Wednesday, December 15, 2021

YouTube livestream giveaways appear to be an easy way to double your coins, but if something is too good to be true then it probably is.

We have all seen them or heard about them. You're on YouTube and you see a video that shows a live video of a cryptocurrency talk, usually featuring a well known person in the crypto sphere, a founder of a big project, CEO of an exchange or a crypto fund manager.

It says it is a giveaway due to some upcoming event or to raise awareness to get more people into the ecosystem, all you have to do to get free coins is to send some coins you already own and in return, you will get double back. You see there are a decent amount of viewers and the channel itself has a ton of subscribers, it has an official name and an official logo, so it is legit.

Except not really, these videos are scams designed to steal your funds. The videos are not live, they are replaying prerecorded events and if you transfer any coins then consider them gone, you will get nothing in return, so don't do it.

"But it looks so official! Here is my chance to get some free coins!" you might say. Well if you don't believe me, here are some things you can do to verify this yourself.

I happened to see one "hosted" two weeks ago by "Coinbase" and they were doing a giveaway due to a "Deal between Coinbase and Bitcoin", so I will use this as an example.

  • Check the YouTube channel details

Open up the channels main page and view the page URL, at the end of the URL you will be able to see the channels true name. In this case, upon viewing the livestream for the first time, it would seem it was part of Coinbase. It had the name, the logo and close to 1M subscribers. But when I opened up the main channel page the URL showed the channel name to be "TopGaadi".

  • Check their previous uploaded videos

Usually the videos uploaded prior to the "giveaway" have absolutely no relation to the channel name, or in some cases, all the previous videos have been wiped prior to the livestream going up. If they have been wiped, you could always put the URL into waybackmachine and see what they were if it has been archived. In this case, all the previous videos were car reviews, nothing to do with Coinbase or Bitcoin.

So what happened here?

Most likely the YouTube channel was hacked. The hacker used this as an opportunity to steal funds from anyone who sent them by posing as an official giveaway by a well known entity. The viewership on the video and subscriber count on the channel only helped them pretend to be legitimate. A scammer could have also done a deal with the YouTube channel provider, this probably didn't happen but I am not going to rule out that being a possibility either, when there is money on the line you never know what people will do.

When you see these videos please do NOT send any coins. You should instead report the video to YouTube so it can get taken down, as sometimes I have seen them stay up for quite a while.


Huobi Study Club: Will the market plunge as the Fed's interest rate resolution is finally coming?

https://preview.redd.it/t42cl3ozmo581.png?width=554&format=png&auto=webp&s=ee6ca5be8f965f663b43afb05487e88254ef6542

Huobi Observation

Huobi Study Club reminds that the market will see the Fed's monetary policy resolution. It is estimated that Fed officials will accelerate contracting bond purchases pace and signal a rate hike in 2022. The price of gold, oil and Bitcoin will fall due to the resolution if the Fed's is hawkish.

The Federal Reserve held a monetary policy meeting on Tuesday(the local time) and the decision will be announced on Wednesday. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will then hold a press conference to announce the resolution to accelerate finishing the bond-buying program and signal 2022 is the year to start raising rates, even though the market FOMC will keep interest rates unchanged at 0-0.25% this week.

Huobi Study Club believes that the impact of the previous hawkish Fed has mostly been absorbed by the market and it will focus more on hawkish comments, dot plot and economic forecasts, with the interest rate dot plot receiving particular attention.

More than half of those surveyed estimated that the median forecast of 18 officials is two rate hikes next year after the Fed's two-day policy meeting on Wednesday (local time), according to Bloomberg. There are some changes compared to September’s forecast. Policymakers were evenly split on the forecast for the first rate hike in 2022 or 2023 during that time.

In addition, America will release retail sales data for November at 21:30 Singapore time on December 15. Monthly rate of U.S. retail sales in November is expected to increase by 0.8%, the media surveys showed. U.S. retail sales rose at a monthly rate of 1.7% in October, reaching the highest level in nearly seven months. Retail sales data is an important guide to the current state of the U.S. economy and outlook, as it directly reflects changes in consumer spending.

Huobi Study Club believes that there are no major events affecting the Fed's interest rate resolution recently, and it basically becomes the market consensus that the Fed will present hawkishness. However, it is still needed to watch out: hawkish news may not become bearish news since market expectations of the Fed's hawkish stance had been much absorbed after the announcement. The vague expectations and inexplicable interpretations may have a reverse impact on the market. Therefore, the risk needs to be controlled.

Regardless the detail changes in the interest rate resolution, from the long-period view, the global capital market may see a decline with the further interest rate hike policy.


CRYPTO Technical Outlook /Analysis DEC 15 📊⚡🧙‍♂️

  • BTCUSD
    BTC closed bullish today from its $46,500 support target. More upwards pressure should come but anything is possible from the Fed's fundamental event tomorrow. Bitcoin will respond to stock indices tomorrow 👀

Technical Outlook

Daily Chart

  • ETHUSD
    ETH closed bullish but it's an inside bar. I’ll expect more volatility tomorrow but Bitcoin and fundamental data from the Fed will play a major role. I'll pay close attention to the intraday chart tomorrow to look for a scalp opportunity 🤔

Technical Outlook

Daily Chart

  • LTCUSD
    LTC is copying Bitcoin’s price action. The Daily candle closed green but it is still an inside bar. It will eventually be choppy in the Daily range area. I will be tracking its intraday chart tomorrow ⚡

Technical Outlook

Daily Chart

  • XRPUSD
    XRPBTC closed as a doji and is teasing its falling wedge. $XRP closed with an inside bar. We need to wait for a directional bias from their current locations. I’ll be more interested in the intraday chart tomorrow to look for a scalp setup 😈

Technical Outlook

Daily Chart

  • LINKUSD
    LINK closed slightly bullish today but it’s still an inside bar. I’ll be expecting more upwards pressure from this support target zone but Bitcoin will decide the direction in this range area. I’ll be more interested in the intraday chart 🧐

Technical Outlook

Daily Chart


Best way to do futures/options on Bitcoin?

I hate speculation and trading in general, but derivatives for hedging is different. For example, farmers may wish to enter into a futures contract to hedge against unpredictable events (price, weather, etc.). I prefer to do this on Bitcoin but it seems like we don't have an list of "awesome DeFi tools" for Bitcoin?