Wednesday, June 30, 2021

$SUPERBID - The Next-generation Blockchain-powered Social-Auction App | $14m MCap | Doxxed devs from tech Unicorn face | 95% tokens locked over 10 years | Logan Paul & Amanda Cerny partnered

SuperBid is a next-generation social auction app that connects fans with authentic experiences, interactions, and items from influencer auctions. We are enhancing social media with blockchain-driven auctions and experiences from influencers around the world.

With a leading team of engineers and social media experts, SuperBid enhances one-dimensional social media platforms and provides social media users with an additional avenue to easily monetize and participate in lifestyle auctions.

Our vision

SuperBid aims to make the world of cryptocurrencies accessible to the ordinary user, the mainstream, in a way that has never been possible before! We want to unite the world of glittering influencers and their unique communities with the world of crypto-nerds, creating a completely new way of interacting with a whole new market. Our goal is to create a crypto beginner-friendly app that allows the broader masses to dive into the world of crypto.

To do this successfully, we've lumped together some of the most talented experts in the IT industry with crypto-creative minds, social marketing geniuses, and social media pioneers to build one of the most wonderful and supportive communities around it!

How we are doing it

SuperBid has been around since we stealth-launched the token in February 2021 - about three months ago and that's when we started the development of our project. SuperBid is an auctioning app for influencers to auction off physical goods, experiences, and NFTs, and all the auctions will be made or correlated to the token itself. So I'll give you an example for this:

Let's say we partner with Mike Tyson and he wants to run an auction on the app. What he can do is record a video of himself signing these boxing gloves that he's going to auction off on the app. You can convert that video into an actual NFT and he can auction off the boxing gloves on our app and whoever wins the boxing gloves also receives the NFT video of him signing those gloves, so it's almost like validation on top of validation for once you win these gloves.

That's just one example. It’s not just influencers that can use this app, it's basically anyone regardless of how many followers you have. If there is demand for something that you own, you will be able to auction it off on the SuperBid app. Another added layer of SuperBid is that it's a social engagement platform. It's not just an auctioning site or an auction house like eBay. It's like eBay, Instagram, and TikTok combined on steroids!

You'll be able to chat with people while you're at an auction. You'll be able to live stream with people while you're in an auction. It's this very dynamic gamification system of a normal auction platform with the added benefits of blockchain integration with our token.

The app is currently in Alpha testing. The public beta will be released in Q3, while the official app launch will be released in Q4. In the meantime, you can check out the app alpha preview on Twitter.

What is the utility of the SuperBid token?

Auction bids on the app will be made with the $SUPERBID token so I'll just lay out the economics of it for you:

We have a fixed supply of our tokens. The maximum token supply is 102 million with only 5.3 million in circulation currently. All remaining tokens are being locked up for years. If there are influencers who we partnered with, they will be doing auctions within the app starting day one. So when we launch, we'll have 20, 30 to 40 auctions for the first month of operations just so that we have this constant flow of people that are actually downloading the app and then participating in auctions if there is demand for these auctions (which there will be because the influencers we're partnering with have millions of followers). What that means is those users are going to be purchasing $SUPERBID tokens to then participate in these auctions. Since there's a limited supply of the token, and the only way to participate in auctions is to acquire the token, that means that the token price is going to fluctuate with demand and if demand is up, the token price will also be up obviously; you can do the math yourself.

Our early community members actually realize and understand that we're creating almost a recession-proof token that regardless of the state of the crypto market, if influencers are still around and if they're still using the app and still running auctions, there's going to be demand for $SUPERBID regardless whether Bitcoin is $100,000 or $10,000 or $1000.

In addition to being used for bidding, other planned use-case for the $SUPERBID tokens are:

  • Participating in exclusive auctions
  • Providing greater visibility in the app for both influencers and users
  • Contacting influencers directly, paid for in tokens
  • Accessing exclusive skins, emojis, and animations
  • Donating to charities

Look forward to many more exciting announcements and events until the final release of our app because one thing is clear: We are just at the beginning and we will never, ever stop!

Join us and help us change the world of Crypto X Social-Media forever

Let’s fly to the moon… Literally 🚀🌕


Crypto Daily News from ZBG Exchange

1. Market Wrap: Bitcoin Outperforms Top Cryptocurrencies in June

The outperformance came despite a negative month for the leading cryptocurrency by market cap.

Bitcoin traded lower on Wednesday as traders took profits into the June close. The world’s largest cryptocurrency is on track for a record second-quarter price drop of 41%, snapping a four-quarter winning streak that saw prices chart a sixfold rise to almost $65,000 in April.
The crypto sell-off over the past quarter was triggered by regulatory crackdowns, concerns about tighter monetary policy, environmental issues and a slowdown in institutional demand. Selling stabilized in June, leaving bitcoin in a tight range of between $30,000 and $40,000.
Bitcoin was trading at around $34,000 at press time and is down about 4% over the past 24 hours.
“Price swings reinforce the idea that volatility is a fundamental part of a nascent and expanding market,” Steve Elrich, CEO of crypto exchange Voyager Digital. “Investors are still buying the dip.”

Latest prices

Cryptocurrencies:
Bitcoin (BTC) $34962.8, -3.92%
Ether (ETH) $2274.5, +2.31%
Traditional markets:
S&P 500: 4300.4, +0.2%
Gold: $1769.5, +0.5%
10-year Treasury yield closed at 1.458%, compared with 1.473% on Tuesday
Relative performance in June
Bitcoin outperformed other large market-cap cryptocurrencies in June with a decline of 2.7%, versus declines of more than 30% in XRP, EOS and LINK.

2. BlockFi Rate Cut on Bitcoin Deposits Leaves Rivals Scratching Heads

The decision was made based on “changing market conditions.”

Crypto lending platform BlockFi is cutting interest rates on a number of crypto asset deposits, just about three months after the company lowered rates in March.
BlockFi says its decision was made based on the changing market dynamics and borrowing demand from institutional investors.
But unlike the last time, other leading top crypto lending desks such as Genesis and Canada-based Ledn are not following BlockFi’s lead move, at least for bitcoin (BTC, -3.66%) deposits. Some of the executives at the firms are seeing increased borrowing demand compared with the previous quarter, so they need to attract the deposits to lend them out.
BlockFi announced June 25 the lower interest rates on deposits of crypto including bitcoin, ether (ETH, +2.54%), chainlink (LINK, -2.47%), litecoin (LTC, -2.07%) and a few others will go into effect July 1. The annual percentage yield (APY) for bitcoin deposits larger than 20 BTC, for example, will go down to 0.25% from 0.5%.
BlockFi, in the announcement, said the decision was made due to “shifting market conditions.”

3. Soros Fund Management Is Said to Be Trading Bitcoin

The approval to trade the leading cryptocurrency was given by CIO Dawn Fitzpatrick, according to the report.

Soros Fund Management has cleared its traders to actively trade bitcoin (BTC, -2.51%), TheStreet reported, citing two people with knowledge of the matter.
The approval to trade the leading cryptocurrency was given by CIO Dawn Fitzpatrick, TheStreet said.

4. Cryptocurrencies Are on FinCEN’s First ‘National Priorities’ List

The financial surveillance agency is pointing a finger at crypto in its new plan to combat terrorism financing.

The U.S. Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN), an agency of the Treasury Department tasked with preventing and punishing money laundering and other financial crimes, has turned its attention to crypto.
In the agency’s first list of government-wide priorities published Wednesday, FinCEN identified eight priorities: corruption, cybercrime and relevant virtual currency considerations, terrorist financing, fraud, transnational criminal organization activity, drug trafficking, human trafficking and proliferation financing.
So far, the agency’s list of priorities is not connected to any policies. According to FinCEN’s statement, the agency “will issue regulations at a later date that will specify how financial institutions should incorporate these Priorities into their risk-based AML [anti-money laundering] programs.”

5. China Crypto Crackdown: Calendar Offers Clue as to ‘Why Now?’

Crypto crackdowns tend to intensify amid politically sensitive times in China.

