Thursday, December 14, 2023

The Salvadorian Tragedy: The Unintended Pitfalls of El Salvador's Bitcoin Adoption.

https://twitter.com/francis105d1/status/1735507693920567784

https://youtu.be/15BXY_1levY

In the previous video as a reference to our article, we delved into a speculative tale titled "I am a time traveler from the future," envisioning a world where Bitcoin soared to unprecedented heights, rendering traditional currency comparisons obsolete. This narrative also alluded to a sobering incident known as "the tragedy" in an African nation, where Russian hackers exploited vulnerabilities in Bitcoin wallets distributed as cell phones, ultimately leading to a rescue by the North Korean government.

However, our focus now shifts to Central America, specifically El Salvador, as it grapples with the unintended consequences of embracing Bitcoin as legal tender under President Nayib Bukele's leadership. Bukele's initiatives included incentivizing citizens with a $30 airdrop to promote Bitcoin usage. Despite these efforts, a potential tragedy looms as Salvadorians may discover that transaction fees make Bitcoin impractical for everyday use.

The looming crisis is not merely a technological vulnerability or a hack but a systemic flaw within Bitcoin itself. As transaction fees on the Bitcoin blockchain surge, Salvadorians, particularly those unable to afford the escalating costs, may be coerced into resorting to custodial solutions like the Chivo Wallet or the Wallet of Satoshi. These custodian Lightning Network bank accounts, while offering a temporary solution, pose their own set of risks.

The Salvadorian government's decision to entrust private keys to third-party custodians raises potential manipulation or confiscation concerns. In the event of global sanctions, the government could seize control of the genuine Bitcoin sitting on the Chivo account, leaving citizens with a devalued version. Additionally, the absence of private key ownership means that custodians could revoke access, leaving users with what could essentially become "fake" Bitcoin.

As Bitcoin transaction costs surge, Salvadorians relying on custodial services for moving funds face a dilemma. Should on-chain transactions become necessary, the prohibitive fees—potentially surpassing $50—leave citizens with limited alternatives.

The true tragedy may unfold when Salvadorians, eager to adopt Bitcoin, inadvertently find themselves trapped within another layer of banking infrastructure. If political landscapes shift, those reliant on custodial services may discover themselves without an exit strategy. In the aftermath, those affected by custodial practices and exorbitant on-chain fees may demand stringent laws against not only Bitcoin but all cryptocurrencies, failing to distinguish between custodians and the authentic decentralized nature of the real Bitcoin. El Salvador's journey into Bitcoin adoption is a cautionary tale, emphasizing the importance of thoughtful consideration and strategic planning in embracing innovative financial technologies.

Maybe the tragedy is not a phone hack or a vulnerability but Bitcoin itself. Maybe the tragedy won't happen in Africa but instead, it will happen in Central America to El Salvador, thanks to transaction fees and a not foreseen political crisis like sanctions thanks to a government transforming into a dictatorship.


Is it wraps? | Chance me for a lot of freaking schools: MIT, Caltech, Yale, Rice, Brown, Berkeley, UT Austin, Harvard, WashU, Cornell, and more.

Demographics: Male, Afghan, Texas, public school, <$30,000 in a 7-member household, ig I'm a URM (moved to the US when I was 10)

Intended Major(s): Computer Science (or Computer Science + Business)

ACT/SAT/SAT II: 1560 SAT (1580 superscore), some of my schools got my older low score of 1490

UW/W GPA and Rank: A cumulative 4.4 GPA W and 3.8 UW, not ranked in the top 10% (school only ranks top 10% of kids) but tbh I'm probably in the 11th percentile

Coursework:

  • Got 5s on most of my AP exams (AP CSA, AP Human Geography, AP World, AP Euro, AP CSP, AP US Hist, AP Calc BC, AP Music Theory, AP Lang, AP Env Sci)
  • Took all APs/5.0 classes junior year; currently taking AP Lit, AP Physics C Mech + Elec. & Mag., Multivariable Calculus + Differential Equations, Sociology Honors (would have taken something better first sem honestly but just couldn't), Honors CS 3

Awards (I've included general achievements as well):

