Thursday, June 24, 2021

Supply & Demand, Mining, Regulations… What are the Factors that determine the price of Bitcoin?

The basic fact about currencies is that they possess six key attributes — scarcity, divisibility, utility, transportability, durability, and counterfeit ability.

https://preview.redd.it/3lijpk3zp7771.jpg?width=3840&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b4dfb9495abf80accf1956ad4f57419e71c4cb8b

As the first of its kind, Bitcoin has value because it holds up well when these characteristics are analyzed; its biggest issue is its status as a unit of exchange as most businesses have yet to accept it as payment.

What determines Bitcoin’s price?

Bitcoin is a cryptocurrency developed in 2009 by Satoshi Nakamoto, which is the name that the still unknown creator signed as in the Whitepaper. Unlike traditional currencies, Bitcoin is not issued by a central bank or backed by a government; it is decentralized and operates through a revolutionary decentralized technology called blockchain.

The following are some of the main factors that influence the price of Bitcoin:

  • Supply and demand
  • The cost of mining
  • The number of competing cryptocurrencies
  • Regulations governing its sale
  • Competition from other cryptocurrencies
  • Its internal governance

Why is the Bitcoin price volatile?

Bitcoin has the highest trading volume among cryptocurrencies. However, in comparison to global markets, much less money is still involved. This means that prices have the potential to go up and down more quickly.

According to the Bitpanda guide:

“News events that are detrimental or beneficial to the reputation of Bitcoin, uncertainty in the future intrinsic value of the cryptocurrency as a store of value, currency risks for large holders of Bitcoin regarding liquidation as well as security breaches may also influence the Bitcoin price”.

An example of this could be seen recently, when Elon Musk tweeted that Bitcoin is environmentally unsustainable. The Tesla CEO said in a tweet that “he worries about the massive use of coal and other carbon-intensive energy to generate electricity needed to mine digital currency”. On another occasion, he implied in a Twitter exchange that the electric vehicle maker sold or may sell the rest of its bitcoin holdings, sending the price of the cryptocurrency down. Bitcoin dipped by 8% at that time.

Factors that affect the price of Bitcoin

1. Regulation

The Bitcoin market is heavily influenced by regulation. As China accounts for nearly 70 percent of the world’s cryptocurrency mining, every legal change in China affects the price of Bitcoin.

In May, as the Forbes reported, the Financial Stability Development Committee of the State Council in China led by vice premier Liu He announced a crackdown targeting virtual currency mining, “leading to ripple effects in the whole crypto market with Bitcoin falling by nearly 50 per cent from it’s all-time high, and by as much as 17 per cent on Sunday”.

Now that the Chinese investors try to bypass regulatory oversight by taking bets on domestic and foreign over-the-counter (OTC) desks, the price of Bitcoin seems to be recovering.

OTC trading desks and P2P trading platforms such as Localbitcoins, Paxful, and a host of others have made life easier for bitcoin traders across the globe, especially in regions where the government has banned crypto trading.

2. Competition

While Bitcoin was the first cryptocurrency to gather mass attention, and the biggest cryptocurrency on the market currently, it has contenders. Altcoins including Ethereum (ETH), Tether (USDT), Binance Coin (BNB), Cardano (ADA), and Polkadot (DOT) are among its closest competitors as of now. According to some experts, the Digital Dollar could be a competition to Bitcoin in the future, thus affecting its price.

“I would like to think that [bitcoin and libra] are also in competition with the central bank digital currency,” said the former International Monetary Fund’s chief economist.

“Central bank digital currencies, sometimes referred to as CBDCs, are expected to work just like regular coins and notes issued by central banks but exist entirely online, with the U.S. Federal Reserve potentially issuing digital dollars via Fed accounts”.

3. Supply

This is determined by how much Bitcoin is for sale on the market. 18.6 million Bitcoins are currently in circulation, but many of these have been lost. According to the cryptocurrency data firm Chainalysis, “about 20% of all Citcoins (around 3.7 million) have been lost”. This number is determined by bitcoin that hasn’t moved wallets in 5 years or longer.

4. Electricity costs

The simple fact is that if the price of electricity is low, then miners can profit more from Bitcoin. Several recent reports have suggested that the electricity consumption of Bitcoin is extensive; a Bitcoin country would rank 64th in the world for overall energy usage.

Energy accounts for between 90% to 95% of Bitcoin mining costs and is important in terms of whether it is profitable for miners to mine.

5. Governance

Governance has been a big issue in Bitcoin. As Bitcoin is not governed by a central authority, but by all computers connected to the blockchain, it is developed as a decentralized system. That means that it relies on developers and miners to process transactions and keep the blockchain secure. Software changes are consensus-driven, which tends to frustrate the bitcoin community, as fundamental issues typically take a long time to resolve. Some of the examples are the way forks are managed by the community, with detractors and supporters lobbying for their own way of diverging the Bitcoin blockchain.

