"It's another day in the market, and it feels like we're constantly on a roller coaster - some days we're soaring with the eagles, other days it's more of a gentle descent！
1️⃣ What Happened Today
■ Mr Market’s Mood: Exuberance continues in some pockets –
S&P 500 and Nasdaq notched record closes but barely, while the Dow took a breather, dragged by tech
Investors hit pause after Alphabet’s AI-fueled earnings pop, but Tesla and IBM’s stumbles and Trump’s Fed visit kept folks on edge.
Trump and Powell clashed on camera ovee FED renovation costs… so its heating up.
Bitcoin held steady ( slightly up albeit), shrugging off the noise, while gold dipped as risk appetite flickered.
■ 💵 Macro View:
The Fed’s in the spotlight with Trump’s rare visit to Powell, the first by a president in nearly 20 years, fueling speculation of rate cut pressure. 10-year Treasury yields ticked to ~4.40%, reflecting tariff-driven inflation worries.
Geopolitical buzz around U.S.-EU trade talks (15% tariff deal in sight?) added hope but also uncertainty.
■ Sector Spotlight / Rotation:
🟢Winners: Technology led the pack, powered by Alphabet’s AI optimism. 💻
🔴 Losers: Consumer Discretionary lagged.
■ 🔥 Top Large Cap Stock Up: Alphabet $GOOGL 📈 still climbing after a strong Q2 earnings beat, with AI investments paying off, boosting investor confidence in tech’s ROI.
■ Large Cap Stock Down: Tesla $TSLA 📉 slid as auto revenue fell for the second straight quarter, raising concerns about demand and Musk’s focus amid Trump tensions.
■ Notable Earnings: Alphabet beat expectations, lifting shares; Tesla missed, dragging stock down; IBM fell after software revenue disappointed.
2️⃣ So What / Why It Matters?
■ How It Could Impact: Alphabet’s win signals AI’s growth potential, but Tesla and IBM’s misses highlight risks in overhyping tech. Trump’s Fed visit and tariff talks could spark volatility if rate cuts or trade deals don’t materialize. Rising yields suggest inflation fears, which might tighten wallets and hit growth stocks. Strong jobless claims point to economic strength, but markets are jittery about policy shifts. Investors are balancing greed with caution, eyeing Fed moves and trade outcomes.
3️⃣ Now What / What’s Next?
■ 📌 Action:
□ Stay selective: Focus on quality stocks with strong fundamentals but watch for overvaluation in tech💡
□ Monitor Fed signals: Trump’s visit could hint at rate cut pressure—keep an eye on Powell’s next moves. 🏦
□ Assess Diversifying: Balancing tech exposure with defensive sectors like utilities to hedge tariff or inflation risks. 🛡️
■ 📅 Upcoming Earnings (July 25, 2025)
□ HCA Healthcare (HCA): Likely to see solid hospital demand but cost pressures.
■ Upcoming Major Events This Week:
□ July 30 FOMC meeting: Investors await clues on rate cuts, with odds for September at ~60%.
□ Ongoing U.S.-EU trade talks: Potential deal could ease tariff fears or spark new ones by Aug 1.
Follow for daily US stock market updates here or on Substack for deep dives! Free for the first 500 users: https://substack.com/@stockcrock?r=50tzb9&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=profile 📊 Or catch me on Reddit/Twitter @ValueCroc 🐊
Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Reasonable effort made to ensure accuracy, but errors can happen—double-check all key info before acting. 🙏
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