China recently cracked down on bitcoin (BTC, -4.16%), again. The question is: Why now?
The calendar may provide a clue. Thursday is July 1, the 100th anniversary of the Chinese Communist Party. It is at least plausible that Chinese authorities would send a strong warning to the crypto industry in the weeks leading up to this big day.
This theory is already circulating around Chinese crypto circles, at least privately. But those familiar with China will recognize the tense solemnity that leads up to these kinds of events, which may be accompanied by crackdowns on activity that the government views as a threat to shehui wending, or social stability. Cryptocurrency appears to fit into that category.

https://preview.redd.it/j76slqvgri871.png?width=1457&format=png&auto=webp&s=41eabe32c0b9f43548bd4f36ee59ca85d9c0da38

Founded in July 2018, ZBG is a Hong Kong-based cryptocurrency exchange, a global platform of ZB.COM.

ZBG.com has quickly become one of the top 10 exchanges in the world with its innovative, efficient and global operations, and is known as a “New First-Tier” exchange.

Currently, ZBG supports 11 languages, with an average daily activity of more than 160,000, providing over 3 million users around the world with trustworthy cryptocurrency trading, contract trading and other crypto asset investment services.

In the future, ZBG will continue to expand its global market and provide stable, safe and fast blockchain project listing, diversified crypto assets and blockchain derivatives investment services to more blockchain enthusiasts around the world.

ZBG Official English (Telegram): https://t.me/ZBG_Exchange

ZBG Official Chinese(Telegram): https://t.me/ZBG_ChineseOfficial

ZBG Official Bangladesh (Telegram): https://t.me/zbgbangladesh

Twitter:https://twitter.com/ZBG_Exchange

ZBG, World’s top 10 crypto currency exchange.

Link to future value!

ZBG Team

July 1st, 2021


[Altcoin Discussion] - July 2021

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‘Delicious Guys’ Launch Celebration Event

‘Delicious Guys’ Launch Celebration Event

https://kokfoundation01.medium.com/delicious-guys-launch-celebration-event-70f721e519b0

#KOK #KOK_Play #KOK_Token #KOK_Coin #ZBG #Bithumb_Global #Blockchain #ERC20 #Bitcoin #Cryptocurrency #Digital_contents_platform #decentralization


CRYPTO WEEKLY MARKET UPDATE ___JERITEX ___

CRYPTO WEEKLY MARKET UPDATE

✅ Cathie Wood of ARK Invest and Jack Dorsey of Square, Inc, will head up “The B Word” event this July, which will seek to raise awareness and demystify the world of #crypto.

✅ In the aftermath of the mining ban in Sichuan, which shut down over 90% of the country’s #crypto mining, Chinese miners are moving their operations to other, more crypto-friendly nations like the US, Kazakhstan, Canada, and Russia.

✅ #Jeritex exchange forecasts #announcement in #July 2021, a hopeful investment this end year

✅ Business intelligence firm Microstrategy has announced today that it has purchased an additional 13,005 Bitcoin worth $489 million in cash at an average price of $37,617 per unit.

✅ Globally iconic entertainment brand and studio, Marvel has recently partnered up with VeVe to offer popular MCU characters and comics as digitally collectible #NFTs.

✅ Rapper and serial entrepreneur Jay-Z recently announced that he will be selling an #NFT based on the album cover of “Reasonable Doubt” .

https://preview.redd.it/g6g71ldt6i871.png?width=1280&format=png&auto=webp&s=34765431ebe4b95868c17944fcc978b92694cabf


Question about halving

Hello all. So my question is simple, I've been researching lately that everytime a halving event is due there's these huge run ups in bitcoin, it may take a year or so but is that what makes bitcoin more valuable? The next one is in 2024. Is buying in now and holding for 3 years the ideal strategy?

When lambo...


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AMA Recap: Saito x SnapFingers

![img](60ohuzjmih871 " Empowering the Polkadot Web3.0 Ecosystem – Saito Network – the next generation infrastructure ")

Yesterday (30th of June, 2021 – 20:00 UTC+8), our CEO & Co-founder, Richard Parris, had been given the pleasure & opportunity to do another amazing round of AMA with SnapFingers on their wonderful Wechat community.

We are very pleased to share that the AMA was a huge success, and Richard got to answer many awesome questions. To those who missed the AMA and to those interested to learn something about Saito, stay tuned as we curate his answers in this AMA recap.

TRANSCRIPT BEGINS HERE:

Q1: Hello Richard, this must be your second time visiting our community, we still have a lot of new members who don’t know about Saito, so can you briefly introduce Saito?

Saito is an open network layer that delivers web3 to users. What we mean is that where people often think of blockchains as a database or datastore, Saito is a blockchain as a network.

This is important because for all the decentralisation and trustlessness in ETH/Polkadot/NEAR – all of these ecosystems rely on web 2 (client server) models to connect to users.

Saito fixes this.

Saito is a blockchain and a new kind of network. Saito is not Proof of Work or Proof of Stake (or any other “Proof of” system). Saito consensus is completely new, and pays for nodes in the network to collect user transactions and route them into blocks.

This provides a real, profitable business model to node providers that breaks the ‘data for access’ web 2 business model.

Q2: We know that Saito has some core strengths: efficiency, high security, low cost, user-friendly, etc. Saito is decentralized to enable micropayments, social, games, and other use cases. As a regular blockchain user, or as a developer, how can we participate in Saito? And just another question by myself, can we run a node for the Saito network to make earnings?

Saito is different from other blockchains, Saito creates a business model for anyone who can attract users and their transactions. The most profitable nodes in the Saito network will be the ones providing the best access to users.

There are lots of great ways to participate now – and they are fun. Join the community on the arcade (https://saito.io/arcade/) or in the social channels, try things out and provide feedback.

If you are a dev saito.io/developers is the place to go. We are looking for contributors in both the Rust and node.js implementations.

Mostly, dive deeply into our learning materials. We think they will change how you think about blockchain. And everyone knows that the early adopters do the best in the blockchain space.

Q3: Can you share with us about Saito’s progress in 2021 Q2? For example, some cooperation with other projects, or new product pipelines?

These last few months have been very busy and productive for the team. We have obviously run a successful IDO and listings, bringing Saito to ever more people.

Importantly our community has grown really pleasingly and we have a lot of great activity in our social channels and on the network itself. (Not a lot of people realise there is P2P chat and forums available on saito.io right now. https://saito.io/chat/)

A big part of this is the ambassador program which is really helping us connect with our community. Regular office hours where founders are available in Telegram, and regular updates.

We have established partnerships with Crust, StackOS and just recently Elrond. These all form a big part of our growth strategy moving forward and we hope to add to this list.

On the development front – work is moving quickly on the Rust ‘datacenter ready’ mainnet node implementation. This is a big project for us given above.

And maybe most importantly we have submitted Milestone One of our Web3 Foundation Grant. This is a big step and makes Polkadot ecosystem currencies available on the Saito arcade (saito.io/arcade) and in saito.io generally.

(We recommend using Westend testnet tokens to test things out.)

We will have announcements over the next week on how to get involved with this.

Q4: You just mentioned about “Arcade” and we‘re interested to know how many active users Arcade have? How do we get involved in Arcade? Can players get $Saito incentives for playing games on Arcade?

The arcade is handling about 35,000 transactions a day. As we are web3 we don’t track users individually, but we see hundreds of wallets a day active on the network.

Right now that arcade is on our Canary Network and reward tokens are not permanent. As we move to Mainnet this will change.

Early adopters have been allocated main-net tokens as part of an earlybird rewards program and we plan similar programs in the future.

One of the most rewarding things you can do with Saito is understand it and how it is changing the industry.

Q5: Final question, what is your plan for the rest of 2021, and are there any upcoming events or good news that you can give us a sneak peek? 

The web3/Polkadot engagement is right around the corner, which is huge. This both gives users a chance to use Polkadot Ecosystem tokens in applications on the Saito network, it also provides developers with a template for simply integrating Polkadot and Kusama ecosystem parachain tokens into applications on Saito.

This gives developers a very quick and simple path to getting their applications up and running on open infrastructure.

We are also excited to have announced earlier this week Elrond have also partnered with us to provide the same benefits to developers in their ecosystem.

Very exciting times for Saito.

