Thursday, September 12, 2024

Market Analysis: Bitcoin and S&P Divergence - Friday 13 💀

Lately, we’ve seen the S&P 500 (SPX) break through key resistance levels, including the H4 100 MA, but Bitcoin (BTC) has failed to follow suit. This divergence is concerning, as BTC is still stuck between major resistance and support zones, with multiple moving averages coming into play:

  • H1 100 MA, H1 200 EMA, H1 300 MA are all clustered around 56.8k.
  • The H4 100 MA sits at 57.5k, while the H4 13 EMA is at 57.6k.
  • Major resistance is found at the H4 200 EMA (58.7k).

Key Levels to Watch:

  • The range of 56.8-57.6k needs to hold to prevent a more extended consolidation or a harsh downtrend rejection, especially if SPX starts pulling back.
  • On the flip side, breaking through 58.5-59.0k could give BTC the momentum to fill the gap up to the D1 100 MA.

In the meantime, the market is likely to chop in this range, with volatility expected once we see more data, particularly from the FOMC next week. The Producer Price Index (PPI) report was largely a non-event, so all eyes are now on the FOMC meeting for the next major move.

Ethereum (ETH) Outlook:

ETH is currently compressing on the H1 timeframe, mirroring BTC's lack of clear direction. Until BTC makes a decisive move, ETH is expected to follow a similar choppy path.

BTC continues to grind against the 58.2k resistance, and there’s still potential for a spike to 60-62k. However, this could turn into a bull trap, leading to a rollover and new lows, catching traders off guard.

Charts to Watch:

Stay cautious, as these levels could determine the next big move.


Debate Avoids Crypto and Bitcoin, Trump No Longer Leading on Polymarket

The first presidential debate between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris on September 10 did not address topics related to cryptocurrency or Bitcoin. Despite discussing the economy, the candidates focused on more traditional issues like foreign policy, immigration, and abortion rights. Before the debate, Trump held a narrow lead on Polymarket, a crypto-based prediction market, with a 53% chance of winning compared to Harris' 46%. However, following the debate, both candidates were tied at 49%, reflecting a seven-point shift. At the time of reporting, over $865 million had been wagered on the election outcome. On PredictIt, a non-crypto prediction market available in the U.S., Harris' chances rose to 56%, while Trump’s fell to 47% post-debate. Traditional betting markets also showed Harris with a slight edge. The debate seemed to have a negative effect on Bitcoin’s price, which dropped by about 3% from $58,000 to $56,100 after the event. Bitcoin's value later recovered to around $56,800. Notably, Bitcoin had previously experienced an 8% drop on September 6, when Trump held his largest lead on Polymarket. Although no direct discussions on crypto were made during the debate, market reactions suggest that investors are closely monitoring the election's potential impact on the crypto industry. Trump has expressed support for crypto, whereas Harris has not clearly articulated her stance on digital assets, and crypto remains absent from her policy documents.

source: https://news.nanovest.io/donald-trump/debat-tanpa-singgung-soal-kripto-and-bitcoin-trump-tak-lagi-unggul-di-polymarket


How to Start Trading: A Beginner’s Guide

Trading can be an exciting way to grow your wealth, but for beginners, it can also be intimidating. With the right approach, though, you can ease into it and start building your portfolio without too much risk. Here's a guide to help you understand the basics of how to start trading.

1. Understand the Different Types of Trading

Before you start, it’s important to know the different forms of trading available. Here are the main types:

  • Stock Trading: Buying and selling shares of companies. This is the most common form of trading, where you purchase a portion of ownership in a company.
  • Forex Trading: This involves trading currency pairs (like USD/EUR) and capitalizing on fluctuations in exchange rates.
  • Options Trading: You buy or sell the right to trade stocks at a specific price before a certain date. It’s more complex and carries higher risk but can bring substantial profits.
  • Cryptocurrency Trading: Trading digital assets like Bitcoin or Ethereum. It’s highly volatile but has gained massive popularity.
  • Commodities Trading: Trading physical assets like oil, gold, or agricultural products. This can be a great way to diversify your portfolio.

2. Set Your Financial Goals and Risk Tolerance

Before diving into trading, it's important to understand your financial goals and how much risk you're comfortable with. Are you looking for long-term investments or short-term gains? Some forms of trading are more volatile than others, so knowing your risk tolerance is key to building the right strategy.