  • 1st place in HPE CodeWars, a pretty rigorous national coding contest in 11th grade
  • CyberStart America, ranked in the top 125 in the nation and 9th in the state amongst 40k participants in 11th grade + CyberStart National Cyber Scholar with Honor scholarship (received the GFACT cybersecurity certification) in 12th grade
  • USACO Gold (it's top 15% of the nation's competitors); I mainly did all of this in 11th grade, I hadn't done USACO before this
  • Made a Minecraft server in 9th and 10th that got ranked 6th on a server list website and made 30k in revenue (most of it was to be donated to charity)
  • Worked on an EC database website with over 3M visitors in less than a year in 11th grade
  • Working on an AI startup that has been a part of Google For Startups and the League of Innovators accelerator programs, taking it more seriously this year
  • Coca-Cola Scholar Semifinalist (top 1.45% of 103k applicants)
  • I reached State doing Science Fair related to an AI model predicting the price of Bitcoin accurately.
  • QuestBridge Finalist
  • Have won like 20+ general programming contests in the state and in the region directly from my computer club (10th, 11th, 12th)

Extracurriculars:

  • I am president of my school's computer club and have won quite a few, as evidenced in my awards section. I was most active in the club my junior year. I am quite passionate about teaching other students the power of software dev. and have also made sure to talk about that in my application.
  • A board member in a political non-profit that has now branched across 10 countries, 80 chapters, and been featured in over 30 news outlets. We've invited many politicians (state reps, senators, majors, school board members, etc.) to events in our city and our school.
  • I am president of my school's cybersecurity club (specifically called Applied Cybersecurity Society). It's one of the clubs that's more casual, but I very much enjoy it as a side-piece. I've done mainly CyberStart and CyberPatriot as part of this club and teach students cybersecurity concepts. Our previous year's officers did NOT run the club very well, so I worked a lot on bringing it more attention this year.
  • Model UN, won a few conferences as just a member. Mainly did it because I am genuinely very interested in geopolitics and wanted to improve my public speaking skills.
  • We got to state in robotics in 11th grade. Served mainly just the programmer
  • I work as an executive developer at a non-profit focusing on using software to empower underprivileged communities (mainly FGLI students). This is an extracurricular I also talked about as it aligns with improving the lives of students. We are currently working on an AI-powered journaling app. We also hosted a pretty success hackathon with over 600 participants.
  • As previously mentioned I am working on an AI education startup with a couple of other people and am the CTO. Was something featured on a few outlets, including Yahoo Finance.
  • Worked with another non-profit where we mainly raised a lot of money for underprivileged students to buy them computers, hosted a very successful hackathon with over 500 participants, and offered programming workshops for students.
  • Did over 250 hours of political volunteering helping people register to vote while also liaising with politicians.
  • Volunteered a decent amount with the food bank near us which I enjoyed doing.
  • Interned at a youth political non-profit that has connected over 200,000 young voters to a voter registration form, ballot request form, or location of their polling station.
  • Interned over the summer in 11th at my school district.
  • I worked through a contract with a local manufacturing company to develop the backend of their ERP.
  • Did a lot of freelance work between 10th and 11th through Upwork.
  • Did my first job in 8th and 9th grade as a technical content writer for an app that taught people programming. I also wrote a lot of their social media posts on LinkedIn, Facebook, and Instagram.

Essays/LORs/Other:

  • I wrote about my experience in Afghanistan specifically a time when I was near a bombing that happened on my way home on my school bus. I mainly focused on how I've always wanted to fix the world once I was hit with the dichotomy of a world that was cruel and corrupt but also had people who had hopes and aspirations. I've wanted to change the world and rid the world of its problems ever since.
  • In terms of LORs, I sent all the colleges a letter from my American Studies teacher (probably an 8/10 at the least; I loved the class and was very active in it) and my Honors CS 3 teacher, who is also the sponsor of our computer club (at its lowest gonna be a 6/10 just because I feel like she didn't spend a lot of time on it). A third letter was sent to some of my colleges and it was from my CSP and CSA teacher from 10th and 11th (this one kinda scares me, so I am only hoping it's not anything bad and at least ok).
  • A lot of my application included information about my experiences in Afghanistan and blended it with my experiences in the US. I put a lot of emphasis on effective altruism as it's something I strongly believe in (let's not talk about the billionaire controversies with that ideology here). Practically everything I've talked about has mostly been tied with my purpose of effective altruism and mainly pursuing that through a tech startup.

