Friday, May 21, 2021

I have found more knowledge is the only thing that makes Hodling easier. Here is a list of resources I have found particularly valuable. Thousands upon thousands of hours of research and I still learn something from these guys every time. Thanks for all of the knowledge!

Podcasts:

Bitcoin Audible-Reads the best papers(Like Fidelity and Ark Invest) and articles etc in the space and unpacks them. Beginner to advanced. Hardcore Bitcoiner. Because most good articles are read here, I won’t bother listing the best papers in this post, just check out his episode list if you want to read rather than listen.

Real Vision: Macro & Bitcoin (has lots of good macroeconomics and market rundowns unrelated to Bitcoin also. These guys called energy stocks and commodities before it happened and described why(Thanks!))

The Investor’s Podcast-advanced bitcoin macroeconomics, and traditional investing.

Swan Signal-More great intermediate and advanced Bitcoin knowledge. Hardcore Bitcoiners.

What Bitcoin Did-A Beginner/Intermediate guide. Foul language warning.

What is Money-Deep 8 hour long Dive into the philosophy and history of power and money all with Michael Saylor and Robert Breedlove

Pomp- Bitcoin from a wall street/VC point of view

Lets Talk Bitcoin-How Bitcoin can help freedom, and help underserved and unbanked

Tales From The Crypt- Hardcore Bitcoiners and miners with current events.

Top guests to listen to in the podcasts(there are probably many others but these are the ones that stand out imo): Bitcoin and Macro: Michael Saylor, Luke Gromen, Lyn Alden, Nic Carter, Jeff Booth, Preston Psyh, Dan Held, Nik Bahtia, Robert Breedlove, Andrew Quittem, Parker Lewis, Raoul Pal, Vijay Boyapati, Gigi, Andy Edstrom Chain Analysis: Willy Woo, William Clemente(kraken and glassnode also have a chain analysis newsletter) Tech gurus: Andreas Antonopolous, Jameson Lopp, Adam Back, Nick Szabo, Shinobi, Jack Mallers, Matt Odell/MartyBent, Andrew Poelstra, Andreas Antonopolous especially.

Books: The Bitcoin Standard, Layered Money, The Internet of Money, Debt the First 5000 Years, Inventing Bitcoin.


Crypto Investment Guide

A little guide/few arguments to remember to find promising (low and mid cap) investment projects between the huge amount of projects in the crypto space, out of my head:

  1. The market cap

Market Cap = amount of coins * price of 1 coin.

Bitcoin has the highest market cap. How high is the market cap of the project you are interested in? How many coins are in circulation? If the market cap is low there is more room to grow. Closely connected to point 2. Vesting and tokenomics

  1. Vesting schedule and tokenomics

Determines the inflation of a coin. A good vesting schedule is slowly and steady. Ruptures and immediate releases of coins, lead to a flood of supply and decrease the price. This increases selling pressure.

Does the team own the major amount of the coin and it isn't locked up or vested over a long period of time? Bad sign.

  1. Buying pressure

Is the coin a utility coin? If yes, this increases demand and therefore the buying pressure. Best example: ETH. It powers the whole Dapps and the defi space on the ethereum blockchain. Are there burning events? Nice, lowers supply Is there a buyback program? Nice, lowers circulating supply Is there staking program? Nice, lowers circulating supply

  1. Marketing

Does a coin even exist if nobody knows about it? A project will only grow if it has publicity. Check their twitter, subreddit, medium posts and partnerships!

4.1

Partnerships are important! Connected projects are externally proved if you want so. Is the project backed by infamous investors or institutions? Yes? That's a good sign.

  1. The team

Talking about publicity. Mostly a public team which can be look up is more trustworthy than anonymous teams. You can check their backgrounds and see where they come from. But this point depends on the case. Thorchain for example has an anonymous team, but has a reliable framework which makes it trustworthy.

  1. The use case

Which problem does your coin solve? It's a coin with high transaction per second and decentralized technology, respecting the privacy and powered by PoW? Wow, sounds good. But already exists.

Look for game changer, projects that are a novelty. Projects that solve real world issues or issues of the blockchain technology. You will get better in realizing this, the longer you stay in the game

Edit: you can filter coins by topic on coinmarketcap. There you can look for shopping, defi, privacy, oracle etc. And see if your project has competitors.

  1. Time your investment

I know it's tempting to jump on the train if a coin pumps. But sometimes you have to sit back and swallow your greed. Especially a coin with a low market cap which pumps, comes down faster than you think. It's better to wait few weeks and invest when the prices cools down. Trust me. After pump comes dump. Especially if a YouTuber promoted a coin recently.

Yeah that's all what comes to my mind right now. Let's see how the formation comes out on my smartphone. Stay safe. YOIO - you only invest once. Better do your research and don't rely only on echo chambers which only feed your bias. Different sources and perspectives are the key. Therefore you can be safe to not having the urge to jump out of the project, when the market goes south, because you know the real value of the coin.


SocGen says bitcoin’s place in a portfolio ‘remains highly contested,’ gold is a better stabilizer

Another day, another FUD article from CNBC. They really hate crypto.

—

After bitcoin’s recent plunge and subsequent partial recovery, analysts at Societe Generale argued in a recent note that questions remain around the cryptocurrency’s place in investment portfolios.

