Wednesday, August 6, 2025

The Daily Market Flux - Your Complete Market Rundown (08/06/2025)

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Here is Your Complete Market Rundown (08/06/2025):

Company News

Apple Inc. (AAPL)

Performance Overview

1D Change:  5.1%

5D Change:  2.02%

News Volume:  357

Unusual Volume Factor:  3x

Apple Commits $600 Billion to U.S. Manufacturing in Deal with Trump Administration

Apple has pledged to invest an additional $100 billion in U.S. manufacturing, bringing its total commitment to $600 billion over the next four years. The announcement, made jointly with President Trump, includes plans for new factories, data centers, and a manufacturing academy. Apple will partner with Corning to produce all iPhone and Apple Watch glass in Kentucky.

Full coverage of $AAPL on MarketFlux.io

The Walt Disney Company (DIS)

Performance Overview

1D Change:  -2.79%

5D Change:  -3.66%

News Volume:  218

Unusual Volume Factor:  14x

Disney Beats Earnings Expectations, Inks Major Sports Deals, but TV Woes Persist

Disney has made significant strides in its streaming and theme park businesses, as evidenced by its latest quarterly earnings report. The company beat earnings expectations, reporting adjusted earnings per share of $1.61 compared to the estimated $1.45. Revenue came in at $23.65 billion, slightly below the expected $23.7 billion. As a result, Disney raised its full-year earnings guidance to $5.85 per share, up from the previous forecast of $5.75.

Full coverage of $DIS on MarketFlux.io

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD)

Performance Overview

1D Change:  -6.42%

5D Change:  -9.13%

News Volume:  205

Unusual Volume Factor:  5x

AMD's Mixed Earnings Spark Debate on AI Chip Market Potential Despite Stock Slump

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) released its Q2 2025 earnings report, sparking mixed reactions in the market. The company reported record revenue and better-than-expected overall results, but its data center segment performance fell short of expectations, causing the stock to tumble in pre-market trading.

Full coverage of $AMD on MarketFlux.io

Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)

Performance Overview

1D Change:  4.0%

5D Change:  -3.43%

Amazon Advances in AI and Autonomous Vehicles While Expanding Retail Offerings

In a groundbreaking development, Amazon's autonomous vehicle subsidiary, Zoox, has received clearance from U.S. regulators to operate robotaxis without traditional driving controls like steering wheels or pedals. This marks a significant milestone in the advancement of self-driving technology and positions Amazon at the forefront of the autonomous vehicle industry.

Full coverage of $AMZN on MarketFlux.io

Geopolitics Events

Trump Doubles Tariffs on India to 50% Over Russian Oil Purchases, Escalating Trade Tensions

In a significant escalation of trade tensions, President Donald Trump has signed an executive order imposing an additional 25% tariff on goods imported from India. This move, announced by the White House, brings the total tariff rate on Indian imports to 50%. The decision is directly linked to India's continued purchases of Russian oil, which the Trump administration views as problematic.

Trump Plans High-Stakes Meetings with Putin and Zelenskiy to Broker Ukraine Peace Deal

President Trump is making significant diplomatic moves regarding the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. Earlier today, it was reported that Trump was expected to speak with Ukrainian President Zelenskiy following a meeting between envoy Steve Witkoff and Russian President Putin. This suggested renewed diplomatic efforts were underway.

Trump Advisers Advocate for Temporary Fed Governor Appointment

President Trump's advisers are pushing for a temporary Federal Reserve governor to fill the seat vacated by the resigned Fed Kugler. This short-term appointment would give Trump more time to decide on the Fed Chair position.

Trump and Zelenskiy Hold Unexpected Phone Call Following U.S. Envoy's Meeting with Putin

President Trump and Ukrainian President Zelenskiy engaged in a phone call today, following U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff's recent meeting with Russian President Putin. The call, initially expected for Wednesday, occurred earlier than anticipated.

Swiss President Rushes to Washington for Crucial Tariff Talks with U.S. Officials

Swiss President Karin Keller-Sutter is set to meet U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio on Wednesday in Washington. The urgent talks aim to avert the 39% tariffs imposed on Swiss imports by President Trump last week.

Lula Rebuffs White House Outreach Amid Trade Tensions, Criticizes Bolsonaro

In an exclusive interview, Brazil's President Lula revealed he has not reached out to the White House due to President Trump's apparent lack of interest in trade negotiations. Lula stated, "I'm not going to humiliate myself," and confirmed that Brazil is not planning to announce new tariffs against U.S. goods.

