Thursday, November 17, 2022

Dam you AMC 😂

https://i.redd.it/jn7gj2mhsi0a1.jpg

11/17/2022 Daily Plays NVDA earnings down 50% Sales down 17% PE ratio of 60-70? CULT! Someone asked me about TBLT it may be a "Runner" not a "Grenade" looked into it yesterday, Tom Lee Money manager frequent on CNBC causes FOMO and instead of replying blocks me, thats what he thinks of 100K wager

Good morning everyone. I am always welcome to opinions or ideas. I just created the flair for after hours trading. It was necessary because Sparky is nice enough to post ideas as early as 4AM. If there is a flair needed, or idea, I always listen. Even if the stock is a grenade, trust me, I listen! I want to see the thought process and why, and if it makes sense for me, I want to take part in the trade/idea. In 2000 when I lost about 75% it wasn’t about the money I lost. I shut down because I was tired of losing. I spent months, I am not sure how many, but I believe 4-5 months before I traded again. There was no paper trading back then. What I did was study all the signs leading up to the dot com bust. All the signs in the world, I missed. Not just the stock market, the US economy, the world economy, gas, oil and gold. I came up with rules, made promises to myself so I would never lose like that again. When 2008 came around, I was never down more than 25% and the same with 2020 pandemic. It was mainly because I went on the sidelines when I saw the signs again, I made bearish bets that pulled me positive quickly. This is all adapting. If you are trading, you have to constantly adapt, pivot and see the world economy, events. Of course, this is not necessary but if you want to be successful these are keys to success. My blow up in 2000 is the main reason I am risk averse. It doesn’t mean it is the best way to be, it means it coincides with my comfort level for what my goals are, and where I want to be…

Yesterday a couple of people asked me about Bitcoin, and general about Crypto. I am not Charlie Munger… I don’t say its worthless. I believe there will be 5-10 coins, 10 at most that is widely accepted. However, I do not know how to value Bitcoin or Etherium, I understand mining secures the block chain but you don’t have to mine or own Bitcoin or Etherium in order to use information on the block chain.. Because you do not need to have any [own it] or mine it either to have access to the block chain I do not see how to properly value it.. So to me, I will stay away. It does not mean I feel it is worthless, but I certainly don’t see how it has a 15,500 price at the moment. Certainly not! It costs now wit utilities probably near 2,000 to mine a bitcoin and they are running scarce, so maybe 4-5,000? But that’s speculating, and if you know me, I do not like to speculate. Rather than speculate I will buy 1 of 8,200 stocks that trade. People asked me about ISIG and TBLT yesterday. These are speculative plays. They don’t consistently have large sales or make money….TBLT printed a few million shares to get about 7 million dollars…

The good news.. they announced earnings the other day and the growth was amazing! They made near 40 cents a share…. It sounds excellent……

Until you find out that’s 500k!!! So you need to find out the exact numbers.. The company has lost millions in the past. It is a small company that needs money.. However, the growth is amazing, and going on the AMZN platform has been a game changer. If you are stuck in this, I hope it isn’t yolo, but I would keep an eye on it, because if they keep executing like this it is a runner. [A company that can make money within 18 months, has a game plan, a good path] These are companies that you do want in a bull market. Companies that constantly grow at 30%. Remember the SP500 grows sales at 10-20%, generally, anything 30% up is hyper growth and should get a premium to the 18-19x the SP trades at… Especially if they are making money!

Before I get into NVDA I wanted to go over a few things.

Many people think I am crazy, to cocky, obnoxious. I promise you, I don’t even talk about the stock market in real life. PROMISE! I don’t like to! You are reading my thoughts going into the day trading, I want people to understand psyche so they can mirror, learn. If I just wrote trades, you would not gain the same knowledge for trading.

Also, imagine Lebron James, never played in the NBA. People saw him play at the park, in the streets. He knew, I am not saying thinks, he knows he is better than everyone else, and he was never to be the billionaire that he is today… How does he feel..

If Lebron James analyzes a game, analyzes plays, movement from players, and you are reading his mind and his thoughts on basketball.. You would immediately say he is the credentials and nod your head… I am 100% positive anyone reading Lebron James thoughts on each basketball play will say he is confident, cocky, arrogant.. but they don’t.. know why? because they know he is Lebron James! Here, people have the same feeling about me, because they don’t know me! And that is ok, because I am not looking for validation from anyone. I want money, and an opportunity.. SeekingAlpha contacted me yesterday about some ideas, they will email me soon. I want to get my name out there and blow everyone out the water, so I can make the millions if not billions. I am retired as of last year, I didn’t need to work when I started in 2012, It is not about the money, the 500K, it is my birth right to manage money. I was fine being in the shadows and chose to come on Reddit for this opportunity January 26th of 2021. This did not waver. My first video documenting this was April 1st of 2021, when I completed trades for 60 calendar days and asking Jim Cramer to help me get noticed. I tweeted him and sent CNBC the video.. there was no segment for me, unfortunately. Video here:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-m1QVwJ-Ifg&t=713s

I did not waver in my desire for an opportunity and my desire to help retail while I get it. Now, I know this may never come and I am accepting of that, but at worst I want stocks to move in the direction that I want! Carson Block of Muddy Waters revealed a short on DLO and it fell 50%.. Why does he have the power, and I don’t? He is known, I assure you that I am just as good if not better than him…I am definitely getting noticed on Twitter. I am blocked by 10 or so money managers, analysts, I tweeted yesterday some of them. Even though I am being blocked I can still tweet them, I just cant see their tweets. I like to follow traders, analysts for ideas, because even someone that has never traded before may have an idea.. heck TBLT memed because of APES and we may have something there, check that growth! They must keep executing. If it didn’t meme I and many others would never have heard of it. I like to know when I am wrong and why… If I came on TV and caused massive FOMO and was wrong. Not only would I come on TV and announce my mistake and why, I would put myself on a time out of 30-90 days. I would be ashamed… Instead Tom Lee doubles down and says we are going to have more fierce a rally. A Santa Clause rally, that the fed will stop hiking rates in December… WRONG AND WRONG! Don’t these people causing FOMO have any consequences.. In January everyone on CNBC was bullish on RBLX and BA… It caused my puts to go down! Is that fair? You think it is fair to bears that 95% + of traders can only make money on a bull run and brainwash eachother so that people that are short/have puts should lose? I openly wanted to wage 100K to Tom Lee, put it on Video this past Sunday, because of FOMO he caused Friday [When we had a fierce rally] and I guess his answer was to block me.. Not a response, not listening to why we are headed lower, not a rebuttal, a block. I tweeted Scott Wapner yesterday, that if a guest comes on air and they are right, they get praise, more money, they get others bidding up their picks…. The same should go if they are wrong… I don’t hate Cathie Wood, I do think she is absolutely delusional and shouldn’t manage even a childs piggy bank money.. She trades in 1 direction only, and doesn’t pivot… Of course she knows more than a child, and I do believe she has studied some finance and economics, but she clearly has not studied the stock market and times of crashes/falls to see signs.. I tweeted her look up Janus20 of the 90s. She doesn’t block me, I call Ryan Cohen a fool on twitter, he doesn’t block me, I call Chamath a snake, nope….

