Friday, January 23, 2026

The Daily Market Flux - Your Complete Market Rundown (01/23/2026)

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Here is Your Complete Market Rundown (01/23/2026)

Company News

Intel Corporation (INTC)

Performance Overview

1D Change:  -17.0%

5D Change:  -6.69%

News Volume:  235

Unusual Volume Factor:  6x

Intel Shares Plunge 17% on Weak Guidance as Manufacturing Woes Overshadow Earnings Beat

Intel Corporation suffered its worst single-day decline since August 2024, with shares tumbling as much as 17% on January 23 after the chipmaker issued disappointing first-quarter guidance that overshadowed a fourth-quarter earnings beat. The company reported Q4 revenue of $14.3 billion, surpassing Wall Street estimates, but warned of ongoing manufacturing challenges and supply constraints that are hampering its ability to meet surging demand for AI data center chips. The weak outlook centered on persistent production bottlenecks and low chip yields that are preventing Intel from capitalizing on the AI boom, even as rivals TSMC and Samsung aggressively expand capacity. CEO Lip-Bu Tan acknowledged the company struggled to satisfy demand for server processors used in AI applications, disappointing investors who had bet on the chipmaker's turnaround. Particularly concerning to the market was the lack of concrete progress on securing customers for Intel's next-generation 14A manufacturing process, with customer decisions now not expected until late 2026. Despite the selloff, multiple analysts raised price targets following the results, with KeyBanc lifting its target to $65, Benchmark to $57, and UBS to $52. However, Bank of America reiterated its Underperform rating, with analyst Vivek Arya stating there is "no reason to buy a stock at 90x P/E." The divergent views reflect uncertainty about whether Intel can execute its ambitious turnaround plan, which includes targeting 45% client market share and building out its foundry business. The decline erased approximately $2.4 billion in value from the U.S. government's stake in Intel and delivered a reality check to the Trump administration's vision for rapidly reviving domestic chip manufacturing. Analysts noted the stock had surged in recent months on optimism fueled by government support and AI potential, but manufacturing realities are now tempering expectations. Intel's capital expenditure commitments remain substantial at $9.1 billion for 2026, though the company indicated it would not rush costly capacity buildouts despite competitive pressures. The broader market absorbed Intel's weakness with mixed results, as the Dow Jones fell while the Nasdaq managed to turn positive. AMD shares gained ground as investors speculated the company could benefit from Intel's production struggles and potential market share losses in cloud computing.

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Ubs Group Ag (UBS)

Performance Overview

1D Change:  -0.64%

5D Change:  0.22%

News Volume:  118

Unusual Volume Factor:  2x

UBS Expands Crypto Services and Adjusts Global Equity Outlook Amid Rating Changes

UBS Group is preparing to offer Bitcoin and Ethereum trading to select private banking clients, marking a significant expansion into digital assets for the $5-6.7 trillion wealth manager. The move aligns UBS with other Wall Street institutions like JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley that have recently ventured into cryptocurrency services for wealthy clients. The bank issued multiple rating changes across sectors on January 23rd. UBS upgraded Siemens Energy from Sell to Buy, reversing its bearish stance after the stock's 165 percent rally, citing an anticipated gas turbine boom through 2030. The firm also upgraded South32 to Buy from Neutral on operational turnaround prospects and raised Ashmore Group's price target to GBP 2.20 from GBP 1.80. Downgrades included Two Harbors Investment to Neutral from Buy following acquisition news, Pluxee to Sell from Neutral, and Edenred to Neutral from Buy. UBS also downgraded Northern Star Resources on production concerns. Price target adjustments spanned multiple sectors. Freeport-McMoRan's target rose to $70 from $60, C.H. Robinson increased to $224 from $177, and GE Aerospace climbed to $374 from $368. Intel's target was raised to $52 from $49 on improved foundry outlook. Microsoft saw its target reduced to $600 from $650 due to software sector de-rating. UBS forecasts the Euro reaching 1.20 against the Dollar in 2026 and expects a broadening global stock rally beyond technology into cyclical sectors. The bank cited AI developments, easing tariff risks, and expected Federal Reserve rate cuts as supportive factors. UBS managers noted investors are rotating into Chinese tech stocks as a hedge against dollar exposure, attracted by lower valuations and government support. Separately, UBS shares declined after Switzerland's Finance Minister rejected an AT1 bond capital compromise proposal. The bank also raised its palladium forecast on persistent investment demand and maintained a neutral view on UK equities, favoring earnings over valuations.

