charles/status/1373027224509542403
Cardano releases an infographic that sums up all the partnerships, deployments, startups, and functionality in the entire ecosystem. We got a lot going on! https://twitter.com/IOHK_Charles/status/1373313974616215557
Here’s a really good article discussing decentralization in the context of Cardano core code maintenance. Really good job on this by cardanians.io. https://cardanojournal.com/who-will-maintain-cardano-129
The Cardano tattoo phenomenon continues to proliferate. https://twitter.com/IOHK_Charles/status/1373354182124531713
BlockFi to add ADA “as soon as we can.” https://twitter.com/SugarZeusCrypto/status/1372958662805708800
ADA Heart Pool made an awesome infographic guide to staking: https://twitter.com/InputOutputHK/status/1373310895544229892
Awesome comparative chart showing how much more decentralized Cardano is already compared to BTC. https://twitter.com/PoolGrow/status/1373492994645450752
Transactions are way up over the last several epochs! https://www.adatainment.com/index.php?lang=en&page=charts_onchain_metrics
Cardano 360 going down on Thursday March 25th. This is the big monthly streaming event where they tell us what’s going on. Save your spot here: https://www.crowdcast.io/e/cardano360-march/register
Critics think that lack of burned fees is a valid complaint against Cardano. But, good outcomes at scale only come with good incentives and free competition. So, if the fees aren’t paying the costs of transactions in these other protocols, the question goes begging: who is? In the end, the answer always turns out to be that the transaction costs have just been obfuscated under the guise of inflation via coin emission or some other hidden tax on someone in the ecosystem (usually the coin holders). https://twitter.com/avaxholder/status/1373336728010956801
We are starting to see cracks in the psychological armor of the Ethereum crowd. This anti-Cardano post was at 0 upvotes (at time of writing) while the fairly pro-Cardano response received triple figure upvotes. https://www.reddit.com/r/ethereum/comments/maktuy/ist_charles_hoskinson_the_new_justin_sun/
When smart contracts go live with Alonzo (the final HFC event in Goguen), and we eventually have Babel Fees, it’s going to make almost zero sense for any developer to choose ETH over Cardano. This will apply especially to any project that sends tokens to its customers (e.g. NFT projects) and any project that involves significant computation or transaction loads on the network (e.g. DeFi projects).
Emurgo is thinking about supply chain solutions for the seafood industry. https://emurgo.io/blog/how-can-blockchain-deliver-benefits-to-the-seafood-industrys-supply-chain
Check out this very cool relay node global tracker form monadpool! Thanks for building this! https://monadpool.com/cardano.html
We now have a Backstreet Boy. Might not seem that important, until you notice he has 600k followers. Network effects...network effects. Thanks, Nick! https://twitter.com/nickcarter/status/1374347860834062340 https://twitter.com/nickcarter/status/1374466486018842624
A guy tried to use Charles’s reaction to the King Soopers tragedy in Boulder to criticize Cardano. Charles told him to go f*** himself and then auctioned off the tweet with proceeds going to the families of the victims. The auction price quickly hit four figures and closed at $7k. https://v.cent.co/tweet/1374207862646304773?s=u_a
Thursday is Cardano 360 and Friday will be “Get ADA Day” as staking rewards for Epoch 255 close. Gonna be an action packed close to the week. Enjoy!
Here was my favorite moonboi tweet of the last few days. Old photo, but excellent captioning work here. https://twitter.com/MaximilianXCIX/status/1373471841449304066
Great new interview with Sebastien! In this one he explains a lot about the dApp Connector being built by Emurgo. As reported by a commenter in one of our earlier threads, it will work with Ergo first and then Cardano. A very interesting tidbit was Sebastien’s explanation of how the Emurgo dApp Connector will actually be safer than Metamask (which fills a similar role in the ETH ecosystem). Very good info. Thanks to Sebastien and the Cardano Podcast! https://youtu.be/Dkw7hvFP6dY

~Army of Spies

Doge & The New Age Trader

TL;DR: I provide my insight and opinion on the future of Dogecoin as well as the new age of stock traders and how that impacts the stock and crypto markets. You can read the full article here: https://maxxprofits.com/

This article is a two parter. It’s important to understand the why before I get to the juicy stuff I want to talk about. Time’s are changing and with change comes opportunity.