“It comes as no surprise that the place of Bitcoin in any investment portfolio remains highly contested, precisely because of its erratic price movements,” Societe Generale’s Alain Bokobza and Arthur Van Slooten wrote in a Thursday note.

On Wednesday, bitcoin dived 30% to nearly $30,000 at one point, before paring some of those losses. Other cryptocurrencies were not spared as the overall value of the crypto market dropped by hundreds of billions of dollars in a single day. Bitcoin later recovered to hover around the $40,000 level on Thursday.

Bokobza and Van Slooten argued that the risks to bitcoin “remain on the downside,” citing factors such as potential regulation ahead, which the two characterized as the “biggest threat” looming for the cryptocurrency.

The U.S. Treasury Department on Thursday announced that it’s taking steps to regulate cryptocurrency markets and transactions. China has already been cracking down on the sector since 2017.

The analysts also noted the influence of “confusing” communications from electric vehicle maker Tesla. The company previously said it would accept bitcoin as a form of payment for its cars before CEO Elon Musk tweeted last week that the firm has “suspended” vehicle purchases with the cryptocurrency over environmental concerns.

Gold: The better portfolio stabilizer

The analysts also questioned the comparisons often made between gold and bitcoin due to the gap in volatility as well as magnitude of their price movements. Some investors have argued that the cryptocurrency is a potential competitor to gold as a store of value.

Since the start of the year, spot gold has fallen about 1.2%. In a similar period, bitcoin is still up around 38% despite its recent drop.

The only potential reward to investors in Bitcoin and gold is from their positive price movement, which is essentially the only thing they have in common, apart from their ability to trigger rush buying.

Authorities in 2020 injected record liquidity into economies globally as a means of keeping financial markets afloat as the world fought to limit the damage wrought by the Covid pandemic.

But without generating any yield on their own, “the only potential reward to investors in Bitcoin and gold is from their positive price movement, which is essentially the only thing they have in common, apart from their ability to trigger rush buying,” the analysts said.

For its part, Societe Generale currently assigns a 5% direct weighting to gold in its multi-asset portfolio as a stabilizer.

In the case of rising inflation, gold can “partially offset capital losses on bonds,” the analysts said. Furthermore, gold also has a “protective role in partially offsetting losses” on stocks in the events of either runaway inflation or a return to deflation.

“History shows that over time the price of gold closely tracks real bond yields,” the analysts said. “Also, the price ratio of copper (the most cyclical metal) to gold (the most defensive) has proved a neat model for anticipating higher US Treasury yields.”

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/05/21/socgen-says-bitcoins-place-in-a-portfolio-remains-highly-contested.html


*** Ultimate AMC Timeline (Updated May 21) ***

Hello! This educational timeline is a great marketing tool that you can give to new apes to assist them in deciding for themselves that AMC is a great investment. My goal is to research, compile, and clearly explain the chronology of events in recent AMC stock history in order to:

  1. provide a permanent, sharable point of historical reference for "all things AMC stock";
  2. educate new and veteran apes alike on exactly how AMC got to this point;
  3. show why/when/how shorts and hedge funds are getting increasingly desperate;
  4. prove that all happenings along the way thus far are squarely in apes' favor, slowly contributing to—and virtually guaranteeing—the moon landing;
  5. give existing AMC apes the confidence to buy and hodl more AMC bananas;
  6. give potential AMC apes the confidence to become first-time investors in AMC bananas . . . and hodl them sumbiches with kung-fu gorilla grip!

Learn, enjoy, and—most importantly—spread the "Word of Grodd" that AMC stock is awesome! Informing and educating new investors is the best way to thank me!

NOTES:

  • If you follow me on Reddit (u/Few_Campaign8623), you'll get an alert every time I post an updated timeline or other DD.
  • If you think that something is missing from the timeline, please send me a message in Reddit. I'll gladly consider the addition and add it, if appropriate. Thank you.
  • Apes, whenever you post news, quotes, or data, please do the community a huge favor by always including a link to your source(s). This practice will become increasingly critical leading up to—and during—the squeeze. Apes must be accurate and nimble at all times. Minutes will matter. Seconds will matter. Time wasted having to search for and verify each other's sources can be very costly and cause a lifetime of regret.
  • Please invite everyone you know to join Reddit's AMC Stock group!

DISCLAIMER:

I am not a financial advisor! Nothing in this personal reflection constitutes—or is intended to be—financial advice. I only have 3 teeth. You must always conduct your own due diligence before engaging in any financial activities.

_______________________________________________

​

1920–2019

1920:

Maurice, Edward, and Barney Dubinsky purchase the Regent Theatre in Kansas City, Mo.

1961:

Stanley Durwood becomes CEO of the company and renames it American Multi-cinema.

1962:

Opens the world's first multiplex, the Parkway Twin in Kansas City.

1981:

Becomes the first theatre chain to add cupholder armrests.

1991:

Introduces Clip®, a "film strip" character to serve as an ambassador of the brand and its Silence is Golden® program.

1995:

Opens the world's first megaplex. This innovative destination also inspires AMC to install stadium seating and LoveSeat®-style seating.

2000:

Co-founds online ticket services to add convenience to even the busiest AMC theatres like Empire 25 in New York City, which is recognized as the busiest theatre in the world.

2002:

Becomes the first theatre chain to introduce the circuit-wide gift card.