I would like them to respond, tell me why I am wrong, if I am wrong, defend, not ignore.. Blocking is a childs move…

So as I said in a video a few weeks ago, do not assume because I am not known that the people you see on TV have more credentials than I do. I am disappointed in Tom Lee and I will tweet him todays briefing. I hope he unblocks me or at least responds… However, it wasn’t right for him to cause FOMO, it wasn’t right for Stephanie Link to pump BA and RBLX while I had puts, and we can see she was dead wrong, and it wasn’t right for Dan Ives to pump TSLA AMZN while I had puts…. We can all have opinions, but when we can influence millions, there should definitely be opinions publicly. In the long run we must be bulls! But every 12-14 years the bears come out and play and it isn’t fair to shut up the Bears, the ones that know when to be a bear and when to be a bull! Not the ones stuck with 1 view point!

Boy NVDA. They scored a 60 on surface. Beating top line and missing bottom. Remember that they lowered guidance twice. In a bear market, it isn’t enough to check surface. We have to check year over year numbers, even go back 2 years.. This is because we don’t want FOMO created to have us caught holding the bag. Many companies sand bag, [Lowering expectations to then beat numbers] and that is fantastic in a bull market, the people less experienced buy into it and cause fomo and rally… however in a bear market, if they don’t cause fomo and rally we have to dig deeper…We will soon know that NVDA was a pandemic jumping company.. and the stock was rewarded for it, much of NVDA business was crypto mining as well. We notice this seeing the amazing jump in sales in 2020 when Bitcoin took off, we entered the pandemic.. NVDA was the darling smashing bottom line by 20-30% and top line sales growth of 40-50%... Fast forward to 2 quarters ago when sales was flat, even negative 10%... earnings were down too… and then yesterday… FACTS!

Sales down 17%, earnings down 50% year over year.. And a scary as heck 60-70x PE ratio! Even worse, how can we be confident in the E in PE we see that is still falling! It still has a cult, many bag holders, but I think the fair value of 75 is to high. I based that 75 on 20-25x with earnings of 3-3.25, I think that is far overshooting… However, as we know a stock price and a company are 2 different things. TSLA is meme #1 and still holds a 182 stock price when fair value is 100… I may buy puts soon, I hope to close some more puts, I will need time because the Cult!

All I traded yesterday was out of my COIN puts. I made 600 with 2,200. I was up a little on BA puts.. I am not far off on SQSP puts, I will probably lose tomorrow on SAVA GME and NTNX puts.. So I will reset maybe next week. I still would have carried up to 20 puts, but I wanted to short on vicious rallies. I am said my DWAD UPST and AFRM puts didn’t fill. Those were 3 I tried hard Tuesday!

5 Trade ideas: Be careful!

AMEH – I didn’t place an order for a call and to my benefit it is even lower! Last report was excellent, I will definitely place a call if it falls hard again

BA – Sorry BA lovers, this company is a disaster with near 100 billion debt and no way to pay it. They will suffer dearly on all these rate hikes. I currently have January 155 strike puts for 5 dollars. I want to trade it and get more puts!

CELH – This is from my high fliers list, it has bounced off of 75, they make energy drinks. The earnings and growth were good, the valuation is insane. I was bidding on these puts maybe a couple of months ago, it was 110!

IRTC / FRPT – I didn’t want to have a lot more than 15 puts, I have 14 now, I tried hard on UPST DWAC and AFRM and those fell, so IRTC FRPT is back on the table

NVDA – Now that the earnings and guidance are out, I am confident that this ship is sinking, the company that is! Whether the stock follows, it has a cult! I am no longer confident in the 75 fair value, that is what I think of NVDA earnings! Now, NVDA is a real company and not going anywhere but I may see earnings at 2.50 and 25 x 2.50 is = near 63.. They may make more than 2.50 but near there.

The contents of this post are for information and entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. ... By choosing to make a trade you are responsible for your own actions. Please do some due diligence. These are trades I am making and you can follow along. If you make a winning trade, I do not even expect a bravo or thanks but that’s fine, if you lose on a trade the same difference.. I do not even expect an upvote or reward… The Elite team is aware of the risks and volatility in the market.

Good luck everyone let’s make money. Share trades, ideas here during trading hours. Our main goal here is to make money so I hope we can help eachother. I will be in and out of here as well.


Wednesday, November 16, 2022

Cardano Rumor Rundown November 17, 2022

Hey Everyone!

Let’s go….