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Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)

Performance Overview

1D Change:  -0.04%

5D Change:  2.39%

News Volume:  101

Unusual Volume Factor:  1x

Tesla Discontinues Autopilot as Robotaxi Operations Go Driverless in Austin

Tesla eliminated its basic Autopilot and Enhanced Autopilot features for new vehicle purchases in the United States and Canada, pushing customers toward its $99-per-month Full Self-Driving subscription. CEO Elon Musk announced the FSD subscription price will increase as the technology improves, with the most significant value jump expected when unsupervised autonomous driving becomes available. The company achieved a major autonomous driving milestone by removing safety drivers from portions of its Austin robotaxi fleet, ahead of Morgan Stanley's early-2026 projections. Morgan Stanley analysts now estimate Tesla could deploy approximately 1,000 driverless robotaxis by year-end 2026, scaling to 30,000 by 2030. However, Tesla faces scrutiny over claims that its Austin robotaxis operate in fully unsupervised mode. Barclays raised its Tesla price target to $360 from $350, citing robotaxi progress, while Morgan Stanley maintained an Equalweight rating with a $425 target. The firm identified four stocks positioned to benefit from potential FSD rollout in China. Digital insurer Lemonade announced discounted coverage for Teslas using autonomous driving, sending Lemonade shares up 20 percent for the week. Tesla released analyst estimates ahead of fourth-quarter earnings, projecting $24.5 billion in revenue. Musk confirmed Cybercab robotaxi production will begin in April 2026, though he cautioned initial output will be limited. The company also unveiled redesigned power electronics supporting its 48-volt architecture for future vehicles. In other developments, Cybertruck sales reportedly declined 48 percent in 2025 as deliveries began in the Middle East. Tesla received fines in the UK for repeatedly failing to assist police with driving offense investigations. Malaysia lifted its temporary ban on Musk's Grok chatbot after the company implemented safety measures. Musk also stated Tesla could begin selling its Optimus humanoid robot as early as next year during a World Economic Forum appearance.

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The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS)

Performance Overview

1D Change:  -3.7%

5D Change:  -5.8%

Goldman Sachs CEO Solomon's Pay Jumps 21% to $47 Million as Bank Posts Strong Year; Firm Active Across Markets

Goldman Sachs awarded CEO David Solomon $47 million in compensation for 2025, a 21% increase reflecting the bank's second-best revenue year on record and surging stock performance. The pay package exceeds JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon's compensation. The firm maintained an active presence across markets Thursday. Goldman upgraded Spotify to Buy and raised price targets on Royal Caribbean to $310, Suncor to $54, and Cemex to $13. The bank downgraded Holcim following recent outperformance, sending shares lower, while maintaining a neutral stance on Pfizer amid patent cliff concerns. Goldman also upgraded two European real estate names ahead of earnings. On commodities, Goldman analysts said natural gas prices have overshot during the U.S. deep freeze and raised their 2026 gold price target. The bank forecasts continued European stock rallies driven by growth expectations and predicts 2026 will be strong for M&A activity. Goldman's activism division expects heightened shareholder activism to persist this year. Separately, crypto hardware wallet maker Ledger is reportedly working with Goldman Sachs, Barclays, and Jefferies on a potential New York IPO at a $4 billion-plus valuation.

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Microsoft Corporation (MSFT)

Performance Overview

1D Change:  3.35%

5D Change:  2.02%

Microsoft Stock Rebounds 4% Ahead of Earnings as Analysts Lower Price Targets Despite Optimistic Forecasts