2005:

Co-founds National CineMedia (NCMI), which runs all of AMC's pre-show entertainment and in-theatre advertising.

2006:

Expands presence throughout the country with the acquisition of Loews Theatres

2007:

Partners with IMAX to bring approximately 125 IMAX large-screen digital projection systems to AMC locations around the country.

2008:

Launches Dine-In Theatres. The concept, which continues to expand throughout the United States, allows guests to order restaurant-style food with the push of a button, from the comfort of their own luxurious movie seat.

2009:

  1. Partners with Sony and RealD to implement digital and 3D technology.
  2. Partners with the Autism Society to launch AMC Sensory Friendly Films nationwide. The program allows children and families to enjoy a movie in a safe, accepting environment that allows talking, yelling, singing and walking around.
  3. Opens its first all-recliner seating theatre, AMC Lakewood 12, dubbed "The Miracle of Lakewood."

2010:

Acquires Kerasotes theatres and expands its presence in the Midwest.

2011:

Launches its AMC Stubs rewards program, which provides members with new benefits like concessions upgrades and dollars back for every dollar they spend.

2012:

Acquired by the Beijing–based Wanda Group, which enables funding to ensure a massive escalation of AMC's world-class amenities, including recliner seating, better sight & sound presentation and MacGuffins bars.

2013:

Goes public on the New York Stock Exchange. NYSE: AMC

2015:

  1. AMC and Dolby partner to create Dolby Cinema at AMC, a premium large format experience that includes Dolby Vision laser projection, Dolby Atmos sound and AMC's comfortable power recliners.
  2. Acquires Starplex Cinemas.

2016:

  1. Becomes the largest theater/cinema chain in the world by acquiring Carmike Cinemas and Odeon & UCI Cinemas (the largest theatre chain in the UK & Ireland). AMC most recently reported roughly 953 theaters and 10,700 screens.
  2. Adds a free tier to its AMC Stubs program—AMC Insider—to go along with its popular paid tier, AMC Premiere.
  3. First-year CEO Adam Aron went on quite a hiring spree in 2016!

December 11, 2017:

Signs "Memorandum of Understanding" to build theaters in Saudi Arabia, "hours after the Middle Eastern kingdom announced it will allow cinemas for the first time in 35 years."

June 20, 2018:

Launches AMC Stubs A-List monthly subscription service to counter the immensely popular—yet now defunct—MoviePass (HMNY).

May 23, 2019:

Acquires Cinetopia movie theaters

September 8, 2019:

Announces that select AMC theaters will air out-of-market, Sunday NFL games

October 14, 2019:

Launches "AMC Theaters On Demand," which offers approximately 2,000 films for sale or rent after their theatrical runs, just as iTunes, Amazon, and other video-on-demand retailers do.

November 7, 2019:

AMC CEO Adam Aron addresses short-selling attacks on AMC

​

2020–Present

March 18, 2020:

Due to COVID-19, Adam Aron announces the closure of all AMC theaters nationwide. The resulting loss of income would be so extreme that the company was "a couple of weeks away" from bankruptcy multiple times before the squeeze on Jan. 27, 2021 (per Adam Aron in his April 14, 2021 interview with Trey's Trades). To this day, AMC has never received a penny in government assistance/bailouts (CARES Act, PPP loans, etc.). Despite that stark disadvantage, AMC has still managed to pay its employees and bills. Bravo!

​

December 17, 2020:

SEC states that Robinhood misled its customers about how it was paid by Wall Street firms to pass along customers' trading data and profited at customers' expense. Robinhood pays $65 million fine.

​

January 26:

AMC secures $917 million in new capital to avoid bankruptcy through at least the end of 2021, the breaking news of which was the catalyst for the squeeze the following day.

​

January 27:

1- First AMC squeeze. The stock price jumped 310% overnight, from $4.96 at the close on January 26 to $20.34 at the open on January 27. (The price briefly reached almost $25 in pre-market on January 27.)

-----

  1. Robinhood screwed apes by restricting apes' ability to buy shares of AMC. Only selling was allowed, which directly benefited hedge funds by tanking the share price. That is arguably the main reason why Vlad was dragged before the House to testify. Robinhood also implemented a 100% margin requirement for equity in AMC and GME.

​

January 28:

1- Robinhood blocks apes from buying shares of AMC, GME, and other stocks

-----

  1. Robinhood (followed by other lemming brokers) institutes stricter, 100% margin collateral requirements

​

February 1:

In a Form 8-K dated Feb. 1, AMC's largest stakeholder (Wanda America Entertainment Inc.) capitalized on the mini squeeze on Jan 27 by converting its Class B shares (with 3 votes each) to Class A shares so that it could "cash out."

​

February 18:

Robinhood CEO (Vlad Tenev) testifies about Robinhood's Jan 27-28 fuckery against AMC and GME apes during a House Financial Services Committee hearing

​

February 26:

In a ridiculously intense, back-and-forth battle between apes and HF turds that literally wasn't decided until the finals seconds of trading, Apes emerged victorious by securing a closing price of $8.01 after rallying from $7.90 within only 4 minutes remaining. Finishing the day above $8.00 was very significant because it forced shorts and hedge fund pantywaists to have to purchase hundreds of thousands of shares via options contracts. The figure of "$8.01" has since become a rallying cry for the AMC ape movement.

