Thursday, December 24, 2020

[Daily Discussion] Friday, December 25, 2020

Thread topics include, but are not limited to:

  • General discussion related to the day's events
  • Technical analysis, trading ideas & strategies
  • Quick questions that do not warrant a separate post

Thread guidelines:

  • Be excellent to each other.
  • Do not make posts outside of the daily thread for the topics mentioned above.

Other ways to interact:


[Altcoin Discussion] Friday, December 25, 2020

Thread topics include, but are not limited to:

  • Discussion related to recent events
  • Technical analysis, trading ideas & strategies
  • General questions about altcoins

Thread guidelines:

  • Be excellent to each other.
  • All regular rules for this subreddit apply, except for number 2. This, and only this, thread is exempt from the requirement that all discussion must relate to bitcoin trading.
  • This is for high quality discussion of altcoins. All shilling or obvious pumping/dumping behavior will result in an immediate one day ban. This is your only warning.
  • No discussion about specific ICOs. Established coins only.

If you're not sure what kind of discussion belongs in this thread, here are some example posts. News, TA, and sentiment analysis are great, too.

Other ways to interact:


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  • USA/CA/UK/LATINO/PPV/SPORTS

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  • Sky Sports, Bein Sports, DAZN, NBA, MLB, MLS, NFL, EPL, BIG 10, PAC 12, Motorsports, BT Sports, ESPN Plus, UFC, WWE, Cricket, Bowling, Racing

  • HBO, Cinemax, Showtime, Starz, Epix, Movie Plex, Sky Cinema and more!

  • VIP channels

  • PPV

  • Adults

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  • Need to have a solid internet connection. 25mbps or greater with no throttle.

  • A proper device maintained on a weekly basis.

  • Solid uptime

    • No IP Lock
    • Loaded EPG

COMPATIBLE ON ALL DEVICES

  • Android (TIvimate, Smarters, etc)

  • Apple (GSE)

  • Samsung

  • Firestick 4K

  • Roku (Smarters developer app)

  • MAG/ Enigma

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  • 10 usd for 2 connections

  • 16 usd for 4 connections

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Talk about my stupid experience of being scammed by Apple account merchants

I know that buying an accounts is not good, but test light has caused a lot of inconvenience to our work due to the inability to review it all the time, so I have the idea of ​​buying an account. Here is my story:

  1. my small team needs an Apple enterprise developer account for internal team use. Due to the problem of certification review, the application has not been applied. Then I came up with the idea of buying an account from someone else.
  2. I found a guy on Playerup who claimed to have an account. I got in touch with him on Whatsapp, and we agreed, and he gave me his Paypal account, and I paid with Paypal.
  3. It was my first time to use PayPal, so the bank had to review it for some time before the money could be sent to the seller. So the seller jumped at the chance and said he wouldn't send me the Apple account until the money arrived. I foolishly agreed.
  4. After half a day, I called the customer service of PayPal. The customer service said that the money had already arrived at the merchant. I went back to ask the merchant, the merchant at the beginning of excuses, said the money is coming, and put forward the account is not his, he is just a sales service for his boss. He said his boss didn't agree with the price and raised it. When I heard this, I was very angry and argued with him for hours.
  5. Later, I did not agree to increase the price, and proposed the dispute compensation on PayPal. Therefore, I was unfamiliar with it for the first time, and it was on the weekend. After contacting customer service for one day, I knew that I needed to apply for compulsory compensation, and PayPal started to deal with it.
  6. Because Paypal was slow in processing and the seller's Paypal account was an email account, I sent an email to argue with it during this period. The reply I received in the email was that this account is not the seller's account and the account owner is not aware of it. Later, I was very worried. I sent another email to contact him, but he did not reply me. I spent several days searching for the owner of this email in a number of ways.
  7. Finally I tracked him down and after some questioning he told me the truth. He told me he didn't know about the deal, that it was made by his friend, that he was a third party. I transferred the money to his Paypal account, and then he sent it to his friend with bitcoin. He's just a fee earner. He doesn't know the deal. When I pressed him again, he said that they were still only online friends, not real friends.