Microsoft shares surged 4.1% on January 23, marking its best single-day performance since May and recovering 7% from Wednesday's low, as investors positioned ahead of the company's fiscal Q2 earnings report. The rally came despite a wave of analyst downgrades, with UBS lowering its price target from $650 to $600 and KeyBanc maintaining an Overweight rating with a $630 target. Analysts expect Microsoft to beat earnings estimates but cite concerns over cloud margins and broader software sector derating as reasons for reduced valuations. The company experienced a brief productivity suite outage that was subsequently restored, while separately announcing a $170 million Air Force contract win and a record purchase of 2.85 million soil carbon credits from Indigo Carbon. Microsoft also provided the FBI with BitLocker encryption keys for suspect laptops, according to reports. A billionaire investor doubled down on AI exposure by boosting stakes in Microsoft and Meta despite 2025 tech volatility. However, concerns mount as Microsoft joins Apple and Tesla in a critical earnings week while broader market risks accumulate. One analyst downgraded the stock specifically citing cloud margins as a potential tripwire for the quarter. The stock's performance stood in contrast to other mega-cap tech names, with NVIDIA outperforming at 2.6% while Apple and Microsoft initially traded flat to lower. Wall Street appears divided between optimistic earnings expectations and valuation concerns in the current market environment.

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Geopolitics Events

Trump's Greenland Stance Shifts Markets as Denmark Tensions Persist

President Trump's wavering position on Greenland acquisition sparked market volatility, with oil prices falling after he walked back tariff threats while gold hit record peaks. At Davos, Trump stated he wants Greenland "not by force," though Danish officials reject any agreement. The uncertainty triggered consumer boycotts of American products including Netflix and Coca-Cola in Denmark. Markets responded with cautious optimism to Trump's apparent softening, though analysts warn against assuming the geopolitical tensions have fully subsided.

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Markets Decline as Trump's Tariff Threats and Geopolitical Tensions Spark Investor Concerns

U.S. equities fell for a second consecutive week as investors reassessed positions amid heightened geopolitical uncertainty. President Trump's tariff threats against European allies and push to acquire Greenland triggered diplomatic tensions with Washington's closest partners. The volatility prompted outflows from U.S. equity funds as traders reduced risk exposure. Market focus is shifting back to corporate earnings and upcoming Federal Reserve and Bank of Canada monetary policy meetings. Trump also discussed cryptocurrency initiatives at Davos while renewing threats against Iran, adding to the week's geopolitical noise.

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Trump Withdraws Canada's Invitation to Board of Peace Initiative

President Trump rescinded Canada's invitation to join his newly launched Board of Peace, a global conflict resolution initiative that some observers view as potentially competing with the United Nations, marking an escalation in tensions between the two nations.

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Oil Prices Rise on Trump Iran Military Threat

Crude futures rebounded as President Trump's comments about an "armada" moving toward Iran sparked concerns about potential supply disruptions in the Middle East energy markets.

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Trump Announces US Naval Deployment to Iran Amid Rising Tensions

President Trump announced a "massive armada" is heading toward Iran as regional tensions escalate. Speaking from Air Force One after the Davos summit, Trump also discussed US oil drilling plans in Venezuela and NATO cooperation on Greenland security. Analysts note the administration faces critical decisions on leveraging military and diplomatic options against Iran's regime.

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Trump Mortgage Bond Plan Shows Limited Market Impact Amid Housing Uncertainty

Trump's proposed mortgage bond initiative demonstrates minimal effect on markets as housing sector outlook remains clouded by broader risks. Meanwhile, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz pursues closer ties with Italy as European unity fractures over trade policy responses to Trump administration pressures. Trump filed a $5 billion lawsuit against JPMorgan and CEO Jamie Dimon.

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UK's Starmer Demands Apology After Trump Disparages NATO Troops in Afghanistan

British Prime Minister Keir Starmer condemned President Trump's claims that non-US NATO allies avoided front-line combat in Afghanistan, calling the remarks "insulting and frankly appalling." Starmer suggested Trump should apologize, citing the 457 British troops killed during the twenty-year campaign. The exchange marks a sharp escalation in transatlantic tensions between the longtime allies.

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Iran Warns of Retaliation Against U.S. Regional Investments Amid Rising Tensions

Iranian cleric threatens U.S. investments in the region if attacked, while Washington warns Iraqi officials of sanctions, including on oil revenue, if Iran-backed militias join the next government.

