Do you think there’s a lot of socially excluded people or incels/femcels in bitcoin community? I just went to this event and quite a few people seemed socially awkward and shut down. I wonder if this is a bigger phenomenon.
Thursday, August 21, 2025
Profusa, Inc. Initial Public Offering Released - Here’s What You Should Know
Profusa, Inc.
Investor Summary Report
Company Overview Profusa, Inc. is a clinical-stage digital health and medical technology company focused on biosensing solutions, headquartered in Berkeley, CA. Its main technologies are the Lumee™ Oxygen Platform (CE marked in Europe) and the investigational Lumee™ Glucose continuous glucose monitor (CGM), currently in clinical development. Profusa completed a business combination with NorthView Acquisition Corporation in July 2025 and is now listed on Nasdaq under the symbol “PFSA”.
Key Financial Metrics - Recent Financial Performance: - Six Months Ended June 30, 2025:
- Revenue: $0
- Operating Expenses: $2.43 million
- Net Loss: $5.06 million - Year Ended December 31, 2024:
- Revenue: $100,000 (government grants) - Operating Expenses: $4.6 million - Net Loss: $9.23 million - Loss per Share: $(1.65) - Balance Sheet (as of June 30, 2025): - Cash: $44,000 - Total Current Assets: $253,000 - Total Current Liabilities: $63.5 million - Convertible Preferred Stock: $65.1 million - Accumulated Deficit: $(130.0) million
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Outstanding Debts (as of June 30, 2025):
- Convertible Notes: $19.53 million
- Tasly Convertible Debt: $2.54 million
- Senior Notes: $27.9 million (with $10 million to related parties)
- Promissory Notes: $940,000
- PPP Loan: $1.38 million
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Share Structure After Offerings:
- Common Stock outstanding (July 30, 2025): 32,788,877 shares
- Common Stock after offering and full warrant exercise: 41,759,707 shares
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Contractual Obligations Due (as of June 30, 2025): $52.29 million, all current
Equity & Financing Transactions - Business Combination: Merger with NorthView resulted in a recapitalized structure. - PIPE Financing: $10 million PIPE Convertible Note issued February 11, 2025, with a 10% annual interest rate (increases to 24% on default). - Committed Equity Facility: Agreement with Ascent Partners Fund LLC for up to $100 million; only 8,070,830 shares ($8.07M at $1/share) expected to be sold under current registration. - Proceeds Use: Net proceeds are to be used exclusively for additional Bitcoin purchases, not for operational funding. - Balance Sheet Pro Forma (Post-Business Combination): - Pro forma cash and cash equivalents: $4.2 million
Risks - Going Concern: There is “substantial doubt” about the company’s ability to continue as a going concern due to recurring net losses, negative cash flow, and a working capital deficit, as disclosed by independent auditors. - High Debt Obligations: All debts (including convertible debt and senior notes) are classified as current liabilities and due within the next year, totaling over $52 million. - Negative Operating Cash Flows: Net cash used in operations for six months ended June 30, 2025 was $1.13 million. - Limited Revenue, Heavy R&D Spend: Revenue derives solely from government grants (no product sales); ongoing cash is used primarily for R&D, with no assurance of future grant receipts or product sales. - Product & Regulatory Risks: - Most revenue until regulatory authority is obtained is expected from Lumee Oxygen only. - No guarantee of FDA approval for U.S. commercialization; delays or failures would impact the business severely. The company specifically notes extensive regulatory requirements, uncertainty in clinical trial outcomes, and dependency on successful trial completion for FDA 510(k) or PMA approvals. - Dilution: Issuance of new shares under the Ascent equity facility will dilute existing shareholders. Pro forma modeling assumes this could reach up to 19.8% additional dilution. - Concentration and Volatility of Bitcoin Holdings: Any net proceeds from stock sales are earmarked for Bitcoin purchases. This introduces: - High volatility risk to financial statements. - Lack of diversification. - Limited liquidity compared to traditional cash. - Potential for significant write-downs if Bitcoin prices fall; historical statements do not yet reflect Bitcoin impacts. - Counterparty risk—Bitcoin held in third-party custodial accounts could be lost if the custodian fails. - Potential regulatory risk if Bitcoin is classified as a security, triggering investment company status. - Completion and Scalability Risks: Operating losses may persist or deepen due to increased expense needs as commercialization and expansion efforts launch. The company relies on third-party manufacturing and supply chains, which introduces further risk of disruption. - Control & Governance: Executive officers and directors collectively control 26.2% of common stock post-business combination. - Material Weakness in Internal Controls: The company has identified and disclosed material weaknesses in financial reporting controls. - Non-payment of Dividends: Profusa does not expect to pay dividends for the foreseeable future. - Market and Competitive Risks: Profusa faces strong competition from large, established medical device companies (Dexcom, Abbott, Medtronic) and could struggle for market entry, pricing, reimbursement, and scale.