Another governance issue born from the decentralization is what Investopedia explained as the issue of scalability. This refers to the number of transactions that can be processed in the blockchain, which depends on the size of blocks. As of now, bitcoin software is only able to process approximately three transactions per second. While this wasn’t a concern when there was little demand for cryptocurrencies, many worry that slow transaction speeds will push investors towards competitive cryptocurrencies.

Conclusion

As Bitcoin price is volatile and depends on many factors, all investors should analyze them well before making transactions involving the digital currency. While it is impossible to tell for sure which way the price is going to move, major events such as regulatory crackdowns or bad press for Bitcoin can be an indicator of that.

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Bitcoin (BTC) Supercharger Launches With a Bonus Lucky Draw

Deposit CRO and farm BTC with a USD 1,000,000 allocation

Crypto.com is pleased to announce that Bitcoin (BTC) will be listed on Supercharger, a one-click liquidity mining platform. This time, participants can also enter into a special Supercharger Bonus Lucky Draw by depositing CRO in the Crypto.com App! Sign up for an account on the Crypto.com App or Crypto.com Exchange to participate.

What is Bitcoin?
Bitcoin is the first decentralised peer-to-peer network. It spearheaded the rise of blockchain technology, and paved the way for a new payment system and digital currencies.

BTC on Supercharger With a Bonus Lucky Draw
Crypto.com App and Exchange users will receive BTC as rewards for depositing CRO tokens into the Supercharger pool.

Users who charge a minimum of 1000 CRO in the Crypto.com App will be entered into the Supercharger Bonus Lucky Draw, which will give away a total of 1 BTC in prizes! Details here.

The BTC Supercharger event will commence on Sunday, 27 June 2021 in the Crypto.com App and Exchange.

Users who participated in the SHIB Supercharger event, which ends on 27 June at 17:00 UTC, can keep their CRO deposit in the Supercharger pool to be automatically carried over to the BTC event.

Details:

  • Reward: USD 1,000,000 allocation
  • Supported Deposit Token: CRO
  • Event timeline:
    Charging Period: 18:00 UTC, 27 June 2021 - 18:00 UTC, 11 August 2021
    Reward Distribution: 16:00 UTC, 13 August 2021 - 16:00 UTC, 27 September 2021

i) Charging Duration (First 45 days)
Users can deposit and withdraw from the Supercharger pool (with no gas fees) at any time during the Charging Period. The price of the reward token is determined at the end of this period.

ii) Reward Distribution Period (Next 45 days)
Users will receive their reward tokens during the Reward Distribution Period based on their share of the liquidity provided during the Charging Period. Their eligible reward tokens will be distributed daily during this 45-day period after accepting the reward terms. Users will forfeit a portion of their reward if they do not accept the terms before the Reward Distribution Period begins.

Find out how to calculate your rewards here.

Notes:

  • Crypto.com reserves the right to cancel or amend the Supercharger campaign rules at its sole discretion.
  • Participants’ deposits in Supercharger are automatically moved to the next event.
  • Participants may withdraw their CRO deposits from the pool at any time.
  • Participants can make multiple deposits throughout the duration of the event.
  • CRO deposits in the Supercharger pool do not count as staking.
  • Tokens deposited into Supercharger may be used in yield-generating DeFi protocols, including Crypto.com DeFi Swap.
  • Participants who deposit CRO via the Crypto.com App must sign up to the Crypto.com Exchange to redeem their rewards.
  • If the participant fails to accept their reward allocation before the Rewards Distribution Period begins, they will lose the portion of the reward that was scheduled to be distributed. They are still entitled to the remaining portion of their reward, and can redeem it by logging in to the Exchange and accepting their allocation.

For details, please refer to our Help Centre.

Source: https://blog.crypto.com/supercharger-to-feature-bitcoin-btc/


Crypto.com App Supercharger Bonus - 1 BTC!

To celebrate the commencement of BTC Supercharger, we are inviting participating users to join a lucky draw to share a prize pool of 1 BTC as a bonus! Details are as follows:

Start Date : Sunday, 27 June 2021 at 18:00:00 UTC

End Date: Wednesday, 11 August 2021 at 18:00:00 UTC

Platform: Crypto.com App

Total Prize Pool: 1 BTC

How do I participate?

  • Download & Open your Crypto.com App (App Store, Google Play)
  • Participate in the BTC Supercharger event by charging a minimum deposit of 1,000 CRO (Guide)
  • 500 users will win the lucky draw and will each receive 0.002 BTC as a prize

Everyone that fulfilled the above requirements will obtain 1 entry to the lucky draw and can win the BTC prize! However, users that stake for the Crypto.com Visa Card will enjoy additional entries depending on their card tier.