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Misc Events

Intel Drags Wall Street Lower as Markets Face Second Consecutive Weekly Decline

U.S. stock markets opened lower Friday, with the S&P 500 poised for its second straight weekly decline as investors shifted focus from geopolitical concerns back to corporate earnings and monetary policy. Intel shares plunged 13 to 15 percent in premarket trading after the chipmaker's first-quarter outlook missed Wall Street expectations, weighing heavily on technology stocks and broader indices. Dow futures touched session lows as the selloff deepened ahead of the opening bell, while the Nasdaq remained relatively flat despite Intel's weakness. The volatile stretch reflects investor recalibration amid mixed earnings results and lingering geopolitical tensions. Meanwhile, institutional adoption of cryptocurrency continued as UBS announced plans to offer Bitcoin and crypto investing to select private banking clients, signaling growing Wall Street acceptance of digital assets.

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Databricks Secures $1.8B Debt Financing as US Credit Card Debt Hits $1 Trillion

Databricks is adding nearly $1.8 billion in new debt financing. Meanwhile, US credit card debt has reached $1 trillion, prompting discussion of Trump's proposal to cap credit card interest rates at 10%. The 60/40 portfolio ETF AOR reached a record high.

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Walgreens Resumes Vape Sales After Six-Year Hiatus

Walgreens has begun selling vapes in select US stores, reversing its 2019 decision to halt sales over youth usage concerns. Meanwhile, Novo Nordisk's oral Wegovy recorded 18,410 prescriptions in its first full week, as Eli Lilly stock rebounds amid ongoing competition in the weight-loss drug market.

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Intel Faces Reality Check as Semiconductor Stocks Draw Heavy Trading Interest

Intel's recent stock surge reversed following disappointing fundamentals, while AI data center and semiconductor stocks attracted significant institutional attention amid continued artificial intelligence infrastructure spending growth.

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China to Launch Yuan-Denominated LNG Futures as Europe Sets Import Records

China will introduce domestic LNG futures contracts on the Shanghai Futures Exchange next month, while Europe is projected to import record liquefied natural gas volumes this year according to the IEA. EQT shares gained attention following weather-driven natural gas price increases, and Equinor discovered new Norwegian gas reserves targeted for Polish supply.

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Technology Events

Tesla Removes Safety Drivers from Austin Robotaxis as Enhanced Autopilot Discontinued for New Buyers

Tesla achieved a significant autonomous driving milestone by removing safety drivers from portions of its Austin robotaxi fleet, prompting Morgan Stanley to suggest accelerated driverless deployment could follow. However, the company simultaneously discontinued Enhanced Autopilot and Autosteer features for new vehicle purchases in the U.S. and Canada, limiting automatic steering to its Full Self-Driving package while maintaining Traffic Aware Cruise Control. Morgan Stanley projects Tesla could operate 1,000 robotaxis by 2026, though reports challenge the company's "unsupervised" robotaxi claims. Meanwhile, the broader AI industry faces scrutiny over return on investment, with Meta Platforms emerging as a key player in the debate as AI applications expand beyond chatbots into autonomous systems and semiconductor demand.

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Intel Stock Faces Reality Check as Tech Sector Shows Mixed Signals

Intel's recent stock surge driven by social media sentiment faces scrutiny amid broader technology sector developments. AI and data center stocks demonstrate volatility but strength heading into 2026, with analysts highlighting opportunities in artificial intelligence, internet, and water technology sectors. The World Trade Organization suggests AI infrastructure and data centers could boost global trade this year.

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Tech Stocks Rally on AI Momentum as Oklo Partners with Meta and Maase Acquires Chinese AI Firm

Technology and AI-related equities showed strength as Oklo announced a Meta partnership requiring additional AI infrastructure support. An unnamed data center stock broke out following volatile 2025 trading. RBC highlighted top AI and internet picks for 2026, while semiconductor stocks positioned for AI spending growth. Maase shares surged on its Chinese AI firm acquisition announcement.

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Intel Shares Plunge 13% as Manufacturing Problems Derail Turnaround Hopes

Intel stock tumbled after manufacturing difficulties and inventory shortages undermined recent gains driven by market optimism. The chipmaker's operational challenges delivered a reality check to traders betting on a clean recovery story.

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Meta Pauses Teen Access to AI Characters Globally to Develop Age-Appropriate Version

Meta Platforms is halting teenage users' access to AI characters across Instagram and Facebook globally in the coming weeks. The company plans to rebuild a teen-specific version featuring age-appropriate responses focused on education before reinstating access.

