Tuesday, March 17, 2026

The Daily Market Flux - Your Complete Market Rundown (03/17/2026)

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Here is Your Complete Market Rundown (03/17/2026)

Crypto Events

XRP Surges Past $1.60, Overtakes BNB in Market Capitalization

XRP rallied 10% to reach $1.61, flipping BNB in market rankings as open interest rebuilds toward pre-crash levels amid retail buying activity and strong technical support holding.

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SEC and CFTC Issue Joint Guidance Declaring Most Crypto Assets Not Securities

The SEC and CFTC released landmark joint guidance clarifying that most crypto assets fall outside securities laws, ending over a decade of regulatory uncertainty. The framework specifically excludes staking, airdrops, Bitcoin mining, and wrapped tokens from securities classification. This represents the SEC's first formal definitions for crypto asset categorization, establishing a clearer token taxonomy and regulatory boundaries for the digital asset industry in the United States.

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PayPal Expands PYUSD Stablecoin Access to 70 Countries Globally

PayPal has officially enabled its PYUSD stablecoin in approximately 70 countries, adding 68 new markets to target global payments expansion.

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XRP Surges to Fourth-Largest Cryptocurrency as Ripple Expands Brazil Operations

XRP has overtaken Binance Coin to become the fourth-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, reaching its highest price in a month. The rally comes as Ripple announces plans to seek payment licenses in Brazil and Australia, positioning itself as the region's only end-to-end institutional crypto provider. The company is launching its full financial stack in Brazil as RLUSD stablecoin adoption accelerates across Latin America. Market analysts note unusual dynamics, with reports of Goldman Sachs accumulating XRP amid broader selling pressure. Liquidity on Binance has spiked significantly, with reserves increasing by 2.78 billion XRP, fueling speculation about potential price movements above current levels.

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Ripple Pursues Major Brazil Expansion with Custody and Payment Services

Ripple is aggressively expanding operations in Brazil, seeking central bank approval to offer custody, payments, and brokerage services targeting institutional crypto adoption.

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CFTC Grants Phantom Wallet No-Action Relief for Derivatives Market Access

The CFTC issued a no-action letter to Phantom, a self-custodial crypto wallet provider, clearing its path to regulated derivatives markets and signaling a softer regulatory stance toward digital wallets.

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Macro Events

Australia's Central Bank Raises Rates 25 Basis Points in Split Decision

The Reserve Bank of Australia increased its cash rate to 4.1% in a closely divided vote, with five members supporting the hike amid persistent inflation concerns and geopolitical risks.

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Geopolitics Events

Trump Says NATO Allies Decline Involvement in Iran Military Operation

President Trump announced on Truth Social that most NATO allies have informed the US they will not participate in military operations against Iran. Trump characterized NATO as "a one way street" and claimed US forces have decimated Iran's military capabilities, including its navy, air force, anti-aircraft systems, and leadership structure across multiple levels.

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Israel Strikes Iran's Strategic Infrastructure, Reportedly Kills Security Chief

Israeli airstrikes Monday reportedly killed Iran's security chief and targeted strategic sites. Israel's defense minister pledged continued attacks on Iranian infrastructure, marking a significant escalation in regional tensions.

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US Counterterrorism Officials Resign Over Iran War as Conflict Continues

The Director of the National Counterterrorism Center resigned, stating Iran posed no imminent threat and expressing inability to support the ongoing war. A top aide to Gabbard and senior counterterrorism official Joe Kent also departed over the conflict. Analysts suggest the war will require either the collapse of Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps or a negotiated deal to end, with observers noting the administration may have underestimated the challenge.

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OpenAI Partners with Amazon Web Services to Supply AI Tools to US Government

OpenAI has signed a deal with Amazon Web Services to sell artificial intelligence services to US government agencies and federal workers, according to the Information.