  8. Hearing that I was a fool, I found that I had been cheated. The same goes for the paypal account. Of course, I doubt the account's owner version of events. But now I have no way to be sure. I used whatsapp to contact the seller. The seller was arguing all the time. I said I would call the police and arrest him, but he seemed indifferent. Finally, I contacted the paypal account owner, and he told me that he had called the police and submitted the information I had provided.

  9. Now I am not in a good mood. I know it is wrong for me to buy an account, but I can't do anything because of apple's review. Now I'm depressed. I've lost a lot of money. I don't want to work anymore. I even wanted to set myself on fire.

  10. I hope you can give me some advice. I don't know what to do now. I hope the police can bring this swindler to justice.


Question about HD wallets

I’ve been around the Bitcoin circle since 2014. I’ve done some buying and selling of BTC and even tried my hand at trading (not great lol). I understand the basics well but there is something that I just can’t wrap my brain around. Considering recent events and the regulation of Bitcoin that the US wants to impose, like requiring a name be attached to a wallet that moves $10k worth of Bitcoin, how does that affect an HD wallet? Would the info be stuck on every set of keys that wallet generates or would it be just on the set that moves money into the exchange?

Sorry for the dumb question, but in my mind your personal info, if collected, would be on one set of keys that you should never use again. I make 99% of my transactions from a Trezor and I don’t see how this new law would affect my holdings. Please educate me. Thanks!


What is this about options expiring on the 25th (tomorrow)?

There has been many comments that this event will have a big effect on the market.

Some people are saying they expect a fall in price of about 30%, others say the exact opposite and believe we will hit 26000 tomorrow because this event.

I don’t know what options even are, but the absolute split on opinions confuses me more.

What is this about, and what do you guys predict will happen to the price of Bitcoin due to it?


MINTGOX #010 | Bitcoin Gaming Event Series

https://www.publish0x.com/crypto-gaming-news/mintgox-010-bitcoin-gaming-event-series-xjmjkko

Weekly Bitcoin Put Returns Week #3 - $1,680 Expected Profit

This is week #3 of posting progress of this strategy here in this sub. For some context, I've been bullish on Bitcoin since the March equities crash hence why I'm selling puts. I expect to remain bullish throughout 2021 as 2020 is the halving year for Bitcoin and in historical cycles the supply shock from the reduced amount of Bitcoin causes rapid and parabolic price appreciation in the year after the halving. Combine this with the fact that central banks around the world are printing trillions of dollars we have ourselves a great recipe for success for selling put options on Bitcoin. To add, most US based thetagang members are probably aware of the $900bn stim package which is currently under review as President Trump wants to increase the $600 checks to $2000. Lastly, if you are not in the Bitcoin / crypto community, one more bullish indicator has been institutional investment that has been a landmark achievement in the waiting for many years.

12/25 expected profit - $1680

This week I've focused again on the weekly expiration 12/25 as the daily expiration strikes are too close for comfort in the event of a catastrophic 30% correction which Bitcoin has seen in historic bull runs. While not shown in the screenshot, a lot of Bitcoiners are saying that institutions like Guggenheim, MicroStrategy, Square, etc provide a price floor and also reduce the likelihood of a 30% correction - however I would still sell put options with caution. At the moment, I'm targeting for strikes roughly 20% OTM, which is why most of the weight this week as you can see above was on 17k-19k strike zone with me scaling into smaller position sizes for anything over 19k to capture some juice. You'll also notice some small positions on the dailies like 12/23 which collected $60 in premium yesterday (these daily positions are significantly less as for the reasons I mentioned above).

Understanding this is primarily a put options selling sub, you'll also notice:

(1) I'm long 1.8x 6/25/21 24k calls as well - I've excluded this from my selling P&L

(2) I'm short 14x 12/25/20 32k calls - I've included this in my P&L

Why am I selling calls in a bull market? Last week when Bitcoin punched through 20k with full force, Moonbois were driving the premiums for 32k and 36k calls through the roof. I could not resist selling these despite the momentum as blasting through 20k and skipping straight into the 30k zone was not something I believed was likely as profit taking and some consolidation was expected to happen at all-time-high price levels. Moonboi = Bitcoiners who believe Bitcoin only has one direction, and that is up and to the moon.

