Saturday, July 19, 2025

Attention Defense

I spend a great amount of time on the internet. Sometimes it’s mindless scrolling, sometimes it’s for finding specific information but often times I scroll the internet to observe the world.

Who is posting these days? What is being posted these days? And most importantly, how are people reacting to the posts?

Over the last few months (I can’t believe it’s not years, cuz it certainly feels like years) there have been a vibrating amount of hot topics on the internet. I name it vibrating because if a big story was coming up every few days or so, it would be like the stories are pulsating. These days the frequency at which the new stories are coming up is so high, it feels like vibrations.

Firing! Zelensky! Defunding! Raiding! Tariffs! No tariffs! No Kings! Lawmakers being assassinated! Epstein! Bitcoin! Israel! The list goes on and on and the consequences of each story stop mattering now because we have about 5 new events that pop up while we wait for the consequences.

It is important to recognize that our attention is being dragged away every time something new comes up. And because the rate of these events are so fast it is more and more taxing to our energy reservoir to keep up with recent events. And at this point I need to say something a bit extreme: your attention is being grabbed by the *****.

But just like how you need to be able to defend yourself in the face of physical harm, we must also be able to defend ourselves in the face of disinformation and attention theft. Your attention is a very treasured resource. Attacking your attention is the first entryway into attacking all the other parts of you.

I wrote about how I got street-scammed in Paris. If someone took my money in plain sight, there’s no way I would let that happen. But what if my attention is taken away? That’s precisely what the scam artists did.

I recently went to a series of magic shows. And what do all magic shows start with? Misdirection. Same with street hypnosis. When people have your attention, they practically gain an entryway into you. This is why hooks are so important in marketing.

My wife attended a self-defense class and the class started by the most important principle of self-defense: don’t get into situations where you need self-defense by staying aware of your surroundings.

When you don’t have your attention, you’re not living your life. But it’s not all bad news. The good news is that when you cultivate your mindfulness and get used to staying in touch with your inner awareness, you will develop a kind of a spider-sense when your attention is drifting away.

How can you not? Every day when you meditate you’re practicing coming back to your point of focus. And you can only do that if you notice when your attention is being drifted away. Sometimes you’ll still lose your attention, like I did in Paris, but we all need to experience some learning curves one way or another. You’ll do a lot of damage reduction by keeping in touch with your attention.

One nuance to keep in mind for these times: I heard a sentence recently, “when you watch the news you’re misinformed; when you don’t watch the news you’re uninformed”. This sounds like something relevant for these times but it is actually timeless, the fact that watching the news is getting a snapshot of reality instead of the whole reality.

You can totally watch the news and understand the bigger picture by zooming out of the frame of someone is speaking about something, into observing that something and that someone. What has happened, in terms of observable events? Why did this happen, more specifically — what were the conditions that gave arising to this? What preconditions were required for this to happen?

Why is this person in particular speaking about this? Why would they speak in these terms, with these tones? What is the need for this message to come out? These analytic questions can help you understand the grand flow of world events instead of piecewise skewed representations of said world events.

Your mind is the most important treasure you have access to. Protect it, defend your attention.


Global Bitcoin Forecast retrospective analysis July 13–20,2025

I’m excited — genuinely excited — to release the very first retrospective analysis!

This isn’t just a look back at the Bitcoin price action of July 13–20, 2025.
It’s something I’ve wanted to do for a long time:
to hold my own created and forged system up to the light, to compare it against the world’s leading forecasts,
and to ask — without ego, without excuses — where it stood, where it slipped, and where it will sharpen.

This retrospective is not just a review;
it’s the birth of an audit culture inside Bitform.

We’re not here to predict magic numbers.
We’re here to map tensions, trace fractures, weigh probabilities — and learn, live, and publicly.

What follows is a full-spectrum analysis:

  • how Bitform mapped the July compression zone,
  • why it underweighted the bull breakout,
  • and how it stacks up against models like Glassnode, Cointelegraph, Bloomberg, and others.

This is the start of something new:
not just forecasting — but structural decoding that holds itself accountable.

Global Bitcoin Forecast Review: July 13–20,2025

The week of July 13–20 was not just a market event — it was a structural ignition.
Crypto Week in the U.S. passed landmark legislation; institutional ETF flows hit records; Bitcoin surged past $123,000 before retracing.

Bitform’s forecast called the compression zone and breakout scenario perfectly, but was too conservative in weighting the probability of a bull surge.

This article delivers a full retrospective — and ranks Bitform alongside the world’s top forecasting models.

