Thursday, July 3, 2025

The Daily Market Flux - Your Complete Market Rundown (07/03/2025)

MarketFlux.io is a real-time financial news and analytics aggregator that gathers textual news from over 350 sources, providing instant insights and advanced filtering capabilities. With AI-powered sentiment analysis, historical search, and customizable filters, MarketFlux.io enables traders and investors to efficiently track market-moving events as they unfold. Visit Marketflux.io

Top Stories

U.S. Job Growth Beats Expectations, Unemployment Falls to 4.1%

U.S. job growth exceeded expectations in June, with 147,000 jobs added versus the forecast of 110,000. The unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, lower than the expected 4.3%. Explore more at MarketFlux

Trump's Vietnam Trade Deal Boosts Markets, Tax Bill Faces House Hurdles

President Trump announced a new trade deal with Vietnam, imposing tariffs on Vietnamese exports while allowing US exports at 0%. The deal boosted US markets, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closing at record highs. Explore more at MarketFlux

Wall Street Rallies to Record Highs on Surprising Jobs Data

Wall Street is set to open higher as stocks hit fresh record highs following a stronger-than-expected June jobs report. The surprise data boosted investor confidence in the economy's health. Explore more at MarketFlux

House Poised for Crucial Vote on Trump's Controversial Tax and Spending Bill

President Trump announces the House is ready to vote on a "big beautiful bill" tonight. The Republican House majority appears united after extensive discussions. Explore more at MarketFlux

Company News

Nvidia Corporation (NVDA)

Performance Overview

1D Change:  1.25%

5D Change:  2.66%

News Volume:  119

Unusual Volume Factor:  1x

Nvidia Nears Historic $4 Trillion Valuation as AI Boom Propels Tech Sector to New Heights

In a historic moment for the tech industry, Nvidia is on the verge of becoming the world's most valuable company. The chipmaker's market capitalization has soared to an unprecedented $3.92 trillion, driven by Wall Street's unwavering optimism about artificial intelligence (AI). Nvidia's stock reached an all-time high of $158.72, putting it within striking distance of the $4 trillion market cap milestone – a feat no company has ever achieved.

Full coverage of $NVDA on MarketFlux.io

Blackrock, Inc. (BLK)

Performance Overview

1D Change:  1.12%

5D Change:  4.98%

News Volume:  52

Unusual Volume Factor:  1x

BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF Outshines S&P 500 Fund as Company Mulls Saudi Pipeline Stake Sale

BlackRock, the world's largest asset manager, is making headlines with several significant developments. The company's Bitcoin ETF has shown remarkable performance, overtaking its flagship S&P 500 fund in revenue. This success comes as Bitcoin ETFs experienced a substantial inflow of $408 million, highlighting the growing interest in cryptocurrency investments.

Full coverage of $BLK on MarketFlux.io

Morgan Stanley (MS)

Performance Overview

1D Change:  0.91%

5D Change:  3.14%

News Volume:  63

Unusual Volume Factor:  2x

Morgan Stanley's Bullish Stance on Tech and Biotech Stocks Amid Dollar Decline and Climate Concerns

Morgan Stanley has been busy with a flurry of stock ratings and market analyses today. The financial giant sees "a compelling catalyst" for Salesforce stock rally, citing underappreciated recent price increases. They've also raised Citigroup's price target to $103 from $94 and named KKR a "top pick" due to a capital markets rebound.

Full coverage of $MS on MarketFlux.io

Synopsys, Inc. (SNPS)

Performance Overview

1D Change:  4.43%

5D Change:  10.23%

US Lifts China Chip Software Export Ban, Synopsys and Cadence Stocks Surge

In a significant policy shift, the US has lifted export restrictions on chip design software to China, marking a trade truce move. This decision, announced by the Commerce Department, reverses the May restrictions and has sent ripples through the tech industry.

