Monday, July 6, 2026

The Daily Market Flux - Your Complete Market Rundown (07/06/2026)

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Here is Your Complete Market Rundown (07/06/2026):

Top Stories

Ripple Secures Full EU MiCA License

Ripple obtained full CASP authorization from Luxembourg's CSSF, enabling regulated crypto services across 30 European Economic Area markets under MiCA compliance.

Trump Launches Child Investment Accounts with Wall Street Ceremony and Corporate Donations

President Trump rang NYSE and Nasdaq opening bells from the Oval Office marking Trump Accounts launch, providing $1,000 government deposits for eligible children born 2025-2028. SpaceX President Gwynne Shotwell pledged company stock donations to over 2 million accounts, while Trump endorsed Dell stock during the ceremony, sending shares up 5%.

OPEC+ Output Hike Sends Oil Prices Down Over 1%

Oil prices fell more than 1% after OPEC+ agreed to raise production targets for August, marking the fifth consecutive monthly increase. The decision sparked oversupply concerns among traders, with easing Middle East tensions and growing supply glut fears adding downward pressure on crude markets.

Strategy Sells Bitcoin for First Time as Ethereum Proposes Major Protocol Overhaul

Michael Saylor's Strategy sold 3,588 BTC for $216M to fund dividends, marking its first Bitcoin sale and reducing holdings to 843,775 BTC. Bitcoin traded near $64K after reclaiming its 200-week moving average. Ethereum founder Vitalik Buterin proposed a major protocol overhaul called "Extremely Lean Chain" to enhance privacy and efficiency.

SK Hynix Launches $28B Nasdaq IPO to Fund AI Chip Expansion

South Korean memory chipmaker SK Hynix filed for a Nasdaq listing offering 177.9 million ADSs representing 17.79 million common shares, targeting approximately $28 billion in proceeds. The capital will fund new manufacturing facilities and equipment amid surging AI-driven semiconductor demand.

Company News

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX)

Performance Overview

1D Change:  -1.31%

5D Change:  -6.82%

News Volume:  154

Unusual Volume Factor:  19x

SpaceX Joins Nasdaq-100 as Shotwell Donates Stock to Trump Accounts Program

SpaceX officially enters the Nasdaq-100 index on July 7, triggering an estimated $4.3 billion in passive buying from index-tracking funds, according to JPMorgan. The fast-tracked inclusion follows the company's June IPO and will give SpaceX approximately 0.60% weighting in the Invesco QQQ Trust, with roughly $800 billion in assets expected to flow into shares. The index addition has prompted mixed reactions from investors. Some are actively restructuring portfolios to avoid exposure to Elon Musk's companies, dumping ETFs, moving investments overseas, and buying rival stocks. Historical data suggests that while new index entrants often experience short-term price bumps, these gains typically don't persist. In a significant development, SpaceX President Gwynne Shotwell announced she and her husband will donate SpaceX shares to over 2 million Trump Accounts, the new tax-advantaged investment program for American children. Treasury Secretary Bessent confirmed the donation totals nearly 2 million shares valued at approximately $320 million. President Trump expressed confidence that Musk himself would eventually contribute to the program, though Musk has remained silent on the matter. SpaceX unveiled plans for AI data centers in space, with Musk stating that space represents "the only way to scale at scale" for AI computing amid earthbound infrastructure bottlenecks. Analysts estimate this AI opportunity could be worth $1.6 trillion, potentially exceeding the value of the company's artificial intelligence business. The company also disclosed it deorbited 260 Starlink satellites over six months, with hundreds more scheduled for controlled reentry. Meanwhile, concerns about share supply emerged as only 4% of SpaceX shares currently trade publicly, though lockup expirations could increase that figure to 40% by December, potentially bringing $800 billion worth of shares to market. Wall Street analyst Dan Ives projects significant upside potential for SpaceX over the next 12 months. However, some analysts suggest concerns about SpaceX's Starlink threatening traditional telecom companies like Verizon and AT&T appear overdone at present.

