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Trump Asserts Progress in China Trade Talks, Promises Deals Soon
President Trump claims in a Time interview that China's Xi called him, and his administration is actively negotiating trade deals with China. He expects to announce multiple agreements within the next 3-4 weeks, despite Beijing's denial of ongoing talks.
China Mulls Tariff Exemptions on Key US Imports Amid Economic Pressure
China is considering exempting certain US imports from its 125% tariffs, including medical equipment, ethane, and plane leasing. This move comes as rising costs squeeze local industries and signals growing concern over the trade war's economic impact
Stock Markets Events
Tech Giants Lead S&P 500 to Best Week of 2025 Amid Market Rally, but Uncertainty Lingers
The stock market experienced a significant rally this week, with major indices posting substantial gains. The S&P 500 closed up 0.75%, marking its best 4-day rally against gold in 12 years, while the Nasdaq 100 gained 1.1%. Tech stocks, particularly Tesla and Nvidia, led the charge, with Tesla surging 9% and Nvidia up 4.54% for the day and 13% for the week. The positive momentum was attributed to easing trade tensions and speculation about Tesla's potential entry into the Indian market. However, some analysts remain cautious, debating whether this is a sustainable recovery or a temporary bounce in a bear market. The week ahead promises to be busy, with big tech earnings reports and U.S. jobs data on the horizon. Investors are also closely watching options activity in major companies like Lockheed Martin, American Express, and Morgan Stanley for insights into market sentiment. Despite the overall optimism, some sectors and companies faced challenges, with materials lagging and firms like Carter's and Saia citing "uncertainty" in their outlooks.
Wall Street Futures Dip as Alphabet's Surge Fails to Offset Trade Concerns and Mixed Earnings
Wall Street futures are edging lower as market sentiment remains cautious amid ongoing trade tensions and mixed corporate earnings. Google's parent company Alphabet surged after strong earnings, providing a glimmer of hope for the tech sector. Despite a three-day winning streak, stock futures are sliding, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 showing declines in premarket trading. Investors are closely watching inflation data and weighing the impact of China's recent tariff exemptions on select U.S. goods. While some experts dismiss market pessimism, others note increased short interest, particularly in the S&P 500. The market's volatility has led to discussions about defensive strategies and the potential use of leveraged ETFs. As earnings season continues, stocks like Meta Platforms, Intel, and T-Mobile are among the biggest movers.
Geopolitics Events
Trump Claims Progress in China Trade Talks, Promises Imminent Deal Announcements Amid Conflicting Reports
In a recent interview with Time Magazine, President Donald Trump made several significant claims regarding U.S.-China trade relations. Trump stated that Chinese President Xi Jinping had called him, and that his administration is actively engaged in talks with China to strike a deal. The President also asserted that he has made "200 tariff deals" and plans to announce them formally within the next three to four weeks. Trump expressed confidence in his tariff strategy, saying he "owns the store" and will set "fair prices" for each country. However, these claims have been met with skepticism, as China's Foreign Ministry reportedly denied any ongoing consultations or negotiations on tariffs. The interview also touched on other topics, including Trump's stance on Crimea and his views on the recent bond market stress. Despite the conflicting narratives, Trump's statements have sparked renewed interest in the ongoing trade disputes between the U.S. and China.
Trump Stands Firm: No Tariff Relief for China Without Concessions
President Trump declares he won't remove tariffs on China unless Beijing offers concessions, maintaining a firm stance in ongoing trade negotiations between the two economic powerhouses.
Putin Meets Trump Envoy Witkoff: High-Stakes Diplomacy Amid Stalled Peace Talks
Russian President Vladimir Putin met with U.S. President Trump's envoy Steve Witkoff at the Kremlin on Friday. This high-level engagement occurs amid stalled peace negotiations, signaling potential diplomatic efforts between the two nations.
Trump Pushes for Swift Signing of Vital Ukraine Rare Earths Deal
Former President Trump expresses hope for an imminent signing of a crucial rare earths deal with Ukraine, which remains unsigned. He emphasizes the deal's importance and urges immediate action.
Trump Signals Progress in Iran Talks, Suggests Possible Interim Agreement
Trump expresses optimism about Iran situation, revealing negotiations at highest levels and hinting at potential interim deal. Diplomatic efforts appear to be progressing positively.