Trump Slaps 25% Tariff on Indian Goods Over Russian Oil Purchases

President Trump signs an executive order imposing an additional 25% tariff on goods from India.

Macro Events

Fed's Kashkari Signals Potential Rate Cuts Amid Economic Slowdown, Warns of Tariff Impact

Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari has made several significant statements regarding the U.S. economy and potential monetary policy actions. Kashkari emphasized that the economy is showing clear signs of slowing down, and the Federal Reserve needs to respond accordingly.

Fed Officials Urge Caution in Data Interpretation Amid Economic Uncertainty

Federal Reserve officials Cook and Collins have emphasized the importance of understanding and measuring economic uncertainty. In a Q&A session, they stressed the need for a holistic approach to data analysis, particularly in times of heightened uncertainty.

Eurozone Retail Sales Improve Amid Mixed Construction and Industrial Data

Eurozone retail sales showed a modest improvement in June, increasing by 0.3% month-on-month, matching expectations and rebounding from the previous month's decline. The year-on-year growth surpassed forecasts, reaching 3.1%.

Japanese Ruling Party Official Urges BOJ Caution on Rate Hikes

Japan's ruling party heavyweight Saito warns the Bank of Japan against raising interest rates.

Stock Market Abuzz with Trending Tickers and Fed Speakers on Deck

The stock market is buzzing with activity today. Jim Cramer's top 10 watchlist and several trending stocks, including AMD, Super Micro, and Novo Nordisk, are capturing investors' attention.

Canada's Services Sector Shows Signs of Recovery as PMI Reaches Eight-Month High

Canada's services PMI rose to 49.3 in July, marking an eight-month high. Despite being the eighth consecutive month of contraction, the increase signals improved business confidence.

Earnings Events

Disney Beats Earnings Expectations, Raises Full-Year Forecast Amid Streaming Growth

Disney has exceeded expectations in its Q3 2025 earnings report, showcasing strong financial performance. The company reported adjusted EPS of $1.61, surpassing estimates of $1.45, and revenue of $23.65 billion, slightly below the expected $23.7 billion.

Shopify Surges on Strong Q2 Results and Optimistic Q3 Outlook

Shopify's Q2 performance exceeds expectations, with revenue of $2.68B and operating income of $291M.

McDonald's Serves Up Sizzling Q2 Earnings, Beating Expectations on All Fronts

McDonald's has served up a tasty second-quarter earnings report, exceeding analyst expectations across the board. The fast-food giant reported earnings per share of $3.19, surpassing the estimated $3.15, and revenue of $6.84 billion, beating the forecast of $6.70 billion.

Carlyle Group Posts Robust Q2 Results, Fueled by Exits and Fee Growth

Carlyle Group reports strong second-quarter performance. Profits and revenue soar, driven by increased buyout exits and fee growth. Assets under management climb to $465 billion, contributing to a 26% surge in distributable earnings.

Airbnb Soars Past Expectations, Lyft Stumbles on Revenue, as Tech Giants Release Q2 Earnings

Airbnb and Lyft have released their Q2 2025 earnings, with mixed results.

Bumble Reports Mixed Q2 Results, Appoints New CFO Amid User Decline

Bumble's Q2 revenue of $248M beat estimates, but the company reported a net loss of $367M. Total paying users decreased by 8.7%.

AMD Stock Tumbles on Q2 Results, Analysts See Buying Opportunity

AMD's stock plummets over 6% following disappointing Q2 data center results. Despite a massive Q2 beat, investors react negatively.

Super Micro Stock Nosedives on Earnings Miss, Sparking Investor Concerns

Super Micro's stock plummets 20% following disappointing earnings and outlook. Investors face heavy selling pressure as the company grapples with old questions despite a new outlook.

Beyond Meat Misses Earnings, Announces Job Cuts Amid Weakening Demand

Beyond Meat, the plant-based meat company, reported disappointing second-quarter results, missing revenue estimates with $75 million against an expected $82 million. The company posted a net loss of $33.2 million and earnings per share of -$0.43.

Lyft Shares Nosedive as Q2 Earnings Fall Short of Expectations

Lyft's stock price plummets over 8% following the release of its second-quarter earnings report. The company's Q2 results failed to meet analysts' expectations, disappointing investors.

DraftKings Smashes Q2 Earnings Expectations, Teases New Market Expansion

DraftKings reports stellar Q2 2025 earnings, surpassing expectations. Revenue soars 37% to $1.51 billion, beating estimates of $1.41 billion.

