Friday, February 14, 2025

The Daily Market Flux - Your Complete Market Rundown (02/14/2025)

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Top Stories🎯

Trump Set to Unveil Reciprocal Tariffs, Potentially Targeting Developing Nations

President Trump announced plans to sign sweeping reciprocal tariffs on Thursday, targeting US trading partners, particularly developing countries. Details are pending, but the move could significantly impact nations like India and Brazil.

US Retail Sales Slump in January, Surprising Economists and Marking Biggest Drop in 10 Months

US retail sales unexpectedly plunged 0.9% in January, the largest drop since March 2023. Core sales and control group figures also declined, while export prices surged 1.3%. Canadian wholesale and manufacturing data showed mixed results.

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Company News

Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB)

Performance Overview

1D Change: πŸ“ˆ 14.45%

5D Change: πŸ“ˆ 19.59%

News Volume: πŸ“° 96

Unusual Volume Factor: πŸš€ 11x

Airbnb Soars to Record Heights as Q4 Earnings Beat Ignites Investor Enthusiasm for Global Expansion Plans

Airbnb's Q4 2024 earnings report has sparked a surge in investor confidence, with the company's stock jumping by over 14% in its best day since 2020. The vacation rental giant exceeded expectations, reporting an EPS of $0.73 against an estimated $0.58, and revenue of $2.48 billion compared to the expected $2.42 billion. This strong performance has led to several analyst upgrades, including Goldman Sachs raising its price target to $153 and upgrading the stock to Neutral.

Full coverage of $ABNB on MarketFlux.io

Moderna, Inc. (MRNA)

Performance Overview

1D Change: πŸ“ˆ 3.35%

5D Change: πŸ“ˆ 1.2%

News Volume: πŸ“° 80

Unusual Volume Factor: πŸš€ 8x

Moderna Faces Uphill Battle as Q4 Earnings Disappoint and COVID Vaccine Sales Plummet

Moderna, the biotech firm known for its COVID-19 vaccine, reported disappointing fourth-quarter earnings for 2024, causing its stock to slide in pre-market trading. The company posted a wider-than-expected loss of $2.91 per share, missing analyst estimates of $2.68. Revenue fell nearly 66% year-over-year to $966 million, slightly beating expectations of $942.8 million. The decline in revenue was primarily due to lower COVID-19 vaccine sales, which dropped to $923 million from $2.8 billion the previous year. Moderna's CFO, James Mock, attributed part of the loss to a $238 million non-cash charge related to the termination of an agreement with a contract manufacturer. Despite the setback, Moderna is focusing on its product pipeline to revitalize its struggling stock, which has fallen 94% from its peak. The company is advancing its late-stage pipeline and implementing cost-cutting measures. However, analysts remain concerned about Moderna's path to profitability, with Jefferies analyst Michael Yee stating that there's "really no visible path to profitability on the horizon." The company's full-year revenue forecast also disappointed investors, adding to the pressure on the stock.

Full coverage of $MRNA on MarketFlux.io

Roku, Inc. (ROKU)

Performance Overview

1D Change: πŸ“ˆ 14.14%

5D Change: πŸ“ˆ 16.55%

News Volume: πŸ“° 72

Unusual Volume Factor: πŸš€ 11x

Roku Stock Soars on Stellar Q4 Results: Analysts Bullish as Platform Revenue Hits $1 Billion Milestone

Roku, Inc. has experienced a significant surge in its stock price following the release of its Q4 2024 financial results, which exceeded market expectations. The company reported total revenue of $1.2 billion, marking a 22% year-over-year increase, with platform revenue surpassing $1 billion for the first time. Despite a net loss of $35.5 million, Roku's performance has impressed investors and analysts alike. The company's installed base reached 90 million homes in January 2025, adding nearly 10 million households in 2024. Political ad revenues reached $70 million in Q4, contributing to the strong growth. In response to these results, several analysts have upgraded their ratings and raised price targets for Roku stock. JPMorgan Chase & Co., Needham, Bank of America, and others have issued positive forecasts, with some setting new price targets as high as $130. The stock hit a 52-week high of $100.3 amid market shifts, and investors are particularly encouraged by Roku's improving profitability and user growth. The company's success is attributed to its strategic focus on platform growth and expanding ad reach.

Full coverage of $ROKU on MarketFlux.io

Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT)

Performance Overview

1D Change: πŸ“‰ -8.18%

5D Change: πŸ“‰ -6.0%

Applied Materials Stock Tumbles on Weak Guidance Amid China Export Curbs, Despite Earnings Beat

Applied Materials, a leading semiconductor equipment manufacturer, faced a setback as its stock fell sharply in pre-market trading following a disappointing quarterly revenue forecast. The company cited tightening export controls and trade restrictions with China as key factors impacting its outlook. Despite beating quarterly estimates, the weaker-than-expected guidance for Q2 revenue of approximately $7.1 billion, plus or minus $400 million, fell short of analyst expectations. CEO Gary Dickerson acknowledged the constraints on U.S. companies serving the Chinese market due to updated trade rules. Despite the challenges, some analysts maintain a positive outlook, with Stifel and Citi reiterating Buy ratings, albeit with adjusted price targets.

Full coverage of $AMAT on MarketFlux.io

Other News

πŸ›’️ Oil and Gas Events

  • Oil and Gas Prices Rise Amid Market Uncertainty πŸ“ˆ⛽ Oil prices climbed despite mixed signals, with natural gas increasing due to cold weather. Cheniere Energy saw improved capital returns, and Woodside Energy's assets attracted investor interest.
  • US Rig Count Increases Slightly, Indicating Steady Growth πŸ­πŸ“Š The US Baker Hughes rig count rose to 588, with oil rigs at 481 and gas rigs at 101, signaling modest industry expansion.
  • Russia Weighs Full Gasoline Export Ban from March πŸš«⛽ Russia is considering a complete gasoline export ban starting March 1, with discussions underway between the government and oil producers.

