Monday, August 17, 2020

Tesla +$185

For Trading August 18th

TSLA $1,835 +185 (11.2%)

GOLD / SILVER /BITCOIN RALLY

U.S.$$ INDEX FALLS

Today’s market WAS A SPLIT PERSONALITY RIGHT FROM THE START. While the S&P and NASDAQ worked higher, the DJIA was lower. At the close the DJIA was -86.11 (.31%), NASDAQ +110.43 (1%), S&P 500 +9.14 (.27%), the Russell +7.59 (.48%), and the DJK Transports -6.60 (.06%). The Bond market was also a split affair with the short end lower and longer term slightly higher, flattening the yield curve. Market internals were pretty much neutral with the NYSE 1:1 and the NASDAQ just 9:7 even with the rise. The DJIA was only 11 up and 19 down with the financials the weakest and HD, WMT, and V higher. On the downside we had BA -42, GS -34, UNH -22, AXP, JPM, and TRV all -19 DP’s. Tomorrow we have HD, WMT, and AAP earnings tomorrow before the open.

Our “open forum” on Discord, which allows me to interact with subscribers and others to allow direct questions and chart opinions on just about any stock, continues to grow with more participants every day. It is informative and allows me to share insights as the market is open and moving. The link is: https://discord.gg/ATvC7YZ and I will be there and active from before the open and all day. It’s a great place to share ideas and gain some insights, and we’ve grown to almost 3000 members. I also did this video over the weekend on a day-trade, (actually 2) that I made in AAPL on Friday. I think it’s highly informative as a guide to under what conditions these kind of trades in expiring options make sense. The link is https://youtu.be/qIV0G-hP3aM Enjoy!!

Tonight’s closing comment video: https://youtu.be/NKBjIjK6uvo Today’s Video on the Coffee/ JO trade: https://youtu.be/JGFQ8iM8CPc

SECTORS: There really wasn’t much in the way of hard news today, but Wells Fargo and Susquehanna both upping NVDA with new price targets, the highest on the street being Susquehanna’s $540. The stock took off like a shot and by the end of the day it had traded $496.96, it finished the day $493.48 +30.92 (6.7%) and it reports on Wednesday. TESLA was also higher on the continuing run to new highs also, and after its recent test of $1,365 a week ago, it ran right thru its old high $1,794.99 and just kept going. It finished $1,835.64 +184.93 (11.2%). They say splits don’t matter, but tell that to anyone who is short TSLA! FOOD SUPPLY CHAIN was MIXED with TSN -.26, BGS +.58, FLO +.24, CPB +.65, CAG +.22, MDLZ +.40, KHC +.60, CALM -2.45, JJSF -.50, SAFM -2.36, HRL -.13, SJM -.47, PPC -.45, KR +.66, and PBJ $34.34 +.32 (.94%).

BIOPHARMA was HIGHER with BIIB -.29, ABBV +1.29, REGN +8.16, ISRG +9.48, GILD +.63, MYL +.06, TEVA +.09, VRTX +7.96, BHC +.39, INCY +2.61, ICPT -1.25, LABU +5.77, and IBB $136.17 +2.81 (2.11%). CANNABIS: was MIXED with TLRY -.15, CGC -.20, CRON -.01, GWPH +3.44, ACB -.58, NBEV +.06, CURLF +.50, KERN -.20, and MJ $12.72 +.03 (.24%).

DEFENSE: was LOWER with LMT -2.46, GD -2.74, TXT -.65, NOC -2.29, BWXT -.65, TDY -4.57, RTX -.87, and ITA $168.56 -3.03 (1.77%).

RETAIL: was HIGHER with M -.06, JWN +.12, KSS +.30, DDS -2.16, WMT +4.59, TGT +3.67, TJX +1.73, RL +.24, UAA -.24, LULU +6.63, TPR -.09, CPRI +.06, and XRT $52.171 +1.16 (2.25%).

FAANG and Big Cap: were HIGHER with GOOGL +14.41, AMZN +37.99, AAPL -.63, FB +.15, NFLX -.08, NVDA +34.19, TSLA +185.29, BABA +4.01, BIDU +7.16, CMG +31.87, BA -5.60, CAT -1.24, DIS -1.03, and XLK $114.64 +.76 (.67%). PLEASE BE AWARE THAT THESE PRICES ARE LATE MARKET QUOTES AND DO NOT REPRESENT THE 4:00 CLOSES.

FINANCIALS were LOWER with GS -4.57, JPM -2.61, BAC -.60, MS -1.09, C -1.43, PNC -1.44, AIG -.92, TRV -2.60, V +2.81, and XLF $24.76 -.42 (1.67%).

OIL, $42.89 +.88. Oil was higher in last night’s trading before we rallied in the morning on news of production cutbacks from Iraq. The stocks were LOWER with XLE $37.97 -.22 (.58%).

GOLD $1,998.70 +48.90 was a dramatic sell-off last week taking the gold down as low as $1,874.00 before a rally back to $1,950. I am still a bull on the metal, and we have a September bull call spread on using NEM 65/70 calls with a cost of $1.45, which closed today @ $2.63.

BITCOIN: closed $12,485 + 550. After breaking out over $10,000 we have had a “running correction” pushing prices toward $12,000, reaching a recovery high of $12220 Thursday, and after a day of rest in between, we resumed the rally touching $12,635. We had 750 shares of GBTC and sold off 250 last week at $13.93 and still have 500 with a cost of $8.45. GBTC closed $14.75 +1.35 today.

Tomorrow is another day.

CAM



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