Helpful Links

Notes

  • Please ensure that the BTC Supercharger deposit is done only through your Crypto.com App. Deposits made through your Crypto.com Exchange account will not be counted for this campaign.
  • Crypto.com reserves the right to cancel or amend the campaign rules at our sole discretion.
  • Residents and citizens of Hong Kong SAR, Mainland China, and the USA are not eligible to participate in this campaign.
  • The BTC prizes will be credited into the winners’ Crypto.com App BTC Wallet within 30 days after the campaign ends.
  • The USD/BTC exchange rate used to administer the campaign will be determined around the time of prize distribution at the sole discretion of Crypto.com.
  • All personal data collected is used strictly for verification purposes only.
  • By accepting the prize, winners agree to the Privacy Notice of Crypto.com, which is published at crypto.com/en/privacy/global.html

Source: https://blog.crypto.com/crypto-com-app-supercharger-bonus-1-btc/


Warning of account closure at Bitwala / Nuri / Solarisbank

I herby warn everyone from opening and using an account at Nuri.com (ex Bitwala). I'm a user of their product since the early days. They have always delivered a great product, building a bridge between fiat and crypto (especially Bitcoin).

Bitwala recently re-named themselves to Nuri and partnered with Solaris Bank to and Celsius to provide an interest account for Bitcoin and a standard bank account with a bridge to a Bitcoin and Ethereum wallet.

So far so good. A few days after renaming Bitwala to Nuri I received an email with tons of questions, here are some of them:

Do you use this account as a main account or do you plan to do so in the future?• Are there persons other than yourself who got access to this account?• Which occupation do you have and what is your employment relationship (e.g. employed, self-employed, freelancer, student, without employment)?• How high is your monthly disposable income?• How would you estimate your crypto knowledge? (expert/good knowledge/interested/beginner)• When did you first obtain cryptocurrencies?Crypto exchange purchase (only crypto-> EUR):• What is the purpose of the following transaction/s?• What is the relationship between you and the counterparty?• Please provide us with suitable proof of the origin of the crypto values ​​from the below Crypto-EUR exchange available (trading history, screenshots of trading platforms, etc.).

which I found extremely intimidating and privacy concerning. Although I was not comfortable with answering those questions, I did. After a week I received this email:

Dear xxx,

We regret to inform you that we hereby terminate our business relationship with you with immediate effect pursuant to §16 of our Terms of Service and §5 (2) of Supplementary Agreement on the Crypto Wallets of our Terms of Service.

Also, we hereby inform you that our Partner Solarisbank AG (“Solarisbank”) terminates the business relationship between you and Solarisbank based on Section 19 paragraph 3 of Solarisbank's General Terms and Conditions (GTC) for reasonable cause with immediate effect. Your banking connection will be cancelled and closed with immediate effect.

In addition, we hereby inform you that our partner Solaris Digital Assets GmbH (“SDA”) also terminates the entire business relationship between you and SDA for reasonable cause with immediate effect pursuant to section 22.3 of SDA’s Conditions for Crypto Custody Services.

At the same time, we restrict access to the Nuri apps in accordance with §16 of our Terms of Service and §5 (2) of Supplementary Agreement on the Crypto Wallets of our Terms of Service.

Declaration by Solarisbank

Any credit balances held on your account will be returned to you. To retrieve the remaining fiat funds, please send a signed copy of the attached payment request to [support@nuri.com](mailto:support@nuri.com), confirming to which account - if permitted - you would like us to transfer the remaining credit to.

Your remaining available balance is €XXX - DE63110101002331480641

Please note that if your payment request is not received within the first month of account closure, solarisBank reserves the right to collect a monthly expense allowance of EUR 6.50 from your remaining balance.

You can retrieve the content of your BTC wallet by recovering your wallet. Please find a link showing how to do this provided here.

You can withdraw the outstanding Ethereum amount to an external wallet provider. The external wallet provider you choose will be able to advise you on how to complete this process.

Respectfully,

Solarisbank Customer Support

Declaration by Solaris Digital Assets

In the case that your account is holding any Digital Assets balances, you will be provided with the option to withdraw any such balance(s) via the name of partner Nuri app within 30 days from today. After this period, you will no longer have access to your account to carry out such actions. We recommend that you also inform relevant parties from which you expect any incoming transfers about the closure.

Respectfully,

Solaris Digital Assets Customer Support

We regret that the accounts must be closed and that we also have to terminate our business relationship with you. Should you have any further questions or need assistance, please let us know.

Best regards,

Nuri Team

Account Executive

Attachment(s)EN_SEPA.pdf

Don't trust banks.

I want to add an additional warning regarding their interest account (or any other interest account like Blockfi, Celcius and co.).

Terms of service of Bitwala (now NURI):

Special risk factors for the Crypto Interest Account

Investing cryptocurrencies via the Crypto Interest Account is associated with significant risks. The risks described below can occur individually or cumulatively. For the customer ("investor") there is the risk of total loss. The order in which the risks are presented does not provide any indication of the materiality of the risks, either in terms of their probability of occurrence or in terms of their impact on the investor and his claims.

The further risk information on cryptocurrencies in § 8 of our General Terms and Conditions (https://www.bitwala.com/de/terms-of-service/) must be observed.

1. No deposit insurance

There is no statutory or voluntary deposit insurance for the cryptocurrencies invested via the Crypto Interest Account. In the event of a default by Celsius Network Limited (Celsius Network), no payments will be made to the investors by third parties (e.g. a deposit protection fund (“Einlagensicherungsfonds”). Bitwala GmbH ("Bitwala" or "we") also does not provide compensation in the event of loss of the cryptocurrencies used and does not accept any other securities.

