Thursday, August 11, 2022

Ethereum Open Interest Nears All-Time Highs Ahead Of Merge

Data shows the Ethereum open interest has surged up to near all-time high values as the ETH 2.0 merge comes closer.

Ethereum Open Interest Has Sharply Risen Up Recently

As per the latest weekly report from Arcane Research, the ETH open interest in futures and perps has surged up to 4.2 million ETH in recent days.

The “open interest” is an indicator that measures the total amount of Ethereum futures and perps contracts currently open in the market (denominated in ETH). The metric includes both shorts and longs.

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When the value of this indicator is high, it means a large number of contracts are currently open in the market. Such values usually lead to higher volatility in the price of the crypto.

Related Reading: Ethereum Investors Close 300k Long Positions on Bitfinex, Rally To Stop Soon?

On the other hand, low values of the metric suggest many contracts have been closed on the market. This can result in lesser volatility for the coin.

Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Ethereum futures and perps open interest over the past year:

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The value of the metric seems to have moved up recently | Source: [Arcane Research's The Weekly Update - Week 31, 2022](https://theweeklyupdate.substack.com/p/renewed-crypto-market-optimism-as?utm_source=%2Fprofile%2F8446596-arcane-research&utm_medium=reader2) As you can see in the above graph, the Ethereum open interest has observed uptrend in the past week and is now near the all-time high value.

The current value is the 2nd highest ever recorded for the indicator, just below the 4.21 million ATH set back on July 14th of this year.

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While the massive hedging amid arbitrage opportunities like Celsius’ bankruptcy was behind the last peak, the report notes that the current rise is likely caused by trading strategies ahead of the 2.0 merge.

Related Reading: Ethereum scaling solution XDC Network presents XDPOS2.0, an enhanced consensus for scalability and forensics.

The ETH futures market is also observing massive discounts at the moment. Normally, high open interest and negative basis like right now lend for the possibility of a short squeeze (an event where short liquidations cascade together due to a sudden swing in price).

But Arcane Research points out that the latest increase in leverage is likely from more conservative risk management, which would mean that any possible short squeeze that might take place currently won’t be too significant.

ETH Price

At the time of writing, Ethereum’s price floats around $1.7k, down 1% in the past week. Over the last month, the crypto has gained 40% in value.

The below chart shows the trend in the price of the coin over the past five days.

Looks like the value of the crypto has come down during the last two days | Source: [ETHUSD on TradingView](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/ETHUSD/)

Featured image from Kanchanara on Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, Arcane Research Original Article

Posted by %% POSTLINK %% First time in %% BLOGLINK %%. appeared.

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WTF Are… Crypto Index Funds?

I was thinking about writing more of these on diff topics (maybe even for trad fi too) - let me know if it's helpful or you have any questions...

WTF Are… Crypto Index Funds?

“Another benefit of using index funds is that it's time efficient. You can read books or go hiking in nature instead of studying sh\tcoin candlesticks.”*

- kas8, YouTube commenter

❓ WTF

Crypto index funds let you invest in the entire crypto market or sub sectors, rather than individual cryptos.

👎 Problem

95% of crypto day traders lose money trying to pick winning cryptos and time entry and exit from the markets (it’s a similar number for stock traders too).

👍 Solution

Invest in crypto index funds to passively capture the ‘average gains’ of the entire crypto market or sub sectors.

✅ Good

✅ Can be very diversified

✅ Fewer transactions means lower taxes

✅ Set and forget

✅ Do as well as the market (or sub sector)

✅ Exposure to top cryptos

✅ Usually collateralised

❌ Bad

❌ Average returns

❌ Won’t beat the market

❌ Longer term time horizon

❌ Exposure to underperforming cryptos too

❌ A bit boring!