​

March 3:

1- Per AMC's proxy statement, ". . . 63,096,124 shares (including 3,732,625 treasury shares) of the total number of shares of Common Stock currently authorized remain available for issuance or may be reserved for issuance prior to any amendment to increase the authorized shares of Common Stock."

(Ape Translation: Adam Aron clarified in his April 14, 2021 interview with Trey's Trades that 20 million of those 63 million shares are accounted for. Still, that leaves AMC with 43M already-approved shares available to introduce to the market WITHOUT apes' permission. So, if apes approve the 500M new shares, that will make Aron much more inclined to actually use those 43M already-approved shares that are CURRENTLY the only bullets in his holster. Just because he vowed to not use any of the 500M new shares in 2021 doesn't mean he won't use any of the 43M. In fact, getting the 500M new shares gives Aron much more freedom and ability to dilute with those 43M already-approved shares. That's why my vote is "NO." After we moon, Aron can dilute to his heart's content, and at a much higher price per share, too!)

-----

  1. AMC has $1 billion in cash on its book as of March, 2021.

​

March 7:

SEC requests public comments (until April 8) on proposed Rule NSCC-2021-801 (i.e., "the straw that will break the hedge funds' backs")

​

March 16:

SEC approves Rule DTC-2021-003

​

March 26:

"Big Banks" force hedge fund Archegos to liquidate $20 billion in assets (most notably, shares/swaps of Discovery Channel and ViacomCBS, which caused the PPS of each stock to plummet)

​

March 29:

SEC approves the following rules:

  • FICC-2021-002
  • DTC-2021-004
  • NSCC-2021-004

​

March 30:

Susquehanna International Group, LLP ("SIG") and Richard J. McDonald formally oppose the OCC's new "Skin-in-the-Game" rule (OCC-2021-0003)

​

April 1:

Heath Tarbert (Ex-Chair of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission) joins Citadel Securitiesas "Chief Legal Officer" only 27 days after leaving the CFTC

"[It's] the latest in a long list of hires [away] from US regulators by [Citadel CEO, Ken] Griffin."

​

April 4:

"Godzilla v. Kong" sets pandemic and pre-pandemic records, disproving shorts' FUD that "people will never go to AMC theaters again"

​

April 5:

"B. Riley Financial" upgrades AMC and raises price target from $7 to $13

​

April 6:

Trey gets death threats

​

April 7:

1- SEC approves "Skin-in-the-Game" rule (OCC-2021-801)

-----

  1. Trey's Trades interview with Jordan Belfort

(Let's just pretend that it never happened, OK? Link intentionally excluded.)

​

April 8:

1- New SEC filing confirms plaintiffs' assertion that over 30 brokerages, trading firms, and/or clearing firms "including Morgan Stanley, E*Trade, Interactive Brokers, Charles Schwab, Robinhood, Barclays, Citadel and DTCC engaged in a coordinated conspiracy in violation of anti-trust laws to prevent retail customers from operating and trading freely in a conspiracy to allow certain of the other defendants, primarily hedge funds, to stop losing money on short sale positions in GameStop, AMC and certain other securities."

-----

  1. Matt Kohrs gets banned by Youtube

-----

  1. SEC warns SPACs to cut the dirty shit

-----

  1. SEC's Chief of the Office of the Whistleblower, Jane Norberg, to Leave Agency

-----

  1. Last day to submit your comments to the SEC in support of the approval of Rule NSCC-2021-801! Rule NSCC-2021-801 is the proverbial "nail in the coffin" that reeeeeeeeeeeally has the hedge funders shitting their fancy little britches. A decision will be imminent after April 8. The SEC is currently deliberating whether to approve this SUPER CRITICAL Rule SR-NSCC-2021-801, which would allow the NSCC to assess the risk of members (i.e., hedge funds) on a daily basis and also demand a higher Secondary Liquidity Deposit (SLD) on a daily basis if a member risks defaulting. If approved, this rule will force hedge funds and market makers to pay more if they are "playing too risky." It will also allow the DTCC to liquidate a member’s positions if those positions jeopardize the NSCC’s ability to complete that day’s trades. Furthermore, the arguably most important aspect of Rule NSCC-2021-801 is that hedge funds would no longer be able to take advantage of an inexplicable lack of scrutiny to hide naked shorting, FTD shares, dark pool trades, ladder attacks, trading amongst themselves to artificially lower the price per share, etc. They will no longer have 30 days to "get their affairs in order," either. Transparency could be our newest and greatest weapon!

​

April 9:

Melvin Capital hedge fund announces amusingly catastrophic losses of 49% and billions of dollars in the first quarter of 2021

​

April 10:

Dogecoin (DOGE-USD) begins its "convenient," unsustainable pump in what many argue is a calculated effort by hedge funds to fool apes into dumping AMC shares.

​

April 12:

"Better Markets" files an amicus brief (lawsuit) against Citadel to prevent Citadel from succeeding in stopping the SEC's plan to implement a new type of order ("Delimit Order") developed by IEX. This new "delimit order" would essentially prevent Citadel and other hedge funds from engaging in high-frequency trading and stock price manipulation via the use of sophisticated equipment and non-public information that give them a huge, unfair advantage over retail investors in the marketplace.