2. Bankruptcy of Celsius Network

The investors bear the full risk of the bankruptcy of Celsius Network. Celsius Network is the sole debtor of the investors' claims to the agreed income and repayment of the amount of cryptocurrencies used. Whether Celsius Network will be able to fulfil the due claims of the investors in the future depends solely on the success of its business activities. If Celsius Network becomes illiquid (e.g. in the event of bankruptcy), the investor will suffer a total loss of his investment as well as any income already earned but not yet disbursed.

3. No participation, co-determination or control rights

Investors have no rights of participation, co-determination or control with regard to the business activities and business strategy of Celsius Network. Investors cannot verify whether Celsius Network conducts business activities that will enable it to service the claims of investors from the Crypto Interest Account in the future. The business activities carried out by Celsius Network may result in further risks for investors. As investors do not know the business activities of Celsius Network in detail, they are not in a position to verify these potential risks. Celsius Network could make decisions that could have an impact on the investors. The investors have no possibility to influence the business activities of Celsius Network. This also applies to the use of the cryptocurrencies provided.

4. No state supervision

Celsius Network is registered as a Money Service Business ("MSB") with the US Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN), a unit within the US Department of the Treasury that collects and analyses information on financial transactions in order to combat national and international money laundering, terrorist financing and other financial crimes. Nevertheless, Celsius Network and its business activities are not subject to extensive government supervision. In particular, there is no guarantee that registration with FinCEN will meet German standards of comparable governmental supervision. There is therefore no state or other protection for investors against misuse of the cryptocurrencies provided.

5. Application of foreign law and prosecution abroad

The legal relationship between the investor and Celsius Network is governed by US law / the law of the United Kingdom. Investors may not be aware of the law and may therefore not be able to exercise their legal position under the respective laws vis-à-vis Celsius Network or not exercise it properly. Claims of investors against Celsius Network must be asserted in foreign courts. For investors this may mean higher costs and difficulties in enforcing their claims.

6. Price and earnings volatility

The investor bears the risk of exchange rate volatilities with regard to the cryptocurrencies provided by him. The price of cryptocurrencies on corresponding trading platforms can be subject to high volatility. The investor has a claim against Celsius Network for repayment of the amount of cryptocurrencies provided by him plus the agreed income. This entails the risk that the cryptocurrencies provided by the investor may have a lower value at the time of repayment than at the time of transfer to Celsius Network.

The interest rate for calculating the returns on the cryptocurrencies provided is subject to weekly changes by Celsius Network. Medium- or long-term planning with regard to the amount of income is therefore not possible. For the investor, there is the risk that the interest rate will decrease after the cryptocurrencies have been transferred to Celsius Network.

7. Tax risks

The current tax treatment of the income has not been conclusively clarified and may also depend on the individual tax treatment of the respective investor. It cannot be ruled out that the tax authorities and courts may adjust or change previous tax assessments on the treatment of income with cryptocurrencies. It is also not clear whether the previously applicable principles for the tax treatment of trading in crypto-currencies can be applied to income from the Crypto Interest Account.

Note:Bitwala does not provide investment advice to the client. Bitwala does not verify whether the Crypto Interest Account is a suitable investment for investors in view of their personal investment objectives and financial circumstances. Bitwala also does not provide any corresponding recommendations. Bitwala also does not conduct a reasonable assessment as to whether the Crypto Interest Account is appropriate in view of the knowledge and experience of the investor.

How this posts stops a few people of opening an account with Bitwala / Nuri in the first place. Take care everyone, this is why we are all in Bitcoin and Blockchain!


KOK Shopping Mall, ‘Please Take Care of My Skin!’ Event

KOK Shopping Mall, ‘Please Take Care of My Skin!’ Event

https://kokfoundation01.medium.com/kok-shopping-mall-please-take-care-of-my-skin-event-a79011565034

#KOK #KOK_Play #KOK_Token #KOK_Coin #ZBG #Bithumb_Global #Blockchain #ERC20 #Bitcoin #Cryptocurrency #Digital_contents_platform #decentralization


AMA Review | Jasmy seeks the way to break “data barriers”.

On December 1st, 2020, Sato, President of Jasmy Joint-stock Company and Harada Koshi, Jasmy CFO were invited to participate in the Blade Dialogue hosted by Mydo. During the live broadcast, the two guests made a series of explanations and analyses on Jasmy IoT platform solutions, Jasmy’s advantages of technical innovation, investment opportunities for Jasmy Coin and other issues.

Ⅰ. Question and answer session

Daisy: I’m glad to have Sato, President of Jasmy Joint-stock Company to be our guest on the Blade Dialogue program. Please introduce yourself first.

Sato: I’m Sato, President of Jasmy Joint-stock Company. Thank you for taking time out of your busy schedule to participate in our activities today. Our company is composed of members who have worked for Sony. I used to work in marketing at Sony, and now work with my management, marketing and engineering teams to create new businesses by taking advantage of our rich experience.