Additional Info:

I applied through QuestBridge initially while filling out my Common App. I had a fee waiver, so I took a shot at every college I had time to write supplementals for and apply to. For those who don't know, QuestBridge is primarily meant for low-income and first-generation students. I am not first-generation since my dad got his masters in the US, but I am low-income. I became I finalist but did not match with any of the 15 schools I had ranked. I ranked the following schools: Stanford University, Princeton University, California Institute of Technology, University of Pennsylvania, Columbia University, University of Chicago, Yale University, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Duke University, Rice University, Brown University, Northwestern University, Boston University, Dartmouth College, Washington University in St. Louis. I have been moved to RD for all the schools except for UPenn (which I EDed), and MIT + UChicago are both EA right now.

Schools:

  • Reach: Northeastern, UC Berkeley, Carnegie Mellon, UPenn (rejected today :( ), Vanderbilt, UChicago, Cornell, WashU, Harvard, Princeton, Dartmouth, Stanford, Columbia, Northwestern, Brown, Rice, Duke, Yale, Caltech, MIT, UIUC, Purdue, UT Austin
  • Target: UC San Diego, UC Irvine, Boston Uni, UC Santa Barbara, UNC, UVA, USC, Emory University, Wisconsin-Madison, UMD
  • Safety: Kansas State (accepted), Arizona State (accepted), UT Dallas (accepted), University of Arizona (accepted), UTulsa (accepted), Incarnate Word (accepted), Texas A&M (accepted), UMass Amherst, Ohio State (accepted), Brandeis


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Bitcoin’s Impact on Finance: Yuppie Elite’s Evolving Stance

https://turtletimeline.com/bitcoins-impact-on-finance-yuppie-elites-evolving-stance/

Bitcoin and the Changing Financial Landscape

In the realm of modern finance, few topics have sparked as much intrigue and controversy as Bitcoin. Emerging over a decade ago as a novel digital currency, Bitcoin promised a new era of financial transactions — decentralized, digital, and distinct from traditional banking systems. Its journey from an obscure technological curiosity to a major player in financial markets encapsulates a radical shift in the way we perceive and engage with money.

At the heart of this evolving narrative are the yuppie elites, a demographic defined by their conventional financial acumen, forged in the corridors of prestigious universities and established corporate hierarchies. Traditionally, this group has championed the stability and predictability of established financial systems, viewing them as the bedrock of economic prosperity and personal success. For them, investments and financial strategies are less about high-risk ventures and more about the steady growth and security offered by time-tested institutions and practices.

Long-held beliefs, new financial reality

Bitcoin poses a significant challenge to these long-held beliefs. Once dismissed as a passing fad or, worse, a dubious venture for the financially naïve, Bitcoin has steadily gained recognition, not just as a legitimate asset class but as a potential harbinger of a new financial paradigm. This article delves into this transition, exploring how Bitcoin, with its promise of decentralization and resistance to traditional financial control, is gradually reshaping the yuppie elite’s approach to investment and wealth management.

The Yuppie Elite and Traditional Finance

The term ‘yuppie’ conjures images of young urban professionals, often portrayed with a penchant for luxury and a career-centric lifestyle. These individuals, typically graduates of prestigious universities, navigate the world with a sense of confidence born from their education and social standing. Their careers are usually rooted in established industries like finance, law, and business — sectors that epitomize the traditional economic order.

This demographic’s relationship with finance is intrinsically tied to their upbringing and education. Yuppies are often educated in schools where economic theory and business practices are taught in a conventional context, favoring stability and incremental growth over radical innovation or speculative ventures. They are schooled in the virtues of the stock market, mutual funds, and real estate investments — assets seen as cornerstones of a prudent financial portfolio.

Traditional financial system trust

Their trust in traditional financial systems is further reinforced by their professional environments. Working within well-established corporate structures, yuppies witness firsthand the workings and successes of the traditional financial system. They see the stability and growth it can provide, not just to individual portfolios but to the economy at large. This experience cements their belief in these systems as reliable vehicles for wealth accumulation and management.

The introduction of Bitcoin and similar cryptocurrencies presents a stark contrast to these traditional financial instruments. Initially, Bitcoin appeared as an outlier in the financial world — a digital, decentralized currency that operates outside the purview of traditional banking systems and government oversight. To the yuppie elite, accustomed to the regulated, predictable nature of conventional finance, Bitcoin seemed anathema to everything they had learned and experienced.

Bitcoin’s early associations with market volatility and its use in less-than-reputable online transactions added to their skepticism. From their perspective, Bitcoin lacked the key attributes of a ‘sound’ investment: stability, predictability, and regulation. Its intangible nature, the absence of physical assets or government backing, and its seemingly complex underlying technology, blockchain, only added layers of mistrust and misunderstanding.