🧩 What Bitform Got Right

✅ Identified the $117k–$118k compression zone
✅ Mapped the bull case scenario: if the GENIUS, CLARITY, and Anti-CBDC bills passed, institutional momentum would break BTC to ~$122k–124k
✅ Recognized ETF inflows as an amplifier
✅ Flagged derivative tension via rising open interest
✅ Embedded bias checks and probabilistic honesty in the forecast

⚠ Where Bitform Underweighted

❌ Probability: Bull case was given 25–30%, when converging signals mid-week (legislation + ETF + derivatives) justified a 50%+ reweighting
❌ Leverage scale: Open interest surged ~16%; funding rates spiked to ~0.0189% — bigger than forecasted
❌ Profit-taking magnitude: Miner and whale sell-offs were stronger than modeled

Truth Protocol – Blindspot Analysis

Strengths:

  • Multi-layer architecture (on-chain, derivatives, macro, psychology)
  • Clear scenario maps with conditional triggers
  • Bias disclaimer and probabilistic humility embedded

Weaknesses:

  • No live adjustment as ETF flows + legislation + leverage over-converged
  • Underweighted momentum amplification loops (ETF → spot → derivatives → sentiment)
  • Conservative psychological modeling (ignored conviction-layer resilience)

Strategic Evolution

Dynamic Reweighting Module
→ Real-time scenario probability recalibration when multiple super-signals align

Amplification Engine
→ Quantitative modeling of how spot, derivatives, ETF, and sentiment feedback loops magnify moves

Ignition Flag System
→ Hard-encoded triggers for binary catalysts like regulatory or macro breakthroughs

Compared to Global Forecasts:

https://preview.redd.it/p3txaasuvwdf1.png?width=957&format=png&auto=webp&s=b6b95bcc5e7b9ceea50d0836b5a5cdc7b3f3fc33

Reflection

https://preview.redd.it/rvnpldowvwdf1.png?width=1003&format=png&auto=webp&s=716793a029dcd27813bddb88de362fd64e367c0c

The July 13–20 forecast was not a “miss” —
it was a near-perfect map with conservative probability assignment.

Where others cheered price, Bitform mapped pressure points.
Where others screamed targets, Bitform warned of fractures.

Bitform stands where price, pressure, and perception meet.
Its forecasts are not crystal balls — they are structural compasses.
And every audit sharpens that compass further.

Its edge? Not perfection. Radical reflexivity.

I Do this alone with my own system and my neurodivergent mind.

I don´t now if I can share my link here to my substack account Bitform. I was never active on reddit. If yes. Tell me =)


Bristol Crypto Community?

Hi all,

Recently moved to Bristol from London.

In London, the crypto scene is the biggest in the UK - with weekly events from different companies, in person exchanges happening constantly. I myself would exchange cash to crypto often.

But, in Bristol, it’s quite the opposite. Pretty quiet, as far as I have seen from google. Only one event I noticed - BitcoinBristol. But apart from that there is not much else, unless I am missing something!

If anyone here is involved in the crypto scene, would be nice to see some comments!


Friday, July 18, 2025

California Sportsbook Promos & Bonus Codes

Legal California Sports Betting Sites 2025

Sports betting has swept across the United States, igniting passion among fans eager to wager on their favorite teams, from the Los Angeles Lakers and San Francisco 49ers to the UCLA Bruins and USC Trojans. In California, a state with a vibrant sports culture and a massive population of over 39 million, residents can legally engage in sports betting through offshore sportsbooks, with Bovada standing out as the best overall choice for its user-friendly platform, competitive odds, and generous bonuses.

Californians are betting on sports today at top offshore sportsbooks. We provide exclusive promo codes, and a step-by-step approach to betting safely and responsibly in 2025, presenting offshore sportsbooks as legal and accessible options for California residents.

The State of Sports Betting in California

As of, 2025, California has not introduced state-regulated sports betting, remaining one of a few states without a domestic framework for retail or online wagering. However, California residents can legally participate in sports betting through offshore sportsbooks, which operate outside U.S. jurisdiction and are fully accessible to bettors aged 18 and older in the state. Platforms, such as Bovada, BetOnline, and BetUS, offer a robust betting experience, covering NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, NCAA sports, and niche markets like esports and horse racing, all legally available to Californians.

Why Hasn’t California Regulated Sports Betting?