Full coverage of $SNPS on MarketFlux.io

Other News

Stock Markets Events

Wall Street Rallies to Record Highs on Surprise Jobs Report Ahead of Holiday

Wall Street is set for a strong opening as stocks hit fresh record highs ahead of the July 4th holiday. The surge comes on the heels of a surprisingly robust June jobs report, which exceeded expectations and boosted investor confidence in the economy's health.

Datadog Surges on S&P 500 Inclusion as Strong Jobs Data Boosts Market Sentiment

In a significant development for the tech sector, Datadog (DDOG) is set to join the prestigious S&P 500 index, replacing Juniper Networks (JNPR) which is being acquired by Hewlett Packard (HPE). This change is scheduled to take effect before trading opens on July 9, marking a major milestone for the software company.

U.S. Jobless Claims Hit 6-Week Low, Signaling Strong Labor Market

U.S. jobless claims dropped to 233,000 last week, reaching a 6-week low. This decline indicates a continued trend of low layoffs in the country.

Macro Events

U.S. Job Market Defies Expectations with Strong June Growth, Complicating Fed's Rate Decision

The U.S. job market showed surprising strength in June, defying expectations and potentially complicating the Federal Reserve's decision-making on interest rates. The Labor Department reported that nonfarm payrolls increased by 147,000 in June, significantly exceeding the consensus forecast of 110,000. This marks the fourth consecutive month of job growth surpassing expectations.

UK Services Sector Leads European Economic Growth as Eurozone Shows Mixed Results

The latest PMI data for Europe and the UK reveals a mixed economic picture. The UK's composite PMI surged to 52, with services at 52.8, both exceeding forecasts. This indicates robust growth in the UK's service sector.

ISM Services PMI Rebounds as Factory Orders Surge, Sending Mixed Signals on U.S. Economy

The latest economic data reveals a mixed picture of the U.S. economy. The ISM Services PMI for June rose to 50.8, up from 49.9 in May, indicating a slight expansion in the services sector. This surpassed expectations of 50.6 and moved the index back into growth territory.

Fed Officials and Treasury Secretary Weigh In on Rate Cuts, Inflation, and Economic Outlook

In a series of statements and Q&A sessions, key financial figures shared insights on the current economic landscape. US Treasury Secretary Bessent commented on Federal Reserve policy, suggesting that if the Fed doesn't cut rates now, a larger cut might occur in September. He emphasized that while it's the Fed's decision, real interest rates are currently very high.

BOJ Monitors Global Factors as Markets Await U.S. Jobs Data and Trade Developments

Financial markets are cautious as investors await the U.S. jobs report and monitor trade developments. President Trump has reached a trade deal with Vietnam, imposing a 20% import tariff, with a higher 40% rate for transshipped goods from other countries, particularly targeting China.

Treasury Secretary Hints at Potential Larger Rate Cut in September

US Treasury Secretary Bessent comments on Fed's interest rate decision. He emphasizes it's the Fed's choice, noting current high real rates.

Treasury Secretary Forecasts Boost in US Treasury Demand, Outlines Debt Strategy

US Treasury Secretary Bessent anticipates increased demand for US Treasuries due to upcoming stablecoin legislation. He expects US banks to take on more debt issuance and plans to use T-bills to refill the Treasury General Account.

Fed's Bostic Addresses Economic Concerns, Emphasizes Focus on Inflation Amid Stable Labor Market

Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic addressed various economic concerns during a Q&A session in Frankfurt. He emphasized that the labor market is currently at the Fed's target, allowing the focus to shift towards inflation. Bostic noted that recent inflation data has been on target, but forward-looking indicators suggest potential increases.

ECB Debates Interest Rate Stance Amid Inflation Outlook and Growth Concerns

ECB accounts reveal most measures suggest medium-term inflation will settle around the 2% target. Some contend interest rates may already be accommodative.