Newly Covered Today:

  1. Vitalik is worried about bugs in SC code and “most worried” about hacks of ZK-Rollups. I believe it’s obvious that ETH ZK-Rollups will generally be DnPs (“deposit and pray”). https://twitter.com/VitalikButerin/status/1592881308002549761
  2. ScotFest is only two days away. You can watch the stream on youtube. https://twitter.com/InputOutputHK/status/159293618740435763
  3. The US House Committee on Financial Services has planned a hearing on the FTX collapse for December. https://financialservices.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=409920
  4. The Financial Services Committee hearing will not be the first time the Chairwoman of that committee has met SBF. https://twitter.com/hexidethmal/status/1591100345395990530 https://twitter.com/ChuckRossDC/status/1592951865519800320
  5. Congressional scrutiny of Binance’s role in the FTX collapse is interesting. How about you determine FTX’s role in the FTX collapse before pointing fingers elsewhere? https://twitter.com/TheBlock__/status/1592945434355384321
  6. FTX Contagion Update: Genesis has suspended redemptions and new loan originations. https://twitter.com/GenesisTrading/status/1592867208275046401
  7. Yoroi has some kind of “especially exciting” announcement for the Cardano Summit! https://twitter.com/CryptoKeish/status/1592983315157770243

Previously covered, but still interesting:

