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Down More Than 60% From Its High, Is MSTR Dip a cheap buy?

Strategy (NASDAQ: MSTR) is the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin and one of the biggest bulls of the top cryptocurrency. But amid weakness in the crypto market of late, its shares have been in a free fall. And that's putting it lightly. In just the past six months, the stock has lost more than half of its value.

Heading into trading on Wednesday, the stock was down 60% from its 52-week high of $457.22, which it reached back in July. Is the sell-off in Strategy's stock overdone, and could this be a good time to invest in the tech company, multiple exchanges like bitget have rolled out events to facilitate buying top stocks like MSTR and other recenty during the Stock futures rush and have seen significant engagement...

Is this a Dip to buy?

The Weekly Market Report

Earnings Season Insights Tech Sector Highlights: •ORCL (Thu): Consensus $1.42 EPS on $15.3B rev, cloud/AI growth key; beat reinforces enterprise shift. •ADBE (Thu): $4.64 EPS est., creative/cloud subs scrutinized post-AI integrations. •AVGO (Thu): $1.41 EPS on $9.3B, AI semis demand critical amid supply chain noise.Signal: Strong guides extend tech rally; misses trigger semis/software rotation. Consumer Discretionary Sector Challenges: •CPB (Tue): $1.05 EPS est., staples resilience vs. pricing power erosion. •GME (Wed): Volatile meme history; focus on cash burn, holiday sales. •CHWY (Wed): $0.22 EPS, pet spending amid consumer caution.Signal: Weak holiday cues pressure retail; outperformance needs cost control proof.

Key Takeaways: FOMC Dec 9-10 targets 25bps cut (markets 85% prob per CME FedWatch), reflecting labor softening and PCE cooling, though hawk-dove split widens (Morgan Stanley/JPM now dovish). Signal: Cut lifts REITs/small caps (KRE rebound potential); pause re-prices growth lower. Implications for Traders: Dot plot may signal 2-3 more 2026 cuts to 3%; Powell presser key for terminal rate clues. Strategy: Position rate-sensitives pre-meeting, hedge via options on surprises. Inflation Data Release Latest Month-over-Month Metrics: Dallas Fed PCE proxy 2.8% (cooling), factory orders mixed; no major prints next week but FOMC integrates recent CPI/PCE (2.4% YoY core). Signal: Sustained disinflation backs cuts without wage reacceleration fears.

Geopolitical Events Geopolitical tensions continue to impact markets: META’s Limitless AI wearable buy advances hardware AI; Embraer/Eve-Beta $1B eVTOL motor pact validates urban air mobility. Offsets: House probes AAPL/GOOGL on ICE-tracking apps; film lobby vs. Netflix-WBD monopoly risks. Signal: Innovation tailwinds vs. Big Tech/media regulation drag. Sector Rotation

Sectors gaining traction: •Tech/AI: META/ORCL/AVGO momentum. •Industrials: eVTOL (Beta/Eve). •Staples/Consumer: COST resilience proxy.Underperformers: Bonds (ZB), crypto (BTC/GBTC/MIAN), regionals (KRE), gaming (BJK), shipping (SHLD), global (MSCI), vol (VIX/VVIX/SKEW).Trading Strategies: Buy leader dips above ~688 doji support; short laggard breaks. Premarket: Tactical KRE/crypto fades.

Cryptocurrency Movements Bitcoin: Probes 91,000 resistance (prior rejection); GBTC outflows/MIAN weakness cap upside, 85k support key. Signal: FOMC cut catalyst or equity risk-off breakdown.Ethereum: 3,100 pivot; hold enables altcoin rotation, loss adds macro correlation downside. Economic Indicators Unemployment Claims: Recent 220k supports soft landing pre-FOMC.Retail Sales: Monitored for holiday; COST earnings gauges consumer durability amid CHWY/GME tests.

Technical Analysis

Key Chart Patterns: S&P/SPX doji at 688 resistance (attachment: prior fail here, overnight hold eyes breakout). Failure risks 670s fade. •MFI >50: Buying inflows bullish bias. •DMI: +DI > -DI, ADX>25 confirms uptrend. •DMA: Price above signals momentum continuity.

The weekly market indicator

Earnings Season Insights Tech Sector Highlights: •ORCL (Thu): Consensus $1.42 EPS on $15.3B rev, cloud/AI growth key; beat reinforces enterprise shift. •ADBE (Thu): $4.64 EPS est., creative/cloud subs scrutinized post-AI integrations. •AVGO (Thu): $1.41 EPS on $9.3B, AI semis demand critical amid supply chain noise.Signal: Strong guides extend tech rally; misses trigger semis/software rotation. Consumer Discretionary Sector Challenges: •CPB (Tue): $1.05 EPS est., staples resilience vs. pricing power erosion. •GME (Wed): Volatile meme history; focus on cash burn, holiday sales. •CHWY (Wed): $0.22 EPS, pet spending amid consumer caution.Signal: Weak holiday cues pressure retail; outperformance needs cost control proof.

Key Takeaways: FOMC Dec 9-10 targets 25bps cut (markets 85% prob per CME FedWatch), reflecting labor softening and PCE cooling, though hawk-dove split widens (Morgan Stanley/JPM now dovish). Signal: Cut lifts REITs/small caps (KRE rebound potential); pause re-prices growth lower. Implications for Traders: Dot plot may signal 2-3 more 2026 cuts to 3%; Powell presser key for terminal rate clues. Strategy: Position rate-sensitives pre-meeting, hedge via options on surprises. Inflation Data Release Latest Month-over-Month Metrics: Dallas Fed PCE proxy 2.8% (cooling), factory orders mixed; no major prints next week but FOMC integrates recent CPI/PCE (2.4% YoY core). Signal: Sustained disinflation backs cuts without wage reacceleration fears.

Geopolitical Events Geopolitical tensions continue to impact markets: META’s Limitless AI wearable buy advances hardware AI; Embraer/Eve-Beta $1B eVTOL motor pact validates urban air mobility. Offsets: House probes AAPL/GOOGL on ICE-tracking apps; film lobby vs. Netflix-WBD monopoly risks. Signal: Innovation tailwinds vs. Big Tech/media regulation drag. Sector Rotation

Sectors gaining traction: •Tech/AI: META/ORCL/AVGO momentum. •Industrials: eVTOL (Beta/Eve). •Staples/Consumer: COST resilience proxy.Underperformers: Bonds (ZB), crypto (BTC/GBTC/MIAN), regionals (KRE), gaming (BJK), shipping (SHLD), global (MSCI), vol (VIX/VVIX/SKEW).Trading Strategies: Buy leader dips above ~688 doji support; short laggard breaks. Premarket: Tactical KRE/crypto fades.

Cryptocurrency Movements Bitcoin: Probes 91,000 resistance (prior rejection); GBTC outflows/MIAN weakness cap upside, 85k support key. Signal: FOMC cut catalyst or equity risk-off breakdown.Ethereum: 3,100 pivot; hold enables altcoin rotation, loss adds macro correlation downside.

Economic Indicators Unemployment Claims: Recent 220k supports soft landing pre-FOMC.Retail Sales: Monitored for holiday; COST earnings gauges consumer durability amid CHWY/GME tests.

Technical Analysis

Key Chart Patterns: S&P/SPX doji at 688 resistance (attachment: prior fail here, overnight hold eyes breakout). Failure risks 670s fade. •MFI >50: Buying inflows bullish bias. •DMI: +DI > -DI, ADX>25 confirms uptrend. •DMA: Price above signals momentum continuity.