BTC Whales are still depositing into exchanges, you can see this here on Chain Analysis. This is one indicator that I have my eyes glued on to detect possible whale dumps. Personally, when inflows to exchanges are greater than 90k - this is a "warning - sell with caution" zone. The reason for this is because whales typically only deposit to exchanges to sell their Bitcoin. If you look at 11/26 inflows (about 150k Bitcoin) and match that to price action on the Bitcoin charts, you will see there was a considerable price correction at those times when this indicator flashed above 100k. Please do not get your account blown up due to a whale dump when this indicator is public blockchain data and free to use.

11/26 inflows - 150k BTC

Bitcoin price action on 11/26

11/26 - 16.59% price correction

That's it for this week, I hope everyone stays healthy and warm as we break off for the holidays. If you have any questions, please consider commenting as I had so many DMs last week which I did not expect and could not respond to. Your question might be someone else's and having it shown for everyone is better than having it private in the DM. Its great to see a lot of Bitcoiners in this sub!


Community Guidelines

Preface

Welcome to r/CryptoMonitor. Please take some time to read the guidelines listed herein before engaging with the subreddit. Unlike other communities, which host a variety of content, this subreddit will cater only to the regulatory environment surrounding cryptocurrency. This includes only significant legislation and events within G20 countries (with a heavier focus on G7 countries) as they relates to the cryptocurrency space.

Moderation

Unfortunately, this subreddit will be moderated very tightly, but that doesn't mean we don't want you here. This subreddit's goal is for any individual to be able to quickly pop their head in, and see how potential policy [or policies] could affect their holdings.

Expectations & Posts

Posts should not contain any opinion[s].

For example, the recent legislation from FinCEN involving private wallets. An acceptable post summarizes the policy in a few bullet points, and preferably links the press release (typically inclusive of the PDF link), and the PDF link. Posts themselves should contain absolutely nothing but the professional commentary therein. Posts should be short enough that people can read them in under five to ten minutes. If people care, they can visit the linked press release. If people care enough, they can either read the entire linked PDF, or they can read the various policy interpretations from media outlets. The proposals/policies should be meaningful to [all of] the cryptocurrency space. For the most part, unless the cryptocurrency has a large market capitalization (>$10B), the policies discussed should be relevant to the entire cryptocurrency environment. For example, a post about a press release titled "ECB: The European Central Bank is favorable of Dash" will be deleted. An acceptable post would even include the (very recent story of the) SEC charging Ripple's executives. Given the influence of Ripple, it is important to follow these events. Typically, professional commentary will not be conditional in nature, that is, there should not be an "if-then" element to them. We want to stay away from speculation, and look to post on real-time releases. For example, even if the commentary is from a reputable source but is as follows, "XRP Executives being charged is not good for other Cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin." The post will most likely be deleted.

This subreddit is committed to maintaining the highest level of integrity, and interaction within r/CryptoMonitor, should be relatively indifferent. This is not to say your opinion is wrong, but the goal is to have an informed community.

The comment sections will [almost always] be open for discussion, but low-effort posts will be discarded; as will comments that are critical. Again, your opinion may be correct, but the goal of this subreddit is not to agree, it is to be informed on the regulatory environment. Unacceptable comments include, "this is so ridiculous, the government can't infringe on private wallets." Not only is that comment your opinion, but it is low effort. Acceptable comments might include, and even the following example is tainted with some opinion; "This will definitely discourage the widespread development and application of cryptocurrency. Given what happened to Ledger, it is unsettling to imagine the government with all of this information."

Said Best,

This subreddit can be an amazing resource for you to learn about the economy without additional media spin, sensationalism, or selective reporting. However, to preserve the integrity of the subreddit strict moderation is necessary. Reddit is a large and diversified place so should you take issue with these guidelines then there may be more appropriate subreddits for you to participate in. We welcome all readers but we do not intend to cater to the masses of Reddit.