  1. Greenland is looking into blockchain voting. https://www.computerweekly.com/news/252526273/Greenland-investigate-potential-blockchain-based-election-system
  2. The next FutureFest concert is going to be a multi-destination concert with several venues all built on Unity. https://twitter.com/unitygames/status/1582370930709274624
  3. All of the beachfront parcels on Spy Island in REACH are now gone. https://www.market.reachmetaverse.org/map
  4. The LexPunk Army is making public a copy of the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act that is making the rounds in Washington. https://github.com/LeXpunK-Army/Crypto-CaseLaw/blob/main/DCCPA%20Markup%20Latest%2010.19.22.pdf
  5. Here’s some great analysis on the leaked DCCPA draft. https://twitter.com/ianDAOs/status/1582897980935266304
  6. SBF floats his ideas on crypto regulation and people aren’t happy about it. https://www.ftxpolicy.com/posts/possible-digital-asset-industry-standards https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX/status/1582835426116575235
  7. Liqwid’s Agora code audit is 50% done. https://twitter.com/DCdoso/status/1583152577079701505
  8. It looks like the new info coming out of the SEC on NFTs is already having an effect on decisions made by NFT projects. https://twitter.com/Canadian4Crypto/status/1583090643043516416
  9. ADA Realm just did something really important. They made a beach bar and explicitly called it a “bar”. I approve. https://twitter.com/AdaRealm/status/1583190472591568896
  10. A certain youtube personality seems extremely angry at a certain Ethereum personality. https://twitter.com/WatcherGuru/status/1583202589654495232 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o2dhgZopyBs
  11. Even Representative Tom Emmer of the US Congress says we shouldn’t sacrifice decentralization or DeFi in the name of new crypto legislation. https://twitter.com/RepTomEmmer/status/1582915646157131779
  12. A user on FTX is reporting that he had $1.5MM USD stolen from his account. Another person is reporting a loss of $2MM USD. Brutal! The discussion seems to mention possible compromise of 3commas trading software API Keys by the attackers. The team behind 3Commas seems to be pointing to a phishing strategy by the attackers. https://twitter.com/littlesand2/status/1583830658203283456 https://twitter.com/3commas_io/status/1583571729628004352
  13. Shahaf Bar-Geffen makes a very important point about your future as an AI with whom your great grandchildren might interact. https://twitter.com/shahafbg/status/1584244982537277440
  14. Sam Bankman-Fried responds to a question about why FTX hasn’t listed spot ADA.
  15. Just the metrics examines Aptos as compared to more decentralized blockchains like Cardano. https://twitter.com/Soorajksaju2/status/1584133947227013120
  16. The ETH/EVM world is having a hard time right now trying to hash out how much of their DeFi is going to fall under the control of regulators. https://twitter.com/JonnyRhea/status/1584252081493667842 https://twitter.com/lex_node/status/1584180230297890817 https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX/status/1584184430117425152
  17. MuesliSwap has completed its transition to MuesliSwap v2! https://twitter.com/MuesliSwapTeam/status/1584650148273336320
  18. Liqwid mentions that they’ve been working with Platonic Systems and it has accelerated their launch timeline. https://twitter.com/liqwidfinance/status/1584587690712104960
  19. Apparently, Apple has decided that Apps in the App Store aren’t allowed to sell NFTs that unlock features in the App. https://twitter.com/wongmjane/status/1584609845570768897
  20. It’s reported that Twitter is working on a crypto wallet. People surmise this is an impetus for Elon’s purchase. https://twitter.com/CaitlinLong_/status/1584729157401202688
  21. The Pavia map is looking a lot fancier. https://pavia.io/map
  22. Reportedly, this video is of a fox walking past 10 Downing Street ( https://twitter.com/itvnews/status/1584976609232445440) as Rishi Sunak prepares to take his position as the next Prime Minister of the UK. No idea if this is actually current or if the fox was voluntarily there or planted. We already know that Rishi Sunak seems to be very pro-CBDC and likes BAYC more than Crypto Punks. Sunak is a familiar figure from back in April when, as Chancellor of the Exchequer he declared: “It’s my ambition to make the UK a global hub for cryptoasset technology…” https://twitter.com/hmtreasury/status/1468193641638207489 https://twitter.com/tier10k/status/1584635528695017472 https://www.gov.uk/government/news/government-sets-out-plan-to-make-uk-a-global-cryptoasset-technology-hub https://twitter.com/greyskulledm/status/1511026486798651393
  23. There are reports that the UK House of Commons also voted to treat cryptocurrencies as regulated financial instruments. Apparently there was even language around the inclusion of stablecoins. https://www.yahoo.com/now/uk-lawmakers-vote-recognize-crypto-153128469.html
  24. NMKR now has a function for you to auction off any NFT. https://twitter.com/nmkr_io/status/1584975658777972736
  25. Here’s the link if you missed the Rare Bloom Keynote from Charles. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TZ8K8FW72BA
  26. US cryptolaw is turning into the worst export ever. https://twitter.com/lex_node/status/1584962177739653121 https://twitter.com/brian_armstrong/status/1585001996490510336
  27. Nami Wallet Version 3.4.1 is out now! https://twitter.com/berry_ales/status/1585395882605903879
  28. Apparently, people are now paying for telemedicine on Cardano! https://twitter.com/Citaldoc/status/1583548196927983616?s=20&t=hK3-IVgaiGG7V7voRgiOuA
  29. Looks like A16Z is getting stung by this crypto winter! How do you say 40% mark down in their fancy abbreviation system? https://www.wsj.com/articles/andreessen-horowitz-went-all-in-on-crypto-at-the-worst-possible-time-11666769270
  30. Elon musk just walked into Twitter HQ with a literal sink in his hands saying “let that sink in”. This could have a significant impact on crypto if his purchase is related to the potential of Twitter as a payments network as some have surmised.
  31. Elizabeth Warren & AOC seem mad that crypto is now engaging in effective lobbying just like their buddies in big tech. https://punchbowl.news/wp-content/uploads/10.24-Letters-to-Regulators-re-Crypto-Revolving-Door.pdf https://www.opensecrets.org/members-of-congress/alexandria-ocasio-cortez/summary?cid=N00041162 https://www.opensecrets.org/members-of-congress/elizabeth-warren/summary?cid=N00033492
  32. The Monetary Authority of Singapore has proposed new crypto regulations with a special focus on stablecoins. https://www.mas.gov.sg/news/media-releases/2022/mas-proposes-measures-to-reduce-risks-to-consumers-from-cryptocurrency-trading-and-enhance-standards-of-stablecoin-related-activities
  33. Everyone who saw the “Day in the Life of a Meta PM” video comes away shocked at the -20% dive after the earnings report. Was the culprit rooftop avocado toast and lattes, the $3.9 billion lost on the metaverse, or the (currently) ill-fated stock buy back? Time will tell. (Oct 27). https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/1585398981995233304 https://twitter.com/unusual_whales/status/1585376066713321472 https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/1585374381211062273
  34. One of the AI generated Tim Beiko tweets is too accurate! https://twitter.com/TimBeiko/status/1585699510243950594
  35. Paypal just quietly reinserted the $2500 penalty if you engage in a transaction they think amounts to a “form[] of intolerance that is discriminatory”. https://twitter.com/WallStreetSilv/status/1585643176185823236
  36. The World Mobile Aerostat program is amazingly cool. https://twitter.com/WorldMobileTeam/status/1585715475690004481
  37. It looks like Army of Spies is in the running for the Educational Influencer award at the Cardano Summit 2022. Vote here: https://voting.summit.cardano.org/nominees
  38. Elon has consummated the transaction to acquire Twitter and the slaughter of executives has already begun. https://twitter.com/WallStreetSilv/status/158526910183167181
  39. IOG has released a new article on the pros and cons of changing the K parameter vs. changing the minimum fee for stakepools. https://www.essentialcardano.io/article/staking-parameters-and-network-optimization-where-next-for-k-and-min-fee https://twitter.com/InputOutputHK/status/1585600629740896257
  40. Even Forbes Crypto is now talking about how Cardano is #3 for NFT volume. https://twitter.com/ForbesCrypto/status/1586628979556917249
  41. World Mobile says it is looking to almost double the number of airnodes in Zanzibar by the end of the year. https://twitter.com/WorldMobileTeam/status/1586789320471576576
  42. The Cornucopias bridge from BSC to Cardano is coming today! (Oct 31). https://twitter.com/CornucopiasGame/status/1586849014611329024
  43. Don’t forget that the Cardano 360 for October is out and available. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hZRwLWKNNfQ
  44. Erik Voorhees crushes SBF’s logic by asking him to distinguish between KYC for DeFi front ends and KYC for email front ends. https://twitter.com/artofbagholding/status/1586117772005605376 https://twitter.com/ctaggr/status/1586104117197475844
  45. If front ends become a focus of regulation, we might have to move to headless dApps. https://twitter.com/ERG_Armeanio/status/1586423711350984704 https://youtu.be/temmjyKpsEU
  46. If you missed it check out this post from Pavia. It looks like you need to comment to get on the list for the Plaza test event. https://twitter.com/Pavia_io/status/1585939474030428160
  47. It looks like the Cornucopias bridge from BSC to Cardano is now live (as of Oct. 31). https://twitter.com/CornucopiasGame/status/1587110191031541761
  48. Check out the new weekly thread series “This Week in Cardano”. https://twitter.com/Soorajksaju2/status/1586813500596232193
  49. Sooraj & Laura will also have a new Cardano podcast coming soon. https://twitter.com/Soorajksaju2/status/1586998510892863488
  50. Somehow I totally missed this video preview of the cyberpunk themed district of the Pavia Plaza. https://twitter.com/Pavia_io/status/1580554201813618689
  51. Elon’s going to make the blue check mark accessible to all for $8 (or the purchasing power equivalent in your country) and also reward content creators. This could have significant effects on crypto ecosystems like Cardano that rely heavily on Twitter. https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1587498907336118274
  52. Virtua has given us a look at what the entire planet of Virtua Prime will look like including the location of Cardano Island in relation to the other land masses. https://twitter.com/VirtuaMetaverse/status/1587525839628951552
  53. Artifct has made a decision to shut down their marketplace. Hopefully, this will mean a focus on the moon metaverse project instead. https://twitter.com/ArtifctApp/status/1587168164336390144 https://discord.com/channels/882364185244237884/882374348638404628
  54. Here’s another teaser from the Pavia cyberpunk district. https://twitter.com/Pavia_io/status/1587476665516662784
  55. MuesliSwap has revealed some upcoming farming UI changes. https://twitter.com/MuesliSwapTeam/status/1587481326097207298
  56. Ardana has revealed a new roadmap. https://ardana.org/roadmap/ https://medium.com/@ardanaproject/roadmap-2-0-the-journey-to-ardana-ba59335c6303
  57. FutureFest just participated in the world’s first multi-destination virtual concert along with some other unity projects. https://twitter.com/futurefestxr/status/1587555369810731008
