Tuesday, August 12, 2025

Daily Update: Post Close US Stock Market Update for Tuesday, August 12, 2025

“It’s a beautiful day in the neighborhood.” - Mister Rogers, likely on today’s market vibe. 😌 Wall Street celebrated a key economic report that brought relief and optimism. The market finally got the good news it craved. 🚀

1️⃣ What Happened Today 🟦 Market Mood: Relief and exuberance 😮‍💨🥳

Major U.S. indices—S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow Jones—surged, with S&P 500 and Nasdaq hitting record highs. A tamer-than-expected inflation report fueled bullish sentiment.

Bitcoin rose notably, gold gained modestly, signaling a strong “risk-on” mood. ✨

🟦 💵 Macro View • Fed Updates: Inflation data boosted odds of a rate cut next month to 94% (from 85%), per CME’s FedWatch Tool, signaling potential Fed easing. ✅

• Bonds: Optimism for rate cuts lowered 10-year and 30-year Treasury yields, a positive for equities as borrowing costs drop. 📉

• Geopolitical Updates: Trump’s 90-day pause on higher Chinese tariffs eased trade uncertainty, boosting confidence.

• USD Fx: A dovish Fed outlook weakened the US Dollar slightly, aiding multinationals and exports. 🌍

🟦 Sector Spotlight • Winners: Small-Cap Stocks (Russell 2000) led with gains nearly triple the S&P 500’s, per CNBC. 📈 • Losers: Defensive sectors lagged as investors pivoted to growth. 📉

🟦 🔥 Top Large Cap Stock Up Electronic Arts $EA 🎮 - Hit all-time highs, driven by the market rally, renewed tech/growth appetite, and company-specific momentum.

🟦 Notable Stock Down

$AXON ⬇️ AxonnEnterprises

2️⃣ Why It Matters This is a “Goldilocks” moment, per U.S. Bank Asset Management: cooling inflation and resilient growth. Lower inflation supports Fed rate cuts, reducing borrowing costs and boosting growth stocks and small caps, as seen in the Russell 2000’s outperformance. BCA Research suggests the bull run may continue, even if economic strength is overstated. 🔄

3️⃣ What’s Next 📌 Action: Monitor upcoming data to confirm this “Goldilocks” narrative. Diversify portfolios and avoid overexposure to one sector. Stay vigilant! 👀

📅 Key Events: • Thursday’s Producer Price Index (PPI) report will gauge wholesale inflation, testing today’s narrative. 📊 • The Fed’s Jackson Hole meeting later in August may signal future policy moves. 🏦

Follow for More:

I post daily/weekly US stock market updates. • Visit: stockcrock.substack.com • Or follow on Reddit/Twitter @ValueCroc

Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Efforts made for accuracy, but verify key info before acting.


The Internet That Works Without the Internet: How Crays, Nostr & BitChat Are Bringing Bitcoin and Private Messaging to the Last Mile

https://i.redd.it/n46mdr85lnif1.png

Bitcoin mining in the ‘golden era’

This is a post intended for users who have dipped their toes in GoMining and are considering taking the jump. This thought process made me jump in at 16th (spending capacity is limited compared to larger users).

With the 2024 halving very recently behind us and the next one set for 2028, we are officially still in GoMining’s golden era - possibly the most favorable period for maximizing returns before mining rewards get slashed again.

Why Halving Cycles Matter for GoMining

Bitcoin halving events reduce block rewards by 50%. Historically, this supply shock has driven prices upward after the halving, while also decreasing mining rewards. For GoMining users, this creates a window where:

  1. ⁠Mining is still profitable thanks to current reward levels - significant ROI still available on a yearly basis from an initial investment
  2. ⁠Token prices have room to grow in anticipation of post-halving demand
  3. ⁠Hashpower purchased now will become more valuable as less BTC enters circulation, as long as you keep up with optimizing mining power

The Case for Getting Involved Before 2028

If you’re considering GoMining (or increasing your stake), the time to act is now - not during the next run-up or after rewards drop again in 2028. Every halving compresses the upside timeline for new miners. Getting in early means:

• ⁠Accumulating more BTC before mining rewards shrink again • ⁠Benefiting from potential token price appreciation • ⁠Avoiding higher entry prices as demand and awareness increase

Decreased Future Returns = Higher Stakes for Early Movers

As future returns diminish with each halving, your decision-making window narrows. If you hold off on jumping in, you’ll either pay more for less hashpower, or miss the peak return phase entirely.

TLDR: The best time to jump into GoMining was yesterday, the second best time is now. We're in a sweet spot - post-2024 but years before the next halving. If you’re thinking long-term and want to stack BTC, the next 12–24 months may be the best opportunity you'll get before 2028 changes the game again. This goes not just for GoMining but stacking SATs in general.