Free question time! Richard, please pick 5 best questions to answer, for those whose questions being picked will be granted $10 worth of Saito. 

— OPEN QUESTIONS —

Q1: What is Saito long-term vision and ultimate goal, and what benefits can these goals bring to users?

This is a great question. So I will start here.

If you think about it – there is something special about any cryptocurrency wallets you have on your phone – compared to any of the other apps.

If you don’t like the wallet you are using – you can change. You have the seed or keys, you can delete the wallet – install another one and import your keys.

The wallet developer – and company behind it can’t trap you.

You can’t do that with 美团 or 微信 or any other app on your phone.

This is what web 3 is about – your chats, emails, short videos – should be yours…

Saito lets Developers create apps that give you this. AND, it creates an on chain economy that lets them get paid – without trapping and keeping your data.

It takes the crypto currency model faaaar past money to the whole web.

Q2: Is there a plan to destroy Saito token?

No, Saito is much like bitcoin. There is a fixed number that can ever exist.

Q3: Does Saito plan support more public chains?

Yes, we just announced a partnership with Elrond and are hoping to expand to many more chains and ecosystems.

Q4: Community building is crucial to a project. How many countries does Saito have communities in? How is the operation? What are the recent activities of Chinese communities?

We are an interesting project with Chinese and Global roots.  We often talk about China and RoW (rest of the world) in terms of community.

In reality, in the rest of the world we are strongest in South America, Eastern Europe and North America.

Q5: How is Saito’s test network progressing? When does the main network plan to go online?

Test net has processed over 13,000,000 transactions. The code there is stable.

Our mainnet ‘datacenter ready’ deployment should be up and going in the last quarter of this year.

Q6: What are your different views on the current blockchain market?

I think we are entering a much more stable period that we have ever seen in the industry.

We have seen a lot of banks and big institutions, even countries buying Bitcoin for instance.

There is a lot of innovation in Defi and a wave of innovation coming in the web 3 space.

It will be amazing for the blockchain space to move more and more into the center of the whole Tech Industry.

We are only just beginning – like the internet in the 90’s!

-END-

For more updates, please do follow Saito’s official social media pages:
Twitter: https://twitter.com/SaitoOfficial
Telegram: https://t.me/SaitoIOann
Blog: https://org.saito.tech/blog
Discord: https://discord.com/invite/HjTFh9Tfec
Reddit: https://www.reddit.com/r/SaitoIO/
Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCRUhZVAUH4JyWUFmxm5P6dQ


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Bitcoin update | Dock token event | wrx token burn | Cryptocurrency news update | wrx burn event

https://cointuta.com/bitcoin-update-dock-token-event-wrx-token-burn-cryptocurrency-news-update-wrx-burn-event/?feed_id=309010&_unique_id=60dccef19c7ad

[Daily Discussion] Wednesday, July 01, 2020

Thread topics include, but are not limited to:

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2021 - Cryptos Major Historical Events (ETH 2.O, DeFi, Istanbul Fork, Bitcoin "Bubble burst") and their environmental impact: full report

https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3866535&download=yes

I analyzed last 15 years of news articles to see how many times Michael Burry predicted a crash and how many times he turned out to be right! Here are the results.

Preamble: Michael Burry is definitely a controversial figure. He rose to fame betting against the subprime mortgage market and making a 489% return for his investors between Nov’00 and Jun’08 (SP500 returned just 3% in the same period).

But, I recently observed that in every news article/tweet, he always talks about an impending crash. As recently as last week, he issued another warning stating that there would a “mother of all crashes soon due to the meme-stock and crypto rally that will approach the size of countries”. Basically, what I wanted to analyze was

Whether Michael Burry always predicts a crash and gets lucky when there is an actual crash or does his prediction actually turns out to be true most of the time?

Analysis

The various news articles spanning over the last 15 years were obtained from Google News [1]. I flagged the date of each crash prediction and then analyzed the performance of the market/stock over the

a. Next 1 Month

b. Next 1 Quarter

c. Till Date

I will not be including the subprime mortgage crash prediction in this analysis as we all know how that turned out and how that made him famous. Also, there are no news reports covering Burry before that.

The performance figures are calculated based on the prediction. If Burry specifies a stock, then I am using that particular stock as the benchmark. If its broader prediction relating to the overall market, then the benchmark used is S&P 500.

Results

There was a long gap of 9 years after the 2008 crash where Burry stayed out of the public view and did not make any warnings or predictions about the market.

His first verifiable prediction after the 2008 crisis came in May 2017 where he warned that we can expect a global financial meltdown and World War 3. In his exact words

I didn’t go out looking for this, I just did the math. Every bit of my logic is telling me the global financial system is going to collapse

But it’s been 4 years since the prediction and the market is chugging along just fine. S&P500 has returned a respectable 93% to date and there is no imminent threat of a World War happening.

Burry’s next prediction was in Sep 2019 where he said that index funds are the next market bubble and are comparable to subprime CDOs. He said that index fund inflows are now distorting prices for stocks and bonds in the same way that CDO purchases did for subprime mortgages more than a decade ago. He said the flows will reverse at some point, and “it will be ugly” when they do.

This prediction also did not pan out as S&P500 has returned 50% to date over the last two years and the only crash that occurred during this period was the Covid-19 flash crash from which the market made a sudden recovery.

Burry’s next target was on Tesla where he said that Tesla’s stock price is ridiculous and that it would collapse like the housing stock bubble. I have kept both the articles there which had only one month difference as we don’t know exactly when he shorted the stock. The returns would be substantially different if he did it in Dec’20 when compared to Jan’21 as Tesla had a phenomenal run in December.

He reiterated again on Feb’21 that the market is dancing on a knife’s edge and he is being ignored again. He felt the boom in day traders due to the meme stock mania and the increasing cash flow to the index trackers would cause a massive bubble. This prediction also hasn’t turned out to be right as the market has returned 11% to date over the last 4 months.

Burry’s only prediction that we can say confidently was right after the 2008 mortgage crisis is that he called Bitcoin a speculative bubble in March’21. Bitcoin has since dropped 28% in around 3 months. Even in this case, we don’t have enough data to showcase how this prediction would turn out over the next one/two years.

Burry was most active in 2021 making the most number of predictions with the latest in Jun’21 stating that we are currently in the greatest speculative bubble of all time. Only time will tell how this one will turn out!

Conclusion

I have immense respect for Michael Burry and his skills. He was a doctor and worked as a Stanford Hospital neurology resident and then left to start his own hedge fund that became extremely successful. But, as you can see from the above analysis, he is more often wrong than right with his predictions [2].

But, the stock market rewards predictions disproportionately [3]. Out of the 100 predictions you make, even if you get 99 wrong but get one extremely unlikely event right your overall returns will still be extremely high.

The key point here is that if you believe in Michael Burry, you will have to follow all of his recommendations [4] and not pick and choose what you feel comfortable with as most of the returns would be from an extremely unlikely scenario.

Footnotes

[1] Google News has a nifty feature where they allow you to search news in specific time periods. Also, Google News seems to capture almost all the major publications other than the historical archives.

[2] The current analysis is done using all the publicly available records. We are not considering the personal bets he made, conversations he had with his friends/family/investors, etc. This can definitely alter the

[3] Take the classic example of Keith Gill (aka DFV). He at one point had a $50MM return using a 50K call option. Even if he had another 99 50K call options in other stocks which expired worthless, just this one right pick would have made him a net profit of $45MM. This phenomenon is known as black swan farming.

[4] At that point, if you are that confident in his predictions, you can invest in his hedge fund. Please note that you need to have a minimum capital requirement ($1 million minimum investment and some extra regulatory requirements)

Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor.


2021 - Cryptos Major Historical Events (ETH 2.O, DeFi, Istanbul Fork, Bitcoin "Bubble burst") and their environmental impact: full report (x-post from /r/Cryptocurrency)

https://www.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/oaxaro/2021_cryptos_major_historical_events_eth_2o_defi/

I analyzed last 15 years of news articles to see how many times Michael Burry predicted a crash and how many times he turned out to be right! Here are the results.

