The Daily Market Flux - Your Complete Market Rundown (05/07/2025)

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Top Stories

U.S. Stocks Rally on Trade Talk Hopes Ahead of Fed Decision

U.S. stock futures rise on news of upcoming U.S.-China trade talks, boosting investor sentiment. Markets await Federal Reserve policy decision and Chair Powell's briefing, while individual stocks show movement. Trade optimism and Fed expectations drive market activity.

Q1 Earnings Season in Full Swing: Mixed Results Across Tech and Consumer Sectors

Numerous companies reported Q1 earnings, with mixed results. Zillow posted its first profit since 2022, while Beyond Meat missed estimates and withdrew forecasts. Fortinet and Applovin beat expectations, but Fortinet's stock tumbled on weak guidance. MercadoLibre and ARM Holdings also reported strong results.

Powell Urges Patience Amid Trade Uncertainties, Sees No Immediate Need for Rate Changes

Fed Chair Powell maintains a cautious stance on the economy, citing potential risks from trade tensions and tariffs. He emphasizes patience in monetary policy decisions, noting that economic data doesn't yet show significant slowdown or inflation concerns.

US-China Trade Talks and India-Pakistan Conflict Dominate Global Headlines

China and the US are set to hold trade talks amid ongoing tensions. Meanwhile, India launched airstrikes on Pakistan, escalating conflict between the nuclear-armed neighbors. World leaders urge restraint as the situation unfolds.

Powell: Economic Risks Rising, But Data Steady; Fed Remains Patient Amid Tariff Uncertainty

Fed Chair Powell states that while risks of higher unemployment and inflation have increased, economic data doesn't show a slowdown yet. He emphasizes uncertainty around tariffs and the need for patience in monetary policy decisions.

Company News

The Walt Disney Company (DIS)

Performance Overview

1D Change:  10.76%

5D Change:  12.25%

News Volume:  257

Unusual Volume Factor:  13x

Disney Soars on Stellar Earnings, Streaming Growth, and New Abu Dhabi Theme Park Announcement

Disney has delivered a stellar performance in its fiscal second quarter of 2025, surpassing Wall Street expectations and raising its full-year outlook. The company's success was driven by strong performances in its theme parks and streaming services, demonstrating the resilience of its core businesses amid economic uncertainties.

Full coverage of $DIS on MarketFlux.io

Charles River Laboratories International, Inc. (CRL)

Performance Overview

1D Change:  18.66%

5D Change:  15.45%

News Volume:  42

Unusual Volume Factor:  12x

Charles River Labs Surges on Board Shake-Up, Strong Earnings, and Strategic Review Plans

Charles River Laboratories International, Inc. has made headlines with a series of significant announcements. The company has agreed to add new directors and conduct a strategic review of its business in collaboration with activist investor Elliott Management. This move has led to a surge in Charles River's stock price, marking its best day in 13 years.

Full coverage of $CRL on MarketFlux.io

Other News

Geopolitics Events

• US–China Trade Talks Boost Markets: Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent confirmed preliminary negotiations to begin Saturday in Switzerland, lifting sentiment and driving U.S. stock futures higher ahead of the Fed’s policy decision.
• India–Pakistan Flashpoint: India’s retaliatory airstrikes and Pakistan’s reported shoot‑down of five jets have escalated tensions. Global powers (including China and the UK) are urging restraint even as the U.S. and China proceed with trade talks.
• Chip Export Rule Reversal: The Trump administration plans to repeal Biden‑era semiconductor export controls (including the AI diffusion rule), replacing them with a streamlined regime—potentially a boon for U.S. chipmakers like Nvidia but a geopolitical flashpoint with China.
• Franco‑German Defense Pact: Presidents Macron and Chancellor Merz unveiled a Franco‑German Defence and Security Council, joint cabinet meeting, and plans to raise defense spending above €60 billion from 2025, reinforcing EU unity and support for Ukraine.
• Tariff Policy Stance: Trump remains ambivalent on exemptions—favoring simplicity—and refuses to soften China tariffs as a precondition for talks. Separately, the U.S. is pressuring tariff‑affected countries to green‑light Musk’s Starlink.
• EU Border & Security Diplomacy: German Chancellor Merz and Polish PM Tusk discussed defense borrowing, Schengen‑zone integrity, and Ukraine backing. Macron also urged lifting Syria sanctions, while Tusk stressed EU border cooperation.
• Middle East & Russia Alignments: Trump offered to mediate India–Pakistan peace; VP Vance emphasized U.S.–EU unity and criticized excessive Russian demands at the Munich meeting; Xi reaffirmed the Sino‑Russian alliance ahead of his Moscow visit.
• China’s Financial Maneuvers: Beijing bolstered gold reserves for the sixth month to 73.77 million oz and cut key rates and reserve ratios to counter U.S. tariff pressure, ahead of the Geneva talks.
• Commerce & E‑commerce Moves: Alibaba’s RedNote partnership drives instant‐retail competition; Trump swore in a new China ambassador amid trade friction; Tesla’s China EV sales slipped 6% in April.

