Hi all,
I am looking to play the 2019 WSOP Main this year with 30% of my action. Unfortunately, as a hobbyist and relative unknown to the poker world, I’ve only been able to sell 22.5% out of the available 70% to my IRL friends. So this is my attempt to share a private listing for my Main Event action for the remaining 47.5%. I feel like I’ve contributed enough here over the past 5+ years to warrant one shameless shill post (although I’ve been less active in the last few years since graduating from college).
I “came up” in poker (from 5NL to 200NL/500NL) as a salty /r/poker reg, and I’ve had the opportunity to meet a bunch of the other salty regs in person on Vegas trips or in random casinos across the US. With this being said, I currently work a client-facing corporate job and don’t feel comfortable creating a public YouStake/StakeKings post, because I value my anonymity, at least across the broader reddit community, and it would be awkward if a manager or client with strong anti-gambling views stumbled across an open listing. So this is my attempt at managing a private sale. I will be sharing personal information privately with finalized investors, of course, and providing 1099 forms for taxable wins. Mods - if this premise is dumb and against the rules, feel free to delete my post. Anyway, here’s the listing:
Part 1 - Logistics
I am selling 47.5% of my WSOP 2019 Main Event at a markup of 1.15. Unless we've done business in the past, action is not booked until funds are received (BoA/Venmo/Bitcoin). If you are interested in reserving a piece, comment or send me a private message with the percent that are interested in (2.5% minimum). For full transparency, I'll be tracking the % that is left here (I will respect investor privacy and not post names/screennames). If you don't trust me to manage the sale responsibility, you can just stop reading here.
Part 2 - Background/Results
I started playing in 2013-2014 in college, and ran up my initial $100 deposit to ~$8k grinding from 5NL to 100NL and playing the occasional MTT. I withdrew my bankroll in late 2014 and took some time off for personal reasons, and from 2015 to 2017 I didn’t study particularly hard, playing on and off with a virtually breakeven winrate at 100NL/200NL. Last year I decided to take a more serious run at midstakes, so I started coaching with Brokenstars666 and began working with PIO. Here are ~10 months of results post-coaching on Bovada/Ignition 200NL/500NL, from 7/17/2018 to 5/23/2019:
https://i.imgur.com/I0TlujU.png (The all-in EV is screwed up FYI due to the ignition hand converter being wacky)
I also occasionally 1-tabled MTTs over this period, but I’ve never grinded them with any remotely significant volume. I don’t run ICMizer sims for fun, and I don’t have 26.5bb BvB open jam ranges memorized, but I’m generally comfortable in identifying ICM heuristics and how they influence cEV decisions. Here’s my tiny MTT sample over the same period:
https://i.imgur.com/qzE2l5Q.png
Live MTT Results
I’ve played maybe 15 live MTTs lifetime, but here are the highlights:
- ~50th / 2,419 in the 2018 WSOP $565 PLO for $3,495
- ~500th / 13,070 in the 2018 WSOP $565 Colossus for $2,358
- 6th / 85 in a Caesers Windsor $1500 CAD (MIS Classic 2017)
- 1st / ~150 in a Caesers Windsor ~$150 CAD (lol)
Live Cash Results
I don’t have a remotely relevant sample size playing live cash, but for full transparency here are my 2018 and 2019 results. I understand my 2/5 and 5/10 results don’t look great, but keep in mind the tiny sample and the fact that a lot of 2/5 is $1k+ cap with straddles.
https://i.imgur.com/ktXX1sk.png
Snippets from PIO Independent Study for Reference
The biggest strides in my game over the past 6-8 months have been from leveraging PIO to build good default strategies vs good 200NL and 500NL regs. My current focus is first identifying base equilibrium and then node lock exploits vs population tendencies (ex: in a BU vs SB 3bet situation on K8393, if you node-lock the button to fold AQ and 8x on the river vs a bet/bet/bet line, then the SB might be incentivized to start jamming any two cards on the river instead of checking the “worst” potential bluffs). I’ve been doing some work with a friend recently using the aggregated analysis functionality to run specific simulations on every possible flop identify macro GTO heuristics across textures. I won’t share our analysis publicly because we worked really hard on it, but here’s a redacted output from running SB vs. BU 3bet ranges on every possible flop, and comparing the EV outputs of a small flop sizing to a large flop strategy across all possible textures (just to give you a sense of the type of work I’m doing off the table):
https://i.imgur.com/WLoS8yt.png
My current PIO study is geared towards common 100bb situations, with my priorities being:
- IP PFR vs BB
- PFR vs IP cold-call
- SB/BB vs BU 3b pots
- MP/CO vs BU 3b pots
As we get closer to June/July, I’ll probably start rerunning sims at 25bb and 50bb stack depths for MTT study purposes. For anyone who might be worried that I’m getting too married to a GTO approach, keep in mind that I came up in poker through a purely exploitative approach. I’ve played enough live cash and live MTTs to understand the different types of extreme exploitative adjustments you’ll often make in live poker (i.e underbluffing vs. stations, folding entire range in certain spots vs nits, adding IP flatting ranges in spots you might only 3bet or fold vs cash game regs, applying extra ICM pressure to players that might over-value a min-cash, etc). But yes, all of my study is mostly built around 100bb cash and not unique live MTTs; I understand if you are skeptical in my ability to carry over some of the skills/lessons learned, and this is also why I'm selling at a relatively low markup at 1.15. And.... that's it. Thanks for anyone who actually read this far.
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