Why BlockFi Might Strategically Wait Until the Next Bitcoin Halving to Settle Debts

As many of you know, BlockFi is currently navigating Chapter 11 bankruptcy proceedings, prompted largely by the cascading effects of the FTX collapse. This situation has left many users and creditors in a state of uncertainty regarding the recovery of their funds. However, there's a strategic consideration that might not only be prudent for BlockFi to pursue but could also potentially maximize returns for creditors: delaying major repayments until after the next Bitcoin halving in 2024. Here’s why this could be a wise course of action:

1. Increased Asset Value: The Bitcoin halving event, anticipated to occur in 2024, traditionally impacts supply dynamics significantly. Historically, each halving has reduced the new supply of Bitcoin by half, which has, in past cycles, led to an increase in Bitcoin's price over the following months. If BlockFi holds substantial Bitcoin reserves, the value of these assets could see a considerable increase post-halving, enhancing BlockFi's ability to repay creditors.
2. Strategic Debt Management: By potentially delaying repayments until after the Bitcoin price has appreciated, BlockFi could settle its debts with fewer bitcoins, thus retaining more of its asset base for operational recovery or further creditor repayment. This is not just good for BlockFi; it’s beneficial for the creditors who might receive a larger value back due to increased Bitcoin prices.
3. Legal and Financial Prudence: Within the U.S. bankruptcy framework, such strategic extensions need to be approved by a court. This means BlockFi would need to make a compelling case that extending the timeline is in the best interest of all parties involved, supported by sound financial projections and market analysis.
4. Mitigating Market Risks: Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile. If BlockFi rushes to liquidate assets in a lower price environment, they risk not only diminishing returns for creditors but also destabilizing their recovery strategy. A well-timed liquidation, aligned with market highs following the halving, could mitigate such risks.
5. Ensuring Fair Creditor Treatment: It's imperative that any decision to delay repayments be communicated transparently to creditors, with clear rationale and legal backing. This would involve detailed updates on asset management strategies and potential timelines for repayment.

In conclusion, while extending the repayment period until after the next Bitcoin halving carries risks, it could strategically benefit all parties if managed correctly and aligned with legal requirements. As creditors, it's essential to stay informed and engaged in the bankruptcy process, ensuring that any decisions, such as this strategic delay, are made with fair consideration and detailed justification.

What are your thoughts on this strategy? Could this be a win-win for BlockFi and its creditors, or are there angles here that need further consideration? In my opinion, they have no interest in creditors.