California’s complex gambling landscape, shaped by tribal gaming compacts, card rooms, and the state lottery, has hindered efforts to legalize sports betting. The state’s constitution requires a voter referendum to expand gambling, and competing interests—tribal casinos, commercial operators, and anti-gambling groups—have created a stalemate. In 2022, Proposition 26 (tribal retail sports betting) and Proposition 27 (online sports betting) were rejected by voters, with 67% and 83% opposition, respectively, due to concerns about tribal sovereignty and gambling expansion. In 2025, Senate Constitutional Amendment 16, backed by Sen. Bill Dodd, proposed online and retail sports betting with a 15% tax rate, projecting $500 million in annual revenue. However, it stalled in committee, lacking the two-thirds legislative support needed for a 2026 ballot. Tribal opposition, led by the California Nations Indian Gaming Association, and disagreements over commercial operator involvement (e.g., FanDuel, DraftKings) pushed regulated betting to 2028 at the earliest. Despite this, offshore sportsbooks provide a legal and secure alternative, with Bovada leading the way for its reliability and tailored betting options for California’s sports fans.

The Rise of Offshore Sportsbooks in California

Offshore sportsbooks have become the cornerstone of sports betting in California, offering residents access to global betting markets without state restrictions. Licensed in jurisdictions like CuraƧao, Panama, and the Comoros Union, these platforms ensure fair play and secure transactions. Bovada is the top choice for its intuitive mobile interface, fast payouts, and extensive betting options, but other trusted sites like BetOnline and Bookmaker.also cater to California’s diverse sports fanbase, from Los Angeles to San Francisco.

How California Residents Are Betting on Sports Today

Californians are actively wagering through offshore sportsbooks, daily fantasy sports (DFS), and social betting apps. Below, we detail these options, spotlighting Bovada as the premier platform and including exclusive promo codes to enhance your betting experience.

1. Offshore Sportsbooks: The Best Choice for California Bettors

Offshore sportsbooks are the most popular way for California residents to bet on sports, offering extensive markets for NFL (49ers, Rams, Chargers), NBA (Lakers, Warriors, Clippers), MLB (Dodgers, Giants, Padres), NHL (Kings, Ducks, Sharks), NCAA sports (UCLA, USC, Stanford), and niche markets like UFC, golf, and esports. These platforms are legal for Californians, operating outside U.S. jurisdiction, and accept bettors aged 18+ (or 21 for some sites). Bovada stands out as the best overall sportsbook for its seamless design, competitive odds, and robust features.

Offshore Sportsbooks and Promo Codes for California

Bovada Sportsbook (Best Overall)

  • Non-Crypto Promo Code: BV1000
    • 50% First Deposit Bonus up to $1,000
    • Rollover: 5X sports
    • Min Deposit: $25
  • Crypto Promo Code: BTCSWB750
    • 75% First Deposit Bonus up to $750
    • Rollover: 5X sports, 5X horse, 30X casino
    • Min Deposit: $20
  • Available in California (excludes DE, MD, NJ, NY, NV, CO, MI).
  • Why Choose Bovada? Bovada’s mobile-optimized platform, fee-free crypto payouts (1-hour processing), and extensive prop bets for Lakers and Dodgers games make it the top pick. Its Parlay Booster and #WhatsYaWager feature for custom bets are ideal for new bettors.

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BetOnline Sportsbook

  • Bank Card Promo Code: FREE250
    • 50% First Deposit Bonus up to $250
    • Rollover: 1X
    • Min Deposit: $55
    • Additional: $250 in free bets and 100 casino spins
  • Crypto Promo Code: CRYPTO100
    • 100% First Deposit Bonus up to $1,000
    • Rollover: 14X
    • Min Deposit: $20
  • Accepts bets in all 50 states, with sharp early lines and live betting.
  • Why Choose BetOnline? Fast payouts, high betting limits, and a Prop Builder for 49ers and Warriors games. Its crypto support (Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin) is robust.

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BetUS Sportsbook

  • Promo Code: JOIN125
    • 125% Deposit Bonus up to $3,125
    • Rollover: 10X
    • Min Deposit: $100
  • Promo Code: JOIN200
    • 200% First Deposit Bonus up to $5,000
    • Rollover: 15X
    • Min Deposit: $100
  • Accepts bets in all 50 states, with BetUS TV for expert picks.
  • Why Choose BetUS? Massive bonuses and extensive college sports markets for USC and Stanford fans.

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BUSR Sportsbook (Best Racebook)

  • Promo Code: SPORTS100FP
    • 100% First Deposit Bonus up to $2,500
    • Rollover: 20X sports
    • Min Deposit: $100
  • Crypto Promo Code: 100CRYPTOP
    • 100% First Deposit Bonus up to $1,000
    • Rollover: 10X sports
    • Min Deposit: $100
  • Accepts bets in all 50 states, with premier horse racing markets.
  • Why Choose BUSR? Ideal for betting on California horse racing events at Del Mar and Santa Anita.