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Element Solutions Inc (ESI)

Performance Overview

1D Change:  -4.59%

5D Change:  -7.42%

News Volume:  25

Unusual Volume Factor:  25x

Solstice Advanced Materials to Acquire Element Solutions in $14.5 Billion Deal

Solstice Advanced Materials, a Honeywell spinoff, will acquire Element Solutions in a cash-and-stock transaction valued at approximately $14.5 billion. Under the terms, Element Solutions shareholders will receive $10 cash plus 0.5 Solstice shares per share, representing a roughly 15 percent premium. Element Solutions holders will own approximately 44 percent of the combined entity. The transaction is expected to close in the first half of 2027, creating a market leader in specialty chemicals.

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Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)

Performance Overview

1D Change:  6.86%

5D Change:  10.59%

Tesla Stock Rebounds 6% on Robotaxi Expansion and Strong Q2 Deliveries Despite Valuation Concerns

Tesla shares rallied approximately 6% Monday after launching its robotaxi service in Miami, marking the company's first expansion beyond Texas. The move comes as analysts digest the company's stronger-than-expected Q2 delivery figures of 480,126 vehicles, up 25% year-over-year and well above the 406,000 estimate. Energy deployments also surged 41% to 13.5 GWh. Despite the delivery beat, Tesla faces mixed analyst sentiment. Baird maintained its Outperform rating with a $522 price target, citing momentum in vehicle deliveries and energy deployments. JPMorgan held its Neutral rating at $475, acknowledging progress in Full Self-Driving and Cybercab production. Morgan Stanley reiterated Equalweight at $415 following the Miami robotaxi launch, with expectations for further expansion to Phoenix, Orlando, Tampa, and Las Vegas. The stock had dropped 7.5% Thursday following the Q2 report, puzzling some observers given the strong numbers. Cathie Wood's Ark Invest purchased nearly 97,000 shares worth $38 million during the dip. International performance showed strength, with Tesla recording its best-ever month in Japan with 3,997 registrations in June, up 183% year-over-year. In Australia, the Model Y sold 8,072 units, marking the strongest single-model monthly performance since the Holden Commodore era. However, Tesla's India entry remains slow, with only 468 vehicles sold since market entry in July 2025, though the company reports strong initial response to the Model Y L. Separately, a U.S. judge rejected Elon Musk's bid to set aside a fraud verdict related to Twitter investors. Meanwhile, SpaceX's addition to the Nasdaq-100 has prompted some investors to restructure portfolios to avoid Musk-related exposure, with some dumping ETFs or seeking overseas alternatives.

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Morgan Stanley (MS)

Performance Overview

1D Change:  3.82%

5D Change:  4.63%

Morgan Stanley Signals Tech Rotation as Firm Issues Wave of Downgrades and Sees Market Pressure Ahead

Morgan Stanley strategist Mike Wilson warned that US equities may struggle to reach new highs as investors rotate out of technology stocks, with indexes facing pressure from momentum unwinding in larger companies. The firm expects a choppy market overall, noting that AI is unlikely to remain the sole market driver. The bank issued multiple downgrades across sectors. In insurance, Morgan Stanley cut Slide Insurance on valuation concerns. The firm downgraded J.B. Hunt and turned cautious on freight stocks despite a stronger cycle outlook. In banking, Prosperity Bancshares was downgraded to Equalweight citing Texas competition, while Truist Financial was cut due to CEO transition uncertainty. Brown & Brown faced a downgrade on growth concerns. Morgan Stanley sees a rotation from semiconductor stocks to AI hyperscalers, with chip momentum fading as new market leaders emerge. The firm cut CrowdStrike's price target to $172 while maintaining an Equalweight rating on Tesla at $415 following its Miami Robotaxi launch. In retail, the bank resumed coverage with selective upgrades. Macy's, Victoria's Secret, Urban Outfitters, and Tapestry received Overweight ratings, while Lululemon and Kohl's were rated Underweight. Several retailers including Gap, Abercrombie, American Eagle, and Bath & Body Works received Equalweight ratings. The firm upgraded EasyJet to Equalweight from Underweight, raising its target to 690p from 310p. Morgan Stanley also backed a 932-megawatt gas power project in Alberta and expects the Federal Reserve to remain on hold while the ECB hikes in September.

