For Trading July 21

For Trading JULY 21st

AMZN $3,800 TARGET

NASDAQ Strength Returns

Airline Travel Down 4%

IBM BEATS +6%

Today’s market got off to strong start on the NASDAQ with a return to the favored position after a week of weakness, and the S&P followed, at a distance as the DJIA was the weak sister. But the rally continued on with price target increases for AMZN by both Goldman and Jefferies with the new target of $3,800. The final numbers were DJIA +8.92 (.03%), NASDAQ +263.90 (2.51%), S&P-500 +27.11 (.84%), the Russell -5.36 (.36%), and the Transports were -154.96 (1.57%). Internals were soft with NYSE 4:3 down and NASDAQ just barely ahead at 17:15.5. Volume on the NYSE was down while NAZ was slightly higher. DJIA was 20:10 down with the biggest winner MSFT +60 and AAPL +56DP’s while the losers were MMM -25 and UNH -21DP’s.

While there was some encouraging vaccine news, there were also several disappointments from both AZN and a downgrade of MRNA. It’s tough to live up to all the hype! MRNA finished the day @ $82.68 -12.17 (13%) and AZN, down from the high of $64.94 to close $58.68 -2.42 (5.3%).

Our “open forum” on Discord, which allows me to interact with subscribers and others to allow direct questions and chart opinions on just about any stock, continues to grow with more participants every day. It is informative and allows me to share insights as the market is open and moving. The link is: https://discord.gg/ATvC7YZ and I will be there and active from before the open and all day. It’s a great place to share ideas and gain some insights, and we’ve grown to almost 3000 members. I also did this video titled “How to survive being an options trader and not blow up your account,” over the long weekend. I think it’s highly informative as a guide to stock selection and option choices. The link is https://youtu.be/Y7H9RpWfLlo Enjoy!!

Tonight’s closing comment video https://youtu.be/oxpqtYs8Tiw

SECTORS: IBM was the feature and while they reported the 9th quarter that they had lower revenues but still beat estimates both for revs and earnings. The stock, up from $115 just 10 days ago to close $132.15 + 7.04 (6.3%). The fall of the transports was due primarily to the airlines. The public has decided to act with some restraint and actually hasn’t fallen for all the “feel-good” happy talk about going places by plane. After the airlines have had new low fares and increased their capacity, the planes are flying half empty and for the week the number of passengers fell 4%. Cheers for people acting in a safe and sound manner and keeping social distancing, and not falling for the BS of “the empty center seat” is adequate. It reminds me of the “old days” of my youth when there were smoking sections on planes. What a joke that was, as if the first 10 rows in coach weren’t filled with smoke from the last rows of the first-class section.

FOOD SUPPLY CHAIN was LOWER with TSN -.66, BGS -.40, FLO -.06, CPB -.38, CAG -.38, MDLZ -.65, KHC -.96, CALM -.35, JJSF -1.34, SAFM -2.62, HRL -.22, SJM -.59, PPC -.50, KR +.30, and PBJ $32.44 -.16 (.47%).

BIOPHARMA was HIGHER with BIIB +1.52, ABBV -1.11, REGN +14.15, ISRG +16.80, GILD +.51, MYL -.30, TEVA +.27, VRTX +7.47, BHC -.20, INCY +5.58, ICPT -.58, LABU +2.73, and IBB $145.78 +1.82 (1.26%).

CANNABIS: was LOWER with TLRY -.22, CGC -.26, CRON -.11, GWPH +1.90, ACB -.30, NBEV +1.47 (88%) ON MERGER NEWS, CURLF +.03, KERN -.25 and MJ $13.37 -.15 (1.11%).

DEFENSE: was LOWER with LMT +3.00, GD -1.49, TXT -.45, NOC -5.35, BWXT -.29, TDY -1.21, RTX -.74 and ITA $161.76 -1.93 (1.18%).

RETAIL: was LOWER with M -.28, JWN -.46, KSS -.82, DDS -.32, WMT -.34, TGT -1.69, TJX -1.11, RL -2.01, UAA -.20, LULU +10.48, TPR -.64, CPRI -.79, and XRT $44.99 -.29 (.64%).

FAANG and Big Cap: were HIGHER with GOOGL +47.15, AMZN +246.03 (8.31%), AAPL +8.49, FB +3.46, NFLX +9.29, NVDA +12.60, TSLA +162.16, BABA +7.91, BIDU +1.73, CMG +30.78, CAT -2.11, BA -.79, DIS -.85 and XLK $170.80 +.82 (.48%). PLEASE BE AWARE THAT THESE PRICES ARE LATE MARKET QUOTES AND DO NOT REPRESENT THE 4:00 CLOSES.

FINANCIALS were LOWER with GS +.36, JPM -.76, BAC +.34, MS -.48, C -.19, PNC -.03, AIG -.67, TRV -.19, AXP -1.20, V +3.65 and XLF $23.84 -.11 (.46%).

OIL, $40.92 +.17. Oil was lower in last night’s trading before we rallied in the morning. I mentioned in last night’s charts with comments section in the Weekly Strategies letter, that it is a toss-up for a move in either direction. We had a merger of NBL and CVX today, possibly setting up more M&A in the near future. The stocks were MIXED with XLE $36.08 -.61 (1.66%).

GOLD $1,817.40 +7.40. It was a continuation rally and a new recovery high of $1,829.80. I have only the NEM August 65 / 70 spread on in the Gold market. We also have GLD 7/24 170 call position @ $1.22 that finished $1.50 +.29.

BITCOIN: closed $9,190 -5. After trading back to 8985 we rallied back to close – only $5. Since last week we have closed between 9200 – 92.85 every day with narrow ranges and today was a good start to move higher. A break over 10,000 still sends us higher. We added 350 shares of GBTC @ $10.02 to our position of 400 @ $8.06, bringing our average price to $8.97. GBTC closed $9.42 - .12 today.

Tomorrow is another day.

CAM