Thank you for coming to the event today.

Daisy: Jasmy is committed to protecting the data originally owned by individuals and building a decentralized autonomous world, so as to realize the sharing of data value. So what kind of project is Jasmy, and what achievements have the platform made so far? Please tell us in detail.

Sato: Jasmy is a company that develops and provides data security and sharing services in the Internet of Things era.

The platform we provide is aimed to return the data sovereignty that should belong to the individual to the owner of the data, and make every piece of data safe to use. We integrate blockchain technology into the Internet of Things, and provide the most suitable platform for customers all over the world with unprecedented novel ideas by breaking industry barriers.

In Japan, the company has cooperated with corporate customers such as Transcosmos, the largest call center in Japan; VAIO, a well-known notebook brand; Witz, a travel solution provider (a Japanese listed company serving customers such as Toyota and Panasonic); and local governments in entity operation projects.

Daisy: Jasmy has developed the “Jasmy IoT Platform” by combining its own IoT technology with blockchain, and solved various problems in the current data society with original ideas, providing users with services and products that they can that can use personal data securely. So what solutions does Jasmy offer?

Sato: Jasmy works closely with Witz, which provides innovative life services in “Community-connected Town MaaS”, to explore new business possibilities together. Local governments can approve the services of driverless vehicles more without concern through this technology and service of our platform. Not only can customers get greater convenience, but also the cost of personal information data management is reduced. In addition, the data including the travel mode, date and distance of individual users, as well as all kinds of behavior-related data of shopping consumption and diet, residents and tourists, can also be effectively utilized to construct advanced and innovative service system and content of MaaS.

Jasmy will return the ownership of the call data and records usually stored in the server of the customer service calling center to the customer, and provide relevant product applications. Jasmy works with Transcomos, the largest customer service calling center in Japan, to jointly promote the next-generation call center application business.

In addition, under the COVID-19 outbreak, the calling center has supported customer service staff to work from home, which reduced the risk of staff infection, but also realized the compression of operating expenses (we believe). On the basis of solving the data security problem, this service will have more room for development in the future.

According to the distributed storage technology based on blockchain and the original hardware management method, our company has developed a security computer for VAIO that can identify the hardware owner. It can realize the function of accepting only the owner’s instructions, and distinguishing and managing different internal data for different managers. Even if the terminal is attacked, the risk can be controlled within a certain range, which will not cause great losses to enterprises and individuals. In addition, we believe that the security computer can also solve the problem of cumbersome steps of device import and application, and low efficiency due to performance and speed.

Jamsy has always maintained close cooperation with VAIO in new product development. In the future, not only in the field of telecommuting, but also in the related fields of Japan’s financial industry, where the regulatory requirements of the industry are constantly improved and strengthened, there will be a greater market demand for security computers.

Daisy: Any enterprise can accelerate data utilization and share data value through Jasmy platform. Personal data cabinet is an important component of Jasmy platform, while SKC and SG are the main core services to realize “personal data cabinet”, so what innovations and advantages do the core technologies represented by SKC and SG have?

Sato: Secure Knowledge Communicator (SKC)

Main functions:

(1) User authentication (personal identification and authentication: know your customer, hereinafter referred to as “KYC”) and registration functions.

(2) Decentralized management and storage of personal data, authorization to provide data, and tracking functions.

(3) When the enterprise obtains the user’s data and authorization, the specific information that can identify the subject can be removed appropriately, only necessary information can be remained for use as needed.

Users on our platform establish “personal data cabinet” through SKC. The owner’s own data will be safely stored in a personal data cabinet that can be controlled by the user. When providing information to enterprises, the owner can manage and trace the information including authorization or not.

Sato: Smart Guardian (SG)

Main functions of SG:

(1) the function of binding a specific device to the owner in the network (know your machine, called KYM)

(2) the function of allowing the device to send and receive instructions safely, so that the data collected by induction can be sent, received and operated remotely according to the owner’s command.

(3) the function of allowing the owner to safely keep, manage and use the data generated by the device, with the original blockchain and distributed storage system being used.

The IoT module developed and provided by us is integrated into the existing device, so that the owner can bind with the administrator, register the device on our platform, and manage and utilize the device log safely and reliably. Even for devices with low processing capacity, SG mechanism can be introduced to dig new value from IOT data.

Mr. Morita, the core member of Sony Computer Science Laboratories, is responsible for the development of SG service. He used to be the project leader of Felica, a contactless chip encryption technology widely used in Japan and abroad, and its reliable security ensured its continuous use in the 20 years since its birth, without any information security incident. Mr. Morita’s experience in the field of encryption technology has contributed to Jasmy’s services, thus greatly ensuring the security of hardware devices in Jasmy platform.

Daisy: What are the current application cases of SKC and SG? Who are Jasmy’s partners? What kind of commercial value does this cooperation bring to Jasmy?