Macro Events

• Fed’s Data‑Driven Caution: Chair Powell, in consecutive statements, urged patience on rate policy—acknowledging tariff and unemployment risks that have yet to materialize—while holding rates at 4.25–4.50%. Market volatility spiked as investors awaited further guidance.
• Market Volatility & Crypto Buzz: U.S. indices wavered (S&P 500/Nasdaq mixed; VIX at mid‑20s) as Bitcoin surged to $96,500 amid trade‑talk optimism, though some funds trimmed exposure pre‑FOMC.
• Treasury’s Digital Push: Secretary Bessent forecast up to $2 trillion in demand for Treasuries from digital assets and signaled bilateral trade talks with China are in “initial” stages.
• European Economic Divergence: Construction PMIs climbed in Germany/Eurozone but fell in Italy/France; retail sales lagged. ECB‑watchers also noted Sweden and Norway pausing rate cuts.
• Global Central‑Bank Actions: Brazil hiked rates to 14.75%; the Czech Republic cut to 3.50%; Poland trimmed ahead of elections. U.S. consumer credit rose $10.17 billion in March even as Fed held rates.
• Tariff Countermeasures Brewing: The EU plans a €100 billion package targeting U.S. imports (including Boeing jets and cars) if talks stall. HSBC rolled out a tariff‑loan to help clients manage import costs.
• Corporate & Fiscal Signals: BMW reaffirmed its 2025 outlook anticipating tariff relief; Ford raised Mexican‑made car prices; Ukraine is mulling a shift from the dollar to the euro to deepen European ties.

Earnings Events

• Tech and E‑commerce Shine in Mixed Earnings Season, While Some Companies Face Headwinds The financial world was abuzz with a flurry of earnings reports from various companies across different sectors. Zillow Group made headlines by posting its first quarterly profit since mid‑2022, beating analyst estimates and demonstrating resilience amid economic uncertainty. Tech giant Arm Holdings reported strong Q4 results, with revenue and adjusted EPS surpassing expectations. However, their Q1 guidance fell short of estimates, causing some concern among investors.
• Q1 2025 Earnings Season: Mixed Results as TripAdvisor and Charles River Shine Multiple companies reported their first quarter 2025 financial results, including Perrigo, InflaRx, Ironwood, TripAdvisor, and Charles River. Many firms beat earnings estimates, with TripAdvisor’s shares leaping and Charles River’s stock surging on strong Q1 performance. Companies like Hagerty reaffirmed their 2025 outlook for revenue and profit growth.
• Uber Beats Q1 Earnings Expectations, Projects Strong Q2 Growth Despite Currency Challenges Uber’s Q1 2025 earnings surpassed expectations, with EPS of $0.83 versus the estimated $0.50. Revenue reached $11.53 billion, slightly below the $11.62 billion estimate. Gross bookings hit $42.82 billion, up 14% year‑over‑year, with 3.048 billion trips completed. The company swung to profit, driven by strong growth in bookings and trips. For Q2, Uber forecasts gross bookings of $45.75–47.25 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $2.02–2.12 billion, indicating continued growth despite currency headwinds.
• Disney Soars Past Q2 Estimates, Raises Full‑Year Outlook on Theme Park and Streaming Success Disney’s Q2 results exceeded expectations, with adjusted EPS of $1.45 surpassing the estimated $1.20. Revenue reached $23.62 billion, up 7% year‑over‑year. The company raised its full‑year adjusted EPS forecast to $5.75, above the consensus of $5.44. Strong performances in theme parks and streaming services contributed to the positive results. Disney+ and Hulu added 1.4 million and 1.1 million subscribers, respectively. The company’s shares rose 6.5% in response to the news.
• Industrial Giants Emerson, Cencora, and Johnson Controls Surpass Q2 Earnings Expectations, Signaling Robust Market Recovery Emerson Electric, Cencora, and Johnson Controls reported strong Q2 2025 earnings, beating expectations. Emerson saw record adjusted EBITA margins and robust free cash flow, while Cencora’s performance was driven by U.S. Healthcare Solutions and the RCA acquisition. Johnson Controls raised its FY25 guidance after impressive organic sales growth and margin expansion. All three companies demonstrated resilience and growth in their respective sectors.
• Q1 Earnings Season: Companies Beat Expectations, National Vision Raises Outlook Multiple companies report Q1 earnings, with Fortis, National Vision, and Perrigo beating expectations. National Vision raises its 2025 outlook, while Fortis reaffirms growth projections.
• ARM Holdings and Carvana Surpass Q1 Earnings Expectations, Signal Strong Growth Ahead ARM Holdings and Carvana both reported strong Q1 earnings, beating estimates. ARM’s revenue hit $1.24 billion, up 34% YoY, with adjusted EPS of $0.55. Carvana’s revenue soared to $4.23 billion, a 38% YoY increase, with EPS of $1.51. ARM’s outlook for Q1 ’26 projects revenue between $1 billion–$1.1 billion. Carvana expects growth in retail units sold and adjusted EBITDA, aiming to sell 3 million units annually at a 13.5% EBITDA margin within 5–10 years.
• Emerson Electric Surges on Strong Q1 Results and Raised Guidance Emerson Electric reports strong Q1 sales, raises its FY25 EPS guidance to $5.90–$6.05, and achieves record adjusted EBITA margins. Q2 performance shows successful portfolio transformation and AspenTech integration, boosting investor confidence.
• Axon Surges on Q1 Revenue Growth and Raised 2025 Outlook Axon, the TASER manufacturer, reports strong Q1 2025 results with revenue up 31% to $604 million. The company raises its annual forecast, leading to a jump in share price.
• Uber Shares Dip on Q1 Revenue Miss, Despite Optimistic Outlook Uber’s stock declines due to lower‑than‑expected first‑quarter revenue, despite positive forecasts for future performance.