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U.S. Embassy in Baghdad Faces Heaviest Attack Since Iran Conflict Escalation

The U.S. embassy in Baghdad came under intense assault on March 17, with rockets and at least five drones launched from multiple locations around the city, according to Iraqi security sources. The attack, described as the most severe since the U.S.-Israel war with Iran began, targeted the diplomatic compound and logistics center near Baghdad airport. Defense systems intercepted incoming projectiles as sirens sounded across the area. The U.S. embassy issued urgent warnings for Americans to leave immediately as Iran-aligned militias escalate operations.

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Trump Reschedules China Meeting for Five to Six Weeks Out

President Trump announced a reset of his delayed China trip, stating the meeting will now take place in approximately five to six weeks, marking a rescheduling of previously planned diplomatic discussions between the two nations.

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Trump Struggles to Build Coalition as Iran Strikes UAE Energy Targets

Iran launched attacks on energy infrastructure in the United Arab Emirates in retaliation for recent escalations, strikes that sources say Trump was warned about despite his claims otherwise. The administration is struggling to form an international coalition to escort ships through the Strait of Hormuz, with European allies rejecting participation in the proposed naval force. Trump publicly criticized the UK and other allies for refusing to join the effort, highlighting growing tensions in transatlantic relations as the energy crisis deepens.

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Trump Says US Iran Operations Nearing Conclusion, Exit Planned Soon

President Trump stated Tuesday that US military operations against Iran concluded largely within two to three days, with full withdrawal planned in the near future. Trump claimed Iran would have deployed nuclear weapons within 24 hours of acquisition, though the US is not yet ready to completely disengage.

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Trump Predicts Sharp Oil Price Drop When Iran Conflict Ends

President Trump stated the US-Israel war with Iran will conclude soon, forecasting oil prices will "drop like a rock" immediately following the conflict's end.

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Senate Advances Trump-Backed Voter ID Bill Despite Democratic Opposition

The Senate began debate on the SAVE Act, a Trump-backed bill requiring Americans to prove citizenship before voter registration. Senate Republicans pressed forward despite Democratic opposition and uncertain prospects for passage. House members sparred over the legislation, with Democratic Representative Ted Lieu criticizing the citizenship proof requirement as Trump urged Republicans to pass the measure.

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Germany Rules Out Military-Only Solution to Iran Conflict

German Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul stated that relying solely on military action to resolve the Iran conflict is unrealistic. He emphasized that controlled regime change in Iran is not feasible and warned that chaos in the country would not serve German interests.

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Russia Arms Iran With Drone Tech as Pentagon Ramps Up Kamikaze Drone Production

Russia has supplied Iran with upgraded drone technology and satellite intelligence on U.S. force locations in the Middle East, according to Wall Street Journal sources, in what officials view as Moscow's effort to prolong regional conflict while gaining strategic advantages. The development comes as drones targeted the U.S. embassy in Baghdad, with at least two intercepted by C-RAM defense systems and a third striking inside the compound. In response, the Pentagon announced plans to mass produce Lucas, an American-made kamikaze drone modeled after Iran's Shahed design, following its recent use in strikes against Iran.

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US Embassy in Baghdad Faces Intense Rocket and Drone Assault

Multiple rockets and explosive drones targeted the US Embassy and diplomatic facilities near Baghdad Airport early Tuesday, activating C-RAM air defenses. Iraqi security sources described the coordinated attack as the most intense since hostilities with Iran began, marking a significant escalation in regional tensions.

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Iran's Basij Force Commander Gholamreza Soleimani Killed in U.S.-Israel Attack

Gholamreza Soleimani, commander of Iran's paramilitary Basij force, was killed in a U.S.-Israel attack, according to Iranian state media. Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps confirmed his death, attributing it to what they termed an "attack by the American-Zionist enemy" in a statement carried by Tasnim news agency.