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China Clears Tech Giants to Order Nvidia H200 AI Chips

Chinese officials have authorized major technology companies including Alibaba, Tencent, and ByteDance to prepare orders for Nvidia's H200 AI chips. The firms can now discuss specific purchase quantities with Beijing's encouragement, sending Nvidia stock higher on the news.

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Metals Events

Silver Breaks $100 Per Ounce Barrier for First Time in History

Spot silver reached $100 per ounce, surpassing its 1980 inflation-adjusted peak of approximately $50. The metal has surged 225% year-to-date amid global uncertainty and increased demand for hard assets. Market analysts now focus on whether silver will reach $120 per ounce.

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Macro Events

Eurozone Economy Holds Steady as Germany Offsets French Weakness in January PMI Data

The Eurozone composite PMI remained unchanged at 51.5 in January, slightly below the 51.9 forecast, as diverging national trends balanced out. Germany's composite PMI rose to 52.5, exceeding expectations of 51.7, driven by services activity reaching 53.3. France's economy contracted with its composite PMI falling to 48.6 from 50.0, as services dropped sharply to 47.9 despite manufacturing edging up to 51.0. The UK showed unexpected strength with its composite PMI jumping to 53.9. Eurozone manufacturing remained in contraction at 49.4, while services held at 51.9, missing the 52.6 estimate.

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Markets Decline as Trump's Tariff Threats and Geopolitical Tensions Spark Investor Concerns

U.S. equities fell for a second consecutive week as investors reassessed positions amid heightened geopolitical uncertainty. President Trump's tariff threats against European allies and push to acquire Greenland triggered diplomatic tensions with Washington's closest partners. The volatility prompted outflows from U.S. equity funds as traders reduced risk exposure. Market focus is shifting back to corporate earnings and upcoming Federal Reserve and Bank of Canada monetary policy meetings. Trump also discussed cryptocurrency initiatives at Davos while renewing threats against Iran, adding to the week's geopolitical noise.

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US Business Activity Holds Steady as PMI Data Shows Modest Growth Amid Flat Employment

US business activity maintained moderate expansion in January as S&P Global's composite PMI reached 52.8, up slightly from December's 52.7. Manufacturing PMI came in at 51.9, marginally below the 52.0 forecast, while services PMI held at 52.5, missing expectations of 52.8. Employment levels remained largely unchanged despite sustained output growth. Meanwhile, the Bank of Canada plans to hold rates steady through 2026, citing trade concerns as the primary risk to the economic outlook.

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Yen Weakens as Bank of Japan Holds Rates Steady

The Japanese yen fell 0.2% to 158.74 per dollar after the Bank of Japan kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged. Strategists expect continued yen weakness, while broader Asian currencies gained as the dollar faced its worst weekly performance in a year.

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Michigan Consumer Sentiment Beats Expectations in January as Inflation Outlook Improves

The University of Michigan's final January consumer sentiment index rose to 56.4, surpassing the 54.0 estimate and prior reading. Current conditions climbed to 55.4 from 52.4, while expectations reached 57.0 versus 55.0 forecast. One-year inflation expectations declined to 4.0% from 4.2%, though five-to-ten year inflation outlook edged up to 3.3%. Gold traded at $4,955 per ounce following the release.

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Bank of Japan Holds Rates at 0.75% as Crypto Markets Stabilize

The Bank of Japan maintained interest rates at 0.75% despite one dissent from Takata, while raising its inflation outlook above 2% through fiscal 2027. Shorter-maturity bond yields rose following the decision. Bitcoin and altcoins stabilized alongside the yen as Japanese inflation cooled. The central bank revised GDP projections upward for fiscal 2026-27 but maintained a cautious growth outlook.

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French Economy Contracts as Services Sector Weakness Offsets Manufacturing Gains

France's composite PMI fell to 48.6 in January, missing expectations of 50.0 and signaling contraction. Manufacturing rose to 51.0, beating forecasts, but services plunged to 47.9 versus expected 50.3. Export orders weakened significantly, with manufacturing exports dropping to 46.8 from 52.3 and services exports at 43.6.