Preamble: Michael Burry is definitely a controversial figure. He rose to fame betting against the subprime mortgage market and making a 489% return for his investors between Nov’00 and Jun’08 (SP500 returned just 3% in the same period).

But, I recently observed that in every news article/tweet, he always talks about an impending crash. As recently as last week, he issued another warning stating that there would a “mother of all crashes soon due to the meme-stock and crypto rally that will approach the size of countries”. Basically, what I wanted to analyze was

Whether Michael Burry always predicts a crash and gets lucky when there is an actual crash or does his prediction actually turns out to be true most of the time?

Analysis

The various news articles spanning over the last 15 years were obtained from Google News [1]. I flagged the date of each crash prediction and then analyzed the performance of the market/stock over the

a. Next 1 Month

b. Next 1 Quarter

c. Till Date

I will not be including the subprime mortgage crash prediction in this analysis as we all know how that turned out and how that made him famous. Also, there are no news reports covering Burry before that.

The performance figures are calculated based on the prediction. If Burry specifies a stock, then I am using that particular stock as the benchmark. If its broader prediction relating to the overall market, then the benchmark used is S&P 500.

Results

There was a long gap of 9 years after the 2008 crash where Burry stayed out of the public view and did not make any warnings or predictions about the market.

His first verifiable prediction after the 2008 crisis came in May 2017 where he warned that we can expect a global financial meltdown and World War 3. In his exact words

I didn’t go out looking for this, I just did the math. Every bit of my logic is telling me the global financial system is going to collapse

But it’s been 4 years since the prediction and the market is chugging along just fine. S&P500 has returned a respectable 93% to date and there is no imminent threat of a World War happening.

Burry’s next prediction was in Sep 2019 where he said that index funds are the next market bubble and are comparable to subprime CDOs. He said that index fund inflows are now distorting prices for stocks and bonds in the same way that CDO purchases did for subprime mortgages more than a decade ago. He said the flows will reverse at some point, and “it will be ugly” when they do.

This prediction also did not pan out as S&P500 has returned 50% to date over the last two years and the only crash that occurred during this period was the Covid-19 flash crash from which the market made a sudden recovery.

Burry’s next target was on Tesla where he said that Tesla’s stock price is ridiculous and that it would collapse like the housing stock bubble. I have kept both the articles there which had only one month difference as we don’t know exactly when he shorted the stock. The returns would be substantially different if he did it in Dec’20 when compared to Jan’21 as Tesla had a phenomenal run in December.

He reiterated again on Feb’21 that the market is dancing on a knife’s edge and he is being ignored again. He felt the boom in day traders due to the meme stock mania and the increasing cash flow to the index trackers would cause a massive bubble. This prediction also hasn’t turned out to be right as the market has returned 11% to date over the last 4 months.

Burry’s only prediction that we can say confidently was right after the 2008 mortgage crisis is that he called Bitcoin a speculative bubble in March’21. Bitcoin has since dropped 28% in around 3 months. Even in this case, we don’t have enough data to showcase how this prediction would turn out over the next one/two years.

Burry was most active in 2021 making the most number of predictions with the latest in Jun’21 stating that we are currently in the greatest speculative bubble of all time. Only time will tell how this one will turn out!

Conclusion

I have immense respect for Michael Burry and his skills. He was a doctor and worked as a Stanford Hospital neurology resident and then left to start his own hedge fund that became extremely successful. But, as you can see from the above analysis, he is more often wrong than right with his predictions [2].

But, the stock market rewards predictions disproportionately [3]. Out of the 100 predictions you make, even if you get 99 wrong but get one extremely unlikely event right your overall returns will still be extremely high.

The key point here is that if you believe in Michael Burry, you will have to follow all of his recommendations [4] and not pick and choose what you feel comfortable with as most of the returns would be from an extremely unlikely scenario.

Footnotes

[1] Google News has a nifty feature where they allow you to search news in specific time periods. Also, Google News seems to capture almost all the major publications other than the historical archives.

[2] The current analysis is done using all the publicly available records. We are not considering the personal bets he made, conversations he had with his friends/family/investors, etc. This can definitely alter the

[3] Take the classic example of Keith Gill (aka DFV). He at one point had a $50MM return using a 50K call option. Even if he had another 99 50K call options in other stocks which expired worthless, just this one right pick would have made him a net profit of $45MM. This phenomenon is known as black swan farming.

[4] At that point, if you are that confident in his predictions, you can invest in his hedge fund. Please note that you need to have a minimum capital requirement ($1 million minimum investment and some extra regulatory requirements)

Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor.

Hope you enjoyed this week’s analysis. If you found this insightful, please share it with your friends :)


House caucus calls for ‘pseudo anonymity,’ reversible transactions—but what does Bitcoin already do?

Laws must pass to enable unmasking of those engaging in digital asset transactions, said the co-chair of the U.S. House of Representatives blockchain caucus this week. Rep. Bill Foster (D) of Illinois also called for Bitcoin transactions to be reversible, to reduce fraud and other illegal activities. He might be surprised to discover that several of these options are already built into Bitcoin’s rules.

Foster admitted in a virtual seminar his suggestions would likely “drive the crypto purists berserk”, but added the measures were necessary before people could feel secure putting a large portion of their net worth into digital assets.

Read more: https://tpow.app/d0201cb2

#BitcoinSV #BSV #Blockchain

https://preview.redd.it/grsrsi7khe871.png?width=730&format=png&auto=webp&s=52b0a1abfd2bbf6472a1ad736b38f9c6694d9441


I analyzed last 15 years of news articles to see how many times Michael Burry predicted a crash and how many times he turned out to be right! Here are the results.

Preamble: Michael Burry is definitely a controversial figure. He rose to fame betting against the subprime mortgage market and making a 489% return for his investors between Nov’00 and Jun’08 (SP500 returned just 3% in the same period).

But, I recently observed that in every news article/tweet, he always talks about an impending crash. As recently as last week, he issued another warning stating that there would a “mother of all crashes soon due to the meme-stock and *****currency rally that will approach the size of countries”. Basically, what I wanted to analyze was

Whether Michael Burry always predicts a crash and gets lucky when there is an actual crash or does his prediction actually turns out to be true most of the time?

Analysis

The various news articles spanning over the last 15 years were obtained from Google News [1]. I flagged the date of each crash prediction and then analyzed the performance of the market/stock over the

a. Next 1 Month

b. Next 1 Quarter

c. Till Date

I will not be including the subprime mortgage crash prediction in this analysis as we all know how that turned out and how that made him famous. Also, there are no news reports covering Burry before that.

The performance figures are calculated based on the prediction. If Burry specifies a stock, then I am using that particular stock as the benchmark. If its broader prediction relating to the overall market, then the benchmark used is S&P 500.

Results

There was a long gap of 9 years after the 2008 crash where Burry stayed out of the public view and did not make any warnings or predictions about the market.

His first verifiable prediction after the 2008 crisis came in May 2017 where he warned that we can expect a global financial meltdown and World War 3. In his exact words

I didn’t go out looking for this, I just did the math. Every bit of my logic is telling me the global financial system is going to collapse

But it’s been 4 years since the prediction and the market is chugging along just fine. S&P500 has returned a respectable 93% to date and there is no imminent threat of a World War happening.

Burry’s next prediction was in Sep 2019 where he said that index funds are the next market bubble and are comparable to subprime CDOs. He said that index fund inflows are now distorting prices for stocks and bonds in the same way that CDO purchases did for subprime mortgages more than a decade ago. He said the flows will reverse at some point, and “it will be ugly” when they do.

This prediction also did not pan out as S&P500 has returned 50% to date over the last two years and the only crash that occurred during this period was the Covid-19 flash crash from which the market made a sudden recovery.

Burry’s next target was on Tesla where he said that Tesla’s stock price is ridiculous and that it would collapse like the housing stock bubble. I have kept both the articles there which had only one month difference as we don’t know exactly when he shorted the stock. The returns would be substantially different if he did it in Dec’20 when compared to Jan’21 as Tesla had a phenomenal run in December.

He reiterated again on Feb’21 that the market is dancing on a knife’s edge and he is being ignored again. He felt the boom in day traders due to the meme stock mania and the increasing cash flow to the index trackers would cause a massive bubble. This prediction also hasn’t turned out to be right as the market has returned 11% to date over the last 4 months.