Zillow Earnings and REIT Reports Shed Light on Housing Market Trends

Zillow's earnings report is anticipated to reveal progress in the evolving housing market. Charter Hall Long WALE REIT reports strong portfolio performance.

Duolingo Soars Past Q2 Earnings Expectations, Raises Full-Year Outlook

Duolingo's Q2 2025 earnings surpassed expectations, with revenue reaching $252.3 million, beating estimates of $240.7 million. The language-learning platform saw a 41% year-over-year increase in revenue.

Technology Events

Fed Official Emphasizes AI's Influence on Employment and Inflation, Notes Continued Investment

Federal Reserve's Cook highlights AI's potential impact on the Fed's dual mandate of employment and price stability. She notes that AI could contribute to price stability gains.

OpenAI Offers ChatGPT to U.S. Government at $1 Per Year, Aiming for Wider Federal Adoption

OpenAI has made a groundbreaking announcement, offering its advanced ChatGPT Enterprise model to U.S. federal agencies at a nominal fee of $1 per year.

Nvidia Denies 'Kill Switch' Claims Amid US-China AI Chip Tensions

Nvidia finds itself at the center of an AI chip controversy, denying Chinese accusations of a 'kill switch' in its products. The company reiterates that its chips have no backdoors and urges the US against location verification.

Apollo Global Acquires Majority Stake in Stream Data Centers, Eyes AI Infrastructure Expansion

Apollo Global Management has agreed to acquire a majority stake in Stream Data Centers, marking its first direct data center acquisition. This strategic move aims to capitalize on the growing demand for digital infrastructure, particularly in AI.

Oil And Gas Events

Oil Rises as Trump's Russia Ultimatum and India Tariff Threat Shake Markets

Oil prices inch higher as markets focus on President Trump's looming deadline for a Russia peace deal. The threat of tariffs on India over Russian oil imports adds tension.

U.S. Crude Oil Stocks Plummet, Defying Expectations Amid Mixed Inventory Data

The latest EIA report reveals significant shifts in U.S. oil inventories. Crude oil stocks experienced a substantial decline of 3.029 million barrels, surpassing forecasts and contrasting with the previous week's increase. This drop was accompanied by a decrease in gasoline inventories of 1.323 million barrels, slightly exceeding expectations.

Iraq Unveils Major Oil Sector Developments: BP to Develop Kirkuk Fields, Exports via Turkey to Resume

Iraq's Oil Minister announces significant developments in the country's oil sector. BP is set to begin developing Kirkuk oil fields within a month.

Unexpected Drop in US Crude Inventories Sparks Rally in Oil Futures

The latest EIA report has revealed significant changes in US petroleum inventories, catching market observers off guard. Crude oil stocks experienced an unexpected decline of 3.029 million barrels, contrary to forecasts of a 0.6 million barrel draw. This surprising decrease has sparked a bullish sentiment in the crude oil market.

Oil Prices Tumble as OPEC Boosts Output, Wall Street Lending Declines

Oil prices dropped today, reversing earlier gains and turning negative. Brent Crude futures settled at $66.89/bbl, down 75 cents (1.11%), while NYMEX WTI Crude settled at $64.35/bbl, down 81 cents (1.24%).

Russia Escalates Attacks on Ukraine's Energy Infrastructure, Raising Global Energy Concerns

In a significant escalation, Russia has launched multiple attacks on Ukraine's energy infrastructure. President Zelenskiy reported a Russian strike on a gas facility in the Odesa region, aimed at disrupting winter preparations. Dozens of Russian drones targeted a gas station in southern Ukraine used for importing LNG from the U.S. and Azerbaijan.

Occidental Petroleum Exceeds Q2 Profit Forecasts, Announces Asset Sale

Occidental Petroleum surpasses Q2 2025 profit expectations. The company reports adjusted EPS of $0.39, beating estimates of $0.29, and adjusted net income of $396M.

Oil Prices Face Mixed Signals Amid Inventory Reports and OPEC+ Output

API reports a draw in crude inventories, boosting WTI prices. However, OPEC+ output caps gains. Strategists predict a USA crude inventory build, contrasting API's report.

Corporate Actions Events

Uber Beats Q2 Expectations, Unveils Massive $20 Billion Share Buyback Plan

Uber Technologies Inc. has released its Q2 2025 earnings report, showcasing strong performance across key metrics. The ride-hailing and delivery giant reported adjusted earnings per share of $0.63, surpassing the estimated $0.62. Revenue reached $12.65 billion, an 18% year-over-year increase, beating expectations of $12.47 billion.