Sato: SKC is cooperating with Witz, which provides MaaS solutions. In Hokkaido, where the demand for autonomous driving is particularly strong, we are building a platform that users’ personal data can be used safely and reliably. In November, a demonstration test was carried out on the highway, and the security of personal data was researched and developed. This project has been approved by the government, and the experimental site will be built into a professional baseball competition venue in a few years, with a total project cost of 60 billion yen. We have great confidence that it will become a demonstration project to promote the construction of smart city and a big vacation spot.

We have independently developed a security computer with SG function, which is currently being tested in a listed company. This PC has the functions of owner identification, advanced authentication and high security level, which will greatly promote the calling center to be transformed into the form of working from home. The demand of financial institutions and other enterprises that need advanced information management of equipment will also grow, so the system is expected to be widely popularized in the industry.

Daisy: Please talk about Jasmy’s marketing plan in the future.

Sato: We plan to conduct business under the following guidelines in the future.

(1) We will expand the use range of security PC, which is currently tested. While promoting telecommuting, we will accelerate the application of the platform and strive to achieve the installation capacity of 3 million sets at home and abroad within five years.

(2) We will increase the number of members who actively subscribe to Jasmy platform services to promote development and services, with 200 companies involved in three years.

(3) We will promote cooperation with the central government and local governments, which is necessary for the development of Maas business.

(4) We will provide Jasmy license to other general IoT device suppliers to develop services that can manage device and data security.

Daisy: What is the value growth logic of Jasmy Coin? What kind of investment opportunities does Jasmy Coin have for ordinary investors?

Harada Koshi: Jasmy has actually signed contracts with many corporate customers including Japanese listed companies, so there are actual business needs. The company’s products and services have been recognized by our partners. We expect to see the normalized demand based on the actual needs of enterprises, so we believe that the value of coins will be improved. As the trading volume of partners increases, we will continue to expand our business.

Jasmy has no intention of expanding its investment opportunities in Japan and this fundraising is only a very short-term event.

We will announce the information of business expansion and token value increase through press releases, but we will not increase sales. Therefore, new investors will be invited to trade and buy bitcoin on the market (exchange).

II. Free questioning time

Q1: In terms of regulation, is it fully compliant to ensure that investors can rest assured? Do you think Jasmy is ready to respond to the challenge of government regulation in countries to achieve this goal?

Sato: Jasmy has set up Asahi Nishimura, the largest law firm in Japan, as a consultant, and while the project is in progress, always gets advice from lawyers who understand the financial technology industry, mainly involving finance and patents. Through the global lawyer network, we comply with global laws and regulations to promote our business.

Q2: Jasmy is currently conducting business mainly in Japan, so what is Jasmy’s global development strategy in the future? What kind of plans and preparations did Jasmy make for the Chinese market? What is the compatibility between SG and current mainstream windows/mac computers?

Sato: Recently, we are considering providing services to overseas countries, including China. In China, we will build a platform using blockchain technology with IoT as the center, just like Japan. Jasmy technology can basically support any key system and hardware.

Q3: What technical support and expansion can Jasmy provide for terminal devices of the IoT? How about the security and stability of Jasmy in the process of development and promotion? What about the security at the hardware level and the technical level? Will there be hidden dangers?

Sato: Chip security technology is the core of the IoT. In addition, security technologies for middleware will be added. Up to now, these middleware security technologies are based on the knowledge gained from Sony FeliCa security technology.

Q4: How do you consider how to integrate existing smart wearable devices into Jasmy? What progress can Jasmy share with us in the development of IoT terminal device?

Sato: Basically, Jasmy system can be installed in any IoT device (including cars). At present, we only support PC, mobile phone and car, but in the future, we plan to expand to connect with various IoT devices (such as servers, routers, surveillance cameras, electronic locks and driving recorders).

Q5: How does Jasmy combine blockchain with IoT? Does blockchain only play an incentive role in Jasmy?

Sato: In the IoT, chip security technology will be the main focus; in the platform, blockchain technology will be used according to customer requirements and actual conditions.

Q6: As VAIO users, how to enjoy Jasmy services in China; if customers are willing to buy Toyota cars, how to enjoy the service

Sato: At present, we are in the test operation stage with the other companies; if there is no problem, we plan to expand our business in Japan from next year, and in China in the future. Please be patient.

Q7: If retail investors from China want to participate in the subscription of Jasmy Coin, what are the ways and means? What kind of return can they get?

Sato: We hope to be listed in China in the near future. People outside Japan can buy Jasmy coins from China Stock Exchange.

Q8: How do community members propose to vote on governance in Jasmy ecosystem, and how transparent and decentralized is the voting process?

Sato: Jasmy ecosystem is a consortium of governance. Each participating company is a node and votes for governance. Coins are distributed by participating companies, with the process not as transparent as the open type.

Q9: What is Jasmy’s future layout in DeFi, NFT and overseas markets? How friendly is Jasmy IoT platform to new users?

Sato: According to the service content of the partner company, it is possible to develop markets such as DeFi and NFT in the future. SKC is basically easy to be operated as an APP on your own mobile phone or PC. SG is built in the terminal and can be operated in the same way as ordinary products.