​

April 13:

1- Arclight and Pacific Theatres permanently closing in California, boosting AMC's future business and value

-----

  1. Hedge funds start to "spoof" shares:

​

April 14:

1- Gary Gensler, notorious supporter of "the little guy," confirmed 53-45 by Senate to lead the SEC as Wall Street’s top regulator; plans to investigate SPACs and market manipulation by hedge funds (particularly in relation to Gamestop and AMC)

"The GameStop saga has led congressional Democrats to ask the SEC to reexamine the practice of payment for order flow, whereby stock brokers are paid to direct customer orders to market makers, as well as features in trading apps that critics say exemplify the use of so-called gamification techniques to encourage harmful overuse of those apps by retail investors. . . . The blowup of Archegos, meanwhile, could encourage Gensler to propose new rules for institutional investors that require the disclosure of short positions in stocks as well as derivative positions that mimic stock ownership."

-----

  1. Adam Aron interview with Trey's Trades!

Notable Adam Aron quotes from the interview, in sequential order:

  • "I am in this for the long haul [as CEO], 5-10 more years."
  • "I am a fellow shareholder."
  • "Long-term, I am a bull. I own over 3,000,000 shares of AMC stock."
  • "I want to continue growing the company each year moving forward."
  • "Our main goal is to increase shareholder value."
  • "Our company is under attack by short sellers."
  • "I haven't sold a single share in 5 years, and don't plan to. I am a believer in this company."
  • "The last time we authorized 500,000,000 shares, we didn't use any shares [32,000,000] until 3.5 years later! We didn't use shares again [300,000,000] until 3.5 years after that! Each time, AMC's stock price rose 200%-300%."
  • "Flooding the market with 500,000,000 shares would be crazy and foolish."
  • "If AMC shareholders authorize the 500,000,000 shares, we will pledge in writing that we will not issue a single share in calendar year 2021!"
  • "I'm tired of playing defense. I want to play offense."
  • "We would only use shares to acquire other theater chains to instantly increase value for shareholders. Or to buy back debt at a significant discount to increase value. Or to entice landlords to accept stock NOW (at a discount) instead of waiting on cash over the course of 24-36 months."
  • "If you don't vote at all, your vote will be counted as a "No" by default.
  • "You own AMC. This is YOUR company!"
  • "I will give you one prediction: 50 years from now, analysts will be claiming that XYZ is going to put AMC out of business. Why [will AMC still be here]? Because there is something magical about going to the movie theater! . . . Watching at home just doesn't have the same impact."
  • "Going to the movie theater is a cheap date. The average movie ticket in the U.S. is about $10. Where else can you go to be entertained for 2-3 hours for only $10? You can't!"
  • "In 2019, the movie theater industry sold 7 times as many tickets as the NFL, MLB, NBA, NHL, and MLS combined!"
  • "I think that AMC's best days are still to come."
  • "I say to those people who are betting against us: I don't think it's a good idea to bet against movie theaters. It's certainly not a good idea to bet against AMC. And I'd like to think that it's not a good idea to bet against Adam Aron, either."

-----

  1. 2,709,393 FTD shares!

​

April 15:

J.P. Morgan sells a record $13 billion in bonds to raise cash

​

April 16:

1- SEC approves the following rules:

  • FICC-2021-001
  • DTC-2021-002
  • NSCC-2021-003

-----

  1. Goldman Sachs sells $6 billion in bonds to raise cash

-----

  1. Bank of America breaks J.P. Morgan's 1-day-old record of $13 billion by borrowing $15 billion through the sale of its own bonds.

​

April 17:

1- Gary Gensler sworn in as SEC Chairman, where he will serve as Joe Biden's enforcer, the "top cop on Wall Street." It’s very telling that he was quickly sworn in on a Saturday, which had not happened since 1973 (recession) and 2008 (recession) in order to address fraud. This is a clear indication that Biden and the SEC are preparing to take similar, emergency action against fraudulent actors and market manipulators.

-----

  1. Bitcoin dropped 15%, as institutions are likely selling Bitcoin to raise the massive collateral that they now require—starting on April 22—to fully insure their lenders, including apes. (See "April 22" below.)

-----

  1. Is somebody in a hurry? LMAO! Lights in Citadel's corporate building suggest that employees worked feverishly at all hours throughout the weekend, including Sunday. Hmmm . . . . Desperate much? The stock market was closed, but guess what was open for trading: Bitcoin. I suppose that it could be a total coincidence that Bitcoin dropped 15% on Saturday, but I doubt it. The more likely scenario is that Citadel and other hedge funds caused Bitcoin to plummet by selling Bitcoin to raise a small portion of the collateral that they will need to at least partially insure the lent/borrowed synthetic shares that they overleveraged, as required on or before April 22. (See "April 22" below.)

​

April 19:

1- Morgan Stanley sells $6 billion in unsecured bonds to raise cash.

-----

  1. Infinity Q liquidates its hedge fund amid ramped-up U.S. regulatory probe into hedge fund valuation practices

​

April 20:

1- Date by which the share count—which will expose the number of synthetic shares—must be completed, which is 14 days before the shareholder meeting on May 4.

(HUGE NEWS: After the audit finished on Tuesday, April 20, there were suddenly zero [0] shares available to short, which remained the case for the next 8 days! That is NOT a coincidence. Did the recount uncover an insane number of synthetic shares? Seems likely. That would obviously disallow additional share lending, which is exactly what we saw.)

