For Trading JUNE 11th
FED DOES NOTHING
NASDAQ at Another New High!
U.S. DOLLAR CONTINUES TO WEAKEN
Today’s market was just another day dominated by FAANG stocks with new all-time highs from AAPL, MSFT, AMZN, TSLA, and NVDA. But the DJIA was all over the place, spending the first hour headed down to the low of the day -334 before working higher and then taking off to the upside after the FED announcement making the high +83 by 2:30 and then heading back and forth and settling -282.31 (1.04, NASDAQ +66.59 (.67%), S&P 500 -17.04 (.53%), the Russell -39.66 (2.63 and the DJ Transports -246 (2.51%). Internals were not as weak as the market looked with NYSE A/D 2.5:1 and NASDAQ 1.8:1. Volume was about average and the DJIA was 23 down and 7 up with AAPL adding 61 and MSFT 48 DPs while BA was the big loser -91 with AXP, JPM, GS, and TRV each lower by 31DP’s. The strength came from Information tech (FAANG) but the weakness came from energy, financials, industrials and real estate. Not a good looking day.
Our “open forum” on Discord, which allows me to interact with subscribers and others to allow direct questions and chart opinions on just about any stock, continues to grow with more participants every day. It is informative and allows me to share insights as the market is open and moving. The link is: https://discord.gg/ATvC7YZ and I will be there and active from before the open and all day. It’s a great place to share ideas and gain some insights, and we’ve grown to almost 1900 members. I also did this video titled “How to survive being an options trader and not blow up your account,” over the long weekend. I think it’s very informative as a guide to stock selection and option choices. The link is https://youtu.be/Y7H9RpWfLlo Enjoy!!
Tonight’s closing comment video https://youtu.be/XX4bgWZNtH8
SECTORS: The big news was no news from the FED, as expected. Rates fell slightly but the Financials fell hard. The forecasts for 2020 GDP (-6.5%) and 2021 (+5%) weren’t much of a surprise. The real news was Taubman (TCO) getting kicked to the curb by Simon Properties (SPG) and cancelling their marriage. The reaction was swift, sending TCO down to $26.70, but it finished $36.17 (9.08%) while SPG got less of a hit moving to $&* before it managed a close of $83.01 -3.46 (4%). This will not be a civil divorce. JP Morgan downgraded JBLU and UAL, sending JBLU down to $12.03 before coming back to $12.63 -1.58 (11.12%) and UAL to $38.30 before it too recovered a bit to $39.72 -4.92 (11.02%). The cruise lines were weaker with RCL to $63.59 -6.32 (9%), CCL $20.59 (-2.45 (11%), and the biggest loser NCLH $20.65 -3.48 (14%).
FOOD SUPPLY CHAIN was MIXED with BGS -.10, FLO -.12, CAG -.39, MDLZ +.16, KHC -.80, CALM -2.65, JJSF -2.20, SAFM +.06, LANC +.16, GO +1.20, HRL +.01, SJM +.07, PPC -.49 and PBJ 31.48 -.51 (1.59%).
BIOPHARMA was MIXED with BIIB +.62, ABBV +.98, REGN -2.59, ISRG +11.22, GILD -.58, MYL -1.25, TEVA -.68, VRTX +4.15, BHC -1.16, INCY +.05, ICPT -.68, LABU +.22 and IBB $133.38 +.47 (.35%).
CANNABIS: was LOWER with TLRY -.62, CGC -.32, CRON +.01, GWPH -3.74, ACB -.70, PYX -.65, NBEV -.08, CURLF +.06, KERN +.52 and MJ $14.85 -.14 (.93%).
DEFENSE was LOWER with LMT -6.96, GD -6.68, TXT -4.17, NOC -7.53, BWXT -.62, TDY -4.26, RTX -3.19, and ITA $181.08 -6.09 (3.25%).
RETAIL was LOWER with M -1.07, JWN -2.19, KSS -3.47, DDS -3.74, WMT -.44, TGT -1.47, TJX +1.78, RL -6.48, UAA -.73, LULU +4.45, TPR -1.10, CPRI -2.02, and XRT $43.20 -1.03 (2.33%).
FAANG and Big Cap: were HIGHER with GOOGL +8.27, AMZN +30.13, AAPL +7.01, FB -2.72, NFLX -1.95, NVDA +11.14, TSLA +68.83, BABA +1.78, BIDU +.21, CMG -15.47, CAT -4.01, BA -20.44, DIS -2.66 and XLK $103.63 +1.23 (1.20%).
FINANCIALS were LOWER with GS -7.24, JPM -6.64, BAC -2.13, MS -2.77, C -4.70, PNC -8.69, AIG -2.90, TRV -6.27, AXP -5.96, V -.08 and XLF $24.93 -1.24 (4.74%).
OIL, $39.60 +.66. Oil has managed to trade $40.44 yesterday and fell back to the 5-day MA and closed there. We then traded as low as 37.07 today before reversing late in the day and closing higher. Today’s close near the high didn’t help the stocks. They were lower and XLE was $42.29 -2.81 (6.23%).
METALS, GOLD: $1,720.70. After trading down to $1671 last week we had a bounce higher again today after testing the 1697 level. The action in the US$ is projecting higher prices for the metals, but it does not necessarily trade with the dollar on a day by day basis. Support is around Friday’s lows. We bought back the 3rd and final lot of NEM @ $58.86.
BITCOIN: closed $9,935 +130. After breaking down from just over 10,000 and trading as low as 8630 last Tuesday we have been clawing our way back toward 10,000. Last week we traded over $10500 but fell all the way back to the lows, but we’ve moved back toward $10,000. We added 350 shares of GBTC last Wednesday @ $10.02 to our position of 400 @ $8.06, bringing our average price to $8.97. GBTC closed $12.30 + .77 today.
Tomorrow is another day.
CAM
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