Sunday, November 6, 2022

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[Sun, Nov 06 2022] TL;DR — This is the top investing content you missed in the last 24 hours on Reddit

r/stocks

China quashes hopes of re-opening as health officials announce they will stick 'unswervingly' to zero-Covid policy

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Anyone else think we’ll be below 2020 prices soon? Industry Question

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If the Republicans win the midterm elections, which industries/stocks could benefit from that?

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r/StockMarket

Get ahead of the market for the week beginning November 7th by checking out my watchlist. I’ve summarized a few potential market catalysts and events that I’m most interested in. What will you be watching in the market this week? Recap/Watchlist

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📈 Celanese (CE) - Dividend Scorecard 📉 Fundamentals/DD

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Day trading question for tax time Help Needed

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r/investing

Is Fidelity a good overall investing platform?

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Credit Union with 7-Month CD @ 5% APY

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Help with configuring my Self-Employed 401K (who should make the contributions?)

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r/trakstocks

$MMTLP Short Squeeze Article

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r/UndervaluedStonks

r/wallstreetbets

Investors hard at work. Meme

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Phillies have lost the World Series, The Bottom is in!!! News

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Apple is now worth more than Alphabet, Amazon and Meta combined Discussion

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r/market_sentiment

Does Treasury provide an outlook on its General Account?

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r/options

Visualize Options

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Can I get some book suggestions for a very in depth study of options and derivatives?

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Implied Volatility Into CPI

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r/pennystocks

Daily Plays November 06, 2022 Megathread

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$AABB News last week got me thinking..looks like a nice entry point as company showing strong success.. Asia Broadband Mining Operations Growth Initiative Sets Path to Double Net Assets to $200 Million By 2024 OTC :OTC:

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Future Lithium Giant Awakens :Bolt2: Catalyst :bolt:

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r/SecurityAnalysis

$LVMH - The Leader in Modern Luxury Thesis

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r/Biotechplays

3 best Biotechnology Master’s Programs in the USA How To/Guide

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r/algotrading

What is a good win rate for an algo that is trading multiple times a day? Strategy

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Refining your strategies edge - techniques? Strategy

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For forex / crypto, when calculating sharpe ratio, where do we get risk-free rate percentage to use in the formula? Strategy

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r/Forex

Psychology is one piece of the puzzle MEMES

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Your trading balance is not the same as the size of your prop firm account Prop Firms

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As we head towards another trading week! MEMES

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r/RobinHood

📈 Celanese (CE) - Dividend Scorecard 📉 Shitpost

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r/CryptoMarkets

Mastercard teaching people how to buy NFTs through Polygon. Mass adoption is happening NOW SENTIMENT

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Turkey Is Closing In on 200% Inflation, As Erdogan Gives His People Always More Reasons to Opt for Bitcoin. The authorities speak of year-on-year inflation at 85.5%, but independent economists speak of inflation of around 185.5%. DISCUSSION

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BitDAO is now the 26th largest ETH holder with almost 270k ETH in their $2 billion treasury FUNDAMENTALS

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DCI30 REPORT: 11/06/2022

1.0 THE DCI30 CRYPTO INDEX LEVEL TODAY: circa 7:40am pdt today

This post is continually updated (usually), so hit 'screen refresh' and look below item #1.9 (when it appears) for updates, (or not). ;)

DCI30 Index Notes:

The DCI30 Crypto Index was begun 04/07/2022, to serve traders who seek an accurate, reliable, and transparent index of the CryptoMarket, details here:

https://www.reddit.com/r/DorothysDirtyDitch/comments/tyoa3m/ddt_crypto_index_creation_introducing_the_dci30/

7:43am pdt

Yesterday was -53.4%, so we have crept back a bit to the SharkLine on $ellathon Sunday.

Remember: the DCI30 is not weighted to large cap, it is 30 coins, all of equal weight. So DOGE moves the index the same amount that BTC does, (financial democracy that, haha). Some ALTS are leaping huge here, check ATOM proxy for that at item 1.2 below.

***

[TLDR: this report area unchanged from yesterday]

The Sheep Bleater's Refrain:

The CPI (insert next cause here) has come and once again, not done anything that was not essentially known beforehand. The big brains churn and burn with their word salad analysis penned to impress (everyone has to eat), but the simple K.I.S.S. facts are this:

(1) there is a lot of money that needs to go to work

(2) that $$$ is being eaten alive by inflation's chomp chomp (so it is in extreme tension, and not the FOMO type, but the organic fiscal "have to" variety\):*

*Psssst: this is strong, strong like GRAVITY strong.

(3) it is only a matter of time before the band is struck back up (and up). Law of the Lambo Loving Lemmings! The Market "will" adjust to 'the new black', and THAT cash "will" be deployed. WHEN, not "if" is the operative question. This market has been laughing in the face of risk-and that is duly noted here in this view. "More risk is ok" may become a new black of sorts.