Burry’s only prediction that we can say confidently was right after the 2008 mortgage crisis is that he called ***coin a speculative bubble in March’21. ***coin has since dropped 28% in around 3 months. Even in this case, we don’t have enough data to showcase how this prediction would turn out over the next one/two years.

Burry was most active in 2021 making the most number of predictions with the latest in Jun’21 stating that we are currently in the greatest speculative bubble of all time. Only time will tell how this one will turn out!

Conclusion

I have immense respect for Michael Burry and his skills. He was a doctor and worked as a Stanford Hospital neurology resident and then left to start his own hedge fund that became extremely successful. But, as you can see from the above analysis, he is more often wrong than right with his predictions [2].

But, the stock market rewards predictions disproportionately [3]. Out of the 100 predictions you make, even if you get 99 wrong but get one extremely unlikely event right your overall returns will still be extremely high.

The key point here is that if you believe in Michael Burry, you will have to follow all of his recommendations [4] and not pick and choose what you feel comfortable with as most of the returns would be from an extremely unlikely scenario.

Footnotes

[1] Google News has a nifty feature where they allow you to search news in specific time periods. Also, Google News seems to capture almost all the major publications other than the historical archives.

[2] The current analysis is done using all the publicly available records. We are not considering the personal bets he made, conversations he had with his friends/family/investors, etc. This can definitely alter the

[3] Take the classic example of Keith Gill (aka DFV). He at one point had a $50MM return using a 50K call option. Even if he had another 99 50K call options in other stocks which expired worthless, just this one right pick would have made him a net profit of $45MM. This phenomenon is known as black swan farming.

[4] At that point, if you are that confident in his predictions, you can invest in his hedge fund. Please note that you need to have a minimum capital requirement ($1 million minimum investment and some extra regulatory requirements)

Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor.


How do I find my bitcoins back if I lost them?

When we buy bitcoins, we have to think about how to avoid losing bitcoins, what to do if we lose our bitcoin private key, etc. Because in real life, there are countless incidents where bitcoins have been lost due to forgetting the private key or losing the hardware that stores the private key, from thousands of bitcoins down to 0.001 bitcoins, there are real cases in play.

For example, in 2013, an IT employee in the UK mistakenly threw away the hard drive containing the private keys to his Bitcoin wallet as trash, and how much was lost? A shocking number, 7,500! Although he remembered exactly where he lost the hard drive, the municipality of the city he lived in denied his request to try to recover the bitcoins, as it would have been against the law, and what a sad loss this lost bitcoin is currently worth $1.7 billion.

Before the “94 event” on September 4, 2017, he used Bitcoin and put 0.01 BTC in his wallet while studying its usage.

Later, many forked coins appeared, and I wanted to go on Bite to receive the candy, but I accidentally clicked on the updated version, and when I re-logged in, I had to import my private key or something, but I couldn’t find the paper where I left my private key, so I finally had to give up. Meanwhile, according to a new study by London Cryptocurrency Custodian: the number of bitcoins mined worldwide so far has reached 18,625,000, but 18% of them have been lost, and the number of bitcoins is getting smaller and smaller. So what should you do if you still accidentally lose them? I’ve gathered a brief overview here
There are several ways to try to retrieve bitcoins on the market today.

一: Violent Hacking
Cracking is facilitated through a wallet retrieval service company, which essentially generates and tests millions of potential passwords through specialized software to crack a customer’s digital wallet.

二: Hypnosis
It is actually hypnosis that helps patients recall their passwords or the location of their hard drive. Everyone has a photographic memory, and through skilled hypnotic recall techniques to find that then
fragment, it takes days or weeks for the memory to emerge from the subconscious mind.

三 : data recovery
Its essence uses techniques similar to recovering other files from deleted, corrupted or partially overwritten data. Hacking techniques can also be used: many people in some text files
recording their personal identification numbers, which can allow hackers or data recovery service companies to view passwords in the original data of the file.

Of course, these methods do not have a 100% success rate, and they consume a lot of money and are not the most ideal method. What is the most ideal method? That is: don’t lose it! So, how do you safeguard your bitcoins from being lost?

The most popular alternative today is cold storage, which is saving the secret key in an offline device such as a USB stick or hard drive. But the risks remain, and hackers have proven their ability to set traps on your computer for your cold storage devices, where the private key information is stolen the moment they are received online. Not to mention the traditional methods of crime, such as door-to-door robbery and kidnapping for ransom.

The most real is to remember the private key in your own brain, the so-called brain wallet, but also can choose a centralized wallet hosting institution to let them help us store, we only need to remember the account password can, centralized wallet hosting institution is similar to our current central bank, bank custody, the current blockchain wallet direction similar to the hosting bank are coinbase wallet, BIXIN wallets.


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What's the deal with Bitcoin Halvings?

If you're new to crypto, you may be wondering what the fuss about Bitcoin "halvings" is about.

Simply put: a bitcoin halving event is when the reward for mining bitcoin transactions is cut in half. This cuts down inflation and as a result, has always correlated with a boom in price.

The last halving was in May 2020, and the next is expected in 2024.

Check out our blog post from just before the last halving occurred... although some things have changed (such as China's grip on Bitcoin mining), the fact remains that each time the miner reward is cut by 50%, you can expect $BTC to become more valuable. As good a reason as any to HODL.


Cardano Rumor Rundown June 30, 2021

Hey Everyone!

Let's go...

Newly covered today:

  1. Sebastien of dcSpark submits a Cardano Improvement Proposal to allow wallets to implement collateral. https://twitter.com/SebastienGllmt/status/1409910858117877763
  2. New Plutus Pioneers Class starting July 1! https://twitter.com/InputOutputHK/status/1409948543268409344

Previously Covered but still interesting:

  1. Charles releases a 90 Day Countdown to Alonzo video. https://youtu.be/u6negi1yAQQ
  2. Institutional inflows into Cardano get some coverage by the crypto press. https://cointelegraph.com/news/cardano-sees-largest-weekly-inflows-from-institutional-managers-coinshares
  3. Charles and Kim Dotcom have a conversation about PoW miners possibly fleeing China with all of their hardware. https://twitter.com/KimDotcom/status/1396964996693708801
  4. Cardano gets a little coverage on NBC for it’s energy efficiency. https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/tech-news/cryptocurrency-goes-green-proof-stake-offer-solution-energy-concerns-rcna1030
  5. Plutus Pioneers Lecture #7 is out. https://youtu.be/_EDJt55vOB0
  6. Yesterday was ADA Payday with the end of Epoch 267. I hope everyone made lots of sweet delicious staking rewards! https://adapools.org/epochs
  7. Paypal moving away from the “walled garden” model. This is decentralization teaching the legacy institutions a lesson. https://www.coindesk.com/paypal-will-let-customers-withdraw-crypto-exec-says
  8. Charles is interviewed on Yahoo Finance where he explained: 1) how the lack of an obvious decentralized governance system in ETH and BTC will cripple their efforts as they attempt to scale and the founders/core developers start losing prominence, 2) the ADA EUTXO system is vastly more scaleable with it’s local state being so much more amenable to sharding than ETH’s global state system, 3) Cardano has a high willingness to bring on users in hypergrowth areas like Africa where ETH seems to have little interest, and 4) ETH does not seem to be as highly concerned with interoperability which might become highly valuable in the future. https://twitter.com/YahooFinance/status/1397593275826151424
  9. Cardano 360 is tomorrow. Don’t miss it if you want to hear about all the awesome things happening with Alonzo (smart contracts), Hydra (scalability), and everything else! https://twitter.com/InputOutputHK/status/1397549347592675338
  10. The May Cardano 360 was yesterday and we had lots of updates including the Color Coding for the different stages of the testnet! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SS33gRj9JYE
  11. Alonzo “Blue” Era Testnet (through mid June; <50 user cohort) will include the basic functionality of the system for testing basic contracts . Initially the SPOs will be included, then some of the Plutus Pioneers will be allowed in, then a few of the outside development firms (Plutus Partners). The Plutus Partners will be working on specific areas including oracles, DEXs, stablecoins, NFTs, and DeFi. This will produce code and documentation that will be publicly available.
  12. Alonzo “White” Era Testnet (mid June to mid July; <500 user cohort) will add more Plutus Pioneers and more functionality. They will develop various dApps and there will be interaction on the user side of these dApps. They will do some benchmarking at this stage.
  13. The Alonzo Hard Fork Combinator Event requires a lot of different pieces come together at the same time. But, this is not their first rodeo and they have a lot of experience with this from the ITN, Shelley, and etc.
  14. Alonzo “Purple” Era Tesnet (mid July to mid August; fully public) will involve a full public network with all of the Plutus pioneers, the Rosetta Api to the exchanges, Daedalus, hardware wallets, graphQL, and full functionality. The purpose of this phase will be optimization.
  15. Alonzo “Red” Era Tesnet (August; a very short phase) will involve a new network where they can test scalability and stability.
  16. Alonzo “Black” Era Tesnet (August; a very short phase) will be the final public testnet where they will ensure they have their candidate mainnet releases ready to launch on the mainnet.
  17. They are committed to making sure there is a very large group of people who are familiar with using the Alonzo testnet by the time the mainnet launches.
  18. Alonzo Mainnet (August-September). It’s looking like Alonzo mainnet launch was positioned in very late August through September in the infographics. That makes me assume there is a chance of August, much better chance of September, and also some chance of October or later. This is blockchain development after all. Also, we’ve waited years. Why care about a few weeks?
  19. There will be another Plutus Pioneers Cohort later this summer.
  20. Marlowe Run will be a browser product that can run on mobile or desktop. It can be linked to your wallet and be used to run Cardano smart contracts simultaneously on a distributed basis across multiple user browsers. The user interface is light years ahead of anything we saw in Marlowe Meadow or the Marlowe Playground simulations. It will include a library of off-the-shelf contracts.
  21. There will be a Marlowe Webinar on June 3. Register here: https://webinar.marlowe-finance.io/
  22. The ERC-20 converter was looking very intuitive and seamless in the new demo. It should be on the testnet in June.
  23. Manuel Chakravarty gave a big update on Hydra (layer 2 scaling). Hydra will not require that the base layer be modified since it will be implemented via Plutus smart contracts. Hydra is actually a collection of protocols including Hydra Head and Hydra Tail. Hydra Head is a symmetric protocol where multiple participants will be online simultaneously for the whole period of the head exchanging messages. Hydra Tail is an asymmetric protocol involving a high performance server and many clients that may be mobile and could be offline for large portions of the tail’s existence. There will also be “inter head & tail networking” which will allow for a network of heads and tails. They have a published research paper on Hydra Head. They are currently writing the Hydra Tail paper.
  24. Hydra is distinguished from other layer 2 protocols by its isomorphic properties. This means you will be able to run any smart contract that works on the base layer in a Hydra Head! This is very special. We won’t need special purpose contracts built out just for layer 2. There are some big implications to this. Since a Hydra Head is essentially just a Plutus smart contract, this means you can run a Hydra Head inside another Hydra Head. It’s turtles all the way down, guys. It sounds like they can do this iteratively as much as they want.
  25. Aggelos also gave a good presentation on the importance of “skin in the game” in resource based consensus protocols (both proof-of-work and proof-of-stake) and its effect on promotion or discouragement of centralization. He explained how Ouroboros has built-in safeguards to prevent centralization including the K parameter (currently at 500) which caps total rewards per pool and the alpha parameter (currently at 0.3) which splits rewards into a 77% piece and a 23% piece. A pool can take its share of the 77% piece based on the pool’s total stake and its share of the 23% piece based on the pledge of the SPO. A higher alpha parameter makes it less attractive for individual SPOs to proliferate multiple pools since they can’t be as leveraged on their available pledge and still get as big a share of the 23% piece. This also discourages Sybil Attacks. As Cardano on-chain governance progresses, these parameters will be controlled by the community.
  26. There will be a Cardano Goguen Summit in September. It will be hybrid digital/in-person.
  27. Charles is helping to bring the cryptographer who broke SHA-1 to the University of Wyoming. The Cardano funded blockchain lab there could be on the road to be a powerhouse. https://twitter.com/CaitlinLong_/status/1398290866419105802 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yiqun_Lisa_Yin
  28. We don’t often get to hear from the engineers behind Yoroi over at Emurgo. But, here’s a podcast with Vicente Almonacid from Emurgo. Check out 12:50 where he mentions the dApp Connector (Cardano’s Metamask Equivalent). https://twitter.com/vacuumlabs/status/1397847633696280576
  29. Check out this great article from Cardanians.io on the work being done at the University of Wyoming on a physical chip for transfer of private keys in day-to-day cashlike transactions. https://cardanians.io/en/cardano-can-give-crypto-a-cash-like-experience-58
  30. Professor Aggelos Kiayias recently dropped a video explaining exactly how Mithril (apparently neckbeard dungeon master talk for elf armor) is going to allow for Perfect Cardano (ADA) wallets that combine the ease of use and convenience of light wallets with the trustlessness of full node wallets. We also learned exactly how Mithril is going to work. https://youtu.be/LhepJFCyWRk
  31. In proof-of-work, bootstrapping can be done with blockheaders. This won’t do in proof-of-stake since we need information about stakeholder distribution to confirm block validity.
  32. Mithril fixes this by being a cryptographic construction that enables a population of stakeholders to issue a signature consistent with certain constraints.
  33. For Mithril to work in proof-of-stake, it needs three crucial properties: 1) it needs to enforce a threshold ratio of stakeholders before the signature is issued; 2) the pre-signature fragments must be independently verified and subject to public aggregation; and 3) it must be efficient in the sense that the final signature is of constant size and is logarithmically dependent on the # of stakeholders.
  34. Stakeholders will issue special Mithril keys along with the normal cryptographic key material. Then at regular intervals, full nodes will test whether they can produce a pre-signature fragment. Only a random subset of stakeholders will be eligible to produce a pre-signature fragment. When a sufficient # of pre-signature fragments have been issued by eligible stakeholders then it will be possible to aggregate the fragments into a final signature.
  35. This will be a checkpoint that will be verifiable with respect to previous check points all the way back to the genesis block. Such checkpoints will be cryptographic commitments of the relevant UTXOs.