Part One: Market Change

Have you ever read, “Who Moved My Cheese?” It’s a great book that focuses on change. People are afraid of change because it takes them from that sweet comfortable spot that they’re currently in and throws them into the abyss of the unknown. Change can be hard to face and even harder to accept. Most people are pretty stubborn and it’s hard to convince them that change can be a good thing sometimes.

The market changes every day. We see stocks go up and down, monies exchanged from one hand to the next. One thing that hadn’t really changed until recently though has been the world of investing.

Investing in the previous decades always seemed dull and boring. You put your money here, let it relax and simmer and watch the wonderful magic of compounding happen. Occasionally something big would happen in the market. Insert Dotcom bubble.

When I was younger I always envisioned a stock trader like a recluse held up in their office sporting nothing but whitey tighties with a cigarette hanging out the side of their mouth. There’s an old school PC and on the monitor a commodities chart is up. Whose buying all those oranges!?

It’s no secret. Time’s have changed, especially for the world of investing. We don’t have to get our stock broker on the line to place orders - we can do that right from the palm of our hand. You don’t have to order catalogs of data (that’s already borderline outdated) just to understand a company. We are fortunate to be alive and trading in the age of the internet.

If you’re like me, you’re probably subscribed to multiple investor centric subreddits and follow a few Twitter traders here and there. You might have noticed that these once stable communities have started to slowly evolve and align more with the ideals of the new-age trader.

I see a lot of complaints from fellow redditors arguing combatively that these young traders are pouring money into shit companies that have yet to make a profit. There’s countless posts about why these companies should not be invested in and how they’re going to fail. I don’t necessarily disagree but we can’t ignore the fact that money really is getting poured in to these shit companies.

The Days of Buffet & Bogle are behind us. I’m not saying this trading style is ineffective because value investing definitely has its place in the market. What I’m saying is you either adjust to the change that is happening or you remain stubborn and miss a lot of opportunity that’s swimming within your reach right now.

Seriously, from one trader to another: Invest some time and effort into what is happening right now and try to see around the corner for what’s next. I don’t think I’ve ever seen or read about this much opportunity available on a daily basis. It’s a plentiful time that surely won’t last forever so it’s important to make some moves quick.

As the stock market becomes overextended it’s important that you don’t have all your money attached to it as well. When the eventual pullback or bear market comes you want to feel proud that you took action ahead of time to evenly disperse your hard earned cash across multiple investment avenues.

Now, with that said….Let’s get a little crazy shall we?

Part Two: Dogecoin: The People’s Currency

I know what you’re thinking….”Is this dude about to pump the Doge?” Hear me out..

Two years ago if anyone mentioned Dogecoin around me I would have laughed in their face. Investing in an alternative coin designed to be a meme centered around a highly emotional dog with Napoleon syndrome? Nah dawg…That shit isn’t for me. In 2020, like most of you, I had a lot of extra time. I decided it might be a good idea to start exploring other investments outside of the stock market. I wasn’t fully convinced of crypto in the years past but I started to see the trend coming back and one thing is for certain: I didn’t want to miss this train to Cashville a second time.

Crypto can be quite confusing. There’s stable coins, alt coins, coins attached to the dollar and various other “coin families”. What the hell is going on? Maybe we’ll save that for another article. Today I want to focus solely on Dogecoin.

First, we need to ask ourselves these questions:

Do I believe Dogecoin is the currency of the future? No.

Do I think Dogecoin will be around in twenty years? No.

Ten years? Likely not.

Will I become a millionaire from Dogecoin? Extremely doubtful.

Is Dogecoin going to a dollar? Jesus, I hope so…

You’re probably wondering, why is this guy interested in this and the answer is simple: Momentum.

Momentum can do wondrous things in the investment world specifically within the markets. Remember earlier when I said people were pouring money into shit companies? It’s momentum. GME made a lot of people rich but it couldn’t have been possible without the momentum behind it. The same goes for cryptocurrency in general. If crypto didn’t have the momentum that it has, I seriously doubt Bitcoin would have ever reached a quarter of the levels it’s at currently.

I’m extremely attracted to momentum when it comes to the stock market. I utilize momentum based indicators to help catch price waves and if you’re trading options without understanding momentum than you’re just a crazy person - and this is coming from the guy writing an article about Dogecoin!