Swiss Inflation Turns Positive, Defying Expectations; Turkey Reports High Inflation Rates

Swiss inflation has returned to positive territory in June, with consumer prices rising 0.1% year-over-year, contrary to estimates of -0.1%. The monthly increase of 0.2% surpassed expectations of 0.0%.

Traders Abandon July Fed Rate Cut Bets After Jobs Data

Traders have abandoned expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in July following the release of a new jobs report. This shift in sentiment has led to a reevaluation of market bets on future rate adjustments.

Canada's Trade Deficit Shrinks Despite Falling U.S. Exports

Canada's goods trade deficit narrows in May, driven by higher gold shipments.

Fed's Bostic Warns of Extended Inflation Period, Urges Policy Patience

Federal Reserve's Bostic warns of a prolonged period of higher inflation, citing complex price adjustments due to trade and other policies. He expects this process to take a year or more.

US Tightens Grip on Iran with Fresh Sanctions on Oil Trade and Hezbollah

The US Treasury Department has imposed new sanctions targeting Iran's oil trade and Hezbollah.

ECB Official Advocates Rate Hold, Cites Euro's Positive Impact on Inflation

ECB's Demarco suggests maintaining the key interest rate at the upcoming meeting, according to Politico. He notes that euro appreciation is helping control inflation without causing concern, though its speed needs monitoring.

Fixed Income And Interest Rates Events

Treasury Secretary Bessent Warns on Trade Talks, Projects Strong Economic Growth

US Treasury Secretary Bessent made several significant statements today, addressing various economic issues. He warned countries against prolonging trade talks and expressed a desire to see the Federal Reserve right-size their budget.

Fed Officials and Treasury Secretary Weigh In on Rate Cuts, Inflation, and Economic Outlook

In a series of statements and Q&A sessions, key financial figures shared insights on the current economic landscape. US Treasury Secretary Bessent commented on Federal Reserve policy, suggesting that if the Fed doesn't cut rates now, a larger cut might occur in September. He emphasized that while it's the Fed's decision, real interest rates are currently very high.

Treasury Secretary Hints at Potential Larger Rate Cut in September

US Treasury Secretary Bessent comments on Fed's interest rate decision. He emphasizes it's the Fed's choice, noting current high real rates.

Bond Markets React to UK Political Developments and Anticipate Crucial US Jobs Report

UK bonds and the pound are recovering after initial volatility caused by welfare cut discussions. The 30-year yield has fallen 10 basis points to 5.32%, as Prime Minister Starmer reaffirmed support for the Treasury Chief and commitment to fiscal rules.

Treasury Secretary Forecasts Boost in US Treasury Demand, Outlines Debt Strategy

US Treasury Secretary Bessent anticipates increased demand for US Treasuries due to upcoming stablecoin legislation. He expects US banks to take on more debt issuance and plans to use T-bills to refill the Treasury General Account.

ECB Debates Interest Rate Stance Amid Inflation Outlook and Growth Concerns

ECB accounts reveal most measures suggest medium-term inflation will settle around the 2% target. Some contend interest rates may already be accommodative.

Treasury Secretary Bessent Discusses Fed Chair Succession, Leaves Door Open for Dual Role

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent addressed the upcoming Federal Reserve Chair succession in a CNBC interview. He stated there are "lots of good candidates" and that the process will begin in the fall.

Alibaba Proposes $1.53 Billion Exchangeable Bond Offering for Cloud and Commerce Push

Alibaba proposes to offer approximately HK$12 billion (US$1.53 billion) of zero-coupon exchangeable bonds. The bonds are exchangeable into shares of Alibaba Health Information Technology.

ECB Minutes Reveal Split Views on Interest Rates Amid Inflation Outlook

The European Central Bank (ECB) has released the accounts of its June Governing Council meeting, revealing diverse opinions on monetary policy. While "almost all" members supported a 25 basis point interest rate reduction, a few advocated for maintaining current rates.