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BlackRock Warns on Inflation as Central Banks Signal Caution

BlackRock's Tom Becker says markets underestimate persistent inflation risks in US and UK. Bank of Canada expected to hold rates steady through 2026, with trade tensions cited as primary concern. Japan maintains unchanged rates while US futures decline.

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Crypto Events

Nasdaq Eases ETF Options Restrictions as Bitcoin Faces $2.3 Billion Expiry Test

Nasdaq filed to remove trading restrictions on Bitcoin and crypto ETF options, lifting position limits as the market confronts a major stress test. Bitcoin slipped below $89,000 amid $2.3 billion in options expiring, with analysts warning of an early-stage bear market if the cryptocurrency fails to hold $84,000 support. The broader crypto market stalled near $3 trillion as Bitcoin faced resistance and logged its fourth consecutive day of ETF outflows.

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UBS to Launch Bitcoin and Ethereum Trading for Private Banking Clients

Swiss banking giant UBS plans to offer Bitcoin and Ethereum trading to select private banking clients, marking a significant expansion into digital assets. The move follows similar crypto ventures by Wall Street institutions including JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley, signaling broader institutional adoption of cryptocurrency services.

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Bank of Japan Holds Rates at 0.75% as Crypto Markets Stabilize

The Bank of Japan maintained interest rates at 0.75% despite one dissent from Takata, while raising its inflation outlook above 2% through fiscal 2027. Shorter-maturity bond yields rose following the decision. Bitcoin and altcoins stabilized alongside the yen as Japanese inflation cooled. The central bank revised GDP projections upward for fiscal 2026-27 but maintained a cautious growth outlook.

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Fixed Income And Interest Rates Events

S&P Adjusts Multiple Sovereign and Corporate Ratings Across Emerging Markets

S&P Global revised credit ratings for several nations and companies, downgrading Karman's secured debt post-acquisition while upgrading Congo's outlook ahead of its inaugural eurobond. North Macedonia and Madagascar ratings remained stable at BB- and B- respectively.

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Trump Mortgage Bond Plan Shows Limited Market Impact Amid Housing Uncertainty

Trump's proposed mortgage bond initiative demonstrates minimal effect on markets as housing sector outlook remains clouded by broader risks. Meanwhile, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz pursues closer ties with Italy as European unity fractures over trade policy responses to Trump administration pressures. Trump filed a $5 billion lawsuit against JPMorgan and CEO Jamie Dimon.

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Oil And Gas Events

Oil Prices Rise on Trump Iran Military Threat

Crude futures rebounded as President Trump's comments about an "armada" moving toward Iran sparked concerns about potential supply disruptions in the Middle East energy markets.

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Currencies Events

Yen Weakens as Bank of Japan Holds Rates Steady

The Japanese yen fell 0.2% to 158.74 per dollar after the Bank of Japan kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged. Strategists expect continued yen weakness, while broader Asian currencies gained as the dollar faced its worst weekly performance in a year.

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Real Estate Events

Trump Mortgage Bond Plan Shows Limited Market Impact Amid Housing Uncertainty

Trump's proposed mortgage bond initiative demonstrates minimal effect on markets as housing sector outlook remains clouded by broader risks. Meanwhile, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz pursues closer ties with Italy as European unity fractures over trade policy responses to Trump administration pressures. Trump filed a $5 billion lawsuit against JPMorgan and CEO Jamie Dimon.

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Healthcare Events

Bausch Health's Liver Disease Treatment Fails Two Late-Stage Trials

Bausch Health shares declined after the company announced its RED-C Phase 3 clinical trials for a liver condition treatment did not meet primary endpoints in both studies.

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Obesity Drug Market Evolves as Biotech Stocks Show Mixed Movement on FDA Developments

Obesity drugmakers anticipate market expansion through pills, combinations, and broader access. Legend Biotech's Carvykti gains momentum with FDA regulatory support, while CVRx initiates heart failure trials for wider patient populations. Healthcare stocks showed varied pre-market activity Friday.

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Legal Events

Adani Group Shares Plunge as SEC Seeks Direct Summons Over Bribery Allegations

Adani Group stocks tumbled after the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission requested court approval to serve legal summons via email to Gautam Adani and Sagar Adani regarding alleged bribery charges involving Adani Green Energy.

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