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Macron Rules Out French Hormuz Operations Until Hostilities End

French President Emmanuel Macron stated France will not participate in Strait of Hormuz operations during current hostilities. Any future French escort mission would require an end to fighting, Iranian coordination, and separation from ongoing conflicts. France remains willing to work on convoy protection once conditions stabilize.

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Iran Declares Permanent Change to Strait of Hormuz Operations

Iranian Parliament Speaker Qalibaf announced the Strait of Hormuz will not return to its pre-war status, signaling a potential lasting shift in control of the critical oil shipping route.

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Technology Events

Nvidia Unveils NemoClaw Platform and $1 Trillion Revenue Opportunity at GTC 2026

Nvidia introduced its NemoClaw stack at the GTC 2026 conference, a platform powering the OpenClaw AI agent ecosystem for autonomous personal AI systems. CEO Jensen Huang outlined a $1 trillion revenue opportunity for Blackwell and Rubin chips through 2027, with inference emerging as the dominant demand driver. Analysts noted an estimated $8 to $10 multiplier effect for every dollar spent on Nvidia chips. The announcement signals Nvidia's expansion beyond hardware into software platforms. Meanwhile, CrowdStrike partnered with Nebius to integrate its Falcon security platform into AI cloud infrastructure powered by Nvidia chips, following Nebius's $2 billion funding from Nvidia and a multi-billion Microsoft deal. Analysts maintained bullish outlooks, with Truist holding a $283 price target.

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Amazon CEO Projects AI to Double AWS Revenue to $600B by 2036

Amazon CEO Andy Jassy told employees in an internal meeting that artificial intelligence could drive AWS sales to $600 billion by 2036, doubling the company's previous internal forecast of $300 billion.

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OpenAI Partners with Amazon Web Services to Supply AI Tools to US Government

OpenAI has signed a deal with Amazon Web Services to sell artificial intelligence services to US government agencies and federal workers, according to the Information.

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Microsoft Unifies Copilot AI Teams Under Reorganization

Microsoft is restructuring its Copilot AI product teams to merge commercial and consumer versions, streamlining leadership and consolidating its artificial intelligence efforts for greater coherence across workplace and personal applications.

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Nvidia Restarts China AI Chip Production as CEO Calls US Manufacturing Shift Difficult

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang announced the company is restarting manufacturing of H200 AI accelerators for China while calling a proposed 40% shift of Taiwan chip production to the US very difficult. Huang forecasts $1 trillion in orders as Nvidia works to reenter the critical Chinese market.

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AMD and Nvidia Lead AI Infrastructure Expansion as Industry Bets Intensify

Agentic AI developments are strengthening AMD's investment case while Nvidia expands its AI push with OpenClaw integration. CEO Huang projects massive AI chip sales growth. Amazon advances AI infrastructure strategy as Keysight debuts new AI inference validation platform. Nvidia faces sell-off following GTC conference despite positive outlook.

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Enterprise AI Adoption Accelerates Amid Bubble Warnings and Job Loss Concerns

Alibaba launched Wukong AI platform to automate office tasks while Capital One and Workday rolled out enterprise AI tools. SoundHound AI partnered with Experis for deployment. Benchmark's Gurley warned of potential AI bubble and correction. Investors face concerns over widespread job displacement from automation wave.

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Trustpilot Profit Quadruples on AI-Driven Growth

Review platform Trustpilot reported profit quadrupling, beating forecasts and raising guidance as AI search integration drives e-commerce deals and margin expansion.

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Alibaba Launches Wukong AI Platform as China's Enterprise Agent Adoption Accelerates

Alibaba unveiled its Wukong agentic AI platform for businesses, planning integrations with Slack and Teams, as Barclays reports surging enterprise AI adoption across China. Benchmark's Gurley cautioned the AI boom risks bubble territory.

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Nvidia Restarts H200 AI Chip Production for China Market

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang announced the company is resuming manufacturing of H200 AI accelerators for Chinese customers, marking progress in the chipmaker's efforts to reenter the critical Chinese market after previous restrictions.