🏀 Ballers

Platforms

🏀 Index Coop - actively managed crypto index funds with high Total Value Locked (TVL)

🏀 TokenSets - create your own crypto indexes and invest in community-created ones

🏀 Indexed - passively managed crypto index funds covering various risk levels and sub sectors

🏀 Enzyme Finance - actively managed crypto funds (or ‘vaults’) with open track records and strategies for different risk tolerances

🏀 Babylon Finance - ‘crypto investment clubs’ where people share profits, split fees and make investment decisions together

🏀 PieDAO - community-constructed indexes (or ‘pies’) of various cryptos to share in profits and split fees (also offers ‘vaults’ for generating yield)

🏀 Balancer - automated portfolio manager that rebalances portfolios to keep weightings at selected percentages

🏀 dHEDGE - ‘social asset management’ where you choose an investment manager and automatically follow their strategy

Indexes

🏀 Total Crypto Market Cap Token (TCAP) - single token that gives exposure to the entire crypto market

🏀 DeFi Pulse Index (DPI) - index of popular cryptos in decentralised finance space

🏀 Bankless BED token (BED) - ‘blue chip’ crypto index tracking Bitcoin, Ethereum, and DeFi Pulse Index (DPI) in an equal split (33% each), made by Bankless

🏀 Metaverse Index (MVI) - index of popular cryptos in Metaverse space (virtual reality, games, NFTs, etc.)

🏀 The Ethereum Flexible Leverage Index (ETH2x-FLI) - use your Ethereum as collateral to get 2X leverage (warning: high risk!)

🏀 Bankless DeFi Innovation Index (GMI) - index of smaller, newer, higher-risk tokens in defi space, made by Bankless

🏀 Scarala NFT Index (NFTI) - index tracking performance of popular ‘blue chip’ NFT projects (there’s JPG NFT Index (JPG) too)

🏀 Data Economy Index - index of big-tech disrupting data cryptos (boring but very important projects!)

🔮 Future

🔮 As crypto matures more money will go into crypto index funds (like stocks where indexes make up 40% of the U.S. stock market (page 49) and are predicted to overtake active funds by 2026)

🔮 More and more niche sub-sector indexes will become available, which is already starting with the likes of Metaverse Index (MVI) and Scarala NFT Index (NFTI)

🔮 Crypto indexes will continue to outperform stock indexes because crypto will continue to outperform stocks

🔮 Crypto indexes will be the go to for conservative traditional investors and retirement funds looking for crypto exposure (spoiler, it’s already happening!)

🔮 Widespread adoption of crypto indexes in easy to use apps like Argent will open up crypto index funds to new demographics

🔮 Developments of ‘layer 2’ technologies will reduce already low index transaction fees even more

🔮 The most popular indexes will become blockchain agnostic and be transferable across different blockchains (dHEDGE is already active on Ethereum and its Polygon and Optimism sidechains)

💡 Ideas

💡 Pair with DeFi yield-generating projects to create a crypto version of the traditional bonds and stocks portfolio (could use: Total Crypto Market Cap Token (TCAP) and PoolTogether)

💡 Use ‘blue chip’ indexes as stable base for your crypto portfolio (could use: Bankless BED token (BED))

💡 Help build a crypto index fund by voting on investments and share in the profits (example: Babylon Finance)

💡 Create your own bespoke crypto indexes for personal use or to promote to others (could use: TokenSets)

💡 Use auto-rebalancing protocols to make a long-term ‘set and forget’ portfolio you never have to look at (could use: Balancer)

💡 Invest index tokens into yield generating defi projects to earn extra profit (example: “Scenario 3: Yield Farming” in this article about Total Crypto Market Cap (TCAP))

💡 Invest in an index that covers a sub sector you’re interested in to save time researching individual coins (could use: Metaverse Index (MVI))

☠️ Risks

☠️ Project gets hacked

☠️ Index stops tracking market

☠️ Insufficient liquidity to maintain value

☠️ Underlying collateral loses too much value

☠️ Bugs or other technical failures in code

☠️ Government regulators make new rules (for example, requiring all crypto indexes to be over-collateralised)

☠️ Some underlying index mechanisms could trigger taxable events

😁 Peeps

😁 @MikeTaormina - works at Index Coop and general DeFi preacher

😁 @CryptexFinance - company behind Total Crypto Market Cap Token (TCAP) (they make some fun animations)