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MyBookie Sportsbook

  • Promo Code: MYB50
    • 50% First Deposit Bonus up to $1,000
    • Rollover: 10X sports
    • Min Deposit: $50
  • Crypto Promo Code: CRYPTO100
    • 100% First Deposit Bonus up to $1,000
    • Rollover: 10X sports
    • Min Deposit: $50
  • Available in California (excludes DE, MD, NJ, NY).
  • Why Choose MyBookie? Innovative prop bets, live streaming, and a VIP loyalty program for Kings and Giants fans.

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Sportsbetting Sportsbook

  • Bank Card Promo Code: WELCOME
    • 50% Deposit Bonus up to $250
    • Rollover: 1X
    • Min Deposit: $55
  • Crypto Promo Code: CRYPTO100
    • 100% First Deposit Bonus up to $1,000
    • Rollover: 14X
    • Min Deposit: $20
  • Accepts bets in all 50 states, with odds boosters for NHL and MLS.
  • Why Choose Sportsbetting.ag? Competitive odds and same-game parlays for LA Galaxy and San Jose Earthquakes matches.

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Bookmaker Sportsbook Best High Limit

  • Promo Code: GET100
    • 200% First Deposit Bonus up to $400
    • Rollover: 1X sports
    • Min Deposit: $100
  • Crypto Promo Code: CRYPTOBOOK
    • 100% Crypto Bonus up to $1,000
    • Rollover: 8X sports
    • Min Deposit: $50
  • Accepts bets in all 50 states, with 15-minute crypto payouts.
  • Why Choose Bookmaker.eu? High betting limits and early odds for UCLA and USC games, ideal for serious bettors.

For Poker & Casino bonuses, visit XSportsbook.

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Why Bovada Is the Best Overall Choice & earns its top spot for California bettors due to its:

  • Ease of Use: A mobile-optimized platform with intuitive navigation, perfect for betting during Lakers games or USC tailgates.
  • Market Depth: Covers 30+ sports, including NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, NCAA sports, and esports like League of Legends, with custom prop bets via #WhatsYaWager.
  • Bonuses: The BTCSWB750 crypto bonus (75% up to $750) has a low 5X rollover, and the Parlay Booster enhances multi-leg bets.
  • Reputation: Trusted since 2011, with fee-free crypto payouts (1-hour processing) and 24/7 support via chat and community forums.
  • Live Betting: Real-time wagering with streaming for Dodgers games and early cashout options.

How Offshore Sportsbooks Work

  • Accessibility: Licensed offshore, these platforms legally accept California bettors without state restrictions.
  • Betting Options: Include moneyline bets, point spreads, over/unders, prop bets (e.g., LeBron James points), futures, and live betting on events like the Rose Bowl or World Series.
  • Mobile Optimization: Bovada and others offer browser-based platforms for iOS and Android, mimicking app functionality without downloads.
  • Payment Methods: Accept credit cards, cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin), and P2P transfers like PayPal, with bonuses tied to payment types (e.g., Bovada’s BTCSWB750).

Benefits and Considerations

  • Benefits: Offshore sites offer lower fees, higher bonuses (e.g., BetUS’s $5,000 JOIN200), and global markets not available in regulated states. Bovada’s -110 odds on NFL spreads often beat domestic books’ -115.
  • Considerations: Lack of U.S. oversight requires choosing reputable platforms like Bovada or Bookmaker.eu. Review rollover requirements (e.g., BUSR’s 20X for SPORTS100FP) to ensure bonus viability.

How to Bet Safely with Offshore Sportsbooks

  1. Select Trusted Platforms: Bovada is the top choice, followed by BetOnline and Bookmaker with strong reputations.
  2. Use Promo Codes: Apply codes like BV1000 (Bovada) or GET100 (Bookmaker) to claim bonuses.
  3. Secure Payments: Prefer cryptocurrencies for faster, fee-free transactions.
  4. Understand Terms: Check rollover requirements (e.g., BetUS’s 15X for JOIN200).
  5. Gamble Responsibly: Set budgets and use resources like the California Department of Public Health Office of Problem Gambling (1-800-GAMBLER) or 1-800-GAMBLER for support.

2. Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS):

A Legal AlternativeDFS is legal in California, as it is classified as a skill-based game under state law. Platforms like DraftKings, FanDuel, PrizePicks, Underdog Fantasy, and Betr Picks offer contests resembling sports betting, such as “pick’em” games predicting player stats (e.g., Anthony Davis points).

  • How DFS Works: Players draft teams or make prop-style predictions, with winnings based on performance. Legal for ages 19+.
  • Why It’s Popular: Regulated, user-friendly, and accessible, with bonuses like PrizePicks’ $50 instant bonus (code: BUSA) for a $5 lineup.
  • Availability: Widely available, with platforms poised to transition if California regulates sports betting.

3. Social Betting Apps:

Social betting apps like Fliff and Thrillzz operate under a sweepstakes model, making them legal in California.

