[Daily Discussion] Tuesday, April 28, 2020

Thread topics include, but are not limited to:

• General discussion related to the day's events
• Technical analysis, trading ideas & strategies
• Quick questions that do not warrant a separate post

Thread guidelines:

• Be excellent to each other.
• Do not make posts outside of the daily thread for the topics mentioned above.

Other ways to interact:

• Get an invite to live chat on our Slack group
• Set your flair to trade pretend money in the Flair Game
• Weekly threads: Newbie Mondays and Fundamentals Fridays
• Altcoins Discussion: Altcoin Discussion

[Altcoin Discussion] Tuesday, April 28, 2020

Thread topics include, but are not limited to:

• Discussion related to recent events
• Technical analysis, trading ideas & strategies
• General questions about altcoins

Thread guidelines:

• Be excellent to each other.
• All regular rules for this subreddit apply, except for number 2. This, and only this, thread is exempt from the requirement that all discussion must relate to bitcoin trading.
• This is for high quality discussion of altcoins. All shilling or obvious pumping/dumping behavior will result in an immediate one day ban. This is your only warning.
• No discussion about specific ICOs. Established coins only.

If you're not sure what kind of discussion belongs in this thread, here are some example posts. News, TA, and sentiment analysis are great, too.

Other ways to interact:

• Get an invite to live chat on our Slack group and check out the #altcoins channel
• Daily Discussion for bitcoin only: Daily Discussion
• Prior Altcoin Discussion: Altcoin Discussion

"Déjà vu like" gut feeling about a near future experience.

As anyone ever had like a weird feeling as if something was meant to happen? I have 2 instances of something major that has happened to me where I had a weird feeling, a warning of some sort, deep inside of me that hit me like a lightning strike before it actually occurred... I don't really know what it means because those 2 events still have the consequences unfolding to this day.

The first occurrence was a normal day of school 4 years ago(15yo), I didn't feel like going to class in the morning, so I only got up at 12pm and went to the afternoon classes. As I walked to school, I remembered being fed up about life and dreading the years to come having to go to school and then It hit me like that... a strange gut feeling telling me to invest in crypto currency. Strange because I never thought about investing and I knew little about crypto (it was pre 2017 crash). To make the story short, I made over 100k $ but lost it due to gambling. I learned my lesson and I look forward to get back into it. Back then it didn't feel weird, I thought this idea must have been because of my subconscious like seeing a news article talking about bitcoin or something. But it started bothering me because of the second instance of this exact same feeling two years later (17yo).

For the second one, I want to start off by saying I have a terrible memory in general so it makes it even more weird. This happened again, on a normal summer vacation day thousands of km of where I used to live. I was shopping at a Walmart with my mom and I got hit with the same uneasiness from my gut after seeing a girl for like 15 seconds max. For some reason this short encounter has been buried in my brain, her face, her tattoos, her height, hair. You see hundreds of people a day and you never remember their faces... but not this one. Why is that?? Anyways, fast forward to earlier this year (late 2019), the first job I get after moving to the town in question, she's my coworker. Weird coincidence, I tell myself then. Again to make it short, we got into a relationship and she was my first girlfriend but it was short lived. It was bitter-sweet because the relationship itself was toxic but the unusual turn of events that happened because of it made a path for myself that changed me for a better person.

I used to be insecure, lost and unsure about my future, but I feel like this "force" I guess I can call it, made me certain about my path, like it was meant to be. Even though I'm at my absolute low in life right now, I never felt more certain of my future.

Bitcoin Halving Beats Coronavirus in Mentions as Only 14 Days Left Before the Event. These mentions have reached an all-time high of 1058 tweets. The most popular topic is Bitcoin trading with 1,129 tweets.

https://www.coinfi.com/news/844477/bitcoin-halving-beats-coronavirus-in-mentions-as-only-14-days-left-before-the-event

For Trading April 28th

OIL Falters, again

Financials Rally

The Russell Leads the Way

Today’s market got off to an upward start and never looked back. Based on news of re-openings in Italy and France in the works and the restarting of repair work on Notre Dame Cathedral were highlights. Around 11:30 we had a small selloff that lasted until 1:45 and we lost about 100 DPs but we rallied again making a new high of the day at +428 before closing +358.51 (1.51%), NASDAQ +95.64 (1.11%), S&P 500 +41.74 (1.47%) and the Russell, the big winner, +48.82 (3.96%) and DJ Transports +225.02 (2.78%). The DJIA was 24 up, 6 down with the biggest gainers were MMM and GS +45, HD +38, DIS +33, V +31, and JPM +27 DPs. There were no double-digit losers. Market internals were good with both NYSE and Nasdaq 3.5:1 with light volume. All 11 S&P 500 sectors were up with financials the leaders followed by industrials and retail also strong. The “least strong” was consumer staples.