😁 @BanklessHQ - tweet about their Bankless BED token (BED) and other crypto opportunities

😁 @bublieth2 - community manager for Index Coop and other Decentralised Autonomous Organisation (DAO) projects

😁 @Scalara_xyz - good insight into philosophy behind crypto index investing

❤️ Fanatics

❤️ “Another benefit of using index funds is that it's time efficient. You can read books or go hiking in nature instead of studying sh\tcoin candlesticks.”*

- kas8, YouTube commenter

❤️ “I would like to add some exposure to the wider crypto market (in particular certain themes) but I don't really want to dedicate time needed to make decisions on individual cryptos. Therefore, I’ve started to look for index tokens that provide either broad market exposure or exposure to specific themes.”

- ozaz1, Reddit comment

❤️ “I'd recommend this, especially the indexes built by Index Coop. The protocol is pretty stable and has a huge amount of value locked in it.”

- crypto-devk, Reddit comment

😠 Grumps

😠 “Hmm I prefer picking the 2 or 3 winners from the top 20 and you're ready! (it's not so difficult) :)”

- NaughtyJackal, YouTube comment

😠 “That could be something for the future. But I think the market is too young and volatile at the moment.”

- TabletopThirteen, Reddit comment

😠 “If we ever got to the point where Vanguard made a crypto index fund, I'd believe they had a real future. So far, no one has managed to convince me they aren't purely speculative.”

  • Misnamed, Reddit comment”

🔗 Links**

🔗 📺 Building A Decentralised Blackrock - Bankless and Index Coop discuss indexes and their Bankless BED token (BED)

🔗 📺 Creating A Crypto Index Fund With Set Protocol - watch a developer make their own crypto index fund step by step

🔗 📖 The Little Book of Common Sense Investing - Jack Bogle - about stock index investing but same ideas can be applied to crypto

🔗 📺 Why are people switching to index funds? - great introductory video to stock index investing, which can also apply to crypto

🔗 📱 Reddit user experiment where they invested $1,000 in top 10 cryptos in 2018 - interesting experiment where someone just buys and holds the top cryptos and reports their results

🔗 📜 Tokenized index funds: A blockchain-based concept and a multidisciplinary research framework - research paper exploring crypto (or “tokenized”) index funds as a solution to ongoing problems in the traditional financial space


Wednesday, August 10, 2022

Thursday, 11th August 2022

The Daily Spin. Thinflation Thursday Edition. Okay folks we’ve got a lot to get through today so let’s go with our round-up of curated news and opinions (likely biased) from the world of Blockchain, keeping you informed of the most trending, in-the-know, and controversial topics…don’t miss our upcoming events, some world headlines and a thought leadership section and remember to stay curious, inspired, and clinically sane…

Ongoings at Coinweb

Monthly Coinweb Fireside Chat Meetup will be on the 16th of August.
https://www.facebook.com/events/1124800338390598/

The Lightpaper summary video with 3D animations has been released! Check it out and don’t forget to watch it all in one go (8mins), smash that like and subscribe bell! Drop a comment and say hi!!
https://youtu.be/Vj5itrRAgQA

On the Radar
Cardano Vasil Hard Fork (still waiting)
https://dailyhodl.com/2022/07/31/cardanos-vasil-hard-fork-delayed-for-several-more-weeks-as-ada-sees-green-week/

Korea Blockchain Week, Aug 7 (Seoul)

Toby Gilbert on-stage (Aug 12) @
Play-2-Earn Expo Asia, Aug 10-13 (Bangkok)
https://coinweb.io/events/play-2-earn-expo-asia-10-13th-august-2022/

Ethereum Goerli Merge, Aug 11
https://hackmd.io/@benjaminion/BkxQTpqpi9

Coinweb Fireside Chat: The Bear Has Awoken, Aug 16 (Bangkok)

Coinfest Asia, Aug 25 (Bali)
Techsauce Summit, Aug 25-26 (Bangkok)
AEternity Universe 2, Sep 15 (Unstrut)
Token2049, Sep 28-29 (Singapore)

