For Trading March 13th
Markets Halted Again FED Pumps The Market Most Sports Cancelled
Yields Improve
Today’s market was pounded from the start with the futures overnight falling on the lack of enthusiasm for the president’s speech and plans to avert the panic that COVID-19. We were halted again within minutes of the open, and languished to trade lower until the Fed program of approximately $1.5 Trillion (with a T) of “repo” programs that no matter what they call it, is QE to infinity and beyond. But, it only helped for a 5% rally from 1:00 to about 1:20PM and them we again headed lower and just before the close broke to a new low of the day -2353.60 (9.99%), NASDAQ -750.25 (9.43%), S&P 500 -260.74 (9.51$), the Russell -141.37 (11.18%), and the DJ Transports -867.07 (10.67%). While travel and entertainment has been the leader on the downside, today sporting events became the newest casualty, with NBA, MLB Spring training, NHL all suspended until further notice, and finally NCAA March Madness cancelled. Live Nation, already down from $76.60 fell to $36.20 -5.81 (13.83%). Disney closed the California park through the end of the month. Market Internals were dramatic, but not quite as bad earlier this week with NYSE “only” 37:1, and NASDAQ 17:1. Volume was up today, and the A/D volume was 25:1 on NYSE. All stocks in the DJIA were lower with BA -232, AAPL AND UNH -184, HD -151, GS -143, MCD -123, and IBM -102DPs rounding out the triple-digit losers, and all the rest were down double digits. Very ugly. Here in Boston, they just reported that the hotel that hosted the BIIB meeting last month, where there were 82 out of 103 cases in the state has closed until further notice. The hotel is the Marriott Long Wharf on the harbor.
Our “open forum” on Discord, which allows me to interact with subscribers and others to allow direct questions and chart opinions on just about any stock, continues to grow with more participants every day. It is informative and allows me to share insights as the market is open and moving. The link is: https://discord.gg/ATvC7YZ and I will be there and active from before the open and all day. It’s a great place to share ideas and gain some insights.
SECTORS: Other names in the news: I’m not sure that there is really any point to listing all the names and declines here so I’m just going to hit the earnings for the day starting with DG, which had an upside surprise but still fell to $141.97 -15.66 (9.93%) although it is only $20 from its high of 165 (12%). GCO was a beat but it has fallen from a recent high of $53.20 in December and closed today $22.14 -1.97 (8.17%). Spartan Motors (SPAR) surprised to the upside and while already down from $20.70 last month managed to stay green @ $11.46 +.10 (.88%), but still green.
After the close we had numbers for ADBE and after falling to $285 -30.23 (9.59%) it traded up to $296 but has only held $286.85. Broadcom (AVGO) missed on top and bottom lines, guided Q2 down, and withdrew it FY2020 guidance. The stock, down from an all-time high of $331.58 in February closed $218.78 -27.19 (11.05%) fell to $197.46 and is currently 202.25 -16.53. ULTA beat and reported inline revenues but their guidance was a disappointment. The stock, which fell from $342 to 235 in September and made some headway when it beat in December had made it back to $300 earlier this year, has fallen to finish the day $198.54 -22.67 (10.25%) rallied back to $210 but is now $195.03.
BIOPHARMA: was LOWER with most down nearly 10% and BIIB -30.25 (10.28%), ABBV -6.23M REGN -32.81, ISRG -52.02 (10.12%), MYL -1.21, TEVA -1.58 (17.09%), VRTX -21.34, BHC -2.23 (12.09%), INCY -3.78, ICPT -11.50 (14.82%), LABU 20.35 -9.66 (32.06%) and IBB $95.80 -11.17 (10.44%).
CANNABIS: stocks were LOWER again with all down over 10%, with TLRY -1.19 (16.7%), CGC -2.60 (19.48%), CRON -.99 (18.3%), GWPH -11.09 (12.76%), ACB -.16 (18.48%), PYX -.81 (26.73%), NBEV -.32 (18.60%), CURLF -.45 (10.74%), KERN -1.04 (16.99%), and MJ 9.90 -1.44 (12.7%).
DEFENSE: was SHARPLY LOWER with most down double digits LMT -48.93, RTN -16.75, GD -16.45, TXT -5.16, UTX -6.07, NOC -31.58, BWXT +1.06, TDY -25.58 and ITA $144.84 -21.84 (13.10%).
RETAIL was LOWER with all down double-digit percentages. M -1.89, JWN -4.27, KSS -5.47, DDS -5.06, JCP -.10 (20%), WMT -10.43, TGT -13.58, TJX -6.61, RL -11.00, UAA -1.69, LULU -24.74, TPR -2.56, CPRI -4.49, and XRT 29.84 -5.13 (14.67%).
FAANG and Big Cap: were LOWER with this group the highlight of the crowded trade problems. GOOGL – 107.90, AMZN -184.86, AAPL -36.51, FB -17.49, NFLX -44.92, NVDA -37.47, IBM -15.97, TSLA -113.68, BABA -16.91, BIDU -11.37, BA -35.48, CAT -9.44, DIS -15.54 and XLK $74.38 -9.11 (19.91%).
FINANCIALS were LOWER with the market and the FEDs big REPO program didn’t seem to help. GS –22.89, JPM -8.97, BAC -2.65, MS -6.21, C -7.98, PNC -7.46, AIG -7.28 (22.45%), 9.80, AXP -13.56 and XLF $20.04 -2.80 (12.26%).
OIL, $31.50 -1.38 The stocks were LOWER with the price of Oil trying to hold $30.00 with a low today @ $30.02 before coming back a bit. I’m still standing aside this market since it has a lot of work to do to rebuild a base to define the risk. XLE finished $29.11 – 4.56 (13.54%).
METALS, GOLD: $1,590.30 -52.00. After the overnight selloff the Gold fell along with the S&P, breaking the 50-day MA, but holding the previous lows at $1,560 and bouncing a bit higher at the close. Gold is clearly suffering through liquidation like the rest of the market, but the FED repo program should stoke the inflation fires, and any bounce in stocks will help.
BITCOIN: closed $6,010 -1845. We broke to the downside overnight and fell to a low of $5595. While I want to add the 350 sold just over a week ago, I want to wait and see some stabilization. We still own 400 GBTC with an average of $8.06. GBTC closed $6.44 -2.17 today.
Tomorrow is another day.
CAM