  58. ADA Realm is creating “The ADA Realm Council”. Anyone who holds a plot can join to help provide input into the development of the metaverse. https://discord.com/channels/903957555083087892/903971388812050462
  59. The U.S. Fed gave us another very unsurprising 75 basis point hike in the federal funds rate today (Nov. 2). This brings us to 3.75-4% which is the highest rate we’ve seen since January 2008. https://www.cnbc.com/2022/11/02/fed-hikes-by-another-three-quarters-of-a-point-taking-rates-to-the-highest-level-since-january-2008.html
  60. Apparently, Twitter has a program called Birdwatch that could be used to add “readers notes” to misleading tweets about Cardano. Maybe we should look into this to combat the psyops against Cardano. https://twitter.com/micsolana/status/1587774389264973826
  61. Crypto and the Howey Test are on a collision course. https://twitter.com/scotty2ten/status/1587620216938594304
  62. Here’s another case of a supposed news outlet trying to pretend like Cardano liquid staking isn’t the biggest and best out there. https://twitter.com/danny_cryptofay/status/1587761429607768064
  63. There is speculation that the November announcement might be the actual building of a PEReDi (Privacy Enhanced Regulated Distributed) CBDC. A CBDC that isn’t a panopticon does sound better than the alternative. https://iohk.io/en/research/library/papers/peredi-privacy-enhanced-regulated-and-distributed-central-bank-digital-currencies/ https://twitter.com/Northern_ADA/status/1587805885379842050
  64. For November surprise contenders, we also still have the speculation around BMW. https://twitter.com/seenwasad/status/1574144652902555652
  65. Looks like IOG just acquired the talents of Dr. Vanishree Rao who led development at Mina! You’ve heard Charles mention some of the innovative work done at Mina in his AMAs. https://twitter.com/timbharrison/status/1588183693599731718
  66. Goldman has teamed up with Coin Metrics to unveil a new crypto classification system they are calling Datonomy. Very clever Goldman: data + taxonomy. I’m sure you focus grouped the hell out of that one. https://www.cnbc.com/2022/11/03/goldman-sachs-unveils-crypto-classification-system-aimed-at-institutional-investors.html
  67. You can do Cardano smart contract transactions with your Ledger hardware wallet device on an experimental basis. https://twitter.com/Ledger_Support/status/1588114156401856517
  68. JP Morgan has now executed its first DeFi trade according to Bloomberg. https://twitter.com/ZeMariaMacedo/status/1588225282850390018 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-02/jpmorgan-executes-its-first-defi-trade-using-public-blockchain
  69. The way they’re currently structured and operating, a lot of DAOs may get smashed as regulators will just view them as on-chain corporations who sold early stage securities to non-accredited investors. https://twitter.com/lex_node/status/1588184594133749760
  70. Jpeg Store now has bundles. This will make it much easier for anyone trying to sell a metaverse estate. https://twitter.com/jpgstoreNFT/status/1588279773331001344
  71. Check out this intro to Demeter Run, a “cloud environment with all the tools for building & deploying your Cardano dApp”. https://twitter.com/DemeterRun/status/1582893470015844352
  72. Cardanians makes a really good point about Cardano having the largest team in crypto behind it. https://twitter.com/Cardanians_io/status/1588059198461558784
  73. a16z thinks social media needs three separate game modes from safe space to wild west and to be governed by its users. https://a16zcrypto.com/toppling-the-internets-accidental-monarchs-how-to-design-web3-platform-governance/
  74. There’s a whole crypto twitter drama happening right now with the finances of FTX and Alameda that has apparently led to Binance announcing that they will sell their FTX Token holdings (Nov. 6). https://twitter.com/JohnEDeaton1/status/1589305305388621824 https://twitter.com/cz_binance/status/1589283421704290306 https://twitter.com/DU09BTC/status/1589135270103773184
  75. Colin from Obsidian and Lode Wallet gives us an early look at Hydra. https://twitter.com/osColinH/status/1588890270149783553
  76. There’s trouble in DeFi land as it’s pointed out once again that LPing in AMMs seems to very frequently involve impermanent losses outpacing fee revenue. In this case, it’s asserted that the lab behind the AMM didn’t even understand the extent of the problem due to a mismeasurement. Of course, the prospect of new DEXs with impermanent loss mitigation brings something new to the table. https://twitter.com/thiccythot_/status/1589022227437039616 https://twitter.com/ravanave/status/1589264438087266305
  77. LBRY announces that they lost in their case with the SEC. The ruling is pretty much the opposite of what everyone was hoping. https://twitter.com/LBRYcom/status/1589645453091827712 https://odysee.com/@lbry:3f/secvslbrysummaryjudgementruling:a
  78. Virtua’s mobile app is coming today (Nov 8). I’m curious to see how much of the functionality relates to their metaverse. https://twitter.com/virtua_official/status/1589691063211790337
  79. Pavia says only one more dev sprint until they can reveal the Plaza test event date. https://twitter.com/Pavia_io/status/1589601264102699008
  80. This twitter space today (Nov. 8) on audits and security includes MLabs, Runtime Verification, Simon Thompson of IOG, and Tweag. https://twitter.com/thompson_si/status/1589620874269044736
  81. Charles dropped a whole video on how Elon can decentralize Twitter with Doge and Cardano. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G7dmU2CCJo
  82. MuesliSwap drops a mysterious tweet saying it is working on one the biggest Cardano DeFi innovations. https://twitter.com/MuesliSwapTeam/status/1590096808042459136
  83. Charles sums up today in Cardano perfectly. https://twitter.com/IOHK_Charles/status/1590151060639059970
  84. CZ of Binance signed a non-binding letter of intent to acquire FTX to help remedy what he describes as a liquidity crunch at FTX. https://twitter.com/cz_binance/status/1590013613586411520
  85. I definitely did not think I would wake up this morning and watch Martin Shkreli and Do Kwon in a live discussion of a non-binding LOI for Binance to acquire FTX. https://www.twitch.tv/uponlytv
  86. Here’s a great thread offering a very thorough explanation of what has gone down with FTX. https://twitter.com/milesdeutscher/status/1589631447517655040
  87. Elon files paperwork with FinCen for Twitter to become a payments network as a money transmitter. https://twitter.com/jp_koning/status/1590413986843201536
  88. Here’s a nice video of Charles crushing the kid from The OC (who is now a middle aged crypto critic) along with some other person who says that “crypto has ruined lives.” The actor basically thinks that every cryptocurrency is just a security. He also reminded everyone he went to college and has a book coming out. https://twitter.com/casey_lau/status/1589530354217783296
  89. Out of the FTX-Alameda chaos, things are really REALLY not looking good for Solana. https://twitter.com/DU09BTC/status/1590307342884962305
  90. Virtua gave us a sneak peek of the inside of the Cardano Island condos. They look good! https://twitter.com/virtua_official/status/1590450026957840384
  91. My…my…my…how the tables have turned, Solana. https://twitter.com/MagicEden/status/1590435695080140800
  92. Rumors are swirling that wrapped BTC in Solana issued by FTX and/or Alameda and present on many lending and AMM platforms will spread the contagion very widely. https://twitter.com/weremeow/status/1590461628864397312
  93. The Cardano Summit registration for virtual attendance is now open. The Summit will run Nov. 19-21st. https://twitter.com/Cardano/status/1591793019975397377
  94. Cardano development stats are looking very nice (Nov 14). https://twitter.com/InputOutputHK/status/1591822447346536449
  95. IOG’s virtual ScotFest will be happening right before the Summit Nov 18-19. Kickoff will be 10:00 AM GMT on the 18th. Keynote from Charles at 2pm GMT on the 18th. https://iohk.io/scotfest/
  96. Apparently, Crypto.com says it accidentally sent $400 million to Gate.io and then had to ask Gate to send it back. People should be asking some serious questions about controls at crypto.com. https://twitter.com/kris/status/1591605600638881792
  97. BlockFi appears to be impacted by the FTX/Alameda implosion. https://twitter.com/BlockFi/status/1590875997351866368
  98. Carda Station has a treasure hunt going on inside their metaverse! https://twitter.com/Carda_station/status/1591462387776888833
  99. A large ETH podcast gets called out and ratioed hard for its past behavior in the context of current events. https://twitter.com/StakeWithPride/status/1591500079873265665
  100. Charles straight killed it in that mega twitter space with a bunch of big crypto names by pointing out that Cardano and Bitcoin are good in all this because they’re actually decentralized which is what the whole space needs to pursue instead of a bailout. The whole crypto space needs to live up to the label of “decentralization” we slapped on this thing. https://twitter.com/iamshamdol/status/1591933841337638913
  101. The Dragon is using FTX as a foothold to paint all of crypto as “smoke and mirrors”. Shocker: she wants “aggressive enforcement”. https://twitter.com/SenWarren/status/1590496981751058432
  102. Things keep getting worse with FTX/Alameda. The Wall Street Journal is reporting that “Alameda Amassed Crypto Tokens Ahead of FTX Listings”. https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-news-today-11-14-2022/card/alameda-amassed-crypto-tokens-ahead-of-ftx-listings-public-data-shows-z6KFN051ToEpFohTXA89
  103. Senator Lummis explains why the FTX bankruptcy wouldn’t have happened under the Lummis-Gillibrand Bill. https://twitter.com/SenLummis/status/1592212987259281408
  104. Humans often seem to value optimization of short-term growth over optimization of long-term growth. Even some Western Economists in the Cold War thought the USSR would outgrow the US. The crypto space is making the same mistake in undervaluing Cardano’s long term optimization. https://www.thecrimson.com/article/1960/10/17/professor-predicts-soviet-union-growth-will/ https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2010/01/soviet-growth-american-textbooks.html
  105. The New York Fed is rolling out a CBDC proof-of-concept along with BNY Mellon, Citi, HSBC, Mastercard, PNC Bank, TD Bank, Truist, U.S. Bank and Wells Fargo. https://www.newyorkfed.org/newsevents/news/financial-services-and-infrastructure/2022/20221115 https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20221115005936/en/Members-of-the-U.S.-Banking-Community-Launch-Proof-of-Concept-For-A-Regulated-Digital-Asset-Settlement-Platform
  106. FTX-Alameda Contagion report: SALT lending has paused withdrawals and deposits. https://twitter.com/coffeebreak_YT/status/1592567205727961089 https://twitter.com/Travis_Kling/status/1592198107734876160
  107. Here’s a sneak peek at the upcoming Cardano Summit 2022 NFTs from TURF. https://twitter.com/Turf_NFT/status/1592536651472855041
  108. Sounds like we’ll get news on the Pavia live event “very soon”. https://twitter.com/PaviaRoss/status/1592474815096848385
  109. Frederik Gregaard’s latest interview definitely poses a hypothetical related to BMW involvement in Cardano. https://youtu.be/Uk9arH5qMIo?t=4234
  110. Caitlin Long’s Custodia Bank gets a preliminary win against the Federal Reserve in its quest to get a master account (that is necessary to get a routing number and etc). https://twitter.com/wadaniel/status/1592171742889480192