On the Block (chain)
Curve Finance Front-end UI Compromised - DO NOT Interact
https://cryptoslate.com/curve-finance-front-end-ui-compromised-in-dns-hack-users-advised-not-to-interact/

Pantera Capital CEO ($5.1bn hedge fund) calls new rally and ETH+ALTs set to outperform
https://dailyhodl.com/2022/08/09/5100000000-crypto-hedge-fund-ceo-says-new-rally-incoming-ethereum-and-altcoins-set-to-outperform/

Ark Invest Founder Cathie Wood Bullish on Blackrock Entry
https://dailyhodl.com/2022/08/09/cathie-wood-of-ark-invest-says-blackrocks-entrance-to-crypto-could-more-than-double-price-of-bitcoin/

Binance to Cease off-chain transfers for WazirX
https://cryptoslate.com/binance-to-cease-off-chain-transfers-for-wazirx/

Alex Mashinsky Under Fire as Creditors Implicate Him
https://cryptoslate.com/celsius-ceo-under-fire-as-committee-of-creditors-dfpi-implicate-him/

Yet Another BitMEX Exec Pleads Guilty to Violating Bank Secrecy Act
https://cryptoslate.com/another-bitmex-executive-pleads-guilty-to-violating-bank-secrecy-act/

Circle Says Freezing Wallets Went Against its Beliefs of an Open Internet
https://cryptoslate.com/circle-says-freezing-wallets-went-against-its-beliefs-of-an-open-internet/

Circle to Fully Support ETH-POS Exclusively
https://cryptoslate.com/circle-to-fully-and-solely-support-ethereum-pos/

CommerceBlock CEO Slams US Treasury Departments Crackdown on Tornado
https://cryptoslate.com/commerceblock-ceo-slams-us-treasury-departments-crackdown-on-tornado-cash-says-it-makes-little-sense/

Competitive Landscape
NEAR Protocol Opens Doors to JavaScript Devs with SDK Release
https://cryptoslate.com/near-protocol-opens-doors-to-javascript-developers-with-sdk-release/

FTXPay Integrates with Reddit’s Arbitrum Nova Powered Community Points System
https://news.bitcoin.com/ftx-pay-integrates-with-reddits-arbitrum-nova-powered-community-points-system/?utm_source=OneSignalPush&utm_medium=notification&utm_campaign=PushNotifications

Polygon’s Dragoma P2E Rug Scores Over $1m
https://cryptoslate.com/over-1m-lost-to-polygon-based-dragoma-rug-pull/

ErgoDEX Rebrands to Spectrum in Anticipation of Cardano Mainnet Release
https://cryptoslate.com/ergodex-rebrands-to-spectrum-in-anticipation-of-cardano-mainnet-release/

Eleet Games to Launch New Games and NFTs on Tezos
https://alexablockchain.com/eleet-games-to-launch-new-games-and-associated-nfts-on-tezos/

Hodlnaut is Latest CeFi Downed, Freezes Withdrawals and Suspends MAS Licence Application
https://cryptoslate.com/singapore-based-lending-platform-hodlnaut-freezes-withdrawals-suspends-mas-license-application/

KQuasars Launches New Astrophysical NFT Collection
https://news.bitcoin.com/kquasars-launches-new-astrophysical-nft-collection/?utm_source=OneSignalPush&utm_medium=notification&utm_campaign=PushNotifications

Theta Labs signs MOU with Samsung, along with 5 other non-blockchain service providers to Build Galaxy NFT Ecosystem
https://news.bitcoin.com/report-samsung-signs-mou-to-build-galaxy-nft-ecosystem/?utm_source=OneSignalPush&utm_medium=notification&utm_campaign=PushNotifications
https://cryptoslate.com/ergodex-rebrands-to-spectrum-in-anticipation-of-cardano-mainnet-release/

World
U.S. Inflation Data Comes in Lower than Expected at 8.5%
https://www.ft.com/content/9d0cc752-9e65-45aa-8fc2-de0999cf632d