  • Fliff: Uses Fliff Coins (for fun) and Fliff Cash (redeemable for prizes), offering moneyline, spread, and totals bets. New users can claim up to 600,000 Fliff Coins and $100 Fliff Cash.
  • Thrillzz: Offers free entries and a $100 deposit bonus (code: BUSA), legal due to no real-money stakes.
  • Why Choose Social Apps? Low-risk, engaging alternatives with betting-like experiences, though payouts are limited to prizes.

4. Traveling to Neighboring States

California residents near borders can bet in Nevada (online and retail), Arizona (mobile since 2021), or Oregon (tribal retail and limited online). Geolocation restricts mobile betting to state lines, making offshore sportsbooks a more practical choice for most Californians.

See detailed information about Sportsbooks around the US at XSportsbook.com

5. Horse Racing Betting

California permits pari-mutuel wagering on horse racing at venues like Santa Anita Park, Del Mar, and through offshore platforms like BUSR and Bovada. Bovada’s extensive horse racing markets, including live races and futures for the Breeders’ Cup, make it a top choice for California bettors.Popular Betting Markets for California Bettors

California’s sports culture drives demand for specific betting markets on offshore sportsbooks like Bovada:

  • NFL: The 49ers, Rams, and Chargers fuel prop bets like first touchdown scorer or total points. Bovada’s -110 odds on 49ers spreads are competitive.
  • NBA: The Lakers, Warriors, and Clippers, led by stars like LeBron James and Stephen Curry, drive player prop bets. BetUS’s JOIN125 enhances NBA parlay value.
  • MLB: The Dodgers’ World Series odds (+400 in 2025) and Giants games are staples on Bookmaker.eu.
  • NHL: The Kings, Ducks, and Sharks spark live betting interest, with Sportsbetting ag offering dynamic odds.
  • NCAA Sports: UCLA and USC games, especially the Victory Bell rivalry, draw moneyline and spread bets. Bovada’s Bruins futures (+1000 for March Madness) are popular.
  • MLS: LA Galaxy and San Jose Earthquakes matches drive bets on match outcomes, available on Bovada.
  • Esports: California’s esports hubs (e.g., Los Angeles) fuel bets on League of Legends and CS:GO, with MyBookie leading.

The Future of Sports Betting in California

While offshore sportsbooks like Bovada dominate, California’s path to regulated betting is progressing, with potential for a 2028 ballot. A California Gaming Control Commission could oversee mobile and retail betting, with tax revenue (estimated at $500 million annually) funding education and problem gambling programs. Tribal casinos may partner with operators like FanDuel and DraftKings, but for now, offshore platforms provide a legal, reliable betting experience.

Start Betting in California Today

California’s sports betting landscape thrives in 2025 through legal offshore sportsbooks, with Bovada leading as the best overall platform for its seamless interface, competitive odds, and bonuses like BTCSWB750 (75% up to $750). Other trusted sites, such as BetOnline (CRYPTO100), BetUS (JOIN125), and Bookmaker (GET100), offer diverse markets for 49ers, Lakers, and esports. Legal alternatives like DFS (DraftKings, PrizePicks) and social apps (Fliff) provide additional engagement, but offshore sportsbooks remain the premier choice for real-money wagering.

As California navigates regulated betting, offshore platforms ensure bettors can start today with confidence. Choose Bovada for its unmatched experience, apply promo codes to maximize value, and bet responsibly. Whether wagering on the Rose Bowl or the World Series, California’s sports betting era is here.For more bonuses, visit XSportsbook. Stay updated on California’s gambling laws at CA.gov

Contact the California Department of Public Health Office of Problem Gambling (1-800-GAMBLER) for support.


The Daily Market Flux - Your Complete Market Rundown (07/18/2025)

Market Flux is the new standard in financial news aggregation, we’re committed to providing you with a complete, real-time view of the financial world.

Our platform aggregates and organizes all relevant market news, helping you stay informed, up-to-date, and knowledgeable without spending hours sifting through headlines.

Reinvented to keep you in control, it's where your edge begins with better information. Go from market noise to clarity in seconds with a real-time platform built to redefine how traders and investors digest financial news.

Visit www.marketflux.io

Here is Your Complete Market Rundown (07/18/2025):

Company News

Netflix, Inc. (NFLX)

Performance Overview

1D Change:  -5.1%

5D Change:  -2.87%

News Volume:  206

Unusual Volume Factor:  1x

Netflix Beats Earnings Expectations but Stock Dips Amid Growth Concerns

Netflix has reported strong second-quarter earnings for 2025, beating Wall Street expectations and raising its revenue guidance for the year. The streaming giant's success was largely driven by the final season of the global phenomenon "Squid Game," which helped rack up 122 million views, making it the most popular non-English show in Netflix's history.