With Dogecoin specifically, if you haven’t noticed, there is quite a bit of momentum building behind it. We have the ludicrous tweets by our Lord and Savior Elon Musk and on the other side we have Mark Cuban who seems like a really rationale guy. I like Musk. I’m a fan of his work but let’s face it - he’s a loose cannon who loves to stir up shit and cause trouble. I didn’t buy Dogecoin based on Musk…I bought it based on Cuban. Let me explain.

If you’ve seen Shark Tank you’ll know Mark Cuban likes to take risks but he hates snake oil and products that take advantage of the average Joe and Jane. One thing I’ve gathered over the years is that Mark Cuban genuinely seems like he wants to help people succeed and bring them out of this “work till you die and have nothing to show for it” type of lifestyle. He also knows a thing or two about business.

Cuban understands that COVID has hampered the attendance of future NBA games. He knows that all sports teams will see a decline in attendance for quite some time. He also knows that the general public just went through Hell and most people living paycheck to paycheck can’t afford to enjoy the luxuries that life has to offer. Who can afford to go to a basketball game when you can barely afford rent? His decision to accept Dogecoin, in my opinion, is for a very targeted audience and it’s not the people who have the disposable income to attend live events.

Assumptions can be dangerous but I can assume that Mark Cuban is smart enough to understand the stock market is changing and with crypto being introduced into the wide world of investing this opens up a lot of opportunity. He likely understands that this new age trader isn’t going to be trading the typical currencies and commodities that traders of the past dipped into. They’ll be on their phones, eyes locked into bright neon colors trading digital currencies at two in the morning.

A large portion of this population are the hustlers of the gig economy. These individuals live paycheck to paycheck with a reward of being their own boss. Most of these individuals don’t have 401ks and company benefits. What they have is each other. The internet has created the new age trader. The internet is momentum and the internet, whether we like it or not, is guiding this audience to take stranger risks than what other generations have been comfortable doing in the past.

Dogecoin is a lottery ticket. I believe Cuban himself even said this. It’s so true though. Who plays the lottery? Poor people. They buy into the hope, and have that “just in case” mentality. These people watched Bitcoin go from nothing to everything. Most sat on the sidelines kicking themselves that they didn’t get into the hype and upgrade themselves and their family into a better life. Dogecoin is about hope. It’s that “just in case” coin.

By accepting Dogecoin, Cuban provides legitimacy for the coin. He’s helping to make it worth something. He’s providing hope to this targeted audience that if this momentum continues the coins that they paid very very little for will someday be worth quite a lot. He’s also providing an avenue for this audience to spend those coins. The same coins that they didn’t even pay pennies for. It’s easy to convince yourself to spend something like that over hard earned dollar dollar bills ya’ll.

An Angel investor may invest into 100 companies, 95 of which will fail miserably. However, those 5 companies that survive more than make up for all those failed ones. For me, Dogecoin is one of those 100 investments I’m looking to strike gold with. The money that I personally allocated for Doge is something that I am completely comfortable losing. It’s something that I can toss into an account and forget about. I earned that luxury through profits earned in the stock market.

Doge gets a lot of shit but the individuals who refuse to accept it are the traders of the past. I’m not saying it’s a sure thing but I am saying if something does happen with Doge this investor isn’t going to be on the sidelines.

Doge & The New Age Trader

This article is a two parter. It’s important to understand the why before I get to the juicy stuff I want to talk about. Time’s are changing and with change comes opportunity.

Part One: Market Change

The market changes every day. We see stocks go up and down, monies exchanged from one hand to the next. One thing that hadn’t really changed until recently though has been the world of investing.

Now, with that said….Let’s get a little crazy shall we?

Part Two: Dogecoin: The People’s Currency

I know what you’re thinking….”Is this dude about to pump the Doge?” Hear me out..

First, we need to ask ourselves these questions:

Do I believe Dogecoin is the currency of the future? No.

Do I think Dogecoin will be around in twenty years? No.

Ten years? Likely not.

Will I become a millionaire from Dogecoin? Extremely doubtful.

Is Dogecoin going to a dollar? Jesus, I hope so…

You’re probably wondering, why is this guy interested in this and the answer is simple: Momentum.

“How to Drive a Lambo to the Moon: The Stoic Mindset for Crypto Hodlers” by Dr. Fatherintime

Credit for the title goes to /u/babyoda_i_am. I hope you enjoy it! This was fun to write. If you hate it, well, sorry I guess?