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The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS)

Performance Overview

1D Change:  3.29%

5D Change:  3.6%

Goldman Sachs Raises AMD Target to $640 Amid Bearish Yen Outlook and Tech Sector Reshuffling

Goldman Sachs issued a bullish upgrade on Advanced Micro Devices, raising its price target to $640 from $450 while maintaining a Buy rating, citing strong AI server demand and the company's competitive positioning against Nvidia. The firm argued that Nvidia's current valuation already reflects potential market share losses, suggesting the stock looks cheap despite recent semiconductor sector volatility. The bank turned decidedly bearish on the Japanese yen, revising its USD/JPY forecast to 165 and warning that any government intervention would provide only temporary support. Goldman expects continued yen weakness over the next 12 months absent significant macroeconomic changes, a development that could benefit Bitcoin carry trades. In broader market activity, Goldman reported that hedge funds extended their stock selling streak for a fourth consecutive week, with particular focus on dumping chip stocks amid the AI sector selloff. The firm also raised price targets on major U.S. banks, lifting Citigroup to $162, Wells Fargo to $101, and JPMorgan Chase to undisclosed higher levels. Goldman initiated coverage on Forbright with a Buy rating and upgraded Murphy USA based on improving fuel margins, while removing nVent Electric from its U.S. Conviction List. The firm warned of an "over optimistic" earnings season ahead, advising selective positioning in semiconductor stocks despite the recent rally. In personnel moves, Goldman hired Google's Evan Kotsovinos as partner and head of engineering for its asset and wealth management division. The bank also cut its aluminum price forecast following faster-than-expected Middle East supply recovery. Separately, Oppenheimer downgraded Goldman Sachs itself from Perform to Underperform, alongside downgrades to other major financial institutions.

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Crypto Events

Ripple Secures Full EU License as Strategy Sells Bitcoin for First Time Since 2022

Ripple received full MiCA CASP authorization from Luxembourg's financial regulator CSSF, enabling the company to offer regulated cryptocurrency services across all 30 European Economic Area markets. The approval upgrades Ripple's preliminary license to fully compliant status under the EU's Markets in Crypto-Assets framework, marking a significant regulatory milestone for the blockchain firm's European expansion. Meanwhile, Michael Saylor's Strategy sold 3,588 Bitcoin for $216 million between June 29 and July 5, marking the company's first major Bitcoin sale since 2022. The company sold 1,363 BTC for $80.8 million and 2,225 BTC for $135.2 million to fund dividend payments on its Digital Credit securities. Strategy now holds 843,775 Bitcoin and maintains $2.55 billion in USD reserves. The sales represent a strategic shift for the company, which reported an $8.32 billion digital asset loss in Q2 2026, primarily from unrealized mark-to-market losses on its Bitcoin holdings. Bitcoin traded near two-week highs around $63,000 following the news, with the cryptocurrency reclaiming its 200-week moving average after briefly falling below it. The price movement came as Bitcoin ETF buyers returned after June selloffs, though the asset remains down 54% from its all-time high. Traders are watching $60,400 as a key support level, with bulls needing a push above $65,000 to confirm stronger momentum. The sale triggered $60 million in long liquidations within 10 minutes as Bitcoin briefly dipped below $62,000.

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Tech and Crypto Stocks Rally While Logistics and Semiconductors Decline

Monday's market shows mixed performance with gains in tech names Alibaba, SanDisk, and crypto miner IREN, plus strength in payment processor Adyen and software firm Nemetschek, while shipping giant Maersk, chip equipment maker BE Semiconductor, and monitoring platform Datadog face selling pressure.