Our “open forum” on Discord, which allows me to interact with subscribers and others to allow direct questions and chart opinions on just about any stock, continues to grow with more participants every day. It is informative and allows me to share insights as the market is open and moving. The link is: https://discord.gg/ATvC7YZ and I will be there and active from before the open and all day. It’s a great place to share ideas and gain some insights, and we’ve grown to almost 1900 members. I also did this video titled “How to survive being an options trader and not blow up your account,” over the long weekend. I think it’s very informative as a guide to stock selection and option choices. The link is https://youtu.be/Y7H9RpWfLlo Enjoy!!

Tonight’s closing comment video https://youtu.be/LfrHz_ROkVw

SECTORS: As I mentioned above, financials lead the way and this is important since for any rally to be sustainable, financials need to participate. I think we may be playing catch-up with today’s move, and we are pretty overextended at this point. I am also adding a sector for food supply chain companies. It is clear that the food supply has problems and since there is no ETF that I know of that covers it, I have put together a short list of the big names. I have left out supermarkets since they are distribution and not production.

FOOD SUPPLY: was HIGHER with TSN +1.18, BGS +.05, FLO +.46, CAG +.42, MDLZ +.09, KHC +.78, CALM +1.95 (4.68%), JJSF +6.72 (5.71%), SAFM +3.66 and LANC +3.74.

BIOPHARMA: was MIXED with BIIB +5.44, ABBV +.76, REGN -22.21 (3.92%), ISRG +2.17, GILD -.14, MYL +.42, TEVA +.50 (4.89%), VRTX -3.84, BHC +1.19, INCY -.50, ICPT +3.22, LABU +1.85 and IBB $127.53 +1.35 (1.07%).

CANNABIS: This group was HIGHER with TLRY +.31, CGC +2.21 (14.81%), CRON +.28, GWPH +.18, ACB +.035, PYX +.39, NBEV -.01, CURLF +.47 (10.9%), KERN +.76 (9.22%), and MJ $12.38 +.48 (4.03%).

DEFENSE: was HIGHER with LMT -2.27, RTX +1.96, GD +5.70, TXT +1.13, NOC +5.50, BWXT +1.72, TDY +3.90 and ITA $151.08 +2.40 (1.61%).

RETAIL: was HIGHER with the exception of WMT -1.06, M +.54, JWN +2.43, KSS +3.05, DDS +2.23, JCP +.014, TGT +2.18, TJX +1.84, RL +6.52 (9.55%), UAA +.50, LULU +11.92 (5.56%), TPR +1.46, CPRI +1.36 and XRT $36.36 +1.82 (5.27%).

FAANG and Big Cap: were LOWER with GOOGL -5.74, AMZN -32.79, AAPL +.29, FB -2.12, NFLX -3.48, NVDA +9.17, TSLA +57.93 (7.99%), BABA -.46, BIDU -.45, CMG -.22, BA +.90, CAT -.03, DIS +4.86 and XLK $89.19 +.56 (.63%).

FINANCIALS were HIGHER with GS +6.60, JPM +3.82, BAC +1.27, MS +1.41, C +3.46, PNC +4.27, AIG +.91, TRV +2.07, AXP +1.73, V +4.48, and XLF $22.48 +.74 (3.4%).

OIL, $16.50 +2.72. Oil was a BIG STORY another day of liquidation coupled with the news that USO will not deal in the front month contract (June) and will “ladder” maturities of the further out months. This is the 4th time that they have made changes with this ETF. From my way of thinking, this will only make it less in line with the actual market moves. Oil stocks were mixed to higher with CVX +2.89, XOM +.26, OXY +.39, OAS - .07, NBL -.06, MRO -.06, MPC +.84, RIG -.10, APA -.04, BP +.86, HES +.71, and XLE $35.40 +.78 (2.25%). Just a quick note, Diamond Offshore (DO) filed for bankruptcy and was $ .365 -.5734 (61.1%) on the day.

METALS, GOLD: $1,723.80 -11.80. After the recent gains, Gold broke solidly above $1,700 and traded as high as $1788 last Wednesday. We have spent the last 3 days consolidating the gains and hit $1,720 today. I will want to get long the GLD if we can probe the $1710 range, or if it turns higher without making another low right here. We are long NEM.

BITCOIN: closed $7,780 + 185. After we traded in the uptrend, I mentioned this weekend that I felt we’d have to test 6750 and yesterday we hit 6465 before turning back up. Today’s action was a continuing move higher. While I want to add the 350, I still want to wait and see some stabilization. We still own 400 GBTC with an average of $8.06. GBTC closed $8.79 +.24 today.

Tomorrow is another day.

CAM

For Trading April 28th

OIL Falters, again

Financials Rally

The Russell Leads the Way

Today’s market got off to an upward start and never looked back. Based on news of re-openings in Italy and France in the works and the restarting of repair work on Notre Dame Cathedral were highlights. Around 11:30 we had a small selloff that lasted until 1:45 and we lost about 100 DPs but we rallied again making a new high of the day at +428 before closing +358.51 (1.51%), NASDAQ +95.64 (1.11%), S&P 500 +41.74 (1.47%) and the Russell, the big winner, +48.82 (3.96%) and DJ Transports +225.02 (2.78%). The DJIA was 24 up, 6 down with the biggest gainers were MMM and GS +45, HD +38, DIS +33, V +31, and JPM +27 DPs. There were no double-digit losers. Market internals were good with both NYSE and Nasdaq 3.5:1 with light volume. All 11 S&P 500 sectors were up with financials the leaders followed by industrials and retail also strong. The “least strong” was consumer staples.