Ukraine and Europe Resist U.S. Peace Proposals as Russia-Ukraine War Negotiations Intensify
Ukrainian and European officials have pushed back against certain U.S. proposals for ending the Russia-Ukraine war, particularly regarding territorial concessions and sanction rollbacks. Leaked documents reveal a U.S. peace plan offering Russia gains in Crimea and Ukraine security without NATO membership. The competing plans highlight deep divisions in approach, with Europeans and Ukrainians presenting counterproposals during talks in London. As negotiations reach a critical phase, a U.S. envoy has arrived in Moscow for discussions with President Putin.
Trump-Xi Call Claimed, Details Pending
President Trump claims he spoke with Chinese President Xi Jinping, but provides no details about the conversation. The public awaits further information.
China Signals Economic Boost: RRR and Interest Rate Cuts on the Horizon
China's Politburo signals a major policy shift, pledging to cut reserve requirement ratios (RRR) and interest rates "in a timely manner" to boost economic recovery. New financial and policy tools are planned to support technology, consumption, and trade sectors. The government aims to maintain ample liquidity, promote income growth, and implement proactive fiscal measures. Emergency plans are being drafted to counter potential external shocks, highlighting Beijing's commitment to economic stability and growth.
Crypto Events
Bitcoin Nears $95,000 Amid Institutional Inflows and Bullish Predictions, While Regulatory Landscape Evolves
Bitcoin's price has surged to $94,761, with bulls eyeing the $100,000 mark. This rally is fueled by institutional interest, ETF developments, and a favorable macroeconomic environment. U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs continue to see significant inflows, with BlackRock's IBIT and Ark 21Shares' ARKB leading the charge. The Federal Reserve is easing restrictions on banks engaging with crypto, potentially boosting institutional adoption. Meanwhile, ARK Invest has made a bold prediction, forecasting Bitcoin could reach $2.4 million by 2030. However, the crypto market faced a brief jolt as China denied reports of talks between Trump and Xi, highlighting the sensitivity of digital assets to geopolitical tensions. Despite this, Bitcoin continues to find buyers on dips, with whales accumulating amid high exchange outflows. The SEC's decision to drop its lawsuit against Dragonchain signals a potential shift in regulatory approach. As Bitcoin hovers near $95,000, some analysts warn investors to consider stocks as the cryptocurrency approaches its range top.
New SEC Chair Vows to Clear Crypto Regulatory Fog, Criticizes Past Approach
New SEC Chairman Paul Atkins has criticized the agency's previous approach to cryptocurrency regulation, stating it fostered "regulatory uncertainty" that stifled innovation. Atkins pledged to work towards creating clearer rules for the crypto sector, acknowledging that market participants deserve transparent guidelines. This marks a shift in the SEC's stance, with Atkins expressing a desire to collaborate with the Trump administration to establish a more supportive regulatory environment for digital assets.
XRP Price Predictions Soar Amid Mixed Signals and Market Activity
XRP price predictions range from $29 to $100, with analysts citing potential golden cross versus Bitcoin and comparisons to Ethereum. Despite bullish forecasts, some warn of possible breakout failure. XRP burns reach 10-day high, indicating market activity.
Macro Events
US Consumer Sentiment Rises as Inflation Expectations Cool; Mixed Economic Data from Canada
Consumer sentiment in the US improved in April, with the University of Michigan index rising to 52.2, surpassing expectations. One-year inflation expectations decreased to 6.5%, while long-term inflation expectations remained steady at 4.4%. Meanwhile, Canada's February retail sales fell 0.4%, but core retail sales increased by 0.5%. Canadian manufacturing sales also declined by 1.9% in March, contrary to expectations.
Fed Report: Banking System Stable, but Hedge Fund Leverage and Global Trade Risks Raise Concerns
The Federal Reserve's latest Financial Stability Report highlights a sound banking system but notes historical highs in hedge fund leverage, particularly among larger funds. Global trade risks were identified as the primary threat to U.S. financial stability. Despite April's market turmoil, asset prices remain elevated relative to fundamentals. The growing stablecoin sector faces potential run risks, while Treasury and equity market liquidity worsened. Business and household debt vulnerabilities remain moderate, and funding risks have declined to historically moderate levels.
UK Retail Sales Defy Expectations with Robust March Growth
UK retail sales surpassed expectations in March, with overall sales rising 2.6% year-on-year and 0.4% month-on-month. Core retail sales showed even stronger growth, increasing 3.3% annually and 0.5% monthly, defying forecasts of decline.