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Geopolitics Events

Trump Launches Child Investment Accounts with White House Market Bell Ceremony

President Donald Trump rang the opening bells for both the New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq from the Oval Office on Monday, marking the first-ever White House market opening ceremony. The event celebrated the launch of Trump Accounts, new tax-advantaged investment vehicles designed to introduce children to stock ownership from birth. The program provides a $1,000 Treasury-funded deposit for eligible U.S. children born between 2025 and 2028, with families and donors able to contribute up to $5,000 annually. Over 500,000 accounts have already received initial deposits. SpaceX President Gwynne Shotwell announced she and her husband will donate SpaceX stock to more than 2 million Trump Accounts, though distribution details remain unclear. Trump expressed confidence that Elon Musk would eventually participate in donations as well. Robinhood will launch Trump Account services on July 6, 2026. Trump indicated Congress is exploring similar account structures for adults. During the ceremony, Trump made specific corporate endorsements, telling investors to buy Dell computers and thanking Micron, sending Dell shares up approximately 5%. He predicted the market would go through the roof and praised Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. The launch comes amid broader market concerns over Trump's tariff policies, ongoing Ukraine-Russia tensions, and geopolitical uncertainty surrounding potential conflicts with Iran. Trump stated the U.S. is getting on well with both Venezuela and Iran while reiterating that Iran cannot possess nuclear weapons.

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Trump Confirms FIFA Call on Balogun Red Card as Ukraine Peace Talks Progress

President Trump confirmed calling FIFA President Infantino to request review of Folarin Balogun's red card during the Bosnia match, questioning the referee's decision. Trump also stated Russia-Ukraine peace negotiations are advancing, noting Putin feels pressure and parties are "getting much closer" to ending the war.

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Trump Attends NATO Summit in Turkey Amid Alliance Tensions and Zelenskyy Meeting

President Trump heads to NATO's annual summit in Turkey this week to meet with Ukrainian President Zelenskyy while facing skeptical European allies. The gathering puts the alliance's credibility under scrutiny as leaders examine new defense spending targets amid White House pressure. Trump has reignited tensions with Italian Prime Minister Meloni ahead of the summit, underscoring ongoing friction over NATO's future direction and Europe's defense commitments.

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U.S. Services Activity Cools in June as New Orders Slow and Price Pressures Ease

The ISM Services PMI held at 54.0 in June, matching expectations but down from May's 54.5, as new orders decelerated to 55.1 from 57.3. Price pressures moderated with the prices paid index falling to 67.7 from 71.3, while employment improved to 51.2 from 47.9. S&P Global's final Composite PMI came in at 51.9, below the preliminary 52.2 reading, indicating slower but continued expansion across services and manufacturing sectors.

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Trump Announces Walmart Price Cuts Including 15% Reduction on Ground Beef

President Trump announced Walmart will lower prices on multiple products, including a nearly 15% reduction on ground beef, at the administration's request. Trump urged other retailers to follow Walmart's lead.

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Corporate Actions Events

SK Hynix Launches $28B Nasdaq IPO to Fund AI Chip Expansion

South Korean memory chipmaker SK Hynix filed for a Nasdaq listing offering 177.9 million American Depositary Shares, representing 17.79 million common shares. The IPO targets approximately $28 billion in proceeds, with major investors expressing interest in up to $7 billion. Funds will finance new manufacturing facilities and equipment to meet surging AI-driven demand.

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Vertex Acquires Crinetics for $10 Billion to Expand Endocrinology Portfolio

Vertex Pharmaceuticals agreed to acquire Crinetics Pharmaceuticals for $10 billion in an all-cash deal valued at $85 per share, marking a strategic expansion into endocrinology treatments.

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Lockheed Martin Acquires Ultra Maritime for $3.45 Billion

Lockheed Martin agreed to purchase Ultra Maritime, a naval defense business owned by private equity firm Advent International, for $3.45 billion amid surging demand for sea-based weapons systems.