Crypto Events

• Bitcoin Surges to $96,500 Amid US-China Trade Talks and $100K Predictions, While Experts Urge Caution Ahead of Fed Decision Bitcoin’s price has surged to $96,500, driven by renewed US-China trade talks and bullish market sentiment. The cryptocurrency is eyeing the $100,000 mark, with many analysts predicting a strong upside in the coming weeks. Institutional investors are showing increased interest, with BlackRock’s Bitcoin spot ETF seeing more inflows than the world’s largest Gold ETF in 2025. However, some traders are trimming their exposure ahead of the Federal Reserve’s FOMC meeting, leading to minor outflows from Bitcoin ETFs.
• Robinhood Eyes European Expansion with Blockchain-Powered US Asset Trading Robinhood intends to leverage blockchain technology for trading US assets in European markets, expanding its digital trading capabilities internationally.
• Ethereum’s Pectra Upgrade Launches, Fueling Bullish Sentiment and $10,000 Price Speculation Ethereum’s Pectra upgrade has gone live on the mainnet, introducing significant improvements to user experience, Layer 2 scaling, and validator operations. The update, dubbed Ethereum’s “most ambitious upgrade yet,” has sparked bullish momentum, with the community closely monitoring its implementation. Analysts are now eyeing a potential $10,000 price target for ETH.
• U.S. Treasury Secretary Embraces Crypto, Sees Digital Assets as Dollar’s Ally Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent endorses digital assets as a key driver of innovation and USD usage. He advocates for the U.S. to become the leading destination for cryptocurrencies, highlighting their potential to boost the dollar’s global prominence.