Bitcoin’s Rise: A Story of Economic Disruption

Bitcoin’s emergence as a formidable player in the financial market is a narrative of disruption and innovation. It entered the scene in 2009, just after the world had grappled with the 2008 financial crisis. This timing was pivotal. The crisis had shaken global confidence in traditional financial institutions and systems, exposing their vulnerabilities and the risks of centralized control over monetary policy. In this climate of uncertainty and skepticism, Bitcoin offered an alternative: a decentralized, peer-to-peer currency system underpinned by blockchain technology.

The appeal of Bitcoin lay in its foundational principles. As a decentralized currency, it is not controlled by any central authority, such as a government or a central bank. Its transactions are recorded on a blockchain, a distributed ledger that ensures transparency and security, theoretically immune to manipulation or control by any single entity. This feature particularly resonated in a post-crisis world where trust in traditional financial institutions was waning.

As the years progressed, Bitcoin began to gain traction, not just as a speculative asset but as a symbol of a potential financial revolution. Its price volatility, often highlighted by dramatic surges and crashes, captured headlines, drawing the attention of both individual and institutional investors. For the advocates of Bitcoin, this volatility was not just a market characteristic but a manifestation of a financial asset breaking free from the constraints of traditional financial systems.

Bitcoin the disruptor

The narrative of Bitcoin as a disruptor was further strengthened by its increasing adoption in diverse sectors. From its early days as a currency for online transactions on the fringes of the internet, Bitcoin started to see acceptance in more mainstream commerce, albeit gradually. Technological advancements and increasing regulatory clarity around cryptocurrencies made them more accessible and understandable to the general public, further fueling their popularity.

In the broader economic landscape, Bitcoin’s rise coincided with significant shifts. The global economy, already reeling from the after-effects of the 2008 crisis, faced new challenges with geopolitical tensions, trade wars, and, most notably, the COVID-19 pandemic. These events disrupted global supply chains, shook stock markets, and prompted unprecedented monetary policy responses from central banks worldwide. In this context, Bitcoin began to be viewed by some as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty — a digital equivalent of gold.

This growing appeal of Bitcoin, however, was not universally accepted. The yuppie elite, with their firm grounding in traditional financial principles, found themselves at a crossroads. Bitcoin’s ascent challenged their belief in the supremacy of traditional finance and posed difficult questions about the future of money and investments. The skepticism they harbored was not merely about Bitcoin’s viability as an asset but reflected a deeper apprehension about the changing nature of the financial world they had long navigated with confidence.

The Yuppie Perspective: Skepticism to Curiosity

The initial response of the yuppie elite to Bitcoin was marked by a blend of skepticism and apprehension. Accustomed to the regulated, tangible world of stocks, bonds, and real estate, they viewed Bitcoin’s intangible, volatile nature with suspicion. To them, Bitcoin represented not just a financial outlier but a challenge to the principles of traditional investing they had long embraced. However, as the cryptocurrency landscape evolved, so did the yuppie perspective, gradually shifting from outright skepticism to a cautious curiosity.

Going mainstream

This shift was fueled in part by the mainstreaming of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. As major financial institutions began to recognize and even integrate cryptocurrencies into their offerings, the narrative around these digital assets started to change. No longer were they seen merely as speculative tools for the tech-savvy or the adventurous investor; they began to be viewed as legitimate, albeit still risky, components of a diversified investment portfolio.

This change in perception was also driven by the broader financial and technological trends shaping the global economy. The rise of fintech, the growing digitization of financial services, and the increasing importance of data security and transparency highlighted the potential of blockchain technology, the backbone of Bitcoin. These developments resonated with the yuppie elite, who, despite their traditionalist leanings, recognized the importance of innovation in finance.

Another factor contributing to the yuppies’ evolving stance was the increasing visibility of Bitcoin as a tool for wealth preservation and a hedge against inflation. In a world still recovering from the financial crises and facing new uncertainties, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, Bitcoin’s narrative as “digital gold” gained traction. This idea was particularly appealing in the context of expansive monetary policies adopted by central banks worldwide, which raised concerns about currency devaluation and inflation.

Rapidly changing financial ecosystem

Amidst this changing landscape, the yuppie elite began to see Bitcoin in a new light. While not wholly abandoning their skepticism, they started to appreciate the potential benefits of including cryptocurrencies in their investment strategies. This was not a wholesale endorsement of Bitcoin; rather, it was a recognition of its role in a rapidly changing financial ecosystem.