YPF Acquires TotalEnergies' Vaca Muerta Assets in $500 Million Deal

Argentina's state-run energy firm YPF has agreed to purchase TotalEnergies' assets in the Vaca Muerta shale patch for $500 million. The deal includes a 45% stake in two unconventional oil and gas blocks.

Medical Tech Firm Heartflow Boosts IPO Target, Seeks $1.5 Billion Valuation

Heartflow, a medical tech firm backed by Bain Capital, has increased its IPO target to $300 million. The company aims to raise funds through an upsized offering of 16.67 million shares priced at $17-$18 each.

UK Regulator Approves Massive Advertising Industry Merger

The UK's competition watchdog has approved Omnicom's $13.25 billion acquisition of Interpublic, clearing a significant regulatory hurdle for the merger.

Blackstone Strikes Multi-Billion Dollar Deal to Acquire Energy Data Platform Enverus

Blackstone has agreed to acquire Enverus, an energy data platform, in a deal valued at over $6 billion.

Fixed Income And Interest Rates Events

Treasury Yields Rise as Markets Anticipate Potential Fed Rate Cuts

The financial landscape is buzzing with activity today. President Donald Trump may soon see his desired interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, as indicated by bond market trends. The EU Commission has successfully auctioned various EU-bills with yields ranging from 1.937% to 1.946%.

Global Bond Markets Shift as Central Banks Hold Steady and Crypto Treasuries Expand

In a significant move, the Reserve Bank of India has maintained its repo rate at 5.5%, signaling stability in its monetary policy. Meanwhile, the U.S. Treasury curve has resumed steepening, indicating potential shifts in the bond market landscape.

Treasury Market Abuzz as Record Auctions Loom and Bond ETFs Surge

The Treasury market is buzzing with activity and anticipation. Today, the Treasury plans to sell $42 billion in 10-Year Notes, with auction results expected around noon CDT. The when-issued 10-year yield stands at 4.244% before the auction.

Stock Markets Events

Stocks Tumble as Multiple Companies Hit 52-Week Lows Amid Market Volatility

Wednesday's stock market saw several companies underperforming and hitting 52-week lows. MarketAxess Holdings, DaVita Inc., NRG Energy, Bio-Techne Corp., and Mosaic Co. all underperformed compared to their competitors.

Apple's $100 Billion Investment Plan Propels Tech Rally, Boosting Wall Street

Wall Street closed on a high note, with the Nasdaq leading gains and approaching record levels. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq saw significant increases of 0.7% and 1.2% respectively.

Real Estate Events

Real Estate Giants Navigate Mixed Market Conditions Amid Housing Challenges

The real estate market is experiencing a mix of challenges and opportunities. Zillow, despite a sluggish housing market, reported second-quarter results that surpassed analysts' estimates and swung to profit. However, their earnings missed by $0.02 per share. Airbnb saw a boost in sales and bookings due to rebounding travel demand, though they warned that growth may not keep up with their modest summer outlook.

Trump Meets Top Bank CEOs to Discuss Future of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac

President Trump held separate meetings with Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan and Citigroup CEO Jane Fraser to discuss Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

Toronto Housing Market Surges with Best July Sales in Four Years, Defying Economic Uncertainties

Toronto's housing market shows resilience with July home sales reaching a four-year high. The Greater Toronto Area experienced its strongest July in recent years, with sales posting the biggest increase in nine months.

Mortgage Applications Rebound as Interest Rates Ease

US MBA mortgage applications rose 3.1% this week, reversing last week's 3.8% decline. The 30-year mortgage rate dropped to 6.77% from 6.83%.

Mortgage Applications Rebound as Rates Dip, M/I Homes Rallies in Builder Sector

M/I Homes experiences a bullish reversal in the builder sector. HELOC rates offer bargains with introductory rates, while mortgage rates remain flat this summer.

Real Estate Market Faces Challenges and Shifts Amid Changing Consumer Behavior

First-time homebuyers increasingly rely on parental support for deposits. Hong Kong's retail sector adapts to new spending trends. Ares Commercial Real Estate faces earnings challenges.

Zillow Earnings and REIT Reports Shed Light on Housing Market Trends

Zillow's earnings report is anticipated to reveal progress in the evolving housing market. Charter Hall Long WALE REIT reports strong portfolio performance.

