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Sunday, August 6, 2023
Hair Today, Gone Tomorrow
The News From Planet Ruby—Friday, August 4, 2023
The apes are once again turning on each other, with the ruling classes charging a former Ape-in-Chief for trying to stay Ape-in-Chief by non-standard means. We believe this is all part of a complex game, the aim of which is to accumulate the largest amount of paper. Our analysts are working night and day to understand the rules, but they appear to keep changing.
Japan Plays Monopoly
The Bank of Japan decided to flip the card table over at the beginning of the week, realizing that its policy of buying just about every financial asset in the country, from bonds to ETFs, was unsustainable. Unfortunately, its adjustments to yield curve control culminated in an "unscheduled bond buying operation", aka "Oh sh—brb..."
This has big implications for the rest of the world, as Japanese investors have a reason to yank money out of foreign assets and bring those trillions home.
Watch it here: https://twitter.com/profstonge/status/1685991198815600640
As bond prices fall further due to this selling pressure, more banks may have to admit they have a problem. Last week, PacWest Bancorp finally succumbed to the inevitable and agreed a merger with Banc of California, sending its shares bouncing like a penny stock.
Another source of volatility came from the perceived stability of the US economy, as ratings agency Fitch downgraded America's credit rating from AAA to AA+ in a surprise move, prompted by concerns about its debt burden.
Crypto Keeps Traders On Their Toes
Bitcoin's price declined as low as $28,700 on Tuesday, before briefly pushing back above $30k on news that Michael Saylor was backing the truck up again. It's currently sitting at $29,200.
The Fear and Greed index is neutral, with the RSI at 44 on the daily—still plenty of room to go lower. Having dropped back towards the bottom of that $28-30k support zone, the price action is somewhat bearish; falling below $28,000 will likely open the way for further declines.
Not everyone is pessimistic, though. After all, when bearish sentiment is high enough, there's no one left to sell.
https://twitter.com/BobLoukas/status/1685996849000280064
Clown Hair Vs Bald
There's plenty of major news in the crypto space this week, not much of it good.
See if you can spot some of the key players this week on this handy chart.
One positive story is that US presidential hopeful Ron De Santis has promised to bring an end to Biden's "War on Bitcoin". "We are going to allow Americans to invest in things like bitcoin and cryptocurrency," he said at a campaign event on Monday. "No one is forcing you to do it, if you want to do it, you can do it.”
"War against Bitcoin" isn't hyperbole, at least not on the part of De Santis. Remember, this Elizabeth Warren has stated she is building an "anti-crypto army" as part of her campaign.
There was the BALD P&D, which saw a scammer launch and rug a memecoin on Coinbase's L2, netting themselves almost $6 million in the process. It's not a great look for an organization that's fighting the SEC in court. Conspiracy theories abounded on Twitter/X, with rumors that Sam Bankman-Fried was responsible, despite being under house arrest. Critics were quick to point out that he has little access to the internet, but the evidence doesn't exactly put him in the clear.
https://twitter.com/adamscochran/status/1686130077723996160
Speaking of Coinbase, the exchanges lawyers will file to dismiss the SEC's case against it entirely later today. Fingers crossed...
Curve lost $1.5 billion in TVL after tens of millions of dollars were stolen from its pools courtesy of a malfunctioning reentrancy lock. Meanwhile, the SEC continues to wage its own war against crypto, this time going after HEX and its founder.
https://twitter.com/SECGov/status/1686042971190272000
Finally, bookending the summary some (arguably) better news, Microstrategy picked up an additional 467 BTC for $14.4 million in July and now holds 152,800 BTC. The company has plans to sell more stock to raise a further $750 million for, among other things, yet more bitcoin purchases.
What's New In The SKALEVERSE?
DCA trading has launched on Ruby! Check out our guide on How To DCA On Ruby, and our in-depth research, What DCA Interval Is Best?
That's all for this week!
Join us on Discord and Twitter, and subscribe to the Ruby blog for regular updates.
Regarding Recent 1337x Controversy
Hi r/reddit,
This is post regarding Clearing our stance on https://www.reddit.com/r/Piracy/comments/15itrip/1337x_admins_allowing_bg3_torrent_with_bitcoin/
As everyone knows, we draw content from various trusted sources, RSS feeds, etc., and 1337x is one of them. Therefore, it makes sense to question our content as well.
Given the recent events and the response from the 1337x mod, we are giving them the benefit of the doubt and standing on the side of 1337x for now. Their response is as follows:
"As mods, we are providing a helping hand for the community without any financial gain. We volunteer our time despite having busy lives and daily work commitments.
Sometimes there may be delays in our response due to the inevitable challenges of life. Many of the people bashing the 1337x mod have never created any torrents or shared any posts themselves, which makes their criticism somewhat unfounded. In real life, people generally don't complain about receiving something free, so why should this situation be any different?, They are trying to moderate your FREE CONTENT! without any compensation.
We encourage you to trust but verify. Everyone here is here to help, but please understand that being wrong is part of being human."
Let's keep an open mind and continue supporting the community. If there are any issues, we can address them constructively and move forward together. Thank you for your understanding.