Technology Events

• Apple Explores AI Search Integration in Safari, Sending Google Shares Plummeting Apple is exploring the integration of AI‑powered search capabilities into its Safari browser, as revealed by executive Eddy Cue. This move comes in response to a decline in traditional browser searches and the potential loss of revenue from its partnership with Google. Apple is considering AI search providers like Perplexity, Anthropic, DeepSeek, and Grok as potential options. The news has caused Alphabet’s stock to tumble, with shares sinking around 5–6%. This shift towards AI search engines reflects broader industry trends and could reshape the search landscape. Apple’s decision could have significant implications for its longstanding deal with Google and the future of web browsing on Apple devices.
• AI Takes Center Stage in Corporate Strategies, Driving Innovation and Partnerships Amid Privacy Concerns Recent financial news highlights the growing importance of AI across industries. Companies are prioritizing generative AI despite privacy concerns, as revealed in a GIC survey. Strategic partnerships, like DSTA with Windward and Flytxt’s collaborations, aim to drive innovation in AI research and development. Meanwhile, benchmark analyses compare various companies’ performances to industry peers.
• AI Sector Faces Mixed Results: Super Micro Stumbles, AMD Plans Growth, as Industry Navigates Economic Challenges Recent financial news highlights mixed results in the AI and tech sector. Super Micro lowers its revenue outlook due to tariffs and economic uncertainty, while AMD outlines growth strategies. Teradata and System1 report revenue challenges amid AI advancements. Astera Labs projects revenue growth in AI connectivity. Various ETFs and companies show varied performance in the evolving AI landscape.
• Tech Giants Forge Alliances to Accelerate AI Adoption Across Industries Elon Musk’s xAI has partnered with Palantir and TWG Global to accelerate AI adoption in finance, aiming to move institutions from proof‑of‑concept to real‑world deployment. This collaboration aligns with a broader trend of AI integration across various sectors. OpenAI is seeking government partnerships to expand AI infrastructure, while tech giants like Amazon, IBM, and Google are leveraging AI to enhance their services. ServiceNow has launched an AI suite for business operations, and Palantir’s strong earnings and NATO partnership have solidified its AI leadership position. These developments highlight the growing importance of AI in transforming industries and improving operational efficiency.
• ServiceNow Unveils AI Agents for Enterprise Security and Operations, Joining Tech Giants in AI Race ServiceNow has launched a suite of autonomous AI agents for security, risk management, and IT operations, aiming to streamline enterprise self‑defense and business processes. The company is expanding its AI capabilities through partnerships and a new data network. This move aligns with the growing trend of AI integration in various industries, as seen in collaborations with KPMG, NICE, and IBM’s initiatives.
• Amazon’s $4 Billion Chilean Expansion Boosts South American Cloud Services Amazon plans to invest over $4 billion to establish a new infrastructure region in Chile, expanding its cloud computing services in South America.
• OpenAI’s Stargate Project Goes Global: Promoting Democratic AI Beyond US Borders OpenAI aims to expand its $500 billion Stargate AI project globally, targeting allies like the UK, France, and Germany. The move promotes “democratic AI” and potential access to advanced U.S. chips for partners.
• Tech Giants Embrace AI: Netflix, AMD, Apple, and CrowdStrike Navigate Market Shifts and User Experience Enhancements Netflix is revamping its TV app interface to improve user experience and exploring AI integration for mobile apps. AMD’s stock fluctuates as investors weigh strong Q1 results against AI uncertainties. Apple considers adding AI search to Safari, potentially partnering with Perplexity and Anthropic. CrowdStrike’s stock drops following layoff news, partly due to AI advancements. Wall Street analysts express concerns about AMD’s AI revenue despite positive results. These developments highlight the growing influence of AI in tech and its impact on company strategies and market reactions.
• AI Reshapes Tech Landscape: Stock Volatility and Growth Predictions in Focus AI‑driven market shifts impact tech stocks. Super Micro faces challenges but remains optimistic. CrowdStrike’s layoffs reflect AI integration. Tesla’s valuation is questioned amid robotaxi plans. SoFi leverages its digital platform for growth. Predictions suggest a potential AI stock could surpass Nvidia by 2030.
• Bezos Backs AI Startup Toloka with $72 M Investment, Boosting U.S. Expansion Jeff Bezos’ firm leads a $72 million investment in Toloka, an AI data startup supporting AI training with human oversight. Toloka, part of the Nebius Group, works with major tech companies and aims to expand its U.S. presence.
• Cadence Launches NVIDIA‑Powered Supercomputer for AI Breakthroughs in Tech and Biotech Cadence introduces a cutting‑edge supercomputer powered by NVIDIA technology, aiming to revolutionize AI‑driven silicon, systems, and drug design in engineering and biotechnology sectors. This move signifies Cadence’s expansion into advanced software solutions.
• Netflix Upgrades TV App, Introduces AI Search for iOS Netflix is revamping its TV app interface to improve visibility and recommendations. The streaming giant is also introducing AI‑powered search for iOS users, starting with a small opt‑in beta, as part of its mobile app enhancement efforts.

Oil And Gas Events

• US Oil Inventories Drop More Than Expected, Signaling Tighter Supply US crude oil inventories fell by 2.032 million barrels, surpassing forecasts. Gasoline stocks increased slightly, while distillate inventories decreased. Cushing crude stocks also declined. These figures, released by the EIA, indicate a tighter oil supply situation than anticipated, potentially impacting energy markets.
• Occidental Petroleum Surpasses Profit Expectations in Latest Quarter Occidental Petroleum beats quarterly profit expectations, with earnings surpassing estimates by $0.18 and revenue exceeding forecasts.