Q10: Can I sell my personal data on Jasmy platform to get Jasmy tokens?

Sato: Customers can provide their own data and get rewards from the company. This is also Jasmy’s business goal.

III. End of the event and publicity of reward list

Jasmy CFO Harada Koshi: Thank you very much for your participation. It is far beyond our expectation to have so many friends who are interested in our project. At the same time, thank you for your questions and opinions. These questions will have a lot of reference value for our future business (not only Japan, but also China and other territories of the world), which will make us more motivated for the project. I hope that you can follow Jasmy’s token and use it in different scenarios in the future. Thanks for your participation today!!!


Investor Confidence and Doxing

Hi all, it’s me, your friendly neighbourhood markets guy.

If you want to support these analyses, consider tipping: 0x377083dbb10227f4DB3AbAC8E0Cded026D32D9E5

(in EverRise only – the current amount is 0, and I won’t touch any of the tips for a long time and I’ll tell you before I do. If there is enough there, I will use it to further the analysis process in some way. Like hire a quant or programmer for an hour to get more complete data or something).

Some started calling me ‘Guard’, which is… acceptable. The username really was just an auto-generated Reddit name, I am neither a guard nor historical.

Anyway, today we’re talking about that weird elusive thing, investor confidence. This is basically because I think what’s happened since yesterday is:

  1. When the auto-buyback was removed, people realised Titan controls the buybacks.

  2. When the auto-buyback was still there, a lot of people maybe didn’t realise that Titan already controlled it.

  3. So now people want to know who Titan is, because what if he’s actually like a toddler or a dog? I don’t want my money deposited with a Golden Retriever.

So, I’ve already pointed out in previous posts that it really doesn’t matter who Titan is, or even if he’s a dog. The randomness of the buyback is part of the thing that makes the incentives protective towards retail investors.

This is basically because the market is always random for retail. It is not random for institutions. That is why an institution can drain a coin and take all your money, because they have enough of a cash reserve that they can make the market tank when they want it to. You do not have that level of reserves.

So anything that makes it random for institutions/big money actually levels the playing field for you. It also incentivises hodling, which is what creates the fundamental value of the token. No crypto has any fundamentals, even bitcoin - it’s all in the confidence of the holders.

So this actually brings me to today’s topic – investor confidence. Questions for today:

  1. Why did the market behave so weirdly when the Kraken was turned on?

  2. What does this reveal about investor confidence?

  3. How could we fix those problems? Should Titan reveal himself (‘dox’)?

Have a seat, Guard’ll tell you a story.

1. So what was up with the Kraken and Bots? Why did Titan keep changing things?

You may have seen slightly conflicting messages that Titan has posted about the Kraken buyback amounts. I don’t remember all of it, but things like ‘ok we found the sweet spot now, it’s 0.5bnb buybacks, that will be the new baseline forever’. Then a little while later, they changed it back to 0.01bnb.

Did he break his word? Is he dishonest? Should I take my money out now?

Well, let’s look at two things: a) even if we assume that he was dishonest, would that matter?, and b) If we don’t assume that he was dishonest, what other reasons might he have had to change the buyback amount (and some other things)?

a) Even if we assume Titan broke his word dishonestly, the deal is still structured in almost exactly the same way

Here I’ve seen a lot of confusion between your normal life and the financial markets. Financial markets don’t have social bonds (or they do to an extent, but not between retail investors and institutions). Social bonds are only binding in long-term, locked in dealings. Your individual business may run on social bonds (you may have long term suppliers and clients that trust you and you extend them credit and they extend you credit to maintain the relationship, for example), but that is not how the global financial market works.

Business owner: My word is my bond.

Financial markets: No, your bond is your bond.

In other words, financial markets are really impersonal. Nobody knows you. You might be a really together and standup guy. You always pay your debts and never declare bankruptcy, even if it’s in your financial interests to do so. You want to take care of your employees and their families, your customers, your wholesalers and your creditors.

You go to the financial markets to get a bridging loan, and you tell them all about your honesty and integrity, and what they’ll say is: “that’s great, now let’s talk about what kinds of bullets you’d like us to load in the gun we’re going to hold to your head and how you’re going to securitise our loan.”

Impersonal investors don’t know you. Basically, this is the same as them assuming you’re going to try to double cross them in some way. So they really don’t listen to what you say, they look at the structure of the deal and invest based on that. Whether you ‘break your word’ or not doesn’t make any difference if the deal structured well. Anyone come to mind who keeps breaking their word but they keep getting business loans? Ever thought why that is?

So Titan said something and then said something else. But the real question is: did anything change yesterday about the structure of the deal you get as an investor?

Not really. If anything, it became more efficient because the gas fees are lower so your money is spent better. There is also more incentive to hodl, which means the underlying token value is protected better. I made a whole post about it here: (https://www.reddit.com/r/EverRise/comments/o6g4pk/market_analysis_of_the_big_buyback_announcement/ )

The only effect this might have is in investor confidence. Hold on to your butts, I’ll come back to this.

b) So why did he do it? What other reasons might he have had to change his mind about Kraken?

