BTC major prediction

So this guy in twitter whom I closely follow along with my mates here has been predicting the cycle bottoms and close tops has something interesting to say. Let’s discuss. As the year 2028 aligns with halving as well as the stock to flow model from Plan B shows the price to be 750.000 USD.

1. Bitcoin Halving (2028)

   • Bitcoin undergoes a halving roughly every 4 years, where the block reward for miners is cut in half.

   • This reduces the rate of new Bitcoin supply, increasing scarcity.

   • Historically:

   • 2012, 2016, 2020, and 2024 halvings were followed by strong bull markets.

   • The 2028 halving is expected to further reduce supply, which some believe will push prices significantly higher if demand continues to grow.

2. Stock-to-Flow (S2F) Model – PlanB

   • The Stock-to-Flow model compares:

   • Stock = total existing supply of Bitcoin

   • Flow = new Bitcoin produced annually

   • As halving events occur, the flow decreases, increasing the S2F ratio.

   • PlanB’s model historically projected price increases after halvings by treating Bitcoin similarly to scarce assets like gold.

   • According to this model, by 2028, Bitcoin’s scarcity would justify prices in the hundreds of thousands, with $750,000 being one such projection.

3. Cycle Bottoms and Tops

   • The person you follow claims to have successfully identified cycle bottoms and near tops in past Bitcoin markets.

   • This adds credibility for followers, but it’s still based on historical patterns—not certainty.

   • Crypto markets can deviate significantly due to macro factors, regulation, or changes in demand.

Important Reality Check

• The S2F model has missed targets in recent cycles, especially after 2021.

• Price predictions that far out assume continued adoption, favorable regulation, and macro conditions.

• $750,000 Bitcoin would imply a multi-trillion-dollar market cap, comparable to or exceeding gold—possible, but not guaranteed.