Introduction

Anyone who has ever decided to invest their hard earned cash into a market, regardless of the investment, has had to deal with the emotional roller coaster that sometimes comes with investing. In cryptocurrency, that roller coaster tends to have a lot more highs and lows than legacy markets. That means our traditional fears are more keenly felt; the fear of missing out (FOMO) while watching an investment quickly appreciate, and the trio of fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) can feel like such a force that we act on those emotions, sometimes to our own detriment. Stories about buying high and selling low are heard every day, and are much more likely to happen when these emotional responses to the market take over. I too can turn a thousand dollars into five dollars this way. It’s only human.

We don’t have to behave this way. Philosophy can aid us in becoming a more rational investor. Specifically, the ancient Greek philosophy of stoicism holds many insights into becoming a more rational investor, which will likely increase anyone’s success while investing. But, there are many strategies to investing, each with their own strengths and weaknesses. Some are a mix of holding onto Bitcoin and trading altcoins, only to roll profit back into Bitcoin, or perhaps some blue chip crypto. There are others better suited for a deep dive into those strategies, so here I only want to glance at some basic differences between Bitcoin and altcoins. First, let’s briefly examine whether holding Bitcoin for the long term works as a strategy, and any downfalls. Then, we’ll look at altcoin investments and some of the problems people run into investing there.

Warren Buffet isn’t a fan of cryptocurrency, but he is a respected investor, and is cited as saying “the stock market is a device for transferring wealth from the impatient to the patient.” This would seem to apply to any market, and crypto is no exception. While volatility can scare us into irrational moves, that volatility does not affect whether an asset has a general trend visible when looking at larger time frames. Gains and losses can be averaged out to seek the annual return of an asset. According to upmyinterest.com, the mean annual return for Bitcoin is 408.8% from 2017-2020, though it is noteworthy that this includes 2017, in which the return was 1,318%, and the 2018 crash which was -72.6%. For Bitcoin none of this is news; investors have long said to “hodl” or hold on for dear life, meaning never sell your Bitcoin. Followers of this strategy will often tell you that time in the market is better than timing the market. Having diamond hands is easier when you zoom out and see the gains you’ve already had, and can expect to have in the future outside of the present moment. Stoicism can help you keep that perspective in focus.

Could the same strategy be true for other coins? Veterans of the 2018 crash often speak of coins that went all the way to zero. Examples are plentiful, and in those cases, holding certainly didn’t work out. As of March 22, 2021 there are 1,924 dead coins (Coinopsy). However, as of January 2021, more than 4,000 cryptocurrencies exist (Investopedia). Obviously, you can’t just hold onto just any coin and expect it to increase in value, and if there’s no growth in the coin, you’re missing out somewhere else in the market where you could have an investment that is growing. There’s an opportunity cost to a bad investment, in addition to possible monetary losses. But where there is risk, there’s reward, and in altcoin season these smaller coins can significantly outperform Bitcoin. We have to manage our risk exposure, and a stoic mindset can help with that, too. You might also have to buy and sell more depending on how you invested, Whatever your investment strategy is, stoicism can help by teaching us how to react more rationally to market fluctuations that make us behave irrationally and buy or sell at the wrong times because of an emotional response.

Stoicism

To understand a stoic mindset to investing, we have to understand what stoicism is. There are only fragments that survive from the early stoic philosophers who founded this school of thought. We do know the story of perhaps the most famous founder, Zeno of Citium, who was a merchant who lost everything in a shipwreck near Athens around 300 BCE. Instead of despairing at starting over, he began reading and studying with the local philosophers, and later, started the school of thought we now call stoicism. If you’re someone who learns better by video, you can see an excellent summary of his story and an overview of stoicism here: Stoicism Overview. I’m sure many investors feel like they understand just a little what Zeno must have felt when his ship sank.

We have a lot more material from Epictetus, Marcus Aurelius, and Seneca the Younger. There are also a lot of modern philosophers who’ve written about and studied stoicism, like Chris Fisher, Pierre Hadot, and William Braxton Irvine. Instead of getting into the particulars about the differences between all of their views, we’ll instead concentrate on the most basic elements of stoicism that might be useful for investing. However, I mention their names in case you have any interest in taking a deeper look at stoicism. This is just scratching the surface.