I know a lot of you didn’t follow the token’s price development early on, but I did. That’s the only way you’ll know how the thing really behaves in the open market, because the open market is different to general incentives, code or designs.

I have bad news and good news for you: bad news is that Titan and the developers are not God, Allah, Buddha, personification of the all-knowing universe or Superman. The good news is that they’re learning and responding to market problems as they arise.

So what happened that made him change his mind a few times? Well, I think initially Titan left something out of the equation when he triggered the buybacks at higher amounts.

Here’s what a sensible designer / coder might think would happen:

I’ve made something pretty special here. The Kraken has millions. If I turn on the Kraken, everyone gets incentives to buy, because price is about to rise. Everyone buying will actually feed the Kraken, and that sustains the rise even further. Life is good. Might have lunch.

What actually happened:

Event 1 (Kraken @ 60bnb) Kraken had millions. Kraken was turned on. Everyone started selling small amounts. Bots started attacking the Kraken. Price rockets, then crashes, then settles, and eventually continues downswing.

Event 2 (Kraken @ 0.5bnb): Kraken had nearly a million. Kraken was turned on. Everyone started selling small amounts. Price levelled off, but Kraken was slowly being drained. People weren’t following the incentive to buy, which would have fed the Kraken. Instead, they were selling to drain the Kraken. WTF guys, why are you trying to kill your own Kraken? You paid for it in your taxes!

So what went wrong? Why didn’t people follow the obvious incentive to buy, raising the price for themselves and also feeding the Kraken to sustain the rise? Why didn’t this token EverRise?

Well, here’s what a lot of coders/quants often miss: Investor confidence. One of the overarching incentive structures you have as an investor is a simple answer to this question: Do you think the project will succeed long term, or do you think it will tank?

Your answer to this question determines a lot of your smaller incentive structures.

Succeed à buy for short term gains + feed Kraken for long term growth.

Tank à sell increments to cause a Kraken pump, drain Kraken, lock in short term gains and run away.

Does that make sense? So whether the general body of investors has confidence in the long term prospects determines their short term behaviour, even if it is against their long term interests.

Now, from the short term aggregate investor behaviours that I’ve seen in the market so far, it would seem that there has been an investor confidence problem.

There have been two great fixes to this so far: the first was when the devs moved 1000bnb to the Kraken from the marketing wallet. A lot of us investors were aware of the marketing wallet already, but didn’t know what it was for. This was causing a lot of shaky hands hovering above sell buttons.

At the time, it was clear that eventually the Kraken would be drained at the 0.5bnb rate, and we could pretty much calculate when that would happen. All the while, there was this mystery wallet in the market that had over $1m cash reserves. With the 1000bnb move the devs signalled to the market that they are willing to put this money into the enterprise, which meant that they weren’t going to run away with it and were committed to the long term project.

Investor confidence grew, the Kraken buybacks could be set back to 0.01 to allow the Kraken to recover and rescue the long-term viability of the project. Good move.

Did Titan break his word doing it? I’m a market investor, I don’t know him and I frankly don’t give two dingoes’ kidneys. Did it change the deal investors get for the better? Yes. Absolutely.

The second was when they announced the CertiK audit. These are not cheap (like we’re talking six figures), and they will catch you if you’re a rug-pull.

Did Titan break his word using marketing money for a CertiK audit? I really don’t care. I actually don’t even know what money the developers used. Investor confidence grew, and that’s the difference between making 2x short term vs 1000x long term on this project.

Finally, should Titan dox? Why won’t he dox? He’s the head of a great project, doxing is in his interests.

Here’s the problem with doxing. A certain percentage of investors think Titan is Elon Musk, or Jeff Bezos, or Superman or Santa Claus or Vitalik Buterin or whoever.

Big money knows this. They can just wait for the announcement, make 1000 bots shout “what, that’s it? That guy is nobody, SELL SELL SELL”, and initiate a sell-off. Have you read what people said about the Safemoon guys when they doxed? Look it up.

Anyway, those investors who thought Titan is Elon Musk also sell off. Now it’s in everyone’s interests to pile in and sell off too, because even the normal investors who knew all along that Titan wasn’t the second coming of Jesus Christ can still see that the chart is turning south. Everyone sells off, whales buy back cheap. Whales make money, and that money came from retail. It was all a shakedown.

The Kraken might disincentivise this kind of thing, but it won’t prevent them completely.

You’ve already seen this happen with other coins. You have. More than once. Think of really big drops you’ve seen recently, or ever, and what supposedly caused it. Did the cause seem really stupid to you? Do you think you’re the only one who thought “well this is stupid, but Imma sell because everyone else is selling and I can average down”.

I have news for you, you weren’t. Everyone knew it was stupid, but everyone just followed their short-term incentives.

So doxing is not a simple question.

I would personally be in favour of intermediate solutions, like having known fiduciaries, but that is a discussion I’ll have to save for later.

Questions? As always, post in the comments.