🌍 Market-Moving Themes
🧠 AI Capex Anxiety Returns
Meta spending leak revives fears that AI margins will lag spending, reopening the hardware vs platform divide
⚙️ Pick-and-Shovel AI Trade
Rising AI budgets continue to funnel into chipmakers and infrastructure suppliers rather than end platforms
📉 Crypto Trust Shock
Weekend Bitcoin exchange glitch damages confidence and raises volatility risk across crypto-linked equities
📊 Data Delay Volatility
Delayed labor data creates a compressed macro week with multiple releases colliding midweek
🛍️ Consumer Stress Test
Retail sales, confidence, and CPI converge to define whether spending is holding up or cracking
📊 Key U.S. Economic Data & Events Feb 9–13 ET
Monday Feb 9
- 10:50 AM Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic speaks
- 1:30 PM Fed Governor Christopher Waller speaks
- 2:30 PM Fed Governor Stephen Miran speaks
- 5:00 PM Fed Governor Stephen Miran podcast interview
Tuesday Feb 10
- 6:00 AM NFIB optimism index Jan: 99.5
- 8:30 AM Employment cost index Q4: 0.8%
- 8:30 AM Import price index Dec delayed: -0.1%
- 8:30 AM U.S. retail sales Dec delayed: 0.5%
- 8:30 AM Retail sales ex autos Dec: 0.3%
- 10:00 AM Business inventories Nov delayed: 0.2%
- 12:00 PM Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack speaks
- 1:00 PM Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan speaks
Wednesday Feb 11
- 8:30 AM U.S. employment report Jan: 55,000
- 8:30 AM U.S. unemployment rate Jan: 4.4%
- 8:30 AM U.S. hourly wages Jan: 0.3%
- 8:30 AM Hourly wages YoY: 3.7%
- 10:10 AM Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid speaks
- 2:00 PM Monthly U.S. federal budget: -50.0B
Thursday Feb 12
- 8:30 AM Initial jobless claims Feb 7: 222,000
- 10:00 AM Existing home sales Jan: 4.15M
- 7:05 PM Fed Governor Stephen Miran speaks
Friday Feb 13 — CPI DAY
- 8:30 AM Consumer price index Jan: 0.3%
- 8:30 AM CPI YoY: 2.5%
- 8:30 AM Core CPI Jan: 0.3%
- 8:30 AM Core CPI YoY: 2.5%
⚠️ For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
📌 #SPY #SPX #CPI #Jobs #RetailSales #AI #Fed #Macro #Markets #Stocks #Options
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