Just starting my Bitcoin learning. Trying to understand hopeful/expected events with the upcoming halving but getting a bit lost in info ATM. With the halving, are people expecting a spike with the halving, or a dip with eventual recovery to a new high? I'm reading about a predicted new high approx 6 months after halving, but also reading about a possible slide with the halving. Trying to understand if I should be buying before halving, just after, or? I appreciate any answers.
Monday, April 8, 2024
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Coinbase shares opinion on the upcoming Bitcoin halving
Traders in the cryptocurrency market have been anticipating the upcoming halving since the beginning of the year. This is down to the fact that every halving comes with a promise of a price surge. With Bitcoin recently hit a new all-time high price, Coinbase believes that it has obstacles to overcome after the halving. The exchange, in its recent blogpost noted that this time of the year will constitute the obstacle for the asset.
Coinbase discusses the upcoming Bitcoin halving
In its post, Coinbase clarified that the market needs to find another narrative to propel the price of the token after the halving. The firm noted with the halving due in the next few weeks, it would have to surmount the obstacle that this period brings. This period is regarded as a very weak period for digital assets and other financial instruments.
According to data from research firm Brave New Coin, Bitcoin has been able to witness only a 2% surge in its price from June to September since 2011. However, the other eight months were bliss for the asset, netting a total of 19.3% increase. Moreso, Coinbase said that the market is starting to experience a slight drop in momentum as it continues to look for the next narrative to trigger a surge. In the last 24 hours, the total crypto volume has experienced a 33% decrease to rest at $61.78 billion per data from CoinMarketCap.
Market momentum and investor trends
Coinbase also noted that the market is looking convincing as there is a high chance that new investors will continue to troop into the market. The exchange clarified that Bitcoin has already been accepted as a digital form of gold, which could in turn trigger more investors into the market. Bitcoin is very large compared to other digital assets, with the asset having a market dominance of 50.6%.
The Coinbase report also said that investors looking for price declines to enter the market might soon discover that there is limited space for that to happen as more investors continue to troop into the space. As a result of that, the exchange feels that this cycle might experience an aggressive buying trend of dips despite the volatility during price discovery.
A surge in the price of Bitcoin is often one of the after-effects of halving, with the pattern being evident across the previous halving events. After the last halving in 2020, Bitcoin experienced a surge from $8,787 to reach a new high of $69,000 in November 2021. In other news, Coinbase received a favorable ruling in the United States Court of Appeals, confirming that it did not violate the Securities Exchange Act.
Saturday, April 6, 2024
Official Solar Eclipse thread
Official Information:
- Governor Sununu had a press conference about the solar eclipse: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wX3zFPS4SVU
- Official state website for the information about the eclipse: https://www.visitnh.gov/solareclipse
- Official traffic advisory website: https://newengland511.org/
- Eclipse viewing safety information from NASA: https://science.nasa.gov/eclipses/safety/
Not only are people coming to New Hampshire to view the eclipse in New Hampshire, but they might be traveling through New Hampshire to get to Vermont , Maine, or Quebec.
IMPORTANT NOTES:
- Please keep your fuel tanks topped off well before reaching your final destination. These small towns are not used to having thousands of tourists flooding in at one time. PLEASE TOP OFF YOUR TANK in a larger city before reaching your final destination. Also keep in mind, MOST gas stations in rural areas are NOT 24/7 so keep that in mind when planning your route. A friend in northern Maine told me their local gas station already ran out of fuel because people were buying fuel for their generators during the recent snow storm.
- State officials have strongly recommended AGAINST driving ELECTRIC CARS to the eclipse. There are only a tiny hand full of charging stations in the north country.
- Give your self PLENTY of time to arrive for the eclipse. The worst traffic will be during the return trip home. Maybe take a nap in your car before departing home to avoid the worst of the return traffic.
- Almost all hotels in the area are full. You might need to travel quite a ways from the eclipse totality path to find an available afordable hotel. Those vacancies that still do exist are thousands of dollars.
- The cell phone networks are going to be overwhelmed, many areas don't have any coverage at all. Do not rely on your cell phone for navigation.
- Apps like Google Maps, Apple Maps, and Waze normally use the cell phone network to download the maps in real time as you are using it, but Google Maps also allows you to download offline maps before departing on your trip. I highly recommend downloading offline maps or an offline navigation app like "Osmand". Also, keeping an old fashion paper road atlas in your car is always a good idea.
- If you are in an area with little or no cell phone coverage, it might be a good idea to turn off your phone or put your phone in to "Airplane Mode" to save battery. Your phone might waste a lot of energy trying to connect to a cell network or competing with the thousands of other phones in the area.
- Your GPS might be wrong! Up north there are many seasonal roads, and abandoned logging roads that are not passable. Many GPS's including Google Maps, Apple Maps, and Waze still try to route people down these paths. Use common sense, don't get your car stuck. Again, most cell phone navigational apps reply on the cell phone network, make sure to download some offline maps before you depart.
- Bring CASH. Enough cash to buy a full tank of gas and food. Not all small town stores and restaurants take credit cards or bitcoin. Many places will have food trucks, but if the cell phone network is overwhelmed, they won't be able to process credit cards or bitcoin.
- It's MUD SEASON, plus there is a foot of snow on top of the mud. State officials have ordered all tow trucks to prioritize tows that might be blocking traffic. If you get stuck in the mud in the middle of nowhere, you're going to be waiting for a long time. It's easy to get stuck on what appears to be shallow snow on the road shoulder, so be careful where you park. A good shovel, a tow strap, and knowing the tow points of your vehicle are a good thing to have in your vehicle. Prepare to self-rescue.
- Stay off the ice. Lakes and ponds are still frozen, but the ice is too thin to support the weight of people.
- Please bring enough food and water to sustain everyone in your car for an extended period of time. Much smaller events can often overwhelm these small town grocery stores and restaurants.
- Please bring extra clothes, warm layers. It's been nice and warm, but we are going to be experiencing lows in the 20's and even worst windchills. Including extra shoes and socks, because it is mud season. It might also be a good idea to pack a sleeping bag for everyone in your car, just in case.
- Please respect private property. NO NOT trespass on private property, nor park in peoples driveways, nor drive through their fields.
- Give your car a pre-trip inspection before driving up north. Check your tire pressure, check your oil, check your lights, etc.
- Make sure you got eclipse glasses, and make sure they are legit, there are many fakes on the market. You should test them now, the sun should be the only thing visible through eclipse glasses, sunglasses are not dark enough. Even many welding helmets are not dark enough. Only use binoculars, telescopes, or cameras that are equipped with the proper solar filters.
- Please support the local economy. Although many of these stores and restaurants might be overwhelmed, if you can, please stop and shop at a local store. Remember, New Hampshire has NO SALES TAX. So if you've been thinking about making a big purchase, considering stopping on your way home to make that major purchase in NH and save some money.
- Please check the local town/city/park websites and social media of where you are planning on going. Some towns like Burlington, VT have special traffic and parking instructions for visitors.
- The weather forecast for all of New England is looking very clear. We're very lucky.
Other information sources:
PBS NOVA documentary about this upcoming eclipse: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WTfQpdTD_3M
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