Regards
Vitalik Buterin’s creativity never ceases
Colour me ashamed but I just recently realised that u/vbuterin initially conceptualised ETH to be built as a Layer 2 on top of Bitcoin. And he immersed himself in a project called Coloured Coins which was like a simplified ERC-20 token. Although the BTC community wasn’t receptive to his idea, he held on to it and eventually made his ETH idea come alive with a team of like-minded people like Gavin Wood. To say that smart contracts were revolutionary is not an understatement. Vitalik’s idea was ahead of its time, and he doggedly got down to work and made it work.
To be fair, not all his ideas found flavour with the crowd. His Soulbound tokens were a fine example. People didn’t seem to like the name as well as the purpose it was designed to fulfill. But if he was affected by the backlash, he sure didn’t let it get to him. He subsequently proposed another idea: account abstraction. During the recent Ethereum Community Conference (EthCC) event, he shared that account abstraction would allow users to pay with whatever coins they are transferring rather than use ETH. Account abstraction also enhances security as it helps you call upon several contacts to act as your guardians. Thus, you don’t have to worry about your portfolio evaporating into thin air should you lose your seed phrase.
I’m so impressed by how his mind works. It’s a relentless flow of ideas in quick succession. I wonder where he gets these wacky ideas from?
Which one of Vitalik’s ideas bowled you over? What is his most creative idea in your opinion?
Here's some mindblowing BTC data that might drive the price the next days [Serious]
Introduction
With this post I want to provide you with some interesting trading Data and an unbiased potentially outlook where this could lead to in the next days / weeks.
As many of you know Bitcoin has been very slow recently barely moving up nor down in a smaller range. In the last almost 5 days BTC moved entirely in a ~2% range with a little sell off before a short squeeze towards 30k ahead of it.
This sideway movement and lack of volatility leads to a lot of positions being added overtime all with the same liquidation & stop loss levels. Especially high leveraged positions aren't getting wiped out but instead, more and more being added.
Trading Data
Taking a look at the chart above we can see a heavy decline in the SPOT CVD with a fading open interest the last days and incredible low volume. This suggest a low interest to trade due the lack of volatility. This has been going on for weeks now except the few spikes & plunges we had in between.
Liquidation Data - 11 Billion stacked in a close range
This is what I've meant. Look at the huge amount of liquidation levels stacked around the current price. There is ~$3.2bn worth of Liquidations sitting at $28,800. That's in less than a 1% range from current prices. Because of the lack of volatility it all stacked up right there over the last days.
Overall there's currently almost $8Bn worth of Liquidations just between $28,000 & $29,000. That still only takes a ~3.5% plunge from current price to get triggered.
Additionally, there's also a outstanding high amount of shorts liquidations sitting ~$30,100 currenlty worth over $4Bn!
This is exactly why you sometimes see quick rallies but also larger red selling cascades on no news. The amount of liquidations can move the price brutally up or down.
What this means
derivative liquidations are usually fueling price action short term. As you can see during the short squeeze ripping through the levels in the chart below :
it fueled the climb from $28,700 -> $30,000 within a couple hours. ( yellow circle = shorts liquidations )
Conclusion:
You can expect high volatility coming soon with chances for liquidation plunges but potentially also spikes. The longer we crab and stay around 29,000, the more positions are added that will eventually fuel high volatility. Any news will most likely trigger such an event.
For the long term accumulators this could mean there might be a nice chance to grab some cheap BTC in a heavy sell off cascade but also for traders it could mean we'll see a short squeeze rally ripping through $30,100 towards $30,500
Simplify crypto management: BingX's solution
The nature of cryptocurrencies can frequently leave users perplexed; for example, switching between platforms to store various coins can be exceedingly time-consuming and irritate users. A cryptocurrency exchange called BingX has introduced its Multiple Deposit Addresses feature as a response to this.
Users of BingX can get up to 100 deposit addresses for a single network by using Multiple Deposit Addresses. As a result, they can manage their deposits on the trading platform with more simplicity and freedom. Each new deposit address can now have customized notes attached to it thanks to this capability. Customers can then distinguish between transactions and track them all in one location thanks to this.
"BingX continues to lead the way in bitcoin sector innovation. To give our global user base a seamless and secure trading environment, we are constantly growing our offerings. Elvisco Carrington, PR and communications director of BingX, stated that the Multiple Deposit Addresses and Address Book feature "reaffirms BingX's commitment to equipping consumers with the tools they need to manage their digital assets effectively.
Users can quickly choose addresses from a dropdown menu or from their address book during the deposit procedure, expediting the process. All of this attempts to increase customer access to a wider range of features while enhancing user security and privacy.
Additionally, BingX enables token queries and displays all addresses linked to the chosen blockchain, providing full visibility of users' assets. Users can export their address book and create a local document to further improve accessibility. Linea and zkSync Era(V2) are two blockchain projects that BingX now supports. Long-term support for more blockchains like StarkNet and LayerZero will be provided.
BingX's commitment to addressing customers' demands and improving their interactions with cryptocurrencies is demonstrated by the launch of Multiple Deposit Addresses and Address Book. This function advances BingX's continuous efforts to improve the user-friendliness of crypto trading.