Treasury Secretary Warns of One-Time Price Bump from Tariffs, Expects More Trade Deals

U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent addressed the potential impact of tariffs on CNBC. He suggested that while tariffs might cause a one-time price increase, they are not expected to fuel ongoing inflation. Bessent anticipates that foreign producers will absorb most tariff costs.

Treasury Secretary Forecasts Widespread Reciprocal Tariffs as Trump's Pause Nears End

US Treasury Secretary Bessent announces expectation of about 100 countries receiving a minimum 10% reciprocal tariff.

Treasury Secretary Downplays Monthly Job Volatility, Highlights Positive Trend

U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent comments on jobs data, cautioning against overreacting to single-month fluctuations.

Treasury Yields Surge as Strong Jobs Report Surprises Markets

Treasury yields spiked following stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs data. The 10-year yield rose 6.7 basis points to 4.359%, while the two-year yield jumped 12 basis points to 3.902%.

Geopolitics Events

Trump and Putin Set for High-Stakes Phone Call Amid Ukraine Conflict

U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin are set to engage in a phone conversation today. The call is scheduled for 10:00 A.M. ET (15:00 BST).

House Approves Trump's Tax Cut and Spending Bill

President Trump's tax cut and spending bill has passed in the U.S. House of Representatives.

Jeffries' Marathon Speech Stalls Final Vote on Trump's Mega-Budget Bill

House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries has launched a marathon floor speech, delaying the final vote on President Trump's mega-budget bill. The speech, now over 6 hours long, opposes the massive tax-cut and spending legislation advanced by House Republicans.

US Services Sector Expands as New Orders Surge, but Employment Lags

The US economy shows signs of improvement in June, with key indicators surpassing expectations. The ISM Services PMI rose to 50.8 from 49.9, beating the forecast of 50.6. New orders increased to 51.3, significantly above estimates.

Trump and Zelenskyy to Discuss Potential Pause in US Arms Deliveries to Ukraine

President Trump and Ukrainian President Zelenskyy are set to have a call on Friday. They will discuss a potential pause in US weapons deliveries to Ukraine.

Putin Reaffirms Unwavering Ukraine Stance in Call with Trump, Discusses Middle East

In a nearly hour-long phone call, Russian President Vladimir Putin and U.S. President Donald Trump engaged in a detailed discussion on various global issues, with Ukraine taking center stage. Putin reaffirmed Russia's unyielding stance on the conflict, stating that Moscow will not step back from its goals in Ukraine and will continue to seek a resolution to the root causes of the conflict.

Treasury Secretary Forecasts Boost in US Treasury Demand, Outlines Debt Strategy

US Treasury Secretary Bessent anticipates increased demand for US Treasuries due to upcoming stablecoin legislation. He expects US banks to take on more debt issuance and plans to use T-bills to refill the Treasury General Account.

Putin Rebuffs Trump's Call for Swift Ukraine Resolution in Hour-Long Phone Call

In a significant diplomatic exchange, Russian President Vladimir Putin and newly elected U.S. President Donald Trump engaged in an hour-long phone call. The conversation, confirmed by Kremlin aide Yuri Ushakov, centered on critical global issues, particularly the ongoing conflict in Ukraine.

House Republicans Push Trump's Tax Bill to Final Vote, Signing Ceremony Anticipated

House Republicans are on the brink of passing President Trump's sweeping tax-cut bill, dubbed the 'Big Beautiful Bill'. The legislation cleared a key procedural hurdle, with opponents flipping their stance. Speaker Mike Johnson expressed confidence in its imminent passage.

US Trade Deficit Widens in May, Exports Drop Sharply

US Trade Balance for May reports a deficit of $71.5 billion, wider than expected and previous month.

US-Vietnam Trade Deal Stirs Controversy and Uncertainty in Global Markets

The US-Vietnam trade deal has sparked mixed reactions. Beijing expresses displeasure, particularly regarding the transshipment component. Clothing stocks see a boost, but analysts foresee challenges ahead.