~Army of Spies


Daily TA by Tritador 16th of November

November 16. Apparently a (non)-Russian missile hit a village in Poland killing 2 farmers. Originally, the news ran with the story that this was a Russian missile and actual war might follow. Then the story broke that this was a Ukranian missile and conspiracy theories about a false-flag operation to drag other countries into war surfaced. Then the story came out that it was a defensive Ukranian missile that accidentally hit Poland, so sorry.

Meanwhile, the (in)famous Donald Trump announced he'll be running for US president in 2024.

Inflation in the UK is up to 11.1% due to high energy costs.

The BRICS countries are getting together to eventually stop using the USD as their reserve currency. The DXY remains around 106, having broken out of its ascending trend.

Mr. Wonderful himself declared that if Big Sam started another venture, he'd be happy to invest in it.

Dave Chapelle apparently propagated antisemitic tropes on SNL, though overall his act was pretty hilarious except for the awkward pauses where nobody laughed when he said something iffy about the Jews...on a TV show in New York, because as the greatest comedian there's ever been, he somehow forgot how to read the room. Or maybe he didn't.

Tulsi Gabbard still looks like Rogue from the X-men, which makes most of her suddenly right-leaning fanatical rantings forgivable because Rogue is the coolest.

Another crypto-earn platform, Genesis, has paused crypto withdrawals. We know where this is going. The crypto world worries that the larger company, Gemini, whose Gemini-earn program is powered by Genesis, may be affected.

12 financial institutions and the NY Fed are getting together to run a test version of the US digital dollar. Get ready to have every transaction tracked and your money turned off if you leave your permitted geofenced area or say something bad about the government on Twitter. Crickets are a great source of protein, minerals, and fiber.

You really can't make this shit up. There is no silly set of facts I could possibly write that would be crazier than the real world.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin is holding at 16.5k and not plummeting any farther (yet) following the FTX dump, though many analysts are still calling for an 11-14k bitcoin. But retail pessimists are clamoring for 3k or lower, declaring this is completely different, crypto is all over, dead, a ponzi scheme, and this time the ride is done, which usually means the bottom is in. So we'll see.