Thailand Plans to Tighten Crypto Oversight, Giving BoT More Powers to Regulate Digital Assets
https://news.bitcoin.com/thailand-plans-to-tighten-crypto-oversight-giving-central-bank-more-powers-to-regulate-digital-assets/?utm_source=OneSignalPush&utm_medium=notification&utm_campaign=PushNotifications

China’s Cyberspace Administration Issues Warning on Promotional Cryptocurrency Materials
https://cryptoslate.com/chinas-cyberspace-administration-issues-warning-on-promotional-cryptocurrency-material/

U.S. Vows to Aggressively Pursue Crypto Mixers Following Tornado Cash Sanctions
https://cryptoslate.com/us-vows-to-aggressively-pursue-crypto-mixers-following-tornado-cash-sanctions/

Iran Places First Official Import Order with Cryptocurrency worth $10m
https://news.bitcoin.com/iran-places-first-official-import-order-with-cryptocurrency-worth-10-million/?utm_source=OneSignalPush&utm_medium=notification&utm_campaign=PushNotifications

Over 70,000 Ripple Holders Join Class Action Lawsuit Against SEC
https://cryptoslate.com/over-70k-ripple-holders-join-class-action-lawsuit-against-sec/

Crypto Firms Raised Over $30bn in H1 2022
https://dailyhodl.com/2022/08/09/crypto-firms-raised-over-30000000000-in-first-six-months-of-2022-despite-bear-winter-analytics-company/

Reserve Bank of Australia to Pilot Digital Currency Use
https://news.bitcoin.com/reserve-bank-of-australia-to-pilot-digital-currency-explore-use-cases/?utm_source=OneSignalPush&utm_medium=notification&utm_campaign=PushNotifications

Thought Leadership
Forbes Asia’s Best Under a Billion 2022
https://www.forbes.com/sites/ardianwibisono/2022/08/09/forbes-asias-best-under-a-billion-2022/?utm_medium=browser_notifications&utm_source=pushly&utm_campaign=2318721&sh=534ba4be1123

How to Use Nansen to Analyze On-Chain Data to Find Your Alpha (18mins)
https://cryptoslate.com/videos/how-to-analyze-on-chain-data-with-nansen-to-find-your-own-alpha-for-trading-and-investing/

GameFi Report - July
https://cryptoslate.com/whats-changed-in-gamefi-in-the-last-month-july-report/

Someone is Using Tornado Cash to Send ETH to Doxxed Addresses
https://www.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/wkdwj8/someone_is_using_tornado_cash_to_send_eth_to/

​

https://preview.redd.it/zvt05uwmr0h91.png?width=741&format=png&auto=webp&s=ac60778314f1d55e46af066045287fe11e0003ef


$475M in Bitcoin options expire this week — Are bulls or bears poised to win?

BTC futures data shows bulls are not sure that Bitcoin price will hold above $24,000, but range-bound action could help them profit from Aug. 12’s $475 million options expiry.

Bitcoin (BTC) has been posting higher lows for the past eight weeks, but during this time, BTC has not been able to flip the $24,000 resistance to support on at least three different opportunities. This is precisely why the $475 million Bitcoin options expiry on Aug. 12 might be a game changer for bulls.

Considering the current regulatory pressures in play, there seems to be a good enough rationale for avoiding bullish bets, especially after the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission pressed charges against a former Coinbase manager for illegal securities trading on July 21.

The additional impact from the Terra (Luna) — now renamed Terra Classic (LUNC) — ecosystem imploding and subsequent crypto venture capital firm Three Arrows Capital (3AC) registering for bankruptcy continue to weigh on the markets. The latest victim is crypto lending platform Hodlnaut, which suspended user withdrawals on Aug. 8.

For this reason, most traders are holding back their bets above $24,000, but events outside of the crypto market might have also negatively impacted investors' expectations. For example, according to regulatory filings released on Aug. 9, Elon Musk sold $6.9 billion worth of Tesla stock.

Moreover, on