Trump Announces Vietnam Trade Deal, Sparking Asian Concerns Amid Ongoing Negotiations

President Trump has announced a trade deal with Vietnam, imposing tariffs to counter trans-shipments from China. However, Vietnamese officials state that negotiations are still ongoing to finalize details.

German Leaders Call for European Unity Amid Concerns Over US Engagement

German leaders are expressing concerns about the future of US-European relations. Chancellor Merz emphasizes the need to keep the US onside while preparing for potentially reduced American engagement in Europe. He calls for a swift resolution to trade disputes with the US.

Putin Reaffirms Unwavering Ukraine Stance in Call with Trump, Emphasizes Dialogue

In a recent call with President Trump, Russian President Putin reaffirmed Russia's unyielding stance on Ukraine. Kremlin aide Ushakov reported that Putin emphasized Russia's commitment to achieving its goals, including removing the root issues behind the conflict.

White House Prepares for High-Profile Signing Ceremony

The White House is gearing up for a significant event on Friday.

Fed Official Warns of Government Debt's Impact on Investments and Monetary Policy

Fed's Bostic warns of the potential consequences of rising U.S. government debt. He emphasizes that high debt levels could crowd out other investments in the marketplace.

US Recalls Top Diplomat from Colombia Amid Escalating Bilateral Tensions

The United States has recalled its Chargé d'Affaires ad interim from Bogotá, Colombia, for urgent consultations.

Supreme Court Backs Trump's Plan to Deport Migrants to South Sudan

The U.S. Supreme Court has ruled in favor of the Trump administration, allowing the rapid deportation of migrants to "third countries." This decision extends to a group of eight migrants destined for South Sudan.

Trump's Tax Bill Signing Ceremony Rescheduled for Tomorrow Evening

President Trump's tax bill signing ceremony, originally scheduled for today, has been postponed to 5 PM tomorrow, according to Punchbowl News.

House Republicans Advance Trump's Tax-Cut Bill, Setting Stage for Final Vote

House Republicans have made significant progress on President Trump's tax-cut and spending bill. After initial hesitation and concerns from hardliners, the measure cleared a crucial procedural hurdle.

US-Colombia Diplomatic Rift Widens as Ambassadors Recalled

The US recalls its top diplomat to Colombia, citing "baseless and reprehensible statements" from Colombian officials.

Trump Poised to Sign 'Big Beautiful Bill' on Independence Day

President Trump is set to sign the "Big Beautiful Bill" tomorrow, July 4th, at 5 PM ET.

House GOP Advances Trump's Sweeping Policy Bill, Nearing Final Vote

House Republicans are making significant progress on President Trump's major policy bill. Despite initial GOP resistance and internal divisions over costs, the party has cleared key hurdles.

China Partially Cancels EU Summit, Straining Diplomatic Relations

China plans to cancel part of an upcoming summit with EU leaders, signaling escalating tensions between Beijing and Brussels.

Crypto Events

Bitcoin Surges Past $110,000, Sparking Market Excitement and Speculation

Bitcoin's price surges, reclaiming the $110,000 mark. The cryptocurrency market buzzes with excitement as traders speculate on potential further gains.

Amundi Warns U.S. Stablecoin Policies Threaten Global Payment Stability

Amundi, Europe's largest asset manager, warns that U.S. stablecoin policies could destabilize the global payment system.

Senator Lummis Introduces Bill to Ease Crypto Taxation and Boost Industry

Senator Cynthia Lummis has introduced groundbreaking digital asset tax legislation. The bill aims to exempt cryptocurrency transactions under $300 from capital gains tax, easing the burden on Bitcoin users.

Ethereum Signals Bullish Momentum as XRP Faces Mixed Market Sentiment

Ethereum shows bullish signs, with price predictions suggesting a potential pump. Traders analyze if ETH can reach $2,800, echoing 2020's rally after reclaiming $2,600.