-----

  1. DTC-2021-007 proposed

". . . market transparency to accurately determine the number of shares loaned, identify proper share ownership, and calculate the risk associated with share loans (all of which is currently self-reported) to prevent over-leveraging in the future."

-----

  1. AMC is buying movie theaters again!

A cash-strapped company does not buy more brick-and-mortar stores. Methinks Aron knows that AMC will be coming into a shit-ton of money very soon (or already has).

​

April 21:

1- AMC reaches all-time high in short interest at 23.5%

(Keep in mind that the short interest was only 11% before AMC's first squeeze on January 27! Plus, there are far more apes now.)

-----

  1. AMC reaches all-time record highs of 152,000,000 shares on loan, 100% utilization, and 26.7% borrow fee

-----

  1. Shredding trucks appear outside of Citadel headquarters

"Iron Mountain: Secure Destruction Your Can Trust"

-----

  1. Charles Schwab raises margin requirement for shorting AMC to 300%!

​

April 22:

HUGE!

Rule 15c3-3(b)(3) goes into effect. It "requires broker-dealers entering into agreements with their customers (e.g., apes) who lend the broker-dealers fully-paid or excess margin securities to provide the securities lenders (e.g., apes) with collateral that fully secures the loans."

(Apish: "Nope, you're no longer free to engage in your usual fuckery. Rule 008 is pending. In the meantime, you overleveraged bastards must now have the cash or collateral ON-HAND to fully cover every share that you borrow/lend, including unrealized losses! And, if you fuckers need to borrow more each day, you must also sufficiently increase your cash-on-hand and collateral to be able to FULLY COVER each day. Yeah, it's not yet an official law or regulation, but we're watching you. Rest assured that we will F you down the line if you cross us while Rule 008 is pending.")

​

April 23:

1- Following the share count on April 20, Hedge funds have 3 business days (until April 28) to eliminate (i.e., purchase) ALL newly-identified synthetic shares that they created/shorted, or those synthetic shares become "FTD" (failed to deliver). We don't know if the hedge funds will immediately cover or if they will decide to eat daily fines ***and*** increasingly higher interest rates. What we ***DO*** know is that hedge funds can't/won't eat massive interest forever, especially as the share price continues to rise and hedge funds' underlying banks threaten to force-liquidate the hedge funds' assets. Hodling, on the other hand, is 100% free . . . free FREE free.

-----

  1. Notable movies (average of 3.83 per month) releasing in AMC theaters from April 23, 2021 through April, 2022 (in order of premier date):

  2. Demon Slayer (Apr 23)

  3. Mortal Kombat (Apr 23)

  4. Cruella (May 28)

  5. A Quiet Place, Part II (May 28)

  6. Conjuring: The Devil Made Me Do It (June 4)

  7. Samaritan (June 4)

  8. Hitman's Wife's Bodyguard (June 16)

  9. Peter Rabbit 2 (June 18)

  10. Fast & Furious 9 (June 25)

  11. Forever Purge (July 2)

  12. Black Widow (July 7)

  13. Cinderella 2 (July 16)

  14. Space Jam 2 (July 16)

  15. Hotel Transylvania: Transformania (July 23)

  16. Snake Eyes: G.I. Joe Origins (July 23)

  17. The Green Knight (July 30)

  18. Jungle Cruise (July 30)

  19. The Suicide Squad (Aug 6)

  20. Paw Patrol: The Movie (Aug 20)

  21. Candyman (Aug 27)

  22. Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings (Sep 3)

  23. Infinite (Sep 24) - cancelled in theaters; moved to Paramount+

  24. Sopranos: The Many Saints of Newark (Sep 24)

  25. Venom 2: Let There Be Carnage (Sep 24)

  26. Dune (Oct 1)

  27. Halloween Kills (Oct 15)

  28. The Last Duel (Oct 15)

  29. James Bond: No Time to Die (Oct 21)

  30. Eternals (Nov 5)

  31. Ghostbusters: Afterlife (Nov 11)

  32. Top Gun: Maverick (Nov 19)

  33. Resident Evil (Nov 24)

  34. Nightmare Alley (Dec 3)

  35. West Side Story (Dec 10)

  36. Spider-Man: No Way Home (Dec 17)

  37. The King's Man (Dec 22)

  38. The Matrix 4 (Dec 22)

  39. Sherlock Holmes 3 (Dec 22)

  40. Sing 2 (Dec 22)

  41. Wicked (Dec 22)

  42. Scream (Jan 14)

  43. Uncharted (Feb 18)

  44. The Batman (Mar 4)

  45. Morbius (Mar 19)

  46. Doctor Strange 2 (Mar 25)

  47. Sonic the Hedgehog 2 (Apr 8)

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  1. ETF shares available to short suddenly dropped off a cliff from 3,800,000 to only 10,940! (Read why in April 20 entry above.)

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I have reached the maximum character limit! For April 24 and beyond, click here to view the permanent, always-updating Google Doc.


From Bloomberg : Why the Bitcoin Crash Was a Big Win for Cryptocurrencies. Under extreme stress, the decentralized finance system worked as designed.