Environment Events

• US‑Houthi Ceasefire Deal Brokered by Oman, Excludes Israel Oman mediated a US‑Houthi ceasefire deal to halt attacks on US ships, without direct US‑Houthi talks. The agreement excludes Israel, according to a Houthi spokesperson speaking to Reuters.
• Orsted Scraps Major UK Offshore Wind Project, Shaking Renewable Energy Plans Danish energy giant Orsted has cancelled its Hornsea 4 offshore wind farm project in the UK, citing rising costs and economic unfeasibility. This decision, despite a government contract, deals a significant blow to the UK’s clean energy ambitions and highlights the challenges facing the renewable energy sector.
• Ukraine Renews Ceasefire Offer, Zelenskiy Links Russian Silence to Domestic Unrest Ukraine’s President Zelenskiy reaffirms the country’s offer for a 30‑day ceasefire, noting Russia’s silence on the proposal. He suggests that the current unrest in Russian skies is a logical consequence of Russia’s role as the source of the ongoing conflict.

Real Estate Events

• Real Estate Roundup: Housing Surveys, REIT Updates, and Regulatory Changes Recent real estate news highlights include Fannie Mae’s housing survey, Sienna Senior Living’s growth, investor sentiment on Essex Property Trust, UK mortgage rule simplification, and various REIT‑related Form 8.3 filings. Primary Health Properties shareholders approved AGM resolutions.
• U.S. Mortgage Applications Surge 11% as Rates Ease, Signaling Housing Market Resilience Mortgage applications in the U.S. rebounded sharply, rising 11.0% after three weeks of decline. The MBA 30‑year mortgage rate decreased to 6.84% from 6.89%. Both purchase and refinance indices increased by 11.1%. The mortgage market index jumped to 248.4 from 223.7, indicating a significant uptick in mortgage activity despite higher rates compared to last year.
• Zillow Breaks Profit Drought in Q1 2025, Boosting Real Estate Tech Outlook Zillow Group reports Q1 2025 financial results, achieving its first quarterly profit since mid‑2022, signaling a potential turnaround in the real estate tech sector.
• Washington Housing Inventory Spikes Amid Federal Cuts; Americans Cautious About Selling Federal workforce cuts in Washington have led to a surge in housing inventory, while Americans remain cautiously optimistic about the housing market. Real estate equity has seen significant growth over 12 years, but selling concerns are rising.

Currencies Events

• China Boosts Gold Reserves for Sixth Straight Month, Forex Reserves Hit $3.28 Trillion China’s gold reserves increased for the sixth consecutive month, reaching 73.77 million ounces in April, up from 73.70 million in March. The value of these reserves rose to $243.6 billion from $229.6 billion. Additionally, China’s forex reserves grew to $3.2816 trillion, a $41 billion increase from the previous month.
• Ukraine Mulls Euro Shift: Central Bank Considers Ditching Dollar Amid European Integration Ukraine’s Central Bank Governor, Andriy Pyshnyi, revealed that the country is considering a shift from the US dollar to the euro as its reference currency. This potential move reflects Ukraine’s growing ties to Europe and the changing global trade landscape. The nation also anticipates receiving significant external financing in the coming years, with $17 billion expected in 2026 and $15 billion in 2027.
• Currency Market Turbulence: Dollar Stabilizes Amid Global Shifts and Trade Hopes Global currency markets are experiencing significant shifts, with the US dollar stabilizing after a pullback and potential for massive selling. Silver, GBP, and EUR face pressure against USD, while AUD and NZD show strength on China stimulus talks. Gold volatility is elevated, and Asian equities are influenced by currency strength driving foreign investment flows.

Metals Events

• Barrick Mining Surpasses Q1 Profit Forecasts as Gold Prices Soar Barrick Mining exceeds profit expectations in Q1 due to rising gold prices, despite lower production. The company’s earnings beat analyst estimates, boosting its financial performance.
• Jewelry Prices Set to Soar as Pandora CEO Warns of Tariff Impact Pandora’s CEO warns that proposed U.S. tariffs could lead to widespread price increases in the affordable jewelry sector. If implemented, these tariffs would likely be passed on to consumers, potentially changing the pricing landscape for jewelry shoppers across the country.

Analyst Ratings Events

• Novo Nordisk Cuts Wegovy Sales Forecast, Ending Growth Streak Novo Nordisk downgraded its 2025 sales forecast for Wegovy, ending a four‑year streak of guidance increases. This comes as a U.S. judge supports the FDA’s decision to remove Lilly’s weight‑loss drug from the shortage list.

Legal Events

• Microsoft Triumphs in FTC Appeal, Activision Deal Moves Forward Microsoft’s $69 billion acquisition of Activision Blizzard overcomes a legal challenge as a U.S. appeals court rejects the FTC’s attempt to block the deal, clearing a major hurdle.

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