Management Discussion - Strategic Focus: Profusa’s R&D is centered on biosensors for CGM (Lumee Glucose) and tissue oxygenation (Lumee Oxygen), with an eye toward developing broad data monetization opportunities. - Clinical Progress: The Lumee Oxygen Platform is approved for certain applications in the EU; no serious adverse events reported. U.S. pivotal study for tissue oxygen monitoring is ongoing. Lumee Glucose has completed first-in-human and feasibility studies across multiple international sites with no material safety issues to date. - Lumee Glucose: 54 subjects, 108 sensors, 398 study visits in clinical development. - Commercialization Plans: Near-term product revenue depends on Lumee Oxygen in Europe; U.S. sales await FDA clearance. Expansion into the Asia-Pacific is anticipated through a joint venture, though not yet finalized. - Operating Efficiency Initiatives: Management has controlled R&D spend (down 12% in the latest period), but G&A expense is up as the company prepares for commercialization and public-company requirements. - Future Funding Needs: Continuing losses, negative cash flows, and substantial debt coming due mean Profusa must raise additional capital through equity or debt. Uncertainty around commercialization timing, regulatory approvals, and adequate funding is acknowledged. - Share-Based Compensation: Minimal new equity grants have been made; unrecognized stock-based compensation expense totals $3.0 million. - Leadership: Ben Hwang (CEO/Chairman), Fred Knechtel (CFO), and an experienced board (majority independent). No related-party transactions beyond previously disclosed financings and normal governance arrangements.
Conclusion for Investors Profusa presents as an early-stage medtech with promising biosensor technologies, a recognized deficit, and an aggressive treasury strategy concentrated in Bitcoin. Despite a technology validation (CE Mark in Europe), there is no near-term U.S. revenue, and all available capital from equity sales will be used to acquire Bitcoin, not to fund operations. Investors face substantial dilution risk, extreme asset volatility, execution risks around regulatory approval and commercialization, and material going-concern and liquidity risks. Continued negative cash flow and heavy liabilities highlight an urgent need for new funding and/or commercial traction in the next 12 months. This profile suits only risk-tolerant investors with a long-term horizon and a positive outlook on both medical device innovation and digital asset strategies.
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SqueezeFinder - Aug 21st 2025
Good morning, SqueezeFinders!
Yesterday, the market threw us an extra volatile trading session where the $QQQ tech index opened at 568.33, and within an hour and a half after the bell, we saw intraday lows below 559 (558.64) before a partial intraday recovery ensued. A mix of tariff policy uncertainty, weak economic data releases, and general tech sector are weaker (led by companies like $PLTR for example). Today's main directional sentiment determinants are the below listed economic data releases, and also earnings results from $WMT (premarket). Ideally, $QQQ can hold 540 on larger time-frame, and we can focus on rate decisions to guide us further. Bitcoin trades for ~$114k/coin, spot Gold trades for $3,380/oz, and spot Silver for $37.9/oz. Regardless of whether broader market sentiment, you can always locate relative strength by tapping/clicking the column headers to sort the live watchlist in descending order of whichever data metric is important to you.
Today's economic data releases are:
🇺🇸 FOMC Member Bostic Speaks @ 7:30AM ET
🇺🇸 Philly Fed Mfg. Index (Aug) @ 8:30AM ET
🇺🇸 Initial Jobless Claims @ 8:30AM ET
🇺🇸 Philly Fed Employment (Aug) @ 8:30AM ET
🇺🇸 Continuing Jobless Claims @ 8:30AM ET
🇺🇸 S&P Global Mfg. PMI (Aug) @ 9:45AM ET
🇺🇸 S&P Global Services PMI (Aug) @ 9:45AM ET
🇺🇸 S&P Global Composite PMI (Aug) @ 9:45AM ET
🇺🇸 Existing Home Sales (Jul) @ 10AM ET
🇺🇸 US Leading Index (Jul) @ 10AM ET
🇺🇸 30Y TIPS Auction @ 1PM ET
🇺🇸 Fed's Balance Sheet @ 4:30PM ET
🇺🇸 Jackson Hole Symposium @ 8PM ET
📙Breakdown point: BELOW this price, the move will lose momentum significantly in the short-term, as shorts will gain confidence encouraging them to short more. Reducing probability of a squeeze without a catalyst.
📙Breakout point: ABOVE this price, the move will gain momentum significantly in the short-term, as shorts losses will increase pressuring them to cover. Increasing the probability of a squeeze occurring, especially if with a catalyst.
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$VITL
Squeezability Score: 51%
Juice Target: 89.9
Confidence: 🍊 🍊 🍊
Price: 49.79 (+2.49%)
Breakdown point: 40.0
Breakout point: 49.5 (new all-time high)
Mentions (30D): 5
Event/Condition: Huge rel vol spike after strong earnings report results (bottom and top line beats, raised guidance) + Company on track to reach $1B net rev target in 2027 + Recent price target 🎯 of $50 from Lake Street + Recent price target 🎯 of $52 from Jefferies + Potentially imminent year long rangebound consolidation breakout if > 48.5 + Recent price target 🎯 of $50 from Telsey Advisory + Recent price target 🎯 of $52 from DA Davidson + Recent price target 🎯 of $53 from Mizuho. -
$BE
Squeezability Score: 50%
Juice Target: 70.3
Confidence: 🍊 🍊 🍊
Price: 44.51 (+3.27%)
Breakdown point: 36.0
Breakout point: 47.3 (new all-time high)
Mentions (30D): 12
Event/Condition: Massive rel vol spike and new 52 week highs after company enters into data-center collaboration with Oracle + Massive rel vol surge after Big Beautiful Bill said to benefit company with tax credit surprise + Recent price target 🎯 of $40 from J.P. Morgan + Potentially imminent medium-term downtrend bullish reversal + Resumption of bullish momentum + Recent price target 🎯 of $30 from Susquehanna + Recent price target 🎯 of $41 from UBS + Company CEO says sees more power supply deals with data centers.
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