*(4) The TIP ETF Chart is the best forward compass for what (RIA v RINA) is coming down the line . . . keep in mind there is a two week-ish delay from that 'cause' to its 'effect'.....*and at present, that 2 weeks has us DOWN hard from here. ;)

https://preview.redd.it/bcabl2gaqcy91.png?width=331&format=png&auto=webp&s=3c032cef1e3a961520536a95a25173159b7c5872

(5) Some new rules are getting written here, as "this time IS different". :)

(6) Meanwhile, enjoy the volatility/yoyo action, things are moving at last! The goose by the BOJ , won't work forever, but it may work well enough for now. This is NOT a healthy market-this is a 'running wounded' market.

And About that Money thing:

Dry powder

" There is a lot of dry powder on the VC/PE side and we have multiple data points of creation through periods of distress as bootstrapping, innovation and human ingenuity come to fore when resources become more scarce. To put numbers to those theories….126 unicorns were formed in GFC and PE and VC combined have have $2.5 trillion of dry powder currently which is 8.5x the amount they had in 2000 (GS) "

See also: https://www.reddit.com/r/DorothysDirtyDitch/comments/xrf18i/market_outlook_where_we_go_from_here_09292022/

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1.1 THE ONE CHART THAT RULES THEM ALL: TIPS ETF

7:47am pdt

1HR TIDE VIEW: That dashed red line is DDT Day Trend Support developed over a YEAR.

CHART LINK: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/wNsPO8kT/

[TLDR: this report area unchanged from yesterday]

Market effects are generally delayed in response to this by a couple of weeks. Breach is continuing to consolidate, and now rebroken trending support-causing it to be reset lower.

2022 Bottom in thanks to BOJ Friday? (Doubt it!) Watch the dashed 1hr intermediate static, that goes, and we have high probability trend reversal....which sends us back to the Day OHR, (dashed green). THAT is the relief rally range for November here. THAT is bitcoin running back into 25k range. And THAT just got a fade memo from TIPS after FOMCfollies.

TIPS just pinged off the noted static OHR (see circle) at a lower level than last time, and is heading down severely here to reset support-ouch! What a difference a couple of days make . . . rallies don't happen in the near future with this in the absolute present-that is just how it "generally" works. This is a weak market-weakening. Headwinds are stacking up-I am posting them as I see them.

Watch this one closely as it's THE HUGE 800lb canary in everybody's room.....and due to the time prognostication attribute (2 week correlation), we are getting the heads up for November week3ish here"

1.1.1 TIP Divergence Appears & Suddenly Widens

TIPS Divergency is HUGE here, \"A1\" will close back to \"tight\" , and that pattern is \"now\" becoming \"due\" per the intervals shown.

=======> THIS is what I am trading short here, from the short side of the SharkLine. ;)

Watch Me Failtm :)

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1.2 THREE COIN MERGE/DURGE/PURGE MACRO VIEW:

7:57am pdt: Welcome To SellathonSaturday!

5m Chart: 3 Coins To Represent This Lemmings Come Hither Market: BTC (patriarch-white), ETH (matriarch-teal), ATOM (the kids-blue). All running tight here.

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1.3 THE CRYPTO MARKET TREND SPOTTER: "BTC Watch"

====> HEADS UP ON THIS ONE GANG-READ THE 1-9 EVENTS & 11/01/2022 = was point of singularity

7:58am pdt: approaching OHR1 (again)

[TLDR: this report area unchanged from yesterday]

WHATS NEW: see Patterns A to A1. "A" was consolidation after dump move, "A1" is consolidation after pump move. RSI is tracking up, and spinning tops abound just where DDT TA expected. Trend reversal in the air there*.

*["Point of Singularity" (Support vs OHR trend collision) has occurred, and lo: we got a spinning top for the day...the #1 trend reversal candlestick, all just in time for the FOMCfollies. Doesn't get much better than that. ;)]

===>Summary Case For Up:

BTC and ETH and now ATOM tides have moved from negative to neutral to positive===>that is trend turning signaling. IF we break the OHRs to the line of Demarcation and maintain that for a couple weeks, THEN we are in a new RIA environ. (I don't think it will happen, but we shall see soon enough.)

===>Summary Case For Down:

We have fallen back well under OHR1 hard. Ouch! Nothing magical here, just pure persistent weakness. Sideways consolidation in a descending weak market that has heavy RINA pressures (primarily CPI/FED/BOJ Mambo here), this "usually" results in a subsequent leg down. Indeed, net down is all that can be seen thus far.....until very recently.

Trade Note: I am reminded of the last time SKYNET ran BTC up to 25k zone, just to reverse it into 18.1k zone fast, so careful there with the giddy longs as well as aggressive shorts. Things have been very quiet, and now all of a sudden . . . SKYNET is on the move.