Our “open forum” on Discord, which allows me to interact with subscribers and others to allow direct questions and chart opinions on just about any stock, continues to grow with more participants every day. It is informative and allows me to share insights as the market is open and moving. The link is: https://discord.gg/ATvC7YZ and I will be there and active from before the open and all day. It’s a great place to share ideas and gain some insights, and we’ve grown to almost 1900 members. I also did this video titled “How to survive being an options trader and not blow up your account,” over the long weekend. I think it’s very informative as a guide to stock selection and option choices. The link is https://youtu.be/Y7H9RpWfLlo Enjoy!!

Tonight’s closing comment video https://youtu.be/LfrHz_ROkVw

SECTORS: As I mentioned above, financials lead the way and this is important since for any rally to be sustainable, financials need to participate. I think we may be playing catch-up with today’s move, and we are pretty overextended at this point. I am also adding a sector for food supply chain companies. It is clear that the food supply has problems and since there is no ETF that I know of that covers it, I have put together a short list of the big names. I have left out supermarkets since they are distribution and not production.

FOOD SUPPLY: was HIGHER with TSN +1.18, BGS +.05, FLO +.46, CAG +.42, MDLZ +.09, KHC +.78, CALM +1.95 (4.68%), JJSF +6.72 (5.71%), SAFM +3.66 and LANC +3.74.

BIOPHARMA: was MIXED with BIIB +5.44, ABBV +.76, REGN -22.21 (3.92%), ISRG +2.17, GILD -.14, MYL +.42, TEVA +.50 (4.89%), VRTX -3.84, BHC +1.19, INCY -.50, ICPT +3.22, LABU +1.85 and IBB $127.53 +1.35 (1.07%).

CANNABIS: This group was HIGHER with TLRY +.31, CGC +2.21 (14.81%), CRON +.28, GWPH +.18, ACB +.035, PYX +.39, NBEV -.01, CURLF +.47 (10.9%), KERN +.76 (9.22%), and MJ $12.38 +.48 (4.03%).

DEFENSE: was HIGHER with LMT -2.27, RTX +1.96, GD +5.70, TXT +1.13, NOC +5.50, BWXT +1.72, TDY +3.90 and ITA $151.08 +2.40 (1.61%).

RETAIL: was HIGHER with the exception of WMT -1.06, M +.54, JWN +2.43, KSS +3.05, DDS +2.23, JCP +.014, TGT +2.18, TJX +1.84, RL +6.52 (9.55%), UAA +.50, LULU +11.92 (5.56%), TPR +1.46, CPRI +1.36 and XRT $36.36 +1.82 (5.27%).

FAANG and Big Cap: were LOWER with GOOGL -5.74, AMZN -32.79, AAPL +.29, FB -2.12, NFLX -3.48, NVDA +9.17, TSLA +57.93 (7.99%), BABA -.46, BIDU -.45, CMG -.22, BA +.90, CAT -.03, DIS +4.86 and XLK $89.19 +.56 (.63%).

FINANCIALS were HIGHER with GS +6.60, JPM +3.82, BAC +1.27, MS +1.41, C +3.46, PNC +4.27, AIG +.91, TRV +2.07, AXP +1.73, V +4.48, and XLF $22.48 +.74 (3.4%).

OIL, $16.50 +2.72. Oil was a BIG STORY another day of liquidation coupled with the news that USO will not deal in the front month contract (June) and will “ladder” maturities of the further out months. This is the 4th time that they have made changes with this ETF. From my way of thinking, this will only make it less in line with the actual market moves. Oil stocks were mixed to higher with CVX +2.89, XOM +.26, OXY +.39, OAS - .07, NBL -.06, MRO -.06, MPC +.84, RIG -.10, APA -.04, BP +.86, HES +.71, and XLE $35.40 +.78 (2.25%). Just a quick note, Diamond Offshore (DO) filed for bankruptcy and was $ .365 -.5734 (61.1%) on the day.

METALS, GOLD: $1,723.80 -11.80. After the recent gains, Gold broke solidly above $1,700 and traded as high as $1788 last Wednesday. We have spent the last 3 days consolidating the gains and hit $1,720 today. I will want to get long the GLD if we can probe the $1710 range, or if it turns higher without making another low right here. We are long NEM.

BITCOIN: closed $7,780 + 185. After we traded in the uptrend, I mentioned this weekend that I felt we’d have to test 6750 and yesterday we hit 6465 before turning back up. Today’s action was a continuing move higher. While I want to add the 350, I still want to wait and see some stabilization. We still own 400 GBTC with an average of $8.06. GBTC closed $8.79 +.24 today.

Tomorrow is another day.

CAM