The cryptocurrency market means different things to different people. To many, it represents an object of naked speculation, which consumes almost all the media coverage about the space. For these people, Wednesday was a bad day, with the Bloomberg Galaxy Crypto Index plunging 19.2% in its worst slide in more than a year.

But to others, the crypto space is more than speculative instruments. It is the construction of a new financial system. For them, Wednesday was a huge win that might go down as one of the best days in crypto history. Under extreme stress, the system worked as designed. Yes, problems were uncovered, such as high fees to trade at the most volatile moments. But this is a known problem because the crypto platforms are running at 100% capacity. Solutions to add more capacity and efficiency have been in the works for months and should be operational by year-end.

To understand why I believe Wednesday was a big victory for crypto, separate the space into its two main categories: centralized and decentralized finance. 

Centralized is the most familiar. These are the regulated exchanges such as BlockFi Inc., Coinbase Global Inc. and Binance. They run traditional order books with bids and offers much like the New York Stock Exchange. And much like Robinhood Markets Inc. and other traditional brokers, when markets get hectic, they are saddled with delays, system outages and frustrating customer experiences. These events lead many to to conclude that the crypto space is not ready for prime time.

But the decentralized protocols, which many claim are the future of finance, worked as designed and never went down. While customers grumbled about market losses, they were not complaining that these systems failed them at a critical time.

Recognizing that most are not familiar with decentralized finance, or DeFi, details are in order. DeFi does not use an order book like regulated exchanges. Instead, it has over 72,000 liquidity pools. Anyone can be a liquidity provider to these pools or even start one and earn interest (more coins) for their effort. Traders use these liquidity pools to trade cryptos. The entire protocol is run by computer code called an automatic market maker. No humans are involved in the trading on these exchanges.

The largest decentralized exchange is Uniswap. To access it, one must use an electronic wallet away from a regulated exchange and connect it to uniswap.org. This exchange allows customers to trade several thousand different cryptos. Uniswap founder Hayden Adams tweeted that Uniswap executed $6.3 billion of trades on Wednesday, well above Coinbase’s first-quarter average of $3.7 billion. Uniswap experienced no downtime and no slow service. No customer lost money because the exchange let them down.

One of the largest lending protocols is Compound. By connecting to Compound.finance, one can take out fully collateralized loans. Compound tweeted that its protocol “withstood the volatility flawlessly.” A third protocol is Polygon Technology. This site allows developers to scale their decentralized apps to offer faster and more efficient services. It is critical to the DeFi universe.  Its founder Sandeep Nailwal tweeted that “Defi stayed strong.”

All these sites ran without incident even as some crypto prices crashed by 50%. The website bybt.com reported that 845,000 traders who bought cryptos on margin or leverage, using decentralized sites like Compound, AAVE or Maker, saw more than $9.11 billion of positions liquidated automatically using smart contracts. No decentralized protocol failed or needed a bailout. No regulators had to decide to close anything.

Everything on the blockchain is open and can be seen and analyzed in real-time, so these liquidations and trading can be watched as they unfold. Anyone can bid on buying the remaining assets of a liquidated account. Contrast that with the GameStop Corp. saga in January. What began as a modest short squeeze –- short interest positions are reported just twice a month --  ended up rocking financial markets for weeks. Regulators shut trading, which forced losses on unsuspecting customers and led to calls of cronyism and Congressional investigations from many of the same people who warn that crypto is opaque and dangerous. Sounds like projection.

So while most are focused on wild price swings and unusual coins, understand it was the traditional financial exchanges that failed investors again, not decentralized finance. Those arguing they are creating a new better financial system won the day. Those in the traditional system that failed investors again at a crucial time are the ones who need to be asked the hard questions.

Source : https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-05-20/why-the-bitcoin-crash-was-a-big-win-for-cryptocurrencies


Bitcoin Is Key To An Abundant, Clean Energy Future

“Bitcoin miners are unique energy buyers in that they offer highly flexible and easily interruptible load, provide payout in a globally liquid cryptocurrency, and are completely location agnostic, requiring only an internet connection,”

It also noted that, by certain measures, solar and wind energy are the least expensive sources of power on the planet, though they have been difficult for operations to leverage due to their intermittent availability. Square sees an opportunity in combining renewables, steadily improving energy storage technologies and bitcoin mining.

“By combining miners with renewables and storage projects, we believe it could improve the returns for project investors and developers, moving more solar and wind projects into profitable territory,” according to the white paper. “[And] allow for the construction of solar and wind projects even before lengthy grid interconnection studies are completed… [and] provide the grid with readily available ‘excess’ energy for increasingly common black swan events like excessively hot or cold days when demand spikes.”

The white paper also included a brief section contributed by Bitcoin-focused investment management firm Ark Invest. It outlined its belief that bitcoin mining could spur investment into solar power systems that raise the overall proportion of grid power that’s driven by renewables. It included the illustration of a model indicating that without bitcoin mining, renewables can satisfy only 40% of the grid’s needs, but that with bitcoin mining, solar energy and batteries, it can satisfy 99% of its needs.

“The bitcoin and energy markets are converging and we believe the energy asset owners of today will likely become the miners of tomorrow,” the paper concludes. “Utility executives, sustainable infrastructure funds, and grid-scale storage developers are well-positioned to expedite this future by aligning their strategic roadmap and deploying large scale investments into the emerging synergy between bitcoin mining and clean energy production.”