The Stoic Discipline of Assent

The facet we’ll be focusing on is the stoic discipline of assent. In the stoic discipline of assent, the idea is to increase how mindful we are concerning how we react to the events around us. Any time an event happens we get an impression of it. At this point, we have not yet formed an opinion of the event. There are no emotions because you have not assented to any value judgment yet. Now, let’s assume something bad is happening, like Bitcoin hitting a bear market. You might then experience what the stoics refer to as pathos. This arises after our assent to the value judgment but is not part of the event itself. Instead the negative emotion arises as a result of assent to the judgment about that event. For example, you might assent to the judgment of a driver as a terrible person when really their bad driving caused no harm. In other words, the event did not warrant your reaction.

Where did the harm come from in the event? The harm, it turns out, comes from our negative reaction. The stoics define such events as morally indifferent, meaning the event cannot cause any real harm to us (they really mean our soul, but I’m keeping it simple). However, our reactions can cause us great harm and distress. I’ll borrow heavily from Chris Fisher here, who was originally who I first learned this from. You can find his excellent podcast on the topic here: Stoic Logic: The Discipline of Assent-Episode 9. In it he outlines the following process, citing John Sellars. I’ll paraphrase here to try and make it clearer and remove some of the philosophical jargon.

There is an event, and before we realize what is happening, we make a value judgment of that event concerning whether it is good or bad. Then, we give our assent, and whatever the event is begins to immediately affect our emotional state, regardless of whether that event is one that we should really be indifferent toward. Once we realize this is happening, we can reorder this process by being more mindful of it. This change in how we think gives us more internal control over the events that occur, which are largely out of our control anyway. What we can learn to better control is how we react to those events.

The stoics refer to our observations about the world as impressions. Basically, they’re either something that is happening that we observe, or a thing we observe that is external to us. Dealing with impressions/external events or things is tricky. In this explanation Fisher borrows heavily from Pierre Hadot, who talks about the citadel of the mind. You can think of the mind as a citadel, and on the way to the citadel is a road. The events that happen in our lives travel up that road, gaining value judgments along the way that will affect our emotional state, and enter the citadel. Now we’re a mess! But what if we put a guard post on that road to stop those value judgments before they wreck us? Epictetus writes,

In the first place, do not allow yourself to be carried away by [the] intensity [of your impression]: but say, 'Impression, wait for me a little. Let me see what you are, and what you represent. Let me test you.' Then, afterwards, do not allow it to draw you on by picturing what may come next, for if you do, it will lead you wherever it pleases. But rather, you should introduce some fair and noble impression to replace it, and banish this base and sordid one. (Discourses 2.18.24–5)

Here’s how we might practice the wisdom Epictetus has shared with us. The presentation of this process is credited to Chris Fisher, but is paraphrased here:

Stop the impression/event or thing in its tracks. Place a stoic road block at the gate of your inner citadel. There is so much that we can’t control about the world. Instead of trying to control those things, we can control how we react. In this stage, we are stopping the internal process of attaching a value judgment to that thing or event.
Strip the impression/event or thing bare: Remove those value judgments from the bare impression. Don’t allow it to lead you on by picturing what may come next or what may happen to you. No thing or event is good or bad in itself, it is our thinking of those events that make it good or bad.
See the impression/event or thing from a broader perspective for what it is. An example of doing this would be to see the impression as part of the world that is outside of your control, and view it more objectively. In both interpretations of stoicism, an event may have a different meaning when viewed from a broader perspective so that we can more easily see it for what it truly is. And most of the time, it isn’t as big of a deal as we thought it was to begin with.

A final note on stoicism pertains to desires. When we desire a particular outcome, we are setting ourselves up to suffer because often the outcome isn’t up to us. This is particularly true in cryptocurrency markets. We like green candles, and when numbers go only ever upward. But, we have to be careful in what we assent to, because red candles exist and numbers can go to zero. Consider this often quoted paragraph from Marcus Aurelius’ Meditations, in which you can see the stoic mindset we’ve been discussing outlined:

"When you have savouries and fine dishes set before you, you will gain an idea of their nature if you tell yourself that this is the corpse of a fish, and that the corpse of a bird or a pig; or again, that fine Falernian wine is merely grape-juice, and this purple robe some sheep’s wool dipped in the blood of a shellfish; and as for sexual intercourse, it is the friction of a piece of gut and, following a sort of convulsion, the expulsion of mucus. Thoughts such as these reach through to the things themselves and strike to the heart of them, allowing us to see them as they truly are. So follow this practice throughout your life, and where things seem most worthy of your approval, lay them naked, and see how cheap they are, and strip them of the pretenses of which they are so vain." (Meditations VI.13)

Similarly, Epictetus tells us that until we take control of our assent, we remain slaves to our desires. He would know something of it, because his name means gained or acquired, or what we might translate in modern times as “slave”. Though born a slave, Epictetus had a kind master who allowed him to educate himself, and eventually Epictetus gained his freedom. Along the way, he learned about stoicism and based much of his philosophy on the process outlined above.

