Thursday, March 6, 2025

Your thoughts on this GRID trading strategy made by AI?

Bitcoin Summit Strategy: How to Profit from the Upcoming Pump (Full Grid Trading Setup)

Hey, your thoughts on this GRID trading strategy made by AI?

I wanted the certain strategy for profit. It took me about 2 hours.
It is basically a strategy based on a bullish scenario.

📊 TL;DR

  • Most likely scenario: BTC pumps to $115k–$118k, then corrects to $100k (65% probability).
  • Strategy: Use Grid Trading to catch the rally and profit from the correction.
  • Orders: Buy from $90k to $115k, hedge shorts from $118k+ to protect against overextension.
  • Estimated profit: +1,550 USDC (~$1,550) if BTC follows the expected move.

🔍 Fundamental Analysis – Why This Setup?

1️⃣ Trump’s tweet about the U.S. Crypto Reserve is ultra-bullish.

  • He hinted at government involvement in crypto reserves, attracting institutional investors.
  • Market speculation could trigger a strong pre-event rally even before the summit.

2️⃣ If the summit confirms pro-crypto policies, expect BTC to break ATH.

  • Institutional FOMO + retail momentum = price discovery mode.
  • If BTC smashes $100k, FOMO could push it $115k–$118k before a natural pullback.

3️⃣ Corrections after parabolic moves are normal.

  • If BTC overextends, a healthy correction to $100k–$105k is likely.
  • This is where we take profits on long positions and enter shorts for maximum gains.

📈 BTC Price Predictions & Probabilities

Scenario A – Massive Pump 🚀
BTC pumps to $115k–$118k, then corrects to $100k (65% probability).

Scenario B – Bullish, but no ATH 📈
BTC reaches $105k, stabilizes between $95k–$105k (25% probability).

Scenario C – Fakeout & Dump 🔻
BTC fakes a breakout but fails and drops below $85k (7% probability).

Scenario D – Unexpected Negative Regulation ❌
Major FUD causes BTC to crash below $80k (3% probability).

📌 Most likely: BTC pumps to $115k–$118k, then corrects to $100k.
📌 Low probability of BTC dropping below $85k (only 10% chance).

📊 Optimized Grid Trading Setup

🔥 Strategy: Capture the rally & the correction.

  • BUY BTC from $90k to $115k to ride the pump.
  • Hedge SHORT BTC from $118k+ to profit if BTC overextends and corrects.
  • Stop-Loss on long positions at $88k to minimize risk.

✅ BUY LIMIT Orders (Long Positions)

  • $90,000 → TP: $95,000 | SL: $88,000
  • $92,000 → TP: $98,000 | SL: $88,000
  • $95,000 → TP: $102,000 | SL: $88,000
  • $98,000 → TP: $108,000 | SL: $88,000
  • $100,000 → TP: $112,000 | SL: $95,000

🚀 BUY LIMIT Orders (Catching the Correction)

  • $110,000 → TP: $115,000 | SL: $105,000
  • $112,000 → TP: $116,000 | SL: $106,000
  • $115,000 → TP: $118,000 | SL: $108,000

🔻 SELL LIMIT Orders (Short Positions) – Only if BTC Overextends

  • $118,000 → TP: $112,000 | SL: $122,000
  • $120,000 → TP: $115,000 | SL: $125,000

📌 We set short hedge orders above $118k to capitalize on a market correction.
📌 If BTC spikes above $125k, we will reevaluate and adjust.

💰 Expected Profit vs. Risk

🚀 Profit Potential if BTC Pumps to $115k and Corrects to $100k

  • Grid Trading Strategy: +1,550 USDC (~$1,550)
  • Hedge Protection (if BTC overshoots 118k): +500 USDC (~$500)

⚠️ Maximum Loss (if BTC fails and drops below $88k)

  • Grid Trading Strategy: -250 USDC (~$250)

📌 Final Thoughts – Why This is the Best Setup

Most likely scenario: BTC pumps to $115k–$118k, then corrects to $100k (65% chance).
Best risk-to-reward: Buying from $90k–$115k, with shorts above $118k for protection.
Stop-loss safety: Longs cut at $88k, shorts cut at $122k.
High profit potential: Estimated +1,550 USDC (~$1,550 profit).

💡 This strategy lets you profit whether BTC pumps or corrects.
📌 Do you agree with this approach? What are your thoughts? 🚀📈


X Space today

I listened to most of this today and it was interesting.

One thing that annoyed me about the Gold side is they were trying to imply that you better vote or you’re voting for the company which isn’t true. There are two “proxies” which are just post cards being sent out, one is a “white” proxy which is sent out by the current board, one is the “gold” proxy set up by Mike Cagney and “the dissenting shareholders” that put these two guys in charge that will essentially try to convince the board to repopulate itself to the original 8 seats and then convince rest of the board to sell on Figure Markets.

Well if you don’t vote, you don’t vote. They need 50% of the votes plus one share to win.

They know no one supports the board (no one supports the company period) and are hoping to get people to vote for their candidates, which won’t guarantee a change of anything.

Also notable was their agreement that the company was only worth the bitcoin balance on the sheet, and the $20/share was based on a $750k value.

There were other things I did not like about the “gold” group. Michael Abbatte (spelling?) suggested a possible bitcoin dividend. Simon Dixon made it clear he thought this was a terrible idea and they agreed if it ever did happen it would be a one time event. I agree with Simon and think Abbatte is aware this would never happen, but would absolutely seed confusion and get some people to vote for the gold side.

I’m going to sign up and not vote. I didn’t like how they were confusing people by saying “if you sign up for the white proxy (essentially vote for the company) but do not vote the company can vote for you.

Simon Dixon did not make a recommendation, to his credit.