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Oil And Gas Events

Oil Surges Past $102 as Iran Blockades Hormuz Strait, Threatening Global Supply

Oil prices have climbed above $102 per barrel following Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz on March 4, disrupting a route that carries approximately 20% of global oil supplies. Brent crude has surged over 30% since the blockade began, with U.S. gas prices rising 27% amid the escalating conflict. Iran has intensified attacks on Saudi Arabia and UAE energy infrastructure, while Gulf producers scramble to establish alternative shipping routes. Asian refiners are increasingly sourcing crude from outside the Middle East as Hormuz shipping remains largely halted. U.S. allies have shown reluctance to escort tankers through the strait, with France explicitly declining to join reopening efforts. The sustained oil price elevation has raised recession concerns among economists, while the European Central Bank faces mounting pressure for potential rate hikes in response to the oil shock.

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US Diesel Hits $5 Per Gallon as Middle East Conflict Disrupts Global Energy Markets

War in the Middle East has pushed US diesel prices above $5 per gallon while making regional oil the world's most expensive. European markets face volatility amid supply chain disruptions, with analysts warning of increased corporate financial distress from surging energy costs.

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Iran Attacks on UAE Energy Sites Disrupt Gulf Oil Supply, Close Strait of Hormuz

Iranian strikes have set ablaze a UAE gas field and hit a tanker near the Strait of Hormuz, effectively closing the critical waterway. The attacks on energy infrastructure across the region have disrupted Persian Gulf oil and gas supply, pushing crude prices up over 1%.

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Iraq Negotiates with Iran for Oil Tanker Access Through Strait of Hormuz

Iraq's oil minister confirmed the country is coordinating with Iran to secure passage for select oil tankers through the Strait of Hormuz. Iraq views pipeline flows as a strategic buffer against potential disruptions at the critical shipping chokepoint.

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Iraq and Kurdistan Reach Agreement to Resume Oil Exports Through Turkey's Ceyhan Port

Iraq's federal government and Kurdish authorities have agreed to resume oil exports to Turkey's Ceyhan port beginning Wednesday. Kurdish Prime Minister Barzani confirmed Kurdistan will restart exports through the regional pipeline at the earliest opportunity, while ongoing talks with Baghdad aim to establish a secure environment for oil and gas companies to resume production operations.

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Central Europe Mobilizes Oil Reserves and Pipeline Solutions Amid Druzhba Disruption

European nations respond to Druzhba pipeline disruption with coordinated reserve releases and infrastructure deals. Spain commits 11.5 million barrels over 90 days while Germany pledges state reserves. Hungary and Slovakia sign agreement connecting MOL refineries. Ukraine accepts EU mission to restore flows and explore alternative transit routes for non-Russian crude.

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Oil Rises 2.9% Despite Surprise Inventory Build

U.S. crude futures settled at $96.21 per barrel, up $2.71, as supply concerns outweighed API data showing crude stockpiles unexpectedly increased by 6.556 million barrels versus forecasts for a 600,000-barrel decline.

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Transportation Costs Rise as Fuel Prices Impact Supply Chains

Analysts warn diesel fuel price increases will affect retail delivery costs at major chains like Walmart. Brent oil futures face technical analysis scrutiny as energy markets remain volatile amid global supply concerns.

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Fixed Income And Interest Rates Events

Treasury Executes Record $15B Debt Buyback as Credit Markets Show Strain

The U.S. Treasury completed its largest debt buyback in history, purchasing $15 billion of its own securities from $33.5 billion in offers, targeting coupons maturing between 2026 and 2028. The unprecedented move comes as credit markets display signs of stress across multiple sectors. Business development companies face mounting pressure as investors demand higher risk premiums amid anxiety over private credit exposure, with Barclays characterizing soaring BDC risk premiums as justified.