Note that all of this might give you the idea that stoics are just these passive, emotionless people. They’re not that way at all! Marcus Aurelius would not have been a very good emperor if he weren’t an active ruler. It isn’t that stoics don’t feel emotion, it is that they gain an understanding of why they feel that way, and over time are better able to prepare themselves to defend against being emotionally overwhelmed and therefore, less rational. Over time, the idea is that our reactions to impressions improves and we are able to live a better, freer life.

Stoicism and Investing

Well, there you have it. If we fortify our minds to be more mindful of how we react to market fluctuations, we’ll be more rational investors and be better prepared to stop us from making emotional mistakes. Now, obviously, this is good advice to live by generally. But it seems me to be a very detailed way to avoid FOMO and FUD. Maybe taking a stoic mindset will make for stronger hands when there’s good narrative and analysis that indicates when to hold through a bearish trend to the promised land of green candles, or perhaps the stoic mindset might make it so we don’t hold onto a coin too long out of sentimentality instead of protecting profit. I hope this essay is able to help some people have a little more peace of mind, and enables them to be better investors regardless of the strategy they use.

There are other ways stoicism might help your trading as well. You know when you took profits “too soon” and didn’t time the market just right? You controlled what events you could, and took a profit. That’s a win. Remember when you gave up on a coin and sold low, just before it took off? Hopefully you have no recollection of that happening because therapy is expensive, but if you do remember the stoic mindset can remind you to take a more objective perspective. You might see how your portfolio is performing overall instead of focusing on this loss and losing your confidence. Or, maybe you take a broader look and see your portfolio is underperforming the market, and instead of having a really bad time it’s only a little bit of a bad time and you’re able to see and understand why your portfolio is underperforming because you were able to keep your emotions in check well enough to give your trading a critique. If you have a rational understanding of your trades, instead of giving in to the human propensity to focusing on the bad things that happen, you’ll have a better understanding of your past trades and how to improve. If you keep a journal of your trades, you’ll have even more of an understanding of why you did what you did and how it worked out. This is beneficial for any transactions you make in the market, as you can objectively track your successes and failures over time. It might even make your taxes easier if you tracked prices and profits.

We can’t predict the market, but we can strive to understand, and thereby regulate our reactions to it. That, my friends, will make us better at navigating it.

Here are some of the sources I drew from that aren’t already linked. Since this is a reddit post I’m not making a true works cited page because they’re a pain.

https://www.investopedia.com/tech/most-important-cryptocurrencies-other-than-bitcoin/#:~:text=One%20reason%20for%20this%20is,communities%20of%20backers%20and%20investors.

https://www.coinopsy.com/dead-coins/

https://www.statista.com/statistics/730876/cryptocurrency-maket-value/

Stoic Logic: The Discipline of Assent-Episode 9

https://www.gutenberg.org/files/45109/45109-h/45109-h.htm

http://classics.mit.edu/Antoninus/meditations.html

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Is it possible to have a private bitcoin exchange. Hear me out

I was thinking of Defi and the pools they use. What if the price of Bitcoin drops from 55k to 5k in like a flash crash or any lowering event, the collateral that the borrowers have give in order to be able to borrow would become "worthless" to the Defi platform ex. Compound. I thought of it and came up with they would just have to sell off the collateral fast enough, to claim the fiat to keep the value of the pools the same for the lenders, right? But we all know when the price of BTC drops in that fashion, exchanges stop working, apps dont open, or they just stop trading all together to stop a sell off. so what happens to those Defi pools when collateral cant be sold off? do the Defi lenders just get the short end of the stick?

So that got me thinking of is it possible to create a private exchange where there is no middle man for groups like Defi pools, lending groups. If they had no middle man they can freely buy and sell collateral as needed, according to value to keep lenders money/stablecoins value intact. I mean isint that the whole point of crypto anyways? No middle man or overseeing entity for our money? ... look at what happened the Tether. If i understand correctly the value went to .83usd at a point. Private exchange would eliminate the risk nobody talks about with Defi lending.

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