Lookout: the biggest Bitcoin contract option is going to expire on Christmas Day

According to Data Analytics firm: Skew, Bitcoin is headed for Christmas day volatility. A Bitcoin option contract worth huge amounts is set to expire on 25th December 2020. How huge you ask? The option contracts are in fact of the biggest amount recorded to date. The contract will execute a call or put of 100,000 Bitcoins. In today’s trading price it is worth $2.3 Billion!

https://preview.redd.it/oy5xvgj7u4761.png?width=700&format=png&auto=webp&s=db11743a3bbf96848e6651da69ae46007b3cec60

Bitcoin Option Contact explained in brief

A Bitcoin Option Contract binds two parties in an agreement. The buyer of the option contract holds the right, but not an obligation to buy or sell Bitcoin, depending on whether the buyer holds a call or a put option. The contract is executed at the strike price — the buyer of the option contract has the sole right to execute a call option to buy underlying security here Bitcoin or to execute a put option to sell Bitcoin.

Generally, investors enter the option contracts to hedge risks associated with an underlying asset. Investors enter the call option if they believe Bitcoin prices are going to go up in the future. They enter the put option on the other hand if they believe that Bitcoin prices are going to decline in the future.

Expiry of a contract is generally a volatile event for Bitcoin as even profitable traders may execute put options to receive a payout on the execution of options contract.

The market is headed for Volatility this week, but experts believe that Bitcoin will remain supported by Institutional Investments and Bull Run.

Amongst uncertainty, a multi-currency crypto payment solution XcelPay Wallet has an amazing Christmas &New Year 2020 giveaway lined up for you! Swap a minimum of $100 BTC/ETH to XcelToken Plus (XLAB) on XcelPay Wallet and stand a chance to win Ethereum worth $500! XcelToken Plus (XLAB) is an ERC-20 Token built on an Ethereum platform and comes with fantastic use-cases. Using XLAB one can book over 2.3 million hotels and 450 airlines. Download XcelPay Wallet — a universal cold wallet from the Appstore and Playstore. Participate and Win!


Weekly general discussion - December 24, 2020

Welcome to the weekly general discussion thread of /r/btcsv! Thread topics include, but are not limited to: General discussion related to the weeks events, questions that don't deserve their own thread. Please discuss prices in the Weekly Bitcoin markets and price discussion thread.


Valve's Price Control on the Hallowed Chest: Valve Losing More Dota Players

Dear Dota 2 Team at Valve and Valve,

First of all, thank you for reading this post. I appreciate it. And, please, let me begin.

This is not 20th century when people played games just to kill time. This is 21st century. Not only people play games for fun but also to participate in the game item trading economies. For the first time in history, people make money by playing games, e.g, Twitch. For the first time in history, the virtual commodities become "valuable" and a reality, e.g., Bitcoin, game cosmetic items. For the first time in history, financial institutions and services like Payoneer recognize the legitimacy of game item economies.

Valve, if you only want people to play games and buy your Dota cosmetic items, players would not stick around. I get that you want every player to get cosmetic items for dirt cheap prices. That is a good intention. But this is 21st century. Your efforts to curb the item traders and chase away the investors from the Dota 2 item market is nothing more than a foolishness and a shot in your own foot. Why would you continue dropping the Hallowed Chest even after the Diretide event? You gave us the impression it was something special and limited. You have even re-introduced the key system like CS:GO for the chest. You did it to attract players back into the game. We know. But why would you chase them away again by your trickery to keep dropping it? I know you have all the right to do so. I KNOW! But you are intentionally forgetting that this is 21st century and that.. you have to respect the game item economies.

I spent $3500 to buy 6800 chests, thinking that it was a good investment. I have many years of trading experiences in CS:GO. Before you accuse me of stupidity, I would say I don't regret a bit about investing in game items. Returns are 100 times better than stocks. I'm happy. But, Valve, why would you intentionally decide to keep dropping when, after all, you want players back in the game? I dare you people won't be in Dota 2 just to play the game. This is a 21st century with an entirely different game economy. Your forget to respect or realize that. And, you wonder why you are losing players?

Thank you for reading.

Sincerely,

Your beloved item trader.

For fellow gamers reading this out there, if you don't think the Dota 2 is losing players, please Google some articles about it. Just to let you know I'm not writing out of banality, I would give you an example article about that. Link: https://www.thegamer.com/dota-2-playerbase-dropping-matchmaking-issues/