πŸ’° Earnings Events

  • Roku Stock Surges on Strong Earnings and Analyst Upgrades πŸ“ΊπŸš€ Roku reported better-than-expected earnings, with revenue up 22%, prompting JPMorgan to raise its price target and analysts to turn bullish.
  • Moderna Stock Falls as Q4 Earnings and 2024 Outlook Disappoint πŸ’‰πŸ“‰ Moderna missed Q4 earnings estimates, with revenue falling short and 2024 sales guidance underwhelming investors, leading to a pre-market stock decline.

🏒 Corporate Actions Events

  • Musk’s xAI Seeks $10 Billion at $75 Billion Valuation πŸ’°πŸ€– Elon Musk’s AI startup, xAI, is in talks to raise $10 billion at a $75 billion valuation, signaling aggressive expansion in the AI sector.
  • OpenAI Rejects Musk’s $97.4 Billion Takeover Bid πŸš«πŸ’» OpenAI's board unanimously turned down Elon Musk's $97.4 billion acquisition attempt, reinforcing its independence and drawing comparisons to Musk’s Twitter takeover saga.

πŸͺ™ Crypto Events

  • Abu Dhabi’s Sovereign Fund Invests $436M in Bitcoin ETFs πŸ¦πŸ“ˆ Mubadala, Abu Dhabi’s sovereign wealth fund, disclosed a $436 million investment in Bitcoin ETFs, marking a significant institutional move into crypto assets.
  • SEC Explores Staking in Crypto ETFs πŸ“ŠπŸ” The SEC is in discussions with industry leaders about integrating staking into crypto Exchange-Traded Products, which could reshape crypto investment strategies.
  • Citi Explores Crypto Custody Services πŸ›️πŸͺ™ Citi is considering offering cryptocurrency custody services, following industry peers like State Street, as institutional interest in digital assets grows.

πŸ€– Technology Events

  • Meta Invests in AI Humanoid Robots for Assistance πŸ πŸ¦Ύ Meta is making a major push into AI-powered humanoid robots designed to assist with physical tasks, signaling its next big technology initiative.
  • Dell Nears $5 Billion AI Server Deal with Musk’s xAI πŸ’»πŸš€ Dell is close to securing a $5 billion deal to supply AI-optimized servers with Nvidia’s Blackwell GB 200 chips to Elon Musk's xAI, boosting its stock and AI ambitions.
  • Figure AI Seeks $39.5 Billion Valuation in Funding Round πŸ“ˆπŸ€– Humanoid robotics startup Figure AI is in talks for a $1.5 billion funding round at a massive $39.5 billion valuation, with backing from Amazon’s Bezos, Microsoft, and NVIDIA.

🌍 Geopolitics Events

  • US Retail Sales Drop, Export Prices Rise US retail sales fell 0.9% in January, the largest decline since March 2023, while export prices unexpectedly surged 1.3%. Canadian manufacturing and wholesale sales also missed expectations.
  • Munich Security Conference Highlights Global Tensions At the Munich Security Conference, China's Foreign Minister Wang Yi called for cooperation with the US, while Vice President JD Vance criticized European allies on democracy and migration. Discussions focused on Ukraine, European defense spending, and the evolving global power balance.
  • TSMC Eyes US Expansion with Intel Partnership TSMC is considering operating Intel’s US factories after a request from President Trump, potentially strengthening US semiconductor production while balancing Taiwan’s strategic role in the industry.
  • Trump Targets April 2 for Auto Tariffs President Trump plans to implement auto tariffs by April 2, which could impact global trade and the automotive industry.
  • US Industrial Production Rises Amid Trade Tensions US industrial production grew 0.5% in January, the highest since 2016, despite a slight decline in manufacturing output. Meanwhile, Trump is pushing for reciprocal tariffs and increased European defense spending, raising economic and geopolitical concerns.
  • Trump Backs US Steel Revival with Japanese Investment Trump supports US Steel's resurgence, welcoming a possible minority stake by Japan’s Nippon Steel, aiming to make the company a major player again.
  • Trump Creates Energy Council to Boost Oil and Gas A new "national energy dominance council" will guide US energy policy, reinforcing Trump’s commitment to expanding domestic oil and gas production.
  • TikTok Buyers Negotiate Directly with White House Potential buyers of TikTok are bypassing ByteDance and negotiating directly with the White House, highlighting the political sensitivity of the deal.

πŸ“ˆ Macro Events

  • Treasury Yields Fall on Weak Retail Sales, Fed Rate Cut Speculation Grows A sharp decline in retail sales pushed Treasury yields and the dollar lower, increasing speculation about Fed rate cuts. However, inflation remains a concern, with the US PPI rising 2.9% YoY. Meanwhile, investors are making bold bets on bond yields, and the Russian Central Bank held rates at 21%.
  • Fed’s Logan Urges Caution on Rate Cuts Fed official Logan stresses the need to wait for further inflation data before making interest rate decisions, signaling a patient approach to monetary policy.
  • European Inflation Data Shows Mixed Trends Germany’s wholesale prices jumped 0.9% in January, while Spain’s CPI remained steady at 2.9%. Swiss PPI showed improvement, suggesting varied inflationary pressures across Europe.

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