Just playing devil's advocate and wondering if current geopolitical events and the effects on the economy could play a role in the next halving cycle.
What if we had a world wide recession or other black swan event that would spill over into the price of Bitcoin? Could it impede the levels of adoption and maybe scare some paper hands into selling if the price didn't rise like past cycles?
Could it maybe even "skip" a rally and create a super pump in 2028-29? Or do you think a decrease in price, even after a halving, would scare away buyers?
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