Source: www.bitcoinmagazine.com/business/square-makes-the-case-for-clean-energy-bitcoin


CoinEx Institution: Possibly the Next Dogecoin? Banano Stands Out

With the boom of Doge and TRTL mining, Meme coins have gained more attention from the crypto world, and among them is Banano (BAN).

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Born as a joke and derived from a fork in Nano, Banano using DAG architecture stands out

Similar to Doge, Banano is derived from a joke (a joke among some Nano contributors), and then came as a result of a fork in Nano in April 2018.

Nano came as an answer to the slow transactions, transaction congestion and high transaction fees in Bitcoin. Its biggest technical advantages include instant and feeless transactions, negligible energy use, and lower demands for network bandwidth and storage.

The distribution mechanism of Nano was quite unique in the early days, with no private placement or crowdfunding. Even more distinctive is its airdrop approach: anyone who works out the correct answer to the picture or voice verification code can receive Nano for free.

As the first official derivative digital currency of Nano, Banano continues to apply Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG), Nano's technology that distinguishes it from blockchain, breaking through the boundaries of the traditional POW consensus mechanism; different from the mechanism for storing transaction data by order of transactions in the blockchain, DAG asynchronously cuts off the inevitable connection between miners and the role of maintaining network security, eliminating the need for miners to mine while confirming transactions. In this way, both the high transaction fees and low throughput are readily solved, and users can enjoy instant transactions at the same time. Simply put, with the DAG architecture, Banano facilitates fast transfers and payments.

As a young data structure, DAG does not have extensive application scenarios as traditional blockchain technology, and its security and consistency need to be further verified and recognized. Yet it has stood out for advantages of fast transactions, high throughput and innovation. Innovative projects and DAPP based on DAG are emerging in a growing number.

Banano retains most of the original Nano node code to maintain cross-chain compatibility between existing codebases, but has fine-tuned many parameters, such as units; in addition, Banano is open to new features (such as on-chain messaging or privacy). As it said, the Banano team does not intend to make drastic changes in the early stages, but will focus on improving the ecosystem while ensuring that it has the best developers.

Banano's team members once worked for the Nano project until it was forked to create Banano. One of the most influential differences between Banano and Nano is that Banano will spend part of the BAN upon continuously running Banano Faucet to spread DAG technology, promote the tipping economy and raise funds for community projects.

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With no fundraising or pre-mining, the free and fair token distribution makes Banano favorably received

With no fundraising, Banano distributes all tokens through a continuously free and fair distribution plan, by means of airdrops, faucet games, reward bots on social media platforms, and other events. It also used intelligence robots in the early days, so users easily obtain BAN as long as they remained active in the Reddit community, especially on the Discord server. In a vibe similar to Doge’s Meme user community, Banano users can use BAN for online payments and tipping.

https://preview.redd.it/zwxcixzv2f071.png?width=2400&format=png&auto=webp&s=aad6ee5d4d92dae1c4c0bf25e509b368ea209428

We can summarize the features of Banano as follows:

(1) The BLOCK-LETTUCE™DAG architecture facilitates instant transmission, and each account has its own blockchain. Compared with the single blockchain architecture used by other cryptocurrencies, Banano has its block interval and workload greatly reduced;

(2) Unlike its counterparts that charge transaction fees, Banano provides feeless and instant transactions;

(3) With no fundraising or pre-mining, Banano distributes tokens through a continuously free and fair distribution plan by means of airdrops, faucet games and other events;

(4) Banano is a meme coin (similar to Dogecoin, TurtleCoin, etc.);

(5) As a circulating currency in Venezuela, a country suffering severe inflation, Banano can be paid for food there. People use the BAN they obtain to buy food, which also makes Banano extremely popular in the local area.

BANANO vs Bitcoin by Function

With Banano and Monkey, the legendary faucet game Banano Runner becomes a hit

It is worth mentioning that Banano is different from other cryptocurrency projects from the very beginning: BAN is distributed for free through an innovative faucet game. Banano is mainly distributed in 3D games, also making itself one of the first cryptocurrencies in history to be distributed through games. In Banano's system, each user's wallet address and public key can produce an independent Monkey as part of the Banano ecosystem.

Banano has a game called Banano Runner. In this game, users only need to control a monkey and grab bananas while avoiding obstacles. Actually, these bananas are real BANs that will be deposited to users’ accounts after they complete the game. In other words, users can earn real BAN by controlling virtual monkeys to grab virtual bananas. The legendary Banano Runner was a huge success in the first round of airdrops in April 2018, and airdropped a new cryptocurrency to its community in an unprecedented way.

So far, holders of Nano and Doge have received BAN from Banano in goodwill through airdrops. It is reported that more than 100 major community contributors in Banano are responsible for all aspects of the project. Having stood the test of the bear market, the Banano team has continued to iterate and has now developed a mobile wallet and NFTs. Can Banano replicate the success of Dogecoin? Let’s stay tuned.

https://preview.redd.it/q6kdfzt23f071.png?width=1440&format=png&auto=webp&s=75e2a554333cffacdaed06090dfd0e13b491706e

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References:

BANANO: a Feeless, Instant, Rich in Potassium Cryptocurrency Powered by DAG Technology Disrupting the Meme Economy

Trade in Real Time and Mine on the Mobilephone? The Fourth-generation Banano Is Coming