Metals Events

Lula Unveils New Strategic Minerals Policy to Boost Local Value Addition

Brazil's President Lula announces plans for a new 'national sovereignty' policy regarding strategic minerals.

Healthcare Events

US Health Department Cuts Funding for mRNA Vaccine Development

The Department of Health and Human Services is scaling back its mRNA vaccine development efforts. This includes terminating 22 vaccine investments and reducing various contracts.

RFK Jr. Halts Major mRNA Vaccine Projects, Other Biotech Firms Report Trial Progress

RFK Jr. halts $500 million in mRNA vaccine projects backed by Pfizer and Moderna, citing prioritization of safer strategies. HHS confirms funding cessation for mRNA vaccine activities.

Crypto Events

Companies Embrace Crypto in Treasury Strategies as Bitcoin Holdings Soar

BitBridge goes public with a bold Bitcoin treasury strategy, while Unitronix adds Ethereum alongside its Bitcoin holdings.

Explore More Headlines at www.marketflux.io

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Isso aqui é golpe?

https://i.redd.it/9ouip2f0ughf1.png

"Actions speak louder than words" and "there are no Cohencidences" - Ryan Cohen is Preventing MOASS

Get your pitchforks and downvotes ready.

Background

This is my first attempt at a DD. I am not well educated in finance and don't dabble in TA or trading for that matter. I am an average retail investor with a little free time right now and a knack for identifying patterns, synthesizing large amounts of complex information, and questioning everything. I, like most retail investors invested in GameStop, got in a little late to the party in the hype of late January 2021. I regrettably spend too much time on these subs and have allowed Reddit to become my main vice since January 28, 2021. I learned most of what I know about public companies and investing in general from this journey, although I have built and sold my small business in the meantime, read many books, and studied real estate and many other things to become savvy and well-rounded with my approach to business and finance. There has been a lot here on the sub to qualify many of us for an MBA at this point. Prior to 2021, I did have more knowledge of crypto than the average bear unfortunately paired with inherited poor financial habits and financial illiteracy which caused me to miss out on the massive opportunity of buying and holding deep value in that sector. I believe that GameStop was and still is the best opportunity in the world to reap massive gains. My short-term predictions have come to pass and everyone I have told about the opportunity believes I am wrong and stupid. I have only met one ape in the wild briefly at Sonic Temple Music Festival in 2024 right after Roaring Kitty returned when I rocked my GameStop shirt - if you see this, say hi!

After watching all the players and moving parts of this saga very closely and forming my own opinions and hunches along the way while always dreaming of MOASS tomorrow, I have taken the time to go back and put a timeline together of all the events I found significant and tried to find patterns to explain why we all aren't rich and enjoying life free from the chains of modern slavery already. I believe everything should always be questioned and understanding is increasingly difficult to achieve with the increasing complexity of situations, and this is the most complex situation I could ever imagine. Only a fool would assume that Ryan Cohen, Keith Gill, or anyone else is their friend without knowing them personally, and even then, one should tread lightly.

Thesis

I believe that Ryan Cohen has actively worked to prevent MOASS since the beginning with the botched stock split being the smoking gun. He has made plenty of money from the initial sneeze to call it a win, however I think he does seek a ton of money and to potentially become the richest man in the world. When you are already rich, however, power becomes more important. Two things can be true at the same time, a fact that the bot and shill factions on both sides of MOASS would have you believe to be a lie. I posit that Ryan Cohen is not your friend in that he doesn’t want you to get dummy rich fast from a short squeeze. He doesn’t care if you’re struggling or if you bought high or how loyal you are. Whether your portfolio is green or if, like most of us who didn’t get in when he did, is red and eaten alive/left in the dust by inflation and opportunity costs from sure plays such as bitcoin, Apple, the AI stock, the S&P, or investing in Charizard for that matter. However, I do think he does want to burn shorts long-term à la Tesla and deliver massive shareholder value eventually even if it doesn’t align with what got us all here – MOASS. I am not speaking to the bots and shills that try to steer the narrative away from MOASS. Those of you who are real apes, know we are here for one thing and one thing only – MOASS. Ryan is incredible at building businesses and making them profitable, cutting-edge, and future-proof. It is very impressive, and since the last 5 years went the way they did, I can only be grateful that the risk was proven asymmetrical with the moves he has made to ensure long-term value for shareholders. However, it is not what I got in for and I still want my squeeze no matter how good for me the health of the company may be. I feel if we still had 76 million total shares outstanding, I would not still be here on this website and would instead be living like Ryan Cohen. The actions of Ryan and the company he runs have been counteractive to MOASS, and for that reason, if ever given the opportunity to vote Keith Gill in as CEO, I will do so. These 2 are the only 2 I trust given the magnitude of things, and I believe Keith’s interests are more aligned with mine.