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Sky Acquires ITV's Media and Entertainment Division for $2.1 Billion

Comcast-owned Sky Group will purchase ITV's media and entertainment arm for up to £1.6 billion ($2.1 billion), including debt, in a major consolidation of UK broadcasting assets.

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Rivian Automotive Files to Offer 75 Million Shares

Electric vehicle maker Rivian Automotive announced a public offering of 75 million shares, causing the stock to tumble on the news.

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EasyJet Agrees to $7 Billion Castlelake Takeover Bid

EasyJet has agreed in principle to accept a takeover offer exceeding $7 billion from US investment firm Castlelake, sending the airline's shares soaring more than 10%, though some investors remain cautious about the deal.

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Solstice Advanced Materials to Acquire Element Solutions for $14.5 Billion

Honeywell spinoff Solstice Advanced Materials has agreed to acquire Element Solutions in a cash and stock transaction valued at approximately $14.5 billion.

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Technology Events

Tech Sector Faces Turbulence as Microsoft Cuts 4,800 Jobs Amid AI Transition While Chip Stocks Draw Mixed Signals

Microsoft announced 4,800 job cuts, including 20% of its video game staff, as the company shifts resources toward AI investments. The layoffs reflect broader tensions in tech as companies redirect capital to AI infrastructure, with California tracking a spike in Bay Area AI-related job losses. Wall Street sentiment is diverging on semiconductor stocks. Morgan Stanley advised clients to exit chip stocks in favor of hyperscalers, while Bank of America maintained bullish views on Micron, citing $1.5 trillion in cloud capital expenditures sustaining the AI cycle. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing saw shares surge, and Marvell gained attention for pursuing Broadcom's AI opportunities. Meta Platforms is pivoting toward enterprise cloud services, with India serving as a testing ground. The company faces scrutiny over surging 2027 capital expenditures. Meanwhile, Amazon's potential entry into AI chip manufacturing has raised questions for Nvidia investors. ServiceNow defied expectations that AI would disrupt SaaS businesses, posting strong numbers. Concerns are mounting about AI's next bottleneck beyond computing power.

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Tech stocks show mixed midday trading as Tesla and Dell rally while Rocket Lab tumbles

Major technology and semiconductor stocks experienced volatile midday trading, with Tesla and Dell Technologies posting gains alongside solar and chip manufacturers, while Rocket Lab shares declined sharply amid sector-wide movements.

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Anthropic Signs $19 Billion 20-Year Lease with TeraWulf for Kentucky AI Data Center

AI company Anthropic has secured a 20-year lease with TeraWulf for an AI-infrastructure campus at a Kentucky data center, valued at $19 billion. TeraWulf shares surged 17.5% in premarket trading following the announcement.

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Broadcom and Apple Extend Chip Supply Partnership Through 2031

Broadcom and Apple have extended their chip supply agreement through 2031, with Broadcom continuing to develop custom ASIC silicon products for Apple devices. The multi-year deal sent Broadcom shares up 4.5% in pre-market trading, securing a five-year extension of their existing technology collaboration.

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Micron and Ford Sign Long-Term Memory Supply Agreement

Micron Technology and Ford Motor Company announced a strategic long-term agreement to secure memory supply for next-generation vehicles. The deal aims to strengthen supply chain resilience and ensure stable semiconductor availability for Ford's automotive production. Micron shares rose following the announcement.

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Tesla Expands Robotaxi Service to Miami from Texas

Tesla's autonomous taxi service is launching in Miami, marking its expansion beyond Texas operations, with the stock rising on the news.

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Sports Events

Trump Confirms FIFA Call on Balogun Red Card as Ukraine Peace Talks Progress

President Trump confirmed calling FIFA President Infantino to request review of Folarin Balogun's red card during the Bosnia match, questioning the referee's decision. Trump also stated Russia-Ukraine peace negotiations are advancing, noting Putin feels pressure and parties are "getting much closer" to ending the war.

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Macro Events

Fed's Waller Defends Forward Guidance as Valuable but Flexible Policy Tool

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller defended the central bank's use of forward guidance, calling it a valuable tool that strengthened policymaking and accelerated monetary policy impact in late 2021, while emphasizing it must remain flexible rather than rigid across all economic conditions.

