🌍 Market-Moving Themes
⚖️ Barbell Market Structure
Capital split between defensive retail strength and high-beta crypto as investors hedge slowdown risk and liquidity expansion simultaneously
🛒 Defensive Retail Leadership
WMT at all-time highs signals high-income trade-down behavior; value retail strength contrasts with pressure on traditional discretionary
₿ Sovereign Bitcoin Narrative
BTC holding ~$76K on reserve asset rumors keeps speculative liquidity elevated; MSTR leverage adds volatility layer
🧱 Rare Earth Geopolitical Risk
China Gallium, Germanium export chatter pressures NVDA & AMD while lifting domestic supplier MP
💣 Cybersecurity Binary Event
PANW earnings after close carry sector-wide implications for CRWD, ZS, FTNT amid pricing power concerns
🏛️ Fed Minutes Volatility Window
2:00 PM ET FOMC minutes could shift rate expectations; watch 10Y yield near 4.35% as tech sensitivity trigger
🚗 Under-the-Radar Rotation
TSLA FSD licensing chatter supports relative EV strength; VKTX unusual activity keeps biotech M&A theme alive
📊 Key U.S. Economic Data Wednesday Feb 18 ET
8:30 AM
- Housing starts (Nov delayed): 1.31M
- Building permits (Nov): 1.40M
- Housing starts (Dec delayed): 1.31M
- Building permits (Dec): 1.40M
- Durable goods orders (Dec delayed): -2.0%
- Durable goods ex-transportation
9:15 AM
- Industrial production (Jan): 0.3%
- Capacity utilization (Jan): 76.5%
1:00 PM
- Fed Vice Chair Michelle Bowman speaks
2:00 PM
- FOMC January meeting minutes
⚠️ Disclaimer: For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
📌 #SPY #SPX #FedMinutes #Earnings #WMT #BTC #PANW #Macro #Markets #Stocks #Options
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