  36. Since the checkpoints will be trustless, a light client (i.e. wallet) will only need to verify the sequence of checkpoints up to the current time to trustlessly bootstrap.
  37. The ecosystem is growing so fast, it’s hard to keep up with all the projects without these infographics at this point. https://twitter.com/Dr_shwetaPHD/status/1398783893638103040
  38. The Cardano subreddit is at 487k users. Half a million isn’t far away. https://www.reddit.com/r/cardano/
  39. Epoch 268 is a wrap as of yesterday with 22.83 billion ADA staked. https://adapools.org/epochs
  40. Check out the telegram AMA tomorrow with the CEO of World Mobile! https://twitter.com/ZwijBerg/status/1399377659105320962
  41. A very interesting stat on Cardano user growth. https://twitter.com/cex_io/status/1398959088684445699
  42. Don’t forget, the Marlowe webinar is this Thursday! https://twitter.com/InputOutputHK/status/1399444331556225027
  43. More and more people in the youtube sphere are jumping on the Cardano train. https://twitter.com/techleadhd/status/1399398373384351744
  44. Reuters reports on an EU digital identity wallet project. https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/eu-step-up-digital-push-with-digital-identity-wallet-2021-06-01/?taid=60b6e171efd84f0001b64ae1&utm_campaign=trueAnthem:+Trending+Content&utm_medium=trueAnthem&utm_source=twitter
  45. The U.S. Currently has Issued Sanctions on Ethiopia, but they are not all-encompassing economic sanctions as with rogue nations, they have just barred entry into the U.S. for certain government personnel. https://www.nytimes.com/2021/05/24/world/africa/ethiopia-us-sanctions-tigray.html
  46. Vitalik is saying it’s highly unlikely we see ETH 2.0 before late 2022. I’m guessing that means mid 2023 which will be after two years of Cardano slaughtering the entire ETH user base. Things are looking so bad that Vitalik says he doesn’t even like using the ETH 2.0 label anymore since he knows the changes will be more incremental. This is what early capitulation sounds like guys. https://cointelegraph.com/news/even-vitalik-buterin-is-surprised-at-just-how-long-eth2-is-taking
  47. Cardano-Nervos cross-chain bridge to be built. This would be at least the second cross-chain bridge after the Cardano-AGI bridge. https://www.coindesk.com/cardano-nervos-force-bridge-network-first
  48. Sundaeswap ISO delayed due to regulatory concerns. This brings up interesting questions for the whole space about requesting regulatory permission vs. possibly being forced to ask for forgiveness. https://www.sundaeswap.finance/posts/iso-update
  49. Tim Harrison has announced that the transition to Alonzo Blue was successful. https://twitter.com/timbharrison/status/1400481879883649034
  50. Finally, 500k users in the Cardano Subreddit! https://www.reddit.com/r/cardano/
  51. We got a nice update on the first week of Alonzo Blue. https://twitter.com/InputOutputHK/status/1400876181122174977
  52. And….still! Kings of the github! https://twitter.com/CryptoDiffer/status/1400744567956180993
  53. Epoch 269 is in the bag with active stake of 22.77 Billion. Hope everyone made lots of delicious staking rewards! https://adapools.org/epochs
  54. Binance has 63 stakepools charging 6%. Please stop paying so much for the right to stake your ADA. You don’t have to pay that much. You have a huge number of better options. You are literally giving away your ADA rewards to a large corporation. It’s easy: just download the Yoroi Chrome extension, send your ADA there, and pick from the 2k+ available stakepools right inside Yoroi. https://twitter.com/BraveHeartStak3/status/1401204563189940231 https://adapools.org/groups/binance-20 https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.emurgo&hl=en_US&gl=US
  55. Nigeria Bans Twitter after Twitter censors Tweet from Nigerian President. This emphasizes the need for decentralized social media. A decentralized solution running on Cardano could fix this. https://www.cnn.com/2021/06/04/africa/nigeria-suspends-twitter-operations-intl/index.html https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JilEb42q-CI
  56. A Really Big Deal: El Salvador is on the verge of making Bitcoin legal tender in the Central American nation. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3uGOfqN2y9k
  57. This could have huge ramifications for bank and accounting treatment of Bitcoin potentially including that banks might suddenly be allowed to handle Bitcoin as a foreign currency. Today it was BTC. But, wait until they find out what Cardano can do. https://twitter.com/CaitlinLong_/status/1401334421773504517
  58. Nayib Bukele, President of El Salvador, also clarified that there will be no capital gains taxes on Bitcoin since it is a “legal currency” and crypto entrepreneurs will be given instant permanent residence. https://twitter.com/nayibbukele/status/1401622548396314631
  59. Bitcoin enthusiasm seems to be off to a great start among other Latin American politicians after the fervor around the El Salvador announcement. This will serve as a great gateway drug that only leads to Gen 3 projects and Cardano. https://twitter.com/gilson__marques https://twitter.com/carlitosrejala https://twitter.com/gabrielsilva8_7/status/1401965129051389958 https://twitter.com/FabioOstermann
  60. We are always the Github Kings. It’s amazing. https://twitter.com/CryptoIRELAND1/status/1402011593995603975
  61. Charles basically just laid out what 4th Gen Cryptos are going to be all about in his video yesterday. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nkr1EKQrVeQ
  62. Here’s a good Emurgo blog article on the use of Emurgo Trace in the Oil and gas industry. https://twitter.com/emurgo_io/status/1402339278097502210
  63. IOHK gives us a closer look at everything being upgraded for Alonzo. https://iohk.io/en/blog/posts/2021/06/08/a-close-look-at-the-software-running-cardano/
  64. We’re currently at 71.52% of ADA staked. This is a pretty incredible ratio and shows the strength of the Cardano community. https://twitter.com/CardanoPoolPeek/status/1402378400803794950
  65. SEC Commissioner Hester Pierce warns about the regulatory impulse being displayed by her colleagues toward crypto and the impact it could have on the stifling of innovation. https://www.ft.com/content/ae0d40a1-8a4a-4885-a6a7-b157e27b3311
  66. El Salvador passes the statute to make Bitcoin legal tender in the country. https://twitter.com/nayibbukele/status/1402827595339681794
  67. Cardano gets more positive coverage on the Nasdaq website with a second article following the one from April 7 earlier this year. https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/be-part-of-a-historic-crypto-moment-with-cardano-2021-06-08
  68. Prof. Aggelos Kiayias releases an article on a tri-coin system called Stablefees that could fix the problem of appreciating transaction fees in crypto. https://iohk.io/en/blog/posts/2021/06/10/stablefees-and-the-decentralized-reserve-system/
  69. There’s very interesting speculation circulating out there about how El Salvador’s Bitcoin adoption might impact relationships with the U.S. and the IMF. https://twitter.com/cardano_whale/status/1403136968456765443
  70. Elizabeth Warren is now talking about the U.S. needs to regulate crypto. https://twitter.com/BloombergTV/status/1402749016845262851
  71. The mid-month Alonzo development update from IOHK is out. Alonzo blue is in full swing and they are working on “hello world round trips” going from the node to the ledger and back. Plutus Partners (third party functional dev firms) are working on different use cases ahead of the Alonzo launch. https://twitter.com/InputOutputHK/status/1403314932968574981
  72. Miniswap gives us the dev perspective on why Cardano’s Plutus is such an improvement over Ethereum’s Solidity. https://twitter.com/MinswapDEX/status/1403411522110427137
  73. Here’s a great ETH vs. Cardano DeFi project comparison infographic. https://twitter.com/Coin98Analytics/status/1403397242707320835
  74. Charles recorded for the Lex Fridman Podcast. It went over five hours. This is a big deal given that Lex has 1.12 million subscribers and it’s closer to mainstream than a crypto audience. https://twitter.com/IOHK_Charles/status/1403498549300584448 https://www.youtube.com/user/lexfridman
  75. The Marlowe Webinar with Shruti is now available on youtube. Very interesting discussion of DeFi in general and also specific topics like “deep interoperability” in DeFi. Cardano is obviously already doing the very involved thinking about the future of DeFi. https://youtu.be/vzsUSG5CSj0
  76. John O’Connor recently tweeted about a day where he “wrote a letter to a president” and “found a million users to bring into Cardano”. Sounds like the Cardano train is rolling along as smoothly as ever in Africa. https://twitter.com/jjtoconnor/status/1402565547716399104
  77. Zach Guzman and Mike Novogratz get an opportunity to prove once again how extremely threatened they are by the fact that they can’t frontrun Cardano at this point. https://twitter.com/IOHK_Charles/status/1404100510525841408
  78. John O’Connor appeared on the Disrupt Network Podcast. bit.ly/3znqyB7
  79. President of Tanzania calls on the central bank to prepare for the adoption of cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology. I wonder what crypto ecosystem already has experience working with an African government on a big crypto project and has partnered with a mobile company that is already bringing connectivity to rural Tanzania? https://twitter.com/DocumentingBTC/status/1404126444863766533