China Denies Ongoing Trade Talks with US, Says No Tariff Negotiations
China's Foreign Ministry has announced that there are currently no trade consultations or negotiations on tariffs taking place between China and the United States, dispelling rumors of ongoing talks.
Proposed Pharma Tariffs Could Hike US Drug Costs by $51 Billion, Industry Report Warns
A new report commissioned by the US pharma industry trade group reveals that imposing 25% tariffs on pharmaceuticals could increase US drug costs by $51 billion annually. If fully passed on to consumers, drug prices could rise by up to 12.9%. The tariffs would also increase production costs and reduce the competitiveness of US drug exports, potentially impacting access to essential medications.
Trump's Tariff Plan Aims to Expedite Trade Talks
Trump administration unveils tariff strategy to simplify trade negotiations, aiming to streamline discussions with global partners.
Canadian Retail Sales: Mixed February Results, March Rebound Expected
Canadian retail sales in February showed mixed results, with overall sales declining 0.4% but core sales rising 0.5%. The data aligned with forecasts, indicating a complex economic picture. March projections suggest a potential 0.7% increase in retail sales.
ECB Official: US Tariffs Cause Disinflation, Long-Term Economic Damage
ECB's Holzmann reports US tariffs have a disinflationary effect, but warns of lasting economic scars even if tariffs are reduced.
China Signals Economic Boost: RRR and Interest Rate Cuts on the Horizon
China's Politburo signals a major policy shift, pledging to cut reserve requirement ratios (RRR) and interest rates "in a timely manner" to boost economic recovery. New financial and policy tools are planned to support technology, consumption, and trade sectors. The government aims to maintain ample liquidity, promote income growth, and implement proactive fiscal measures. Emergency plans are being drafted to counter potential external shocks, highlighting Beijing's commitment to economic stability and growth.
ECB Official: Europe Can Weather Current Tariffs
ECB's Vujcic states that current tariffs do not represent the worst-case scenario for Europe, suggesting potential economic resilience despite trade challenges.
Technology Events
Apple's Bold Move: All US iPhones to be Made in India by 2025
Apple plans to shift assembly of all US-sold iPhones to India as early as next year, doubling Indian output. This strategic move aims to reduce reliance on China and avoid US tariffs on Chinese imports. The tech giant is accelerating its supply chain diversification amid ongoing trade tensions.
AI Fever Grips Tech Industry: Stock Surges and Innovations Signal New Era of Growth
The tech world is abuzz with AI developments and their impact on various industries. Companies like Atlassian, Cognizant, Intel, and NVIDIA are at the forefront of AI integration. PwC notes that AI fluency is becoming ingrained in organizational culture. Chinese AI companies, including DeepSeek, are gaining attention globally. In the financial sector, next-gen wealth management is embracing AI, while Solana sees a $50 million investment in decentralized AI. Pony AI's stock is surging due to new robotaxi developments and partnerships. Tech giants like Google, Meta, and Nvidia are seeing stock climbs and forecast upgrades driven by AI advancements. Tesla's stock soars as robotaxis become a closer reality, highlighting the transformative potential of AI across multiple sectors.
Trump Pushes Europe to Abandon AI Rulebook
Trump administration urges Europe to reject proposed AI regulations, sparking debate over global AI governance and technological competition.
Apple's Bold Move: Shifting iPhone Production from China to India by 2026
Apple is planning a significant shift in its iPhone production strategy, aiming to move all US-bound iPhone manufacturing from China to India by 2026. This move reflects growing tensions between the US and China, and highlights India's rising importance as a manufacturing hub. Former Cisco CEO John Chambers views this as a positive development, emphasizing the strong relationship between the US and India. However, concerns arise about potential price increases for US-made iPhones.
ByteDance Plans Massive Data Center in Brazil, Eyeing 900MW Power Demand
TikTok's parent company ByteDance is eyeing a significant data center investment in Brazil's northeast region. Sources reveal plans for a facility in Cearå state, potentially at Pecém Port, which could demand up to 900MW of power. ByteDance is reportedly in talks with wind power firm Casa dos Ventos for this ambitious project, marking a major expansion of their digital infrastructure in South America.
Legal Events
New SEC Chair Vows to Clear Crypto Regulatory Fog, Criticizes Past Approach
New SEC Chairman Paul Atkins has criticized the agency's previous approach to cryptocurrency regulation, stating it fostered "regulatory uncertainty" that stifled innovation. Atkins pledged to work towards creating clearer rules for the crypto sector, acknowledging that market participants deserve transparent guidelines. This marks a shift in the SEC's stance, with Atkins expressing a desire to collaborate with the Trump administration to establish a more supportive regulatory environment for digital assets.