3. Educate Yourself

The more knowledge you have, the better. There are many resources available online to help you understand the basics of trading. Study financial markets, trends, and the specific asset class you're interested in. Consider these steps:

  • Learn the fundamentals: Understand how supply and demand affect prices.
  • Study technical analysis: This involves looking at charts and using various indicators to predict market movements.
  • Follow financial news: Markets can move dramatically based on economic news, company earnings, and geopolitical events.

4. Choose a Trading Platform

You'll need to sign up for a broker or trading platform. Some popular options include:

  • E*TRADE: A great platform for stock trading with solid tools for beginners.
  • Robinhood: Known for its user-friendly interface and commission-free trading.
  • TD Ameritrade: Offers a wide range of trading tools and educational resources.
  • Binance or Coinbase: If you're interested in cryptocurrency trading.

Make sure to pick a platform that fits your trading style. Some platforms offer more advanced features, while others cater to beginners.

5. Start with a Demo Account

Before risking real money, try out your trading strategies with a demo account. This allows you to simulate real trading conditions without the financial risk. Most trading platforms offer demo accounts, so you can practice buying and selling without any pressure.

6. Start Small

When you’re ready to trade with real money, start with a small investment. Avoid jumping in with large sums right away—it's easy to lose money quickly when you’re still learning. As you get more comfortable and gain experience, you can gradually increase your investments.

7. Diversify Your Portfolio

One of the best ways to manage risk is to diversify your investments. Don’t put all your money into one stock or asset. Spread it across different stocks, commodities, or currencies. This way, if one investment goes bad, it won’t ruin your entire portfolio.

8. Create a Trading Plan

Having a solid plan is crucial for success in trading. A trading plan helps you stay disciplined, setting out clear rules for when to buy and sell, how much to invest, and how to manage risk. Stick to your plan to avoid emotional trading decisions, which can often lead to losses.

9. Keep Emotions in Check

Trading can be emotional. The ups and downs of the market might make you feel like you need to react immediately, but it’s important to stay calm and stick to your strategy. Letting fear or greed drive your decisions is a recipe for disaster. Be patient and trust your research.

10. Monitor and Learn from Your Trades

Once you’ve made some trades, track your performance. Analyze which strategies worked and which didn’t. Learning from your mistakes is one of the best ways to improve as a trader. Over time, you’ll gain more experience and develop a better understanding of the markets.

Final Thoughts

Starting your trading journey can be both exciting and challenging. With the right mindset, education, and tools, you can begin trading and slowly build your wealth. Remember to start small, manage your risk, and continue learning as you go. Trading isn't about getting rich quickly—it's about making informed decisions and growing steadily over time.


A deep dive into Kava Partner Kinetix, from the Social Mining community.

This content is inspired by the X thread of Akahilz from the Kava Hub Social Mining community

https://preview.redd.it/50cji7ufyfod1.png?width=800&format=png&auto=webp&s=57502be524de98dcef951293616d439ee7338e62

As exciting as it is, KinetixFi has had an incredible Q2 2024 that demonstrates a range of features that have set its footprint in the DeFi sector. One of the most vital developments has been the incubation of the AI Companion which seeks to help the users to have a better understanding of their needs and enable enhanced DeFi utility.

Another important innovation is the launch of the $KAI token on the KAVA Chain and KinetixFi’s further diversification in terms of the versed ecosystem. This release has increased the interaction with the Kava blockchain, providing users with new possibilities to interact with DeFi applications and leverage the powerful KAVA environment.

Because of partnership relations, the development of the KinetixFi ecosystem has been enriched by cooperation with famous projects and platforms. These joint efforts have contributed to the expansion of their services and offered more valueless including making sure the users have a full set of DeFi tools.

KinetixFi on the growth side has observed a growth that reveals a positive growth rate this is because more and more firms are adopting it and it is proving successful. Overall, users have been active on the platform and they have been introduced to new financial possibilities at the same time as they take advantage of the innovative offerings from the KinetixFi firms.

Moving to the future, KinetixFi is eyeing a great Q3 and Q4 and even more innovations are under preparation to give even more improvements in DeFi services. This is in the future endowed with promising developments where the project is focused on delivering the best solutions that open a new chapter of decentralized finance.

Integrating Social Mining elements into this constantly evolving environment is KinetixFi where the platform incentivizes community engagement; users contribute to KinetixFi development while benefiting from tokens. This focus on engagement contributes to building a more self-organised and thus community-driven project which fosters people in the DeFi sphere.

All the same, KinetixFi is one to look for as it strives to develop and provide value to its users and partners in the blockchain space. More information is expected to come in the next quarters so let’s look out for it.

https://x.com/Akahilz2/status/1814331015113920543