The Data

Let’s get into it. I put together a timeline of things I find significant below:

Date Event TSO (M) DRS (M) DRS % RC Shares (M) RC % RK Shares (M) RK %
August-20 RC Buys into GME; begins GME tweeting 76.35 Unavailable Unavailable 9.001 11.79 0 0
January-21 RK options; RC begins meming 76.35 Unavailable Unavailable 9.001 11.79 0.05 0.07
February-21 RK Double Down 76.35 Unavailable Unavailable 9.001 11.79 0.1 0.13
April-21 RK rolls options into shares 76.35 Unavailable Unavailable 9.001 11.79 0.2 0.26
June 9, 2021 RC appointed chairman 76.35 Unavailable Unavailable 9.001 11.79 0.2 0.26
June 21, 2021 Furlong appointed CEO 76.35 Unavailable Unavailable 9.001 11.79 0.2 0.26
September 4, 2021 Initial DRS report 76.35 5.2 6.81 9.001 11.79 0.2 0.26
March 17, 2022   76.34 8.9 11.66 9.001 11.79 0.2 0.26
March 22, 2022 RC Purchase 76.34 8.9 11.66 9.101 11.92 0.2 0.26
June 2, 2022 Vote authorizing $1B shares “to facilitate the stock split” 76.13 12.7 16.68 9.101 11.95 0.2 0.26
July 9, 2022 4-for-1 Stock Split 304.53 71.3 23.41 36.404 11.95 0.8 0.26
December 7, 2022   304.58 71.8 23.57 36.404 11.95 0.8 0.26
March 28, 2023   304.68 76 24.94 36.404 11.95 0.8 0.26
June 1, 2023 Furlong exits; RC interim CEO 304.75 76.6 25.14 36.404 11.95 0.8 0.26
June 9, 2023 RC Purchase 304.75 77.6 25.46 36.657 12.03 0.8 0.26
June 12, 2023 Furlong resigns; RC appointed interim CEO 304.75 77.6 25.46 36.657 12.03 0.8 0.26
September 28, 2023 RC becomes CEO 304.75 76.6 25.14 36.657 12.03 0.8 0.26
April-24 RC stops meming, tone shift 304.75 76.6 25.14 36.657 12.03 0.8 0.26
May 12, 2024 RK Returns 304.75 72.8 23.89 37.657 12.36 5 1.64
May 24, 2024 45M Offering 349.75 72.8 20.81 36.657 10.48 5 1.43
June 11, 2024 75M Offering 426.51 71 16.65 36.657 8.59 9 2.11
September 23, 2024 20M Offering 447.08 71 15.88 36.657 8.20 5 1.12
December 4, 2024   446.8 71 15.89 36.657 8.20 5 1.12
January 1, 2025 RK posts dog, ghosts again 447.08 71 15.88 36.657 8.20 5 1.12
March 19, 2025   447.08 69.5 15.55 36.657 8.20 5 1.12
April 1, 2025 $1.5B Convertible Notes 447.08 69.5 15.55 36.657 8.20 5 1.12
April 3, 2025 RC Purchase 447.08 69.5 15.55 37.347 8.35 5 1.12
May 22, 2025 RK unfollows RC 447.08 69.5 15.55 37.347 8.35 5 1.12
June 1, 2025 $2.25B Convertible Notes 447.34 68.1 15.22 37.347 8.35 5 1.12
If Fully Diluted If all Convertible Notes are Converted to Shares 590.94 68.1 11.52 37.347 6.32 5 0.85

GameStop Share Data

The data presented focuses on Total Shares Outstanding as it relates to the 3 largest parties invested in the success of GameStop who would all benefit from a short squeeze: DRS (that’s you and me), Ryan Cohen, and Keith Gill. In the timeline above, significant corporate events are indicated which have with not only coincided with the momentum of the share price at the time, but have also resulted in dilution and have impacted TSO and ownership percentages as a whole.

 

The Stock Split

This particular move has chapped my ass as a shareholder more than anything else I have seen. The stock split was presented as a dividend to shareholders. We thought for sure it was going to result in some squeezening. However, across the board with the way the filings were made, it was treated as a normal stock split by the DTCC and all financial institutions governed by its rules. The community landed on the fact that Matt Furlong, CEO at the time, was responsible for this mistake and that it was the result of a bad actor that got in for a second and quickly ousted. After observing RC’s actions, I do not believe that is the case.