Google Faces May 2 Hearing on Digital Ad Antitrust Remedies
A U.S. judge has scheduled a May 2 hearing to discuss potential remedies in the antitrust lawsuit against Google's digital advertising practices. The case involves the Justice Department and multiple states, as per a court filing.
Earnings Events
Q1 2025 Earnings: Colgate-Palmolive and Centene Surpass Expectations, Aon Falls Short
Colgate-Palmolive, Centene, and Aon reported their Q1 2025 earnings, with mixed results. Colgate-Palmolive exceeded expectations with adjusted EPS of $0.91 and revenue of $4.91B, projecting 2-4% organic sales growth for the year. Centene surpassed estimates with adjusted EPS of $2.90 and revenue of $46.62B, raising its full-year revenue forecast. Aon, however, fell short of predictions with adjusted EPS of $5.67 and revenue of $4.7B, despite reporting 12% organic growth. All three companies provided updated guidance for the fiscal year.
BYD's Q1 Earnings Surge: Net Profit Doubles as Chinese EV Maker Eyes Global Expansion
Chinese EV giant BYD reported impressive Q1 earnings, with net income soaring 100% YoY to 9.15 billion yuan. Revenue climbed 36% to 170.36 billion yuan, slightly below estimates. Car sales approached 1 million units, positioning BYD for strong annual growth. The company increased R&D spending to 14.22 billion yuan, demonstrating commitment to innovation in the competitive EV market.
AbbVie Exceeds Q1 Expectations, Raises Full-Year Outlook on Strong Skyrizi Sales
AbbVie reports strong Q1 2025 results, beating estimates with $2.46 EPS and $13.34B revenue. Skyrizi sales surpass expectations at $3.43B, while Humira revenue falls short. The company raises its full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $12.09-$12.29, reflecting confidence in its performance despite market challenges.
Healthcare Events
Novavax Shares Tumble as FDA Demands New Trial for Delayed COVID-19 Vaccine
FDA requests Novavax to conduct a new clinical trial for its delayed COVID-19 vaccine, following political intervention and a missed approval deadline. This development has caused Novavax shares to plummet by 8.6%. Experts caution that another large study could be financially challenging for the company.
Oil And Gas Events
Oil Market Faces Mixed Signals: Supply Pressures, Policy Changes, and Industry Resilience Shape Outlook
Oil prices edge up but face a weekly decline due to supply pressures. Canada's oil industry shows resilience amid trade tensions, while the US plans to fast-track oil and gas projects. Shanghai INE announces adjustments to futures price limits and margin requirements for various commodities. Tourmaline Oil emerges as a key player in Canada's natural gas market, capitalizing on global arbitrage opportunities. Crude futures rebound strongly from recent lows, though performance varies when priced in euros. Open interest in Brent and WTI contracts remains a focus for traders.
Iran Strengthens Ties with Russia Amid Oil Market Volatility
Iran's Oil Minister pledges to boost cooperation with Russia across multiple sectors, including agriculture and banking. Oil prices face pressure from US-China trade tensions, while Iran-Russia gas deal remains pending amid global market uncertainties.
US Oil Rig Count Climbs to 483, Signaling Expansion in Domestic Drilling
Baker Hughes reports an increase in US oil rig count to 483, up from 481 previously. The total US rig count also rose to 587, indicating growth in domestic drilling activity.
Corporate Actions Events
DoorDash Eyes Deliveroo Takeover: Potential ÂŁ1.5 Billion Deal Shakes Up Food Delivery Market
Deliveroo, the UK-based food delivery giant, has received a potential takeover offer from DoorDash at 180p per share. The board is inclined to recommend the deal if formally proposed. DoorDash has until May 23 to make an official offer, stirring excitement in the food delivery industry.
Fixed Income And Interest Rates Events
China Signals Economic Boost: RRR and Interest Rate Cuts on the Horizon
China's Politburo signals a major policy shift, pledging to cut reserve requirement ratios (RRR) and interest rates "in a timely manner" to boost economic recovery. New financial and policy tools are planned to support technology, consumption, and trade sectors. The government aims to maintain ample liquidity, promote income growth, and implement proactive fiscal measures. Emergency plans are being drafted to counter potential external shocks, highlighting Beijing's commitment to economic stability and growth.
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