For Trading JULY 28th
DKNG FALTERS
“NEW ALL-TIME HIGH FOR GOLD”
BITCOIN RALLIES
Today’s market got off to a mixed start NASDAQ higher and a somewhat subdued start for the DJIA and S&P-500, but the others caught up quickly and all rallied into the close with the DJIA +114.88 (.43%), NASDAQ +173.09 (1.67%), S&P 500 +23.78 (.74%), the Russell +17.10 (1.17%) and the DJ Transports +87.30 (.90%). Market internals continued positive with both NYSE and NASDAQ 1.5:1 higher although volume was down. DJIA was 17 up and 13 down with no major movers but AAPL adding 60 DP’s and BA losing 25. Durable goods gained 7.3% vs. 6.4 expected and that gave the market some solid underpinnings. Commodities were all higher as the U.S. Dollar continues to fall. While I think that we may get a reflex rally shortly, commodities are still cheaper than stocks.
Our “open forum” on Discord, which allows me to interact with subscribers and others to allow direct questions and chart opinions on just about any stock, continues to grow with more participants every day. It is informative and allows me to share insights as the market is open and moving. The link is: https://discord.gg/ATvC7YZ and I will be there and active from before the open and all day. It’s a great place to share ideas and gain some insights, and we’ve grown to almost 3000 members. I also did this video over the weekend on a day-trade, (actually 2) that I made in AAPL on Friday. I think it’s highly informative as a guide to under what conditions these kind of trades in expiring options make sense. The link is https://youtu.be/qIV0G-hP3aM Enjoy!!
Tonight’s closing comment video https://youtu.be/FDZWwDnw7qM
SECTORS: DraftKings (DKNG) really took it on the chin today as several baseball teams had players that tested positive for COVID-19. This had a snowball effect and caused a total of 5 teams cancelling games and putting into question the viability of continuing sports available for betting. The NFL is also at odds with the NFL Players association over several issues and that would clearly put into question of whether there will be a season for them also. After the deal with the SPAC to bring the company public the stock had a steady rise from the $12.00 level to a high of $44.79, a decline and a pullback and an attempt to move higher that resulted in a lower high (43.75 in June), and another decline back to 27.54 in July and another lower high of 38.84 last week and the possible start of a new decline. While the stock is a favorite of bettors without sports to bet on and the legions of new RobinHood investors, it is still an “unseasoned security” and is subject to erratic swings. It would not surprise me if baseball ends in the short term to see this one back at $24- $25. On the rise today, TSM up 12.7% on speculation that the INTC news of problems with their new chips would cause them to purchase chips from TSM. After close of $67.37 on Thursday, TSM closed up at 73.90 Friday and gapped up today to finish $83.25 +9.35 (12.7%) and is now $84.88 in after hours.
FOOD SUPPLY CHAIN was HIGHER with TSN -.32, BGS +.95, FLO +.13, CPB +.09, CAG +.36, MDLZ +1.08, KHC +.32, CALM +.84, JJSF +1.60, SAFM -1.38, HRL +.28, SJM +.72, PPC -.29, KR +.18 and PBJ $33.31 +.39 (1.19%).
BIOPHARMA was HIGHER with BIIB +15.19, ABBV +.09, REGN +26.06, ISRG +10.02, GILD +1.00, MYL +.26, TEVA +.07, VRTX +5.72, BHC +1.75, INCY +2.67, ICPT +.97, LABU +5.03 and IBB $140.05 +3.64 (2.67%).
CANNABIS: was HIGHER with TLRY +.31, CGC +1.19, CRON +.30, GWPH +2.58, ACB +.17, CURLF +.56, KERN -.05, and MJ $13.29 +.32 (2.47%).
DEFENSE: was LOWER with LMT -4.12, GD -2.17, TXT -.17, NOC -3.70, BWXT -.34, TDY -1.66, RTX -.73 and ITA $161.05 -2.19 (1.34%).
RETAIL: was LOWER with the brands higher and M -.25, JWN -.89, KSS -.86, DDS -1.08, WMT -.03, TGT -.82, TJX -.81, RL +.16, UAA +.22, LULU +10.50, TPR +.38, CPRI -.20, and XRT $46.67 +.51 (1.10%).
FAANG and Big Cap: were HIGHER with GOOGL +26.39, AMZN +49.32, AAPL +10.52, FB +3.79, NFLX +16.65, NVDA +9.97, TSLA +126, BABA +2.49, BIDU -3.17, CMG +14.74, CAT +2.80, MSFT +3.00, BA -3.61, DIS -1.26 and XLK $106.86 +1.66 (1.58%). PLEASE BE AWARE THAT THESE PRICES ARE LATE MARKET QUOTES AND DO NOT REPRESENT THE 4:00 CLOSES.
FINANCIALS were LOWER with GS +1.63, JPM -1.27, BAC -.16, MS +1.14, C -.26, PNC -1.92, AIG -.46, TRV -1.65, AXP +.67, V +2.40, and XLF $24.07 -.20 (.82%).
OIL, $41.60 +.31. Oil was lower in last night’s trading before we rallied in the morning. I mentioned in last night’s charts with comments section in the Weekly Strategies letter, that it is a toss-up for a move in either direction. The stocks were MIXED with XLE $37.55 +.04 (.11%).
GOLD $1,931.00 +33.50. It was a continuation rally and a new recovery high of $1,897.70. I have only the NEM August 65 / 70 spread on in the Gold market. The spread was put on at $1.30 and finished the day @ $2.67.
BITCOIN: closed $10,895 +1,280. After trading back to 8985 we rallied back to close – only $5. Since last week we have closed between 9200 – 92.85 every day with narrow ranges and today was a good start to move higher. A break over 10,000 still sends us higher. We added 350 shares of GBTC @ $10.02 to our position of 400 @ $8.06, bringing our average price to $8.97. GBTC closed $12.15 + 1.77 today.
Tomorrow is another day.
CAM
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