RC was appointed chairman in June 2021. As the largest shareholder and chairman, the direction of the company was completely as his command, whether he claimed he didn’t want to become CEO or not. His actions before, during, and after the stock split suggest he always knew he would be CEO. I propose Matt Furlong was placed into the position (with the blessing of the largest shareholder and chairman RC) with the stock split planned to be a fumble.

Either he is a mastermind or a doofus. Since he has shown he is not dumb, I suggest it is impossible that the stock split filing would have happened the way it did without RC and his team’s review. The event was too significant for a company he had too much say and oversight in.

Now, it is obvious that Ryan had been building his personal brand as a memelord since starting his Twitter crusade right as this all began. This suggests to me that apes were always a part of his plan and that attracting a strong retail investor commitment would serve his ends well. The nature, frequency, and timing of his Tweets were well designed to build overwhelming positive sentiment, approval, and support from retail investors. His memeing certainly was not aimed at other billionaires or institutions. He has leaned into the sub and interacted with apes on the outskirts with one strong interview with our community to hype us up in solidarity and trust his plan.

Many interactions on this sub regarding Cohen have had the same markings of bot and shill behavior that we observe on the other side who seeks to convince us it’s all over. You can’t speak against him without massive and immediate backlash. The upvotes are overwhelming and constant for anything pro-Cohen, to the degree of unnatural and inorganic. Any discussion that questions him or his actions is met with resistance, gaslighting, and vitriol. I am not sure of the mechanics or costs involved in pumping sentiment and sneaky advertising on Reddit, however I am positive money is being spent to push narratives and protect Cohen’s image, the same as it is being spent to bash the stock, or promote Dave Lauer at times. I’ve seen it all and you have too, and if this post makes it past 0 upvotes, you may see it in real time as you’re reading this.

With that addressed – back to the stock split. We were sold on the vote to authorize 1 billion shares “to facilitate the stock split” as explicitly stated in GameStop’s 14A filing.

SCHEDULE 14A - We are asking our stockholders to approve an amendment to our Third Amended and Restated Certificate of Incorporation (the “Existing Charter”), to increase the number of authorized shares of our common stock to 1,000,000,000, and correspondingly increase the number of authorized shares of all classes of our stock to 1,005,000,000 in order to implement a stock split of our common stock in the form of a stock dividend (the “Stock Split”) and provide flexibility for future corporate needs. Our Existing Charter currently authorizes the issuance of 300,000,000 shares of common stock and 5,000,000 shares of preferred stock.

GameStop could have just about split the stock similarly even if we didn’t pass this vote. However, they were already authorized to issue more shares anyway so I don’t particularly find the excess authorized shares to be insidious despite the recent onslaught of dilutions, but the stock split itself affected the stock in several ways and the passing of this vote allowed the powers that be to have their cake and continue to slice it.

 

DRS

Power to the people, power to the players. The hivemind did it. We were taking a stock count in a decentralized way that not only gave us an accurate count of retail shares owned, but removed them from DTCC circulation and prevented rehypothecation. The implications were massive. Either we would apply pressure to bad actors playing musical shares and speed up the music, or we would expose a system of fraudulent share reporting by DRSing more shares than we should own and spark a squeeze with this public information or force an audit and the consequences that would come with it. GameStop, under the leadership of Ryan Cohen, seemed to be aligned with us by providing data on DRS counts they received from Computershare. From late 2021 to mid 2022, the rate of DRS was insane as we catalogued shares in droves from 6% of total shares outstanding to over 23% with no signs of slowing down.

 

The True Purpose of the Stock Split

There is a lot going on behind the scenes in the financial system, and we know there is no end to the convoluted tricks that are being played by parties, counterparties, banks, and even nations at this point. I won’t say I know exactly what happened with the stock split. All I will say, is that I believe it was intentional on behalf of RC and GameStop and counter to MOASS.

The most important piece of data I think came out of this was the blatant stagnation of DRS numbers reported. We went from an exponential curve of DRS rate to a flatline right at the time of the stock split (and eventual decline). This is not a random coincidence in my opinion, and I believe it was one of the major purposes of the stock split.