Full coverage of $NFLX on MarketFlux.io

Chevron Corporation (CVX)

Performance Overview

1D Change:  -0.89%

5D Change:  -3.38%

News Volume:  174

Unusual Volume Factor:  7x

Chevron Triumphs in Exxon Legal Battle, Secures $53 Billion Hess Acquisition

In a major development for the oil industry, Chevron has emerged victorious in a long-running legal battle with Exxon Mobil, paving the way for its $53 billion acquisition of Hess Corporation. The dispute, which centered around rights to Guyana's lucrative Stabroek Block oil assets, was resolved through arbitration, with a panel of three arbitrators ruling in favor of Chevron and Hess.

Full coverage of $CVX on MarketFlux.io

Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM)

Performance Overview

1D Change:  -3.48%

5D Change:  -6.61%

News Volume:  130

Unusual Volume Factor:  10x

Chevron Triumphs in Exxon Legal Battle, Sealing $53 Billion Hess Acquisition

In a landmark decision, Chevron has emerged victorious in a high-stakes arbitration battle against ExxonMobil, paving the way for Chevron's long-delayed $53 billion acquisition of Hess Corporation. This ruling, delivered by a panel of three arbitrators, marks the end of a 20-month legal dispute and allows Chevron to proceed with one of the largest oil industry deals in recent years.

Full coverage of $XOM on MarketFlux.io

3m Company (MMM)

Performance Overview

1D Change:  -3.65%

5D Change:  -1.67%

3M Surges on Q2 Earnings Beat and Raised Guidance, Easing Tariff Concerns

3M Company (NYSE: MMM) released its Q2 2025 earnings report, delivering a strong performance that exceeded Wall Street expectations. The company reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.16, surpassing the estimated $2.01. Revenue for the quarter came in at $6.3 billion, beating the forecast of $6.1 billion. This impressive showing was driven by robust organic sales growth and the success of 3M's eXcellence operating model.

Full coverage of $MMM on MarketFlux.io

Macro Events

EU Approves 18th Sanctions Package Against Russia, Lowers Oil Price Cap

The European Union has approved its 18th sanctions package against Russia in response to the ongoing war in Ukraine. This latest round of measures, agreed upon by EU member states, includes a significant reduction in the G7 price cap for Russian crude oil to approximately $47.6 per barrel.

Trump Demands 1% Interest Rate, Claims U.S. Deserves Lower Rates

President Donald Trump makes a bold statement regarding interest rates. He repeatedly asserts that the United States deserves a 1% interest rate, emphasizing his stance on monetary policy.

Consumer Sentiment Hits Five-Month High as Inflation Expectations Ease

The University of Michigan's preliminary July consumer sentiment index has shown a notable improvement, reaching 61.8. This figure surpasses both the previous month's 60.7 and the forecasted 61.4, marking a five-month high since February. The increase reflects a cautious yet growing optimism among U.S. consumers.

Major Banks Revise Interest Rate Cut Forecasts for Bank of England and ECB

Major financial institutions are revising their forecasts for central bank interest rate policies. Goldman Sachs and Citigroup now predict the Bank of England will begin sequential rate cuts in November 2025, continuing until March 2026. Goldman Sachs expects a terminal rate of 3%.

Markets Struggle as Asian Countries Navigate U.S. Tariff Negotiations

Markets are under pressure today, but financial experts anticipates a short-term recovery. The stock market has cracked, with Axis Bank shares experiencing a significant decline.

Crypto Events

Trump Signs Landmark Stablecoin Bill, Propelling Crypto Market to $4 Trillion

In a landmark moment for the cryptocurrency industry, President Donald Trump signed the GENIUS Act (S.1582) into law on July 18, 2025. This historic legislation marks the first major U.S. crypto regulation, focusing primarily on stablecoins. The bill, which passed through Congress earlier in the day, establishes a federal framework for U.S. dollar-pegged stablecoins, mandating issuer licensing, reserve requirements, audits, and consumer protections.

Trump Set to Sign Crypto Bills Amid Controversy Over Nvidia's China Chip Sales and Fed Criticism

President Trump is set to sign several significant bills into law today, including the Anti-CBDC Act, Clarity Act, and the 'Genius Act' for stablecoins. The signing ceremony is scheduled for 2:30 PM EST at the White House, marking a major victory for cryptocurrency advocates.

Bit Digital Boosts Ethereum Holdings, Stock Climbs

Bit Digital Inc. expands its Ethereum holdings to approximately 120,000 ETH, reinforcing its treasury strategy.

