Wednesday, December 24, 2025

Friday Options Expiry - Largest in history of all of crypto?

There are an enormous number of Bitcoin options expiring this Friday, December 26, 2025 — marking one of the largest (if not the absolute largest) options expirations in crypto history.

The bulk of the action is on Deribit (acquired by Coinbase last Summer), where approximately $23–$24 billion in Bitcoin options are set to expire. This represents over 50% of Deribit's total open interest and is described across multiple sources as a record-breaking event (often called the "Boxing Day" expiry due to the December 26 holiday). For context, this dwarfs typical monthly expirations and includes a heavy concentration of call options reflecting bullish positioning earlier in the year.

https://www.deribit.com/statistics/BTC/options-data

There is a big spike at 100k, and the next largest is 85k.

The overall bias leans bullish (low put-call ratios like 0.38 on Deribit), but with downside protection via puts. Max Pain levels (where the most options expire worthless) are at $95,000 per coinglass.

https://www.coinglass.com/pro/options/max-pain

We are at 87.7k right now. 95k friday EoD is 7k pop, but then all the options expire and there is nothing as massive as this event pinning btc down from a market maker perspective.


Weds Dec 24, 2025: Why's Tim Cook buying Nike shares? iPhone 18 camera production coming to US. Italy forcing Meta to open WhatsApp to rival chatbots, and US travel bans on European tech figures.

https://preview.redd.it/vwube3tpu79g1.jpg?width=800&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=942d0787b4ffe45b98cee54de3f86d23223560d9

Wednesday, December 24, 2025 Summary

Apple is making headlines on two major fronts. Brazilian regulators have compelled the tech giant to ease its grip on the iOS ecosystem. The policy overhaul in Brazil allows alternative app stores and payment options, marking a significant post‐antitrust settlement shift for the company. At the same time, Apple is steering its supply chain strategy home, as it begins sourcing iPhone 18 camera sensors domestically through US manufacturing efforts led by a key component maker.

The legal landscape is also heating up in the AI sector with a lawsuit filed against six major AI companies. A group of authors is calling for accountability and transparency over alleged misconduct in generative AI products, a case that could set important precedents. In a related regulatory move, Italian authorities have ordered Meta to allow competing AI chatbots on WhatsApp, a decision designed to open up the competitive landscape.

On the geopolitical front, US travel bans on prominent European tech figures illustrate an escalating tension that critics say may hamper transatlantic tech collaboration. These moves, from corporate restructuring to legal and political interventions, signal a period of rapid change and uncertainty in the tech industry that stakeholders will be watching closely in the coming months.