Many users (real or fake or a mixture) jumped to blame the DTCC and Matt Furlong for botching it. The secret ingredient of crime was once again the main course with a garnish of hedgie plant. Tensions were high toward Furlong until he was ousted June 2023 and replaced as CEO by Cohen, who was received like a savior among a well-primed community of apes that were seeing their dreams come true of RC taking the reigns. I believe Furlong was just a patsy so Cohen-led GameStop could perform the stock split to mitigate the risk of DRS-induced MOASS while keeping Cohen’s image and sentiment intact, even enhancing it with this move.

Cohen knew taking the wind out of the sails would prevent MOASS in the short term. Perhaps there are some other bones he threw with the creation of all these extra shares as well. I have no idea but I believe it is possible. The tampering with the liquidity and share price of the stock took the one thing we had in our control from us, through whatever mechanism it did. Whether the DTCC, Furlong, or Cohen is responsible, this was a result of the split, and the best part is, we are just supposed to accept it and this instance gets buried with time. I would love to know why DRS stagnated as a result of the split, but for now unless someone more knowledgeable than me can shed light on it, I must be contented with knowing that it did.

 

RC, First of His Name and Slayer of Run-Ups

The stock was on a steady decline for a while after the split with some quarterly spikes. Then RK returned. We were so back. The sharp spike was met with news of a share offering immediately, not once, but twice, as the company sold into the heavy volume that coincided with RK’s return. We were finally seeing shareholder value, and the momentum was killed with rushed share offerings. The reactive nature showed that the run-ups were unwanted. There is no Furlong to be a patsy anymore; RC deliberately diluted the stock which killed momentum on several occasions. Granted, the company raised a lot of money, which is good for the company, yet bad for MOASS in the short term, in true RC fashion, consistent with the TSO-flooding momentum-killer that was the stock split. These actions are not separate, they are thematic and show Ryan’s approach to run-ups and squeezes. Not only does he not want a squeeze, he wants the stock low and has marked it on several occasions with share purchases around the share price of $20, even before all the dilution. While the run-ups were thwarted, volatility also appears to have been killed on the inverse, with an established floor and a more stable share price. The 20M share offering in September 2024 was also weird as a run-up was brewing without RK activity and it was also killed in this fashion. We wait it out some more, see some run ups in April and June 2025, and the convertible note offerings were announced. 6 events resulted in the creation of more shares and the increase of total shares outstanding while snuffing out volatility that would have been in our favor, marked by reactions to either DRS, RK, or other algorithmic things that could result in unpredictability of the share price. Sure, it’s great for the company, but I want a squeeze, or at least to feel like I didn’t back the wrong horse in the most spectacularly stupid way possible.

Roaring Kitty is Inevitable

I am not sure if RK planned things to go this way, or if he has set in motion a Choose Your Adventure Goosebumps Endgame thing to where he’s working in a realm of possibilities that all result in us getting paid. There are some interesting things I have observed and re-observed in a new light while digging into this.

-       From a shareholder perspective disregarding company roles, Ryan Cohen has fallen below the 10% ownership threshold through his dilutive actions. He has made purchases since, but not approaching 10% again. While he has bags on bags to deploy to regain control if ever challenged by a billionaire not to mention the loyalty of retail shareholders who compose an unknown portion of the vote, but there is a faint element of vulnerability here.

-       RK has 10x-ed his position multiple times. At this point, I would wager he could do it again, and eventually he could have enough to buy a stake larger than Cohen’s. Wait, is there any way he could have bought the convertible notes? I haven’t seen enough on that to know if that’s a dumb idea or a real possibility so forgive me if that’s a dumb question. If he could, then we could just be waiting for the big reveal.

-       If we are watching actions, RC’s actions are good for the company and bad for volatility and the share price. RK’s actions are fantastic for the share price and elicit reactions from Cohen and the company.

I think as long as Ryan Cohen is in control, the company is in good hands and I’ll treat my investment as super long term but I would almost bet against MOASS. If the convertible bonds were to be fully converted at today’s share price in the gutter, it would represent double the amount of shares outstanding as existed when we first got in. The thesis is that the stock is shorted multiple times over TSO at strike prices below $4 or something crazy so it doesn’t matter in the grand scheme if a short squeeze ever were to take place. I think either way, we get into the S&P 500 eventually as well and get paid. However, I think we may see some insanity if RK ever challenges RC for the honor of leadership. He has proven he can make tons of money, and he has the loyalty of the community behind him. I’m tired of Cohen stopping momentum and would love to yeet him, but feel the risk is too high to do it in favor of anyone but Keith Gill.

Anyway that Stock Split was so dumb amirite?


Bitcoin’s Halving Timeline

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