  80. Hedgefund Billionaire Paul Tudor Jones tells the world to buy crypto and certain other assets if the Fed doesn’t address inflation in their policy meeting that concludes on Wednesday. JP Morgan’s Jamie Dimon concurs that the current inflation is very likely not transitory. This could be tremendously good timing for Cardano given our top five status and the impending mainnet launch of smart contracts. https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/14/paul-tudor-jones-says-bet-heavily-on-every-inflation-trade-if-fed-keeps-ignoring-higher-prices.html https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/14/jamie-dimon-jpmorgan-is-hoarding-cash-because-very-good-chance-inflation-here-to-stay.html
  81. With exploits like this one being all too common in the legacy smart contract networks, we’re not even going to have sell the Cardano use case for DeFi. The competitor networks have already made the case that something better must be on the way. https://twitter.com/zapper_fi/status/1404429179794362369
  82. World Mobile CEO tweets out a tantalizing response to the Tanzanian President’s call for her nation’s central bank to prepare for crypto. https://twitter.com/MrTelecoms/status/1404375153191141377
  83. If you are new to Cardano and you would like to get a handle on the terminology involved in the ecosystem, you may want to check out these Cardano flashcards produced by Coconut Pool. https://twitter.com/coconut_pool/status/1403442954434269185
  84. While renewable energy is certainly a wonderful thing, there may be a problem with your technology when your path to compete on clean energy consumption involves you talking about harnessing the power of a whole series of volcanoes. Maybe just use fewer volcano’s and more proof-of-stake? https://twitter.com/_eLaPs_/status/1404125569093029889 https://twitter.com/gladstein/status/1402718041557725184
  85. The Charles/Lex Fridman podcast has dropped. This is a big deal. This is a fairly mainstream podcast with over 1 million subscribers. https://youtu.be/FKh8hjJNhWc
  86. Politicians in the legislative branches of Panama and Paraguay have now announced intentions to introduce crypto-related bills into their respective legislative assemblies. https://twitter.com/gabrielsilva8_7/status/1401965129051389958
  87. New algorithmic stablecoin paper coming in the next few weeks from IOHK. https://twitter.com/IOHK_Charles/status/1405737563030183936
  88. The bank of England is getting very serious about how it “may wish to limit migration” of money from the legacy system to stablecoins. Wow. Just another example of why it’s such an asset (no pun intended) that Cardano is prepared for regulation. https://twitter.com/CaitlinLong_/status/1405712468823842816
  89. Check out the newly “pimped up” Cardano documentation. https://twitter.com/theSavaSavic/status/1405526615585480730 https://docs.cardano.org/
  90. The Cardano Development Update for this week is out. https://roadmap.cardano.org/en/status-updates/update/2021-06-18/
  91. Runtime Verification (architects of K Framework which powers Cardano’s IELE & KEVM) just raised $5.3MM in a round that included Cardano’s C Fund. https://runtimeverification.com/blog/runtime-verification-raises-5-3-million-to-advance-blockchain-security https://twitter.com/RosuGrigore/status/1405917218035097600
  92. It’s a good sign that the top two crypto communities are spending so much time talking negatively about Cardano. You only focus your hatred on that which is most threatening. I’m glad to see we’re the biggest threat on their radar. https://twitter.com/nic__carter/status/1405194146063736840
  93. Bloomberg just published a piece called “America Should Become a Nation of Renters”. While this statement is probably extremely polarizing for Americans, it can also be argued that the death of homes as the primary investment vehicle of Americans may open up a new wave of adoption in crypto as an alternative. https://twitter.com/bopinion/status/1405609396302979074
  94. Cardano 360 is this coming Thursday the 24th! https://twitter.com/InputOutputHK/status/1405067848452657153
  95. It’s Project Catalyst voting time. You have until the 25th! https://twitter.com/InputOutputHK/status/1406213172781060097
  96. We are crushing all the competitors in terms of assets staked! https://twitter.com/CryptoDiffer/status/1405854686209622018
  97. All 345,501 of the people who have watched the Lex Fridman/Charles episode as of writing are realizing that Cardano could be the first project to put voting on the blockchain in a U.S. state. https://www.atalaprism.io/app
  98. Don’t Forget Cardano 360 is this Thursday! https://twitter.com/InputOutputHK/status/1407035426267877385
  99. Days like today in Cardano and the greater crypto space always reminds me that there have been other great adoption stories that went through periods like this.https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1407077949774442499
  100. It looks like the second biggest ETH stakepool or it's custody provider has lost it’s users private keys to $75MM in ETH. Cardano doesn’t have this problem. We get to keep custody of our crypto because we found a better way than slashing. https://stakehound.com/blog-post/fireblocks-eth-2-key-management-incident/ https://twitter.com/JamesSpediacci/status/1407465311180255236
  101. Draft table of contents for Mastering Cardano has been revealed. https://twitter.com/IOHK_Charles/status/1407165366355124225
  102. Cardano 360 June Edition is Today! Watch it on youtube! https://twitter.com/InputOutputHK/status/1407629819941109760
  103. COTI (a project with very close ties to Cardano) is coming to Ledger. https://medium.com/cotinetwork/coti-native-is-coming-to-ledger-c56b04df1253
  104. The June Cardano 360 was yesterday. It is currently available on Youtube. https://youtu.be/al5m14299ww
  105. We saw segments on various newer partner entities like Nervos, Orion Protocol, and Revuto. Nervos is a UTXO proof-of-work blockchain which is building a cross-chain bridge with Cardano so that you can use your ADA on Nervos dApps and vice versa. Interoperability is a big theme for Nervos and they plan to have a working testnet within a month. Orion Protocol is building a terminal that will allow for decentralized non-custodial trading across centralized and decentralized exchanges. They say this would not require you to KYC or even have an account with any of these exchanges. Revuto is an online subscription management service that recently completed a $10MM token sale on Cardano.
  106. It was also revealed that Wolfram Labs, COTI, and IOHK have a three-way partnership (a ménage à tech) to build an NFT auction site. The people from Wolfram were talking about very interesting things including live minting during streaming events and automated upload to IPFS. COTI will be building out auction and bidding mechanisms in ADAPay.
  107. Professor Aggelos Kiayias gave us an update on research including that Ouroboros Chronos and Hydra papers have both been accepted into conferences/journals. Chronos will provide Cardano with a global concept of time that doesn’t rely on any outside timekeeper. Prof. Kiayias also pointed out that Hydra is distinguishable from other layer two protocols in that the scripting language is identical to that of the base layer in Cardano such that any dApp that can run on Cardano will run on the Hydra L2. This is a huge plus and superior to many other layer two solutions in other ecosystems where the base layer dApps will not run on layer two. Finally, the Mithril paper has been submitted for peer review. It will provide Cardano light wallets with Succinct Non-interactive Arguments of Knowledge that will give us the best of both worlds: no delays for syncing as in full node wallets while still preserving trustlessness.
  108. Finally, the Goguen Summit will be in late September. Sign up now at summit.cardano.org.
  109. The Fed is once again STRONGLY signalling to us that they are going to regulate stablecoins. The Fed is also specifically calling out Tether for the first time. You need to be thinking about how stablecoin regulation might affect your favorite Cardano DeFi or other project. https://twitter.com/CaitlinLong_/status/1408500265397985282 https://twitter.com/CaitlinLong_/status/1408572624125534212
  110. People are starting to realize that the Stakehound private key loss in ETH may attract unwanted regulatory attention to Ethereum 2.0 while this problem could never have occurred in Cardano. Also, only a few days later another ETH stakepool (this time SharedStake...the sixth biggest ETH Stakepool) allegedly experiences a rugpull that some are valuing at over $30MM. This is another problem that could not happen in Cardano staking. It feels like we stepped into the ring, they rang the bell, and ETH just started punching itself in the head. Eventually it’s going to KO itself. https://twitter.com/Madror7/status/1408505144984051716 https://twitter.com/JamesSpediacci/status/1407761823143645189 https://twitter.com/MeiTrades/status/1408117430656905219 https://sharedstake.medium.com/the-sharedstake-story-by-kairos-44d37aa7837a
  111. Here’s another great Cardano data site. This one is from the Cardano Fans stakepool. https://datastudio.google.com/u/0/reporting/3136c55b-635e-4f46-8e4b-b8ab54f2d460/page/r2LQC
  112. John O’Connor of IOHK points out that France still controls the monetary policy of 14 countries in Africa. There is definitely a built in market on the continent for a project that delivers monetary sovereignty to the people. https://twitter.com/jjtoconnor/status/1408978882129272832
  113. Here’s a great new interview with the CEO of World Mobile from Cardano Chats. https://youtu.be/w0Z2RP6a9HE
  114. New article from the Cardano Foundation on Governance. https://forum.cardano.org/t/blockchain-governance-what-it-is-and-why-it-matters/65493
  115. Sebastien explains some Alonzo HFC event changes. https://twitter.com/SebastienGllmt/status/1409485560012414978
  116. IOG Research update from Prof. Aggelos Kiayias. Really interesting bit right at the beginning on the history of cryptography as a field of study. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7UAL\_6f7PFw

~Army of Spies