This gradual warming up to Bitcoin reflects a broader trend of adaptation and openness to new financial technologies and ideologies. For the yuppie elite, this shift is more than just an investment decision; it’s a concession to the dynamic nature of the financial world, acknowledging that traditional and emerging financial systems can coexist and even complement each other. As they integrate Bitcoin into their financial worldview, they are navigating a delicate balance between the security of the known and the potential of the new, a journey that mirrors the broader evolution of finance in the digital age.

Bitcoin and the Future of Finance

The journey of Bitcoin from a niche digital currency to a recognized financial asset marks a significant chapter in the story of modern finance. This transition is not just about the acceptance of a new investment class; it’s indicative of a larger, more profound shift in the financial ecosystem. As we look to the future, the interplay between Bitcoin and traditional finance offers intriguing possibilities and raises fundamental questions about the nature and future of money.

The potential of Bitcoin extends beyond its current role as an investment vehicle. Its underlying technology, blockchain, has implications that go far beyond financial transactions. Blockchain’s promise of security, transparency, and decentralization has applications in fields as diverse as supply chain management, voting systems, and digital identity verification. For the yuppie elite, this represents an opportunity to be at the forefront of a technological revolution that could redefine how business and finance are conducted.

Institutional investors

In the investment realm, Bitcoin’s increasing adoption by institutional investors is a trend that is likely to continue. As regulatory frameworks around cryptocurrencies become more defined and as the infrastructure for trading and storing digital assets improves, the barriers to entry for traditional investors are lowering. This could lead to a more integrated financial market where digital and traditional assets are traded alongside each other, each with their own role and value proposition.

However, the integration of Bitcoin into mainstream finance does not come without challenges. Volatility remains a significant concern, as does the regulatory uncertainty in many jurisdictions. Additionally, the environmental impact of Bitcoin mining has become a topic of intense debate, posing ethical and practical questions for investors concerned about sustainability.

Despite these challenges, the future of Bitcoin in the financial landscape looks promising. For the yuppie elite, this means adapting to a world where the traditional financial principles they have long relied upon are augmented by the new dynamics introduced by digital currencies. They must navigate this evolving landscape with an open mind, balancing the security offered by traditional assets with the potential of new technologies.

Navigating the New Financial Terrain

As we reflect on the journey of Bitcoin and its gradual permeation into the yuppie elite’s financial consciousness, it becomes clear that we are witnessing a pivotal moment in the evolution of finance. Bitcoin, once an outsider in the world of investments, has sparked a profound reassessment of what it means to invest, to save, and to transact in an increasingly digital world. This shift is not just about the acceptance of a new asset class; it represents a deeper, more systemic change in the financial landscape.

For the yuppie elite, traditionally the bastions of conservative financial thinking, this change presents both challenges and opportunities. The challenge lies in reconciling their ingrained beliefs in the stability and reliability of traditional financial systems with the disruptive, innovative nature of Bitcoin and its underlying technology. It is a test of their ability to adapt, to recognize and embrace the potential of new financial instruments that don’t fit neatly into the paradigms they have long trusted.

Yet, within this challenge lies a significant opportunity — the chance to be part of a financial evolution that could redefine wealth management, investment strategies, and even the very concept of money. As Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies continue to mature and integrate into mainstream finance, they offer a new avenue for diversification, a hedge against inflation, and a means to engage with a more globalized, digital economy.

Conclusion

Looking forward, the relationship between Bitcoin and the yuppie elite is likely to be characterized by a continued evolution. As the financial world grapples with the implications of digital currencies, the yuppies’ approach to Bitcoin will serve as a barometer for the broader acceptance of these assets in traditional finance. Their journey from skepticism to cautious curiosity, and perhaps eventually to acceptance, mirrors the inevitable march of progress — a march that reshapes old structures and forges new paths in the ever-evolving narrative of finance.

The story of Bitcoin and the yuppie elite is a reflection of the dynamic, ever-changing nature of finance itself, a reminder that innovation, adaptation, and a willingness to embrace new ideas are as crucial in the world of finance as they are in any other field. As we stand at the cusp of this new era, it is clear that the financial world of tomorrow will be markedly different from that of today, shaped by the forces of technology, globalization, and a relentless drive towards a more decentralized, digital future.