Saturday, August 26, 2023

Understanding liquidity and why a sudden $800m exit can tank a 1T market by 10%

Good morning everyone.

Some of you might be just coming round from your daze after this months market performance. We all checked our phones that day to find some pretty shocking news.

The thing I always found strange when I first entered this space and these sorts of events happened was that everything acted instantly, no matter which coin or which exchange. It all followed the same trend without a moments notice. I was also baffled at how much money could technically leave the eco system in such a short amount of time.

The current entire crypto market cap is very roughly 1 trillion dollars. Yesterday saw just short of 1 billion dollars in liquidation. That’s 0.1% of the entire market cap. Yet everything dropped by around 10%.

How?

Well it’s all to do with liquidity. It boils down to this. Let’s say Microstrategy woke up today and wanted to sell all of his Bitcoins. All 150,000 of them. The current price of BTC is $26,000.

He lists all 150,000 for $25,999 on Binance for sale. Immediately he will sell as many coins to as many buyers that have a bid in for $25,999 or more. After that, the sale will pause until buyers come in with that price. It would be a very tiny portion of his coins sold. Probably less than 50.

So he decides to list the remainder for $24,000. And again, orders are filled but not that many in comparison to the amount he holds. BTCs price has now dropped to below $24,000 because there’s no buyers or liquidity at $26,000 anymore. BTC just dropped 10% and microstrategy still has 140,000 BTC.

In reality, the price or market cap of a coin rests solely on its liquidity properties. If there’s only enough money on the table for 1 BTC at $26,000 then it’s going to be a rough ride when someone sells.

Below are some points I’ve made regarding liquidity and what you should understand.

  • Liquidity is the measure of how easily an asset can be bought or sold without causing significant price changes. In the cryptocurrency context, it reflects the ability to convert a digital asset into cash or another asset promptly. Liquidity depends on the presence of active buyers and sellers, as well as the depth of the order book.

  • Liquidity acts as a measure of market stability. High liquidity implies a balanced number of buyers and sellers, resulting in smoother trade execution and less impact on prices. On the flip side, low liquidity scenarios lead to heightened price volatility. A large trade in a low-liquidity market can result in exaggerated price fluctuations.

  • Market volatility, which often puzzles traders, can be attributed to liquidity dynamics. In markets with low liquidity, even small trades can cause significant price shifts. This results in the price volatility that characterizes cryptocurrency markets.

  • In markets with high liquidity, large trades can be executed with minimal price impact. Bid-ask spreads remain narrow, ensuring fair pricing for traders. High liquidity also makes it harder to manipulate prices, contributing to a more accurate representation of asset values.

  • Low liquidity markets are prone to price manipulation due to the influence of large holders. Executing significant trades in such scenarios can lead to slippage, where the executed price differs from the expected price due to insufficient orders to match against.

In summary, grasping liquidity is crucial for navigating the cryptocurrency landscape. It directly affects stability, volatility, and the trading experience. While high liquidity promotes stability, low liquidity demands caution due to potential price swings and manipulation risks.

It’s a lot to take in and bend your head around but it is the fundamental force of all crypto markets, even BTC with its massive market capitalisation is subject to its underlying importance.

I hope this helps 😊

FYI I posted this in another sun a couple of weeks ago but it was quite popular so I wanted to reshare here for those that missed it. Enjoy


Bitcoin & Ordinal NFTs - How to & Why own a PRINTs by Gamma.

TL;DR - Looking for an easy, low-cost way to start collecting cutting-edge NFT art? Be an early adopter and check out Gamma's PRINTs!

Hey r/NFT, I wanted to share an awesome opportunity I came across for anyone interested in getting into NFT art collecting without breaking the bank. It's called PRINTs - a set of limited edition digital art NFTs created by the talented artists handpicked for Gamma's exclusive Partner Program.

Here's why you should consider checking them out:

  • Super affordable to mint right now since the artists are still up-and-coming

  • Get access to pioneering new crypto art talents before they get huge

  • PRINT owners get full commercial rights - reprint, resell, use for promotions etc

  • Gamma provides IRL gallery exhibitions and events to showcase the art

  • As artists gain fame, the value of their original PRINTs will skyrocket

All you need to get started is a crypto wallet (set one up with u/Xversewallet Hiro, etc), some Bitcoin from an exchange like Coinbase, and an account on Gamma's site to connect your wallet and mint. It's really easy and user-friendly.

I love the idea of supporting indie artists early in their careers and benefiting as they blow up. Plus, the art just looks freaking cool! Who doesn't want beautiful, cutting-edge NFT artwork that could end up being worth a fortune down the road?

So if you've been curious about NFTs but weren't sure where to begin, I highly recommend exploring Gamma's PRINTs while prices are still affordable. It's a unique chance to be part of the future of digital art! Let me know if you have any other questions.

Start here - Earth Angel Tania


A Blast from the Past: How PGP Paved the Way for Decentralization

In my normal fashion, I did a deep dive into historical events that may have had a huge impact on cryptocurrency as it stands today. Enjoy my little write up, this was fun to research!

Introduced in 1991 by Phil Zimmermann, PGP was a game-changer for email security. Using a combination of symmetric and public-key cryptography, PGP ensured that emails could be sent securely, with only the intended recipient able to decrypt and read them. It allowed for digital signatures, ensuring the authenticity of the sender and the integrity of the message.

Why does PGP matter?

  1. Decentralization at Heart: PGP operates without a centralized authority. Users are in full control, generating their own keys. Sound familiar? This is one of the core foundations of cryptocurrency.

  2. Public and Private Keys: The dual-key system of PGP is a precursor to the cryptographic methods we see in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.

  3. Emphasis on Privacy: In a world where privacy is increasingly under threat, PGP stood as a beacon, emphasizing the importance of personal security and privacy.

In many ways, PGP was a precursor to the decentralization movement. It showcased the power of cryptography in ensuring privacy and security in a decentralized manner, long before Satoshi Nakamoto introduced Bitcoin.

I encourage you to read more into this if you have the time, especially if you're interested in the technology and what key events might have impacted where we are today. I kept this pretty short, as there was just too much to put all in one post. Keep hodling team!


Can Bitcoin Outperform Inflation in the Long-run?

I've been thinking lately, particularly this period about if Bitcoin can really beat inflation like we hope. Even if it can, what strategies work best to get the most out of a Bitcoin investment? Lately, I've seen many people trying things like spinning wheels and joining events like Bitget KCGI to earn extra dollars and buy more BTC. But the big question is, can these methods actually help us do better in inflation in the long run? Especially when Fundamental Events tend to affect Bitcoin price most times. And if so, what else are people doing to make their Bitcoin investments stand out and overcome the inflation issue?


#BTC GLOBAL THOUGHTS

There is a big Falling Wedge that was started forming at the beginning of 2021 year

We must breakout through one in terms of approaching Halving event.

However! We don’t expect it to happen any time soon. More likely we will see a consolidation in the $22,000 - $28,000 range for a couple of months

Great volatility will come in November - December

🤔 What positive factors can we find?

— Altcoin Season. While Bitcoin will keep consolidating, the money will possible move from it to smaller assets which will start a long-awaited season of altcoins.

https://preview.redd.it/9yxhgz4cygkb1.png?width=1280&format=png&auto=webp&s=b2847df173720dffa254574d2ba19ce9d6f35c88


NFTY Finance bridging NFTs and Defi: The Nextbillion POD

https://i.redd.it/y0vreuolafkb1.jpg