The stock market is down. Amazon is firing 10k employees. Target stock is dropping like a stone after warning about weak profits due to low demand (a known consequence of all of the interest rate hikes the Fed has been implementing).

ETH is sticking around near 1200. Osmo seems to like 1.15 and keeps moving back to that place after some volatility. Juno's at 2.27, similar story.

Evmos and Atom look dumpy and have settled in and begun crabbing at new local lows, with Atom at 10.13 and Evmos at 1.16.

Tori dropped from its latest pump toward 70 cents all the way down to 61 cents. If you've been compounding and own a lot of Tori by now, a few pennies makes your portfolio value change a lot more than you'd like. If Tori falls below 60, that would make a lower low from its previous dip and signal a downtrend, but if it keeps bouncing between 60 and 70 cents, there's money to be made.

Scrt had a mysterious pump from 63 cents to 1.15, and has since sold off to 89 cents. There's a rumor that Europe's going to ban privacy coins, Scrt included, to combat money laundering. Which seems a lot more bearish than bullish. Crazy times.

GLTO is at 0.0013 USD. Virtually no buying or selling volume today, just price movement as Osmo moves. GKEY is at 230. A little more volume, but still mostly a reflection of the moving Osmo price.

I got nothing today. I'm working for fiat, DCAing into bitcoin every day, grilling chicken thighs tonight. Just buy bitcoin, other projects you really believe in, play poker tonight, play Gelotto lotteries, and spend time with your loved ones. The big picture is all over the place, the world is changing in weird ways, and at the end of the day, what's really important is good food, good friends, and your health and happiness. Not world events or crypto chart movements.


Crypto's Faustian Bargain

[View on Medium]

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Crypto's Faustian Bargain

When Satoshi Nakamoto introduced Bitcoin, he stated, “It’s completely decentralized, with no central server or trusted parties, because everything is based on crypto proof instead of trust.” Satoshi identified trust as a point of failure within our current financial and monetary system, and he has been vindicated time and time again. On the surface, trust is a positive idea. Being able to trust someone is a great thing, and it’s required for healthy relationships. The problems only arise when trust is betrayed, whether it's cheating, spending other people’s money as if it was their own, or regularly debasing a currency, but I repeat myself. The problem staring every one of us in the face is the fact that our relationship with legacy financial institutions is incredibly unhealthy.

Satoshi’s revolutionary idea was not an attack on trust itself, but to remove it from the equation entirely. In so doing, he designed Bitcoin to be trustless, thereby making trust in third parties obsolete, at least within our financial system. Bitcoin debuted in the wake of the ‘08 financial crisis, a timely repudiation of a system of banks and firms who leveraged common people’s money to further enrich themselves. When the house of cards came crashing down, these very same institutions were bailed out because they “were too big to fail”, while the little people outside of this category were left with the bill, many losing their homes, jobs, and potential lifetime earnings.

The good news is we have been given an alternative. Bitcoin, and a few other cryptocurrencies who have followed its example, offer something better. “Be your own bank” is not just a catchphrase; it’s a call to action. If you do not approve of the way things are, then it is up to you to be the change you want to see in the world. The construction of an alternative financial system is not going to occur overnight, but every private wallet, every accrual of a decentralized token over a centralized fiat dollar, and every transaction occurring on a blockchain instead of some middleman’s payment channel is a step in the right direction. On the other hand, every choice to sacrifice intrinsic Bitcoin ideals like trustlessness, decentralization, and censorship-resistance is two steps back and an affront to financial sovereignty itself.

The Invitation

In folklore, various evil creatures like vampires and some demons can only gain entrance to haunt someone after they receive an invitation. Similarly in German legend, the character Faust sells his soul to the devil in exchange for earthly gain. This ancient trope has been retold many ways, but the moral of the story is sacrificing your ideals ultimately leads to ruin. Despite the popularity of this myth, the crypto community at large remains woefully ignorant of its lesson.

Sam Bankman Fried & FTX could be the proverbial devil in our story right now, but a few months ago it was Do Kwon & Terra Luna or the Celsius Network. At one point it was Bitconnect, before that it was Mark Karpelès & Mt. Gox, and it’s been a million shitcoins, NFT projects, and even whitepapers in between. Although the fallout of the FTX Faustian bargain is still unfolding, it is safe to say these kinds of events will continue until people realize many of Bitcoin’s features are not bargaining chips; they’re non-negotiable.

Perhaps centralized exchanges are a necessary evil, at least for the time being. I can accept that. If you can as well, it would be prudent to recognize an exchange is not a wallet. They possess wallets intended to hold their customers’ funds, who must trust the exchange not to use said funds like Bankman-Fried did to fuel his ‘effective altruism’ lifestyle to “try and do as much good as you can”, cover various “business expenses”, donate them to a political war machine founded by his mother, or mint counterfeit Bitcoins like soBTC (wrapped BTC on Solana). “Not your keys, not your coins” remains true. If you hope to have financial sovereignty, it begins by taking responsibility for your own assets. If you are reading this and still have tokens on an exchange, stop reading immediately in order to withdraw them into your own wallet. If you must use a CEX, at least try to use one that publishes audits, and only keep your funds there as briefly as possible.

Exchanges like FTX are an example of how the cryptocurrency industry has been infected by the same wicked spirit that possesses the monetary system Bitcoin was designed to escape. There is a narrative we should be accepting when crypto behaves more like legacy finance, because it gives us some kind of legitimacy, but in the eyes of whom, the same system it was built to be an alternative to? Thankfully, decentralized exchanges are well on their way to being able to fulfill this necessary role via rollup technology with built-in compliance, as explained by Jagdeep Sidhu.

Bitcoin is more than trustless digital gold, the most secure censorship-resistance decentralized network in existence, adjudicator of truth for the transactions it records. It is the base layer of a new paradigm. It is an idea people do not need to rely on fallible third parties to control the monetary system, that people should be able to make transactions amongst themselves, that we can bank the unbanked, that a decentralized system is more capable of lifting people up rather than egalitarianism somehow trickling down from the top of a pyramid. Sacrificing these ideals for temporal gain is not to be lauded as it is a sign one would rather maintain the status quo than aspire towards something higher, enriching themselves by trampling others.

https://preview.redd.it/dexzoxavid0a1.png?width=1024&format=png&auto=webp&s=ed3ef9c24339c19d66c97d03f82e602540fd7453

Exorcize

If we hope to achieve the promise of Bitcoin, we must remain vigilant to avoid the devils in our midst. In the same vein of protecting the idea of Bitcoin, we must preserve the standards that make it possible, namely decentralization and security. Any cryptocurrency that sacrifices either for the sake of scale or anything else cannot be fully trusted because it will never be trustless. Solana made this sacrifice to achieve momentary monetary success and look at it now. Even if it was not inextricably linked to the FTX fiasco, it was never going to be more than a cheap counterfeit of the real deal.

I am not Bitcoin maxi in the sense that I do not take issue with the very existence of other blockchains. As long as the ideals are preserved, I do not see a problem. Bitcoin provided a solid foundation for us to build on, but there have been many worthwhile innovations made since the Genesis block was mined within and outside of Bitcoin. The most obvious would be the introduction of smart contract functionality introduced by the Ethereum Virtual Machine, which paved the way for decentralized applications and the transition to Web3. However, unlike Bitcoin, Ethereum has become proof-of-stake. Post-Merge, Ethereum’s staking model has brought censorship and ensures those who hold the most ETH, the rich, get richer while the poor get poorer, which only compounds ETH’s inequitable distribution originating from its premine. Smart contract functionality is not incompatible with the Bitcoin ethos. Ethereum itself is another question.

If a superior consensus mechanism arises to challenge Bitcoin’s proof-of-work without sacrifice, then it should be considered, tested, and potentially adopted. In the meantime, there is no need to fix something that isn’t broken. Thankfully, Satoshi envisioned a multichain ecosystem operating symbiotically through a process called merged mining. Merged Mining not only shares Bitcoin’s security with others, but also allows Bitcoin to be augmented to support greater functionality. If more projects took advantage of merged mining, they would gain greater security than they could likely achieve on their own and be less tempted to make the expensive sacrifices of ideals that call their value into question. As an added bonus, merge-mined projects effectively become an extension of the Bitcoin ecosystem, so supporting them offers secondary support to Bitcoin as well.

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Ascend

It’s paramount we avoid projects who have sacrificed Bitcoin’s ideals or made their own deals with the devil, and support honest Bitcoin and projects who preserve Satoshi’s vision, and are working to effect actual positive change. If we hope to avoid the pain caused by making the wrong decision, or worse, the regret that comes from longing for the way things could have been, we cannot set a price on our values. Therefore, may this serve as a lesson for those who did not know any better and a reminder for those who have forgotten. The struggle for decentralized finance is ongoing and there is no foregone conclusion. It is up to each person on an individual level to choose to be the change they wish to see in the world. If we believe in the ideals of Bitcoin, we must not be enamored by the ill-gotten gifts of legacy finance or be willing to sacrifice our ideals for their sake . After all, what does it profit you to gain the whole world, only to lose your soul?

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Elon Musk: Bitcoin Will Survive The Crypto Winter

https://bitcoinmagazine.com/markets/elon-musk-bitcoin-will-make-it

Elon Musk, the newly appointed CEO of Twitter, said “BTC will make it, but might be a long winter,” on Twitter early Monday morning.

The comment follows recent cataclysmic events which led to an implosion of the cryptocurrency ecosystem. However, this “crypto winter”, as it's often referred to, has been slowly getting worse amid both institutional failure in the ecosystem and changes in global financial conditions.

Musk’s reply was made in reference to a comment recounting BTC’s previous high of $69,000 which asked where the price of bitcoin might be a year from now. Indeed, the price of BTC has drastically fallen, as has trust in the broader industry.

Cascading effects of doubt plagued the industry once the collapse of Terra’s so-called stablecoin disrupted the world of finance. Suddenly, institutions and the world had to accept that algorithmic stablecoins could fail. Company’s with an abundance of exposure soon crumbled with the Terra infrastructure.

Thus, Voyager Digital, BlockFi, Celsius, Babel Finance and others fell due to their exposure. As companies began to drop like flies, so too did the price of bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. As the winter took hold and some began to speculate on when the bottom would come in, the market was faced with a new problem.


BingX Carnival Kicks off With Big Prize Pool to Celebrate 2022 Football Event

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An exciting Carnival program for World Cup 2022 was revealed by BingX, the world’s leading social trading crypto exchange, which will see millions up for grabs for the next six amazing weeks.

The 22nd edition of the World Cup football tournament, to be held in the Qatar capital of Doha from November 20 to December 18, has fired the passion of the world. To synchronise the joy vibe, leading crypto exchange BingX unveils details and awards for the carnival, which will be themed around football and the mega event. Participants will play games and trade to share a prize pool of up to 600,000 USDT and popular coins like Bitcoin and Ethereum. They also have a chance to win tickets to the World Cup Final and coveted autographed jerseys of renowned football stars.

BingX will kickstart the carnival on November 7. All BingX users will be able to participate in various games during different stages. In this carnival, all games are closely tied to the World Cup theme, as well as the schedule and phased reward system. For example, in the warm-up period, you could pick a team with the best World Cup odds and win big if your prediction is right. You can also vote for your favorite football player and draw a lottery on BingX live stream if he tops in the vote. There are more games to be expected for round of 16, quarterfinals, semifinals, and final. Moreover, participants are allowed to win more bets on the games by increasing trading volume.

“We wish more users to celebrate this big event with us and have fun”, said Elvisco Carrington, PR and Communications Director at BingX. “In addition to investment returns, they could have a real good time this time. We have enriched the games system with more options and prizes so that all users could find pleasure in it. We are expecting overwhelming responses from our users and their excellent performance will absolutely push us to take the tournament a step forward. We look forward to welcoming them for what we are sure will be an exciting and memorable BingX World Cup Carnival.”

Details: https://bingx.com/act/worldCup/

About BingX

BingX is a cryptocurrency social trading exchange that offers spot, derivatives and copy trading services including but not limited to trading pairs BTC USDT, XRP USDT, ETH USDT and Luna USDT to more than 100 countries worldwide with over 5 million users. The copy trading function implemented with our unique technology has benefited over 20,000 copy trading traders and 5,000 daily traders.