Technology Events

AI Industry Sees Major Expansions and Regulatory Challenges as Companies Vie for Dominance

The AI industry is experiencing significant developments and challenges. IREN has expanded its AI cloud capabilities with 2,400 NVIDIA Blackwell GPUs, enhancing next-generation training and inference capabilities. Meanwhile, the EU may delay AI compliance guidance until late 2025, potentially affecting companies' adherence to new AI rules.

CoreWeave Leads AI Race with First Deployment of NVIDIA's Latest High-End Chips

CoreWeave's stock surges as it becomes the first to deploy NVIDIA's latest GB300 NVL72 AI platform, featuring Blackwell Ultra GPUs.

EV Tax Credits Axed as Tesla Grapples with Sales Slump and Shifts Focus

Republicans have ended EV tax credits in the US, with breaks set to expire on September 30. This decision impacts future EV adoption and purchasing considerations.

Sutskever Appointed CEO of Safe Superintelligence Amid AI Talent Poaching

Ilya Sutskever takes over as CEO of Safe Superintelligence after Meta poaches Daniel Gross in an AI talent war.

Oil And Gas Events

Oil Prices Dip as US Rig Count Continues Downward Trend

Brent crude futures settled at $68.80/bbl, down 31 cents (0.45%), while WTI crude futures settled at $67.00/bbl, down 45 cents (0.67%).

BlackRock Considers Divesting Stake in Saudi Aramco Gas Pipeline Network

BlackRock is considering selling its stake in Saudi Aramco's natural gas pipeline network leasing rights back to the energy giant.

US Oil Rig Count Drops, Signaling Possible Production Slowdown

The latest Baker Hughes report shows a decline in US oil rigs, dropping by 7 to 425. The total rig count fell to 539 from 547, with gas rigs decreasing by 1 to 108.

Oil Prices Retreat as OPEC+ Supply Increase Looms Amid Market Uncertainties

Oil prices face downward pressure as OPEC+ plans to increase supply. Despite initial gains from trade optimism, prices retreat due to inventory build and US tariff uncertainty.

Oil Prices Fluctuate Amid OPEC+ Plans and US Trade Talks

Natural gas prices may rise due to hotter July forecasts, potentially straining storage and supply. Crude oil futures face resistance at $67.44 as OPEC+ considers a 411,000 bpd increase.

OPEC+ Considers Boosting Oil Production for August

OPEC+ delegates are in discussions about a potential 411,000 barrel-per-day production increase for August.

Corporate Actions Events

Thoma Bravo Acquires Restaurant Tech Firm Olo in $2 Billion Deal, Shares Surge

Thoma Bravo has agreed to acquire Olo, a restaurant technology firm, in a cash deal valued at approximately $2 billion. The acquisition price of $10.25 per share represents a 65% premium over the April 30th report of a potential deal.

Chip Designer Ambiq Micro Files for US IPO, Plans to Trade as AMBQ

Ambiq Micro, a semiconductor supplier and chip designer, has filed for an initial public offering (IPO) in the United States.

Chesnara Acquires HSBC's UK Life Insurance Arm in £260 Million Deal

Chesnara has agreed to acquire HSBC's UK life insurance business for £260 million ($355 million). The deal will create an entity with £18 billion in assets under administration.

Currencies Events

Dollar Holds Firm Ahead of Key Jobs Data, Jobless Claims Surprise

The US dollar remains steady as traders await crucial payroll data. Markets focus on potential downside risks ahead of the jobs report.

Metals Events

Iran Refuses to Halt Uranium Enrichment, Deputy Foreign Minister Asserts

Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister declares to NBC that Iran has no intention of halting its uranium enrichment program.

Healthcare Events

Novartis Faces Setback as Cosentyx Fails Late-Stage Arteritis Trial

Novartis' blockbuster drug Cosentyx has failed in a late-stage trial for treating giant cell arteritis, a form of blood vessel inflammation.

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