CHART LINK: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/8wgeh9Uj/

\***

If you are an active or learning trader, I strongly recommend you read recent posts and their updates, as day to day I may not repeat important post items, only slather on new data as I find it. :)

There is a free treasure trove of information here, stuff you will find nowhere else, (original content):

https://www.reddit.com/r/DorothysDirtyDitch/comments/qrr32h/welcome_all_yee_broad_sword_scalpers/

Good Luck & Viva La Share-IF YOU SEE IT IN THE DATA, PLEASE CALL IT OUT, (no narratives por favor)!

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1.9 UPDATES FOLLOW, (trades I make are in comments section-posted when time permits):

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Bitcoin events in UK in 2021 vs 2022

https://www.reddit.com/gallery/ynqyay
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Axie Infinity Can Recoup Its 6-Month Loss And Rise 25%, But It Must First Do This

https://www.newsbtc.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/c1-3-750x375.png

Axie Infinity (AXS) finally managed to break away from its downward momentum that’s been going on for the last six months.

According to latest data from Coingecko, the crypto asset peaked at $11.29 today before entering a minor price correction that made it decline by more than 7% over a 24-hour period.

  • AXS is in recovery after tremendous selling pressure crippled it in late October
  • Axie Infinity is targeting a 23% jump to surpass the $13 marker
  • AXS needs to close today’s session staying above $10.3 for it remain bullish

At the time of this writing, AXS was trading at $10.47 and has gone up by 12.7% and 16.1% during the last seven and 14 days, respectively.

Although it is still down by almost 18% for the past month, the altcoin is showing signs of a bullish rally that could make it breach the $13 marker.

A Clear Path For Axie Infinity Recovery

During the last few days, the cryptocurrency’s price movement was caught in a double bottom pattern that established $8.5 zone as base support region.

Source: TradingView Following the recent rally of the crypto market, Axie Infinity managed to bounce back from that crucial zone and surpassed the $10.3 marker with its 24.5% surge.

This kind of performance enabled AXS to turn the tides in its favor, getting out of its bearish cycle and is now looking to make a decisive push with the aim of increasing its spot trading price by more than 23%.

In order to do that, the digital currency needs to make sure that it will keep the $10.3 range as today’s sessions come to an end. If that happens, the virtual coin will push its changing hands value to $13.15.

Traders, however, must watch this condition like a hawk, as the bullish thesis will easily be invalidated if AXS fails to hold its current position right now.

Still Feeling The Pressure From AXS Vesting Period Expiration

Undeniably, AXS is still feeling the effects of the tremendous selling pressure that it experienced when vesting period for the asset ended on October 24.

In the crypto space, such event is usually followed by significant price dumps as sellers, after a considerably long wait, finally get the chance to sell their holdings.

Vesting period refers to a specific length of time when early investors for a project or a crypto token such as Axie Infinity are required to hold their investments, making them unable to cash out as new investors come in.

When the unlock schedule came on October 26, AXS struggled to reach the $10 marker even though the crypto market initiated a bullish rally in order to reclaim the $1 trillion market cap turf.

The cryptocurrency now has a chance to return to its bullish ways provided that it can sustain its current range and avoid further decline.

AXS market cap  at $1 billion on the weekly chart | Featured image from Bitcoin News, Chart: TradingView.com Disclaimer: The analysis represents the author's understanding of the crypto market and should not be construed as investment advice.


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Cardano Daily Discussion - November 06, 2022

Hello everyone,

Welcome to the Cardano Daily Discussion!

The standard sub rules apply here (see sidebar), with the exception that price discussion is allowed in this thread, though we encourage you to try not to make this the focus and talk about the project itself. Please ask questions, help others and be civil - be sure to get involved in Project Catalyst too!

If you're new, please make sure you're read through the newbies guide and share it with others (use the ?newbies comment command to reference it).

​

⚠️ Scam Warning ⚠️

Please read the Cybersecurity guidelines for Cardano Users.

There are ongoing giveaway scams on youtube and many scammers lurking in Cardano's social channels impersonating ambassadors/moderators/official staff contacting users via direct messages.

For example, searching 'cardano' on youtube and sorting by most recent upload date shows several giveaway scams running (all videos in screenshot are scams):

​

Ongoing 'giveaway' scams on Youtube

The youtube scams are automated; use stolen footage usually of Charles Hoskinson and are restreamed so to appear to be 'live'; appear to have many watchers (which are bots); use bought hacked channels and are edited to appear like official channels.

Do not be fooled!

​

To be clear:

  • ⚠️ There is no such thing as a Cardano giveaway
  • ⚠️ Never share your seed phrase with ANYONE
  • ⚠️ Never send ADA to someone promising to send you more ADA back
  • ⚠️ You will never be contacted by ambassadors/moderators/staff

Please report scams on the Cardano Fraud Detection Bureau.

⚠️ Scam Warning ⚠️


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