South African Bonds Face Outflows as Iran Conflict Roils Emerging Markets

Iran war tensions trigger bond outflows from South Africa and Pakistan, with Pakistani dollar bonds heading for their steepest monthly decline in three years. Surging oil prices and geopolitical uncertainty weigh on emerging market assets as investors await Federal Reserve decision.

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House Oversight Committee Subpoenas AG Bondi Over Epstein Investigation

The House Oversight Committee has subpoenaed Attorney General Pam Bondi to testify April 14 regarding the Justice Department's handling of the Jeffrey Epstein sex trafficking investigation and related file releases.

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Treasury's $13 Billion 20-Year Bond Auction Shows Strong Demand with Improved Bid Coverage

The Treasury's 20-year bond auction yielded 4.817%, stopping through the when-issued rate by 0.7 basis points. The bid-to-cover ratio improved to 2.76 from 2.36 previously, indicating above-average demand. Indirect bidders took 69.2%, up significantly from 55.2% prior.

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Stock Markets Events

Energy Sector Stocks Surge to 52-Week Highs on Analyst Upgrades

Multiple energy companies reached new 52-week peaks, with Diamondback Energy hitting $186.66 and ConocoPhillips reaching $122.68 following analyst upgrades. Other sector gainers included APA at $35.73, RPC Inc. at $6.85, and USA Compression Partners at $28.18, signaling broad strength across oil and gas equities.

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Indian Markets Surge for Second Day as Sensex Jumps 568 Points, Nifty Approaches 23,600

Indian equities extended their rally for a second consecutive session, with the Sensex gaining 568 points and climbing 1,500 points over two days. The Nifty 50 surged past 23,550, approaching the 23,600 mark amid broad-based buying. Individual stocks showed strong performance, with Eternal rallying 6 percent and Tata Steel rising 4 percent, reflecting continued bullish momentum in the market.

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Earnings Events

Lululemon Beats Q4 Estimates But Weak Outlook Sends Stock Lower

Lululemon reported fourth quarter revenue of $3.6 billion, up 1% year-over-year, beating analyst estimates on earnings per share of $5.01. China mainland sales surged 24% to $528 million, while Americas revenue declined 4% to $2.7 billion. Gross margin compressed 550 basis points to 54.9%. Despite the earnings beat, shares fell as the company issued annual revenue and profit guidance below Wall Street expectations, highlighting ongoing challenges in its core North American market and adding pressure amid broader company transformation efforts.

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DocuSign Shares Rise on Strong Q4 Beat and Raised Guidance

DocuSign reported fourth-quarter adjusted earnings of $1.01 per share on revenue of $837 million, surpassing estimates of $0.95 and $828 million respectively. Revenue grew 8% year-over-year while billings increased 10% to $1.02 billion. The company guided first-quarter revenue of $822-826 million and full-year fiscal 2027 revenue of $3.484-3.496 billion, above consensus expectations. Annual recurring revenue reached $3.272 billion, up 8%, with international revenue climbing 15% to $253 million.

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Healthcare Events

Pfizer's Breast Cancer Drug Shows Promise While Rhythm Pharma Faces Setback in Obesity Trial

Pfizer announced positive Phase 2 results for atirmociclib, its next-generation CDK4 inhibitor, demonstrating a 40% reduction in cancer progression risk for second-line metastatic breast cancer patients. The experimental drug met its primary endpoint in the FOURLIGHT-1 trial. In contrast, Rhythm Pharmaceuticals reported disappointing results from a late-stage trial of its lead asset for rare obesity disorders, sending shares lower. ImmunityBio's ANKTIVA received inclusion in updated NCCN Clinical Practice Guidelines for Bladder Cancer. Esperion will present new analyses from its CLEAR Outcomes trial at the American College of Cardiology's 2026 session. Additional developments include Priavoid's Phase 2 data showing a favorable safety profile for Alzheimer's candidate PRI-002, AtaiBeckley's published Phase 2a depression treatment data, and Anavex Life Sciences' presentation on blarcamesine's effects in Parkinson's disease models. Neuronetics appointed Dan Reuvers as President and CEO, effective March 23.