Trump Endorses Crypto, Touts Benefits for Dollar and Nation

President Trump expresses strong support for cryptocurrency, stating it will thrive under his administration.

XRP Skyrockets to Record High, Outpacing Bitcoin as Analysts Eye $4+ Target

XRP, Ripple's cryptocurrency, has surged to a new all-time high, outperforming Bitcoin with a staggering 277% year-over-year gain. The token's market cap has nearly doubled since 2018, attracting significant investor interest.

Charles Schwab Enters Crypto Market with Bitcoin and Ethereum Trading Services

Charles Schwab, the $10 trillion asset manager, is set to launch Bitcoin and Ethereum trading services. The CEO confirmed this move, signaling a major step towards crypto adoption in traditional finance.

Coinbase Stock Soars to All-Time High, UBS Reaches 52-Week Peak

Coinbase stock ($COIN) has reached a new all-time high, surpassing its previous peak since its 2021 IPO. This milestone comes during a strong "Crypto Week."

Geopolitics Events

Trump Escalates Trade Tensions, Demands Up to 20% Tariff on EU Goods

In a significant development in U.S.-EU trade relations, President Donald Trump has escalated his demands in ongoing negotiations with the European Union. According to reports from the Financial Times, Trump is pushing for a minimum tariff of 15-20% on all goods imported from the EU. This move marks a fresh escalation in his "America First" trade agenda and reflects his ongoing aggressive stance on international trade.

Trump's $2 Billion Alcatraz Prison Plan Sparks Debate Amid AI Push and Global Trade Tensions

President Donald Trump's ambitious plan to reopen Alcatraz as a maximum-security federal prison is making headlines. According to Axios, the project could cost up to $2 billion, with Trump's team exploring various options including a $1 billion scaled-back version and a full rebuild that would demolish existing structures.

Trump Demands Epstein Document Release, Zelenskiy Seeks Momentum in Russia Talks

President Trump has called for the release of additional documents related to the Jeffrey Epstein investigation, following a Wall Street Journal article. He directed Bondi to release some case documents and threatened legal action against WSJ and Murdoch.

House Narrowly Approves Trump-Backed $9 Billion Cut to Public Broadcasting and Foreign Aid

The Republican-controlled U.S. House of Representatives has narrowly passed a bill cutting $9 billion from public broadcasting and foreign aid. The measure, backed by President Donald Trump, was approved with a vote of 216-213, paving the way for Trump to sign it into law.

US Oil and Gas Rig Count Surges, Led by Natural Gas Drilling Boom

Baker Hughes reports a significant increase in US oil and gas rigs, the first rise in 12 weeks. The total rig count jumped to 544 from 537.

Trump Administration Brokers Major Prisoner Swap with Venezuela and El Salvador

In a significant diplomatic move, the Trump administration has orchestrated a large-scale prisoner swap involving Venezuela and El Salvador. The Maduro government has freed 80 political prisoners and 10 detained Americans.

China Outlines Ambitious Trade Plans Amid US-China Trade Tensions

China's Commerce Minister has made several significant statements regarding the country's trade and economic strategies. The minister emphasized China's robust trade resilience and momentum, highlighting that policy support for exports has defied trends amid complex external challenges.

G-20 Seeks Consensus Amid Trump Tariff Tensions, Global Trade Impacts Unfold

G-20 finance leaders are nearing consensus on a communique despite tensions over Trump's tariffs. The trade war impacts various sectors, from Champagne to Walmart prices.

Stock Markets Events

S&P 500 and Nasdaq Post Weekly Gains Amid Mixed Market Close

U.S. stock markets closed mixed on Friday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq booking weekly gains despite a day of fluctuations. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.32% to 44,343.18, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq ended relatively flat, closing at 6,295.91 and 20,892.06 respectively.

Nifty Plunges Below 25,000 as Markets Tumble; Netflix Grapples with Growth Dilemma

The Nifty index has fallen below the crucial 25,000 mark, signaling a bearish market sentiment. The Sensex is also down by 500 points, prompting analysis of the market meltdown on NDTV Profit.

Technology Events

AI Boom Reshapes Tech Landscape as Companies Secure Massive Deals and Funding

In a flurry of AI-related news, the tech industry is experiencing significant developments and market shifts. Blaize Holdings has secured a massive $120 million contract for AI infrastructure in Asia, causing their stock to soar. This deal, targeting smart cities across five Asian markets, expands Blaize's technology into a $112 billion market opportunity.

Meta Rejects EU's AI Code of Practice, Citing Overreach

Meta has refused to sign the European Union's voluntary AI code of practice, becoming the first major tech company to decline.