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Dollar Steadies After Sharp Drop While Fed Policy Dominates Currency Markets

The dollar stabilized following its worst session since late April, with traders showing their most bullish positioning since 2015 ahead of expected Fed rate hikes. Hedge funds reached their most bearish yen stance since 2007 by June 30, marking a two-decade high in positioning. The Australian dollar gained on softer Fed expectations despite resilient US data, while the New Zealand dollar faced pressure from hawkish Fed commentary.

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Canadian Inflation Expectations Surged Above 3% During Iran Conflict, Eased After Ceasefire

Bank of Canada surveys reveal consumers and businesses anticipated inflation exceeding 3% annually during the Iran war, driven by oil price spikes that prompted Canadian producers to increase investment and output. Inflation expectations subsequently moderated following the Mideast peace agreement and Iran ceasefire.

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Klaus Schwab Plans World Economic Forum Return Despite Undisclosed Investigation Findings

World Economic Forum founder Klaus Schwab is seeking to return through an advisory role, claiming an investigation cleared him of wrongdoing, though internal documents reveal the organization concealed the probe's findings.

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Currencies Events

Dollar Strengthens on Growth Outlook While Yen Hits 40-Year Lows

The US Dollar is gaining strength across major currency pairs, with analysts projecting further appreciation through year-end 2026. Societe Generale forecasts the DXY index reaching 103.6, citing robust economic growth supporting higher interest rates. The yen faces particular pressure, trading near 40-year lows with USD/JPY extending gains to 162.40. Meanwhile, gold bulls remain cautious as Hormuz tensions boost dollar demand, though receding Fed rate-hike expectations limit further appreciation. The euro trades range-bound against the dollar, with carry trade demand providing additional support for the greenback.

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Dollar Steadies After Sharp Drop While Fed Policy Dominates Currency Markets

The dollar stabilized following its worst session since late April, with traders showing their most bullish positioning since 2015 ahead of expected Fed rate hikes. Hedge funds reached their most bearish yen stance since 2007 by June 30, marking a two-decade high in positioning. The Australian dollar gained on softer Fed expectations despite resilient US data, while the New Zealand dollar faced pressure from hawkish Fed commentary.

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Stock Markets Events

Dow Breaks 53,000 Milestone as Chip Stocks Drive Market Rally

Major indexes climbed Monday with the Dow closing above 53,000 for the first time, while the Nasdaq led gains on a semiconductor rebound. Tech stocks rallied in afternoon trading, reversing morning losses and driving the S&P 500 higher alongside renewed investor interest in chip manufacturers.

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U.S. Stock Futures Rise on Chip Recovery and Post-Holiday Momentum

U.S. stock futures climbed following the July 4 weekend, extending last week's gains as technology and semiconductor shares led the rally. Chip stocks recovered while oil prices declined. The Nasdaq approached key technical levels, with major indices poised for further advances as markets awaited fresh catalysts.

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Oil And Gas Events

Saudi Arabia Slashes August Crude Prices in Largest Discount to Asia Since 2020

Saudi Aramco cut its August official selling price for flagship Arab Light crude to Asia by $11 per barrel to minus $1.50 versus the Dubai benchmark, marking the steepest discount since mid-2020 and the largest reduction in at least 26 years. The kingdom also reduced prices for European buyers by $15 per barrel to $0.85 above Brent and lowered US prices by $8 per barrel to $4.60 above ASCI. The aggressive pricing reflects weakening oil markets, rising global supply, and intensifying competition among producers. Such deep discounts to Asia have occurred only twice in 25 years during previous price wars with US shale and Russia.

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BP Exits Bay du Nord Project, Sells 40% Stake to Equinor

BP is selling its nearly 40% non-operated interest in Canada's offshore Bay du Nord oil project to Equinor, making the Norwegian operator sole owner as BP continues portfolio simplification efforts.

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