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Legal Events

SEC and CFTC Issue Joint Guidance Declaring Most Crypto Assets Not Securities

The SEC and CFTC released landmark joint guidance clarifying that most crypto assets fall outside securities laws, ending over a decade of regulatory uncertainty. The framework specifically excludes staking, airdrops, Bitcoin mining, and wrapped tokens from securities classification. This represents the SEC's first formal definitions for crypto asset categorization, establishing a clearer token taxonomy and regulatory boundaries for the digital asset industry in the United States.

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Musk and SEC Negotiate Settlement Over Twitter Stake Disclosure Lawsuit

Elon Musk and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission are in settlement talks regarding a civil lawsuit over Musk's delayed disclosure of his Twitter stake, according to court filings.

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Real Estate Events

US Pending Home Sales Rise 1.8% in February on Lower Mortgage Rates Despite Hovering Near Record Lows

US pending home sales unexpectedly rebounded 1.8% month-over-month in February, beating economist estimates of a 0.6% decline, as buyers responded to falling mortgage rates and slower price growth. The index reached 72.1, up from 70.8 in January, marking the first increase in three months. However, sales remain down 0.6% year-over-year and continue hovering near historic lows. The modest recovery follows mortgage rate declines during the month, though the housing market remains weak overall. Canadian home sales also fell in February, though industry groups remain optimistic about spring market activity.

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UK Mortgage Costs Jump £788 Annually Amid Iran Conflict and Market Volatility

British homeowners face sharply higher borrowing costs, with typical new mortgages rising £788 annually over two weeks amid geopolitical tensions following Iran conflict escalation. The spike, attributed to "Trumpflation" concerns, pushes rates to three-month highs at a critical period for housing markets. Meanwhile, Canadian borrowers with strong credit increasingly default on payments, and US housing inventory shows highest January relisting activity since 2016, potentially creating buyer opportunities despite elevated rates near 6.2 percent.

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REITs See Active Trading as Mortgage Rates Climb to 3-Month Highs

Institutional investors made notable moves in real estate securities, with Jain Global investing $7.27 million in First Industrial Realty Trust and acquiring new positions in Zillow Group. Multiple ETFs declared quarterly distributions, including iShares U.S. Digital Infrastructure at $0.1841 and iShares Cohen & Steers REIT at $0.1887. Meanwhile, mortgage and refinance rates rose to three-month highs on March 17, 2026, potentially impacting housing market dynamics as investors debate residential real estate strategies.

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Corporate Actions Events

Qualcomm Announces $20 Billion Buyback and Dividend Increase

Qualcomm, the leading smartphone processor manufacturer, approved a $20 billion share repurchase program and raised its quarterly dividend, sending shares higher on the news.

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Nebius Group Targets $3.75 Billion Convertible Debt Raise Following Meta Partnership

AI data center developer Nebius Group announced plans to raise $3.75 billion through convertible senior notes following a major commercial agreement with Meta Platforms and Nvidia deals.

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Currencies Events

Australian Dollar Volatile After RBA Rate Hike Amid Mixed Market Reaction

The Reserve Bank of Australia raised interest rates citing building inflation pressures, but the Australian dollar weakened against major currencies as markets interpreted the move as dovish, with AUD/USD experiencing sharp swings following Governor Bullock's commentary.

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Other Events

TSA Crisis Deepens as Officers Quit, Threatening Airport Closures

Government shutdown forces TSA staffing crisis as 366 officers quit in past month. Houston Hobby saw 55% Saturday callouts, highest single-airport rate since funding lapse began. Delta reports extended checkpoint wait times nationwide. Trump administration warns smaller airports may close if funding standoff continues.

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