Monday, May 4, 2020

For Trading May 5th

Oil Starts Down But Ends Higher

FAANGS Rally

Today’s market got off to a lower start but after the first 15 minutes it was pretty clear that we were headed for a relatively quiet and short-range day. The range for the DJIA was a “mere” 400 points and the close was +26.07 (.11%) and just 20 off the high. The NASDAQ was where most of the action took place with rallies in AMZN, AAPL, NFLX and TSLA and a final +105.76 (1.23%). The S&P 500 was +12.03 (.42%) and the Russell +3.49 (.28%) and the DJ Transports was the big loser -163.90 (2.01%). Market internals were mixed with the NYSE 15:13 down while NAZ was 17:15 Up. Volume was on the light side. The DJIA was 17 down and 13 higher. There were no major gainers or losers.

Our “open forum” on Discord, which allows me to interact with subscribers and others to allow direct questions and chart opinions on just about any stock, continues to grow with more participants every day. It is informative and allows me to share insights as the market is open and moving. The link is: https://discord.gg/ATvC7YZ and I will be there and active from before the open and all day. It’s a great place to share ideas and gain some insights, and we’ve grown to almost 1900 members. I also did this video titled “How to survive being an options trader and not blow up your account,” over the long weekend. I think it’s very informative as a guide to stock selection and option choices. The link is https://youtu.be/Y7H9RpWfLlo Enjoy!!

Tonight’s closing comment video https://youtu.be/bObD610XIiE

SECTORS: Earnings played a part in today’s market. J Crew and HTZ are talking about bankruptcy, but neither traded in after hours. SBUX didn’t actually report but did say that they were opening 98% of their China shops and those in the U.S. as soon as possible. After closing $71.89 -1.90 it moved slightly higher to 73.60 1.71. AIG reported but the stock did nothing while Shake Shack: SHAK missed on revenues but beat on earnings and after closing $52.77 +1.07 moved slightly higher to $55.42 it finished $53.50 + just .73. The last name on the list was the biggest winner, Chegg: CHGG closed $43.79 +1.43 (3.38%) beat on both top and bottom lines and gave great guidance. It ran to $51.37 and closed there +6.95 (15.81%).

FOOD SUPPLY: was LOWER with TSN -4.18 (6.97%), BGS +.32, FLO -.32, CAG +.14, MDLZ -.84, KHC -.58, CALM +1.06, JJSF -1.97, SAFM -.95 and LANC -.08.

BIOPHARMA: was HIGHER with BIIB +3.43, ABBV -.98, REGN +16.60, ISRG +3.13, GILD -.15, MYL +.39, TEVA -.32, VRTX +9.79, BHC -.39, INCY +3.69, ICPT +1.64, LABU +5.03 (14.84%) and IBB $124.30 +3.40 (2.81%).

CANNABIS: This group was HIGHER with TLRY +.40, CGC +.56, CRON +.18, GWPH +4.88, ACB +.001, PYX +1.28 (51.61%), NBEV +.05, CURLF -.02, KERN -.08 and MJ $11.95 +.40 (3.46%).

DEFENSE: was LOWER with LMT -3.47, GD -3.30, TXT -.58, NOC -6.05, BWXT -.65, TRX -1,86, and ITA $147.44 -2.97 (1.97%).

RETAIL was MIXED with M -.07, JWN +2.38, KSS -.15, DDS -.41, JCP +.002, WMT +.88, TGT +3.22, TJX -.55, RL -1.22, UAA +.18, LULU -.03, TPR -.56, CPRI +.11 and XRT $35.85 +.19 (.53%).

FAANG and Big Cap: were HIGHER with GOOGL +4.70, AMZN +21.91, AAPL +4.59, FB +2.93, NFLX +13.10, NVDA +8.57, TSLA +67.68, BABA -2.28, BIDU -1.42, CMG -1.05, BA -2.02, CAT -3.42, DIS -3.42 and XLK $90.09 +1.18 (1.33%).

FINANCIALS were LOWER with GS -1.07, JPM -.75, BAC -.13, MS -.30, C -.33, PNC -1.95, AIG -.01, TRV +1.32, AXP -1.56, V +1.12, and XLF $21.86 -.20 (.91%).

OIL, $20.39 + .61. Oil was lower overnight (18.80) but rallied and moved higher (21.42) before closing higher. Tonight, it is higher again trading $21.59 +1.20. The stocks were higher$37.09 +1.24 (3.46%).r with the market. XLE closed $38.00 -.86 (2.21%).

METALS, GOLD: $1,713.30 +12.40. After the recent gains, Gold broke solidly above $1,700 and traded as high as $1788 last Wednesday. I said I wanted to get long the GLD if we can probe the $1710 range, and when it traded $17.04 yesterday, I was a buyer. Our calls fell back to .75. We are also long NEM.

BITCOIN: closed $8935 +95. After we traded in the uptrend, I mentioned this weekend that I felt we would have to test 6750 and yesterday we hit 6465 before turning back up. Today’s action was a continuing move higher with a high of 9560. While I want to add the 350, I still want to wait and see some stabilization. We still own 400 GBTC with an average of $8.06. GBTC closed $9.98 +.51 today.

Tomorrow is another day.

CAM



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