Blaize Holdings Skyrockets on $120M Asian AI Infrastructure Deal

Blaize Holdings ($BZAI) has secured a massive $120 million contract with Starshine Computing, causing its stock to soar over 100% in pre-market trading. The deal aims to deploy hybrid AI infrastructure across five Asian markets, targeting the $112 billion smart cities sector.

Fixed Income And Interest Rates Events

Central Banks Navigate Interest Rate Decisions Amid Economic Uncertainties

The financial landscape is buzzing with interest rate developments and market predictions. The Czech Republic plans to maintain stable interest rates due to high inflation. Meanwhile, the Bank of England is expected to reduce rates twice this year, with further cuts projected for 2026.

Treasury Secretary Bessent Optimistic About US-Japan Trade Deal Prospects

US Treasury Secretary Bessent expresses optimism about future trade talks with Japan. He emphasizes that a trade deal remains possible, but stresses the importance of quality over speed.

Treasury Yields Fall as Foreign Inflows to U.S. Assets Weaken

U.S. Treasury yields are experiencing a downward trend today. The 10-year yield initially fell 3 basis points to 4.434% following housing starts data, but later extended its decline to 4.426%. The two-year yield also dropped, reaching 3.865%.

Japan Addresses Bond Market Concerns as U.S. Remains Hopeful for Trade Deal

Japan's Finance Minister Kato addresses market concerns over bond movements, citing multiple factors. Meanwhile, the U.S. Treasury Secretary expresses optimism about a potential trade deal with Japan.

US and Mexican Leaders Call for Interest Rate Cuts

House Speaker Mike Johnson advocates for reducing interest rates to boost the economy, as reported by CNBC.

Earnings Events

American Express Beats Q2 Profit Expectations on Strong Consumer Spending

American Express reports strong Q2 performance, surpassing profit expectations.

Truist Financial Reports Mixed Q2 Results, Reaffirms Outlook

Truist Financial's Q2 results show mixed performance. While beating revenue estimates and reporting higher interest income, the company missed on earnings.

Real Estate Events

Housing Starts Surge, Building Permits Edge Up as U.S. Housing Market Shows Resilience

The U.S. housing market showed signs of resilience in June, with housing starts and building permits surpassing expectations. Housing starts rose by 4.6% month-on-month to an annualized rate of 1.321 million homes, beating estimates of a 3.5% increase and rebounding from a revised 9.7% drop in May.

Real Estate Sector Buzzes with Analyst Insights and Innovation

Real estate and related sectors are in focus today. Analysts weigh in on American Healthcare REIT, while Zillow's stock target remains steady.

Reckitt Strikes $4.8 Billion Deal to Sell Essential Home Unit to Advent

Reckitt announces the sale of its Essential Home unit to Advent International in a deal valued at up to $4.8 billion.

Oil And Gas Events

US Oil and Gas Rig Count Surges, Led by Natural Gas Drilling Boom

Baker Hughes reports a significant increase in US oil and gas rigs, the first rise in 12 weeks. The total rig count jumped to 544 from 537.

UK and EU Slash Oil Price Cap as India Warns of Potential Price Surge

The UK and EU have announced a significant reduction in the crude oil price cap, lowering it from $60 to $47.60 per barrel. This move aims to impact Russian oil revenues.

California Governor Proposes Easing Oil Drilling Permit Process

California Governor Newsom proposes easing permits for oil drilling in the state.

Utilities Sector Heats Up as Energy Markets Stabilize; Talen Stock Soars on Strategic Acquisitions

The utilities sector is experiencing a breakout, with energy markets showing signs of stabilization. Talen's stock surges following plant purchases, reflecting market excitement about the company's strategic moves in gas and nuclear energy.

Healthcare Events

Pharma Giants Viatris and Bristol Myers Face Clinical Trial Setbacks

Two major pharmaceutical companies faced setbacks in their clinical trials today.

Sarepta Shares Nosedive Amid Gene Therapy Trial Deaths

Sarepta Therapeutics' shares plummet following reports of a third patient death this year in an early-stage gene therapy trial.

Metals Events

China Slams Canada's Steel Tariffs, Threatens Countermeasures

China strongly criticizes Canada's new steel tariffs, claiming they violate World Trade Organization rules. The Chinese Embassy in Ottawa asserts that these duties on Chinese imported steel are discriminatory.

Environment Events

Israel Extends Humanitarian Aid to Syrian Druze Community

Israel's Foreign Minister orders humanitarian aid for Druze in Syria's Suwayda region.

Corporate Actions Events

Vivendi Denies EU Allegations of Premature Lagardere Takeover

The European Commission has issued a statement of objections to Vivendi, accusing the company of potentially breaching merger rules in its acquisition of Lagardere. The EU regulatory body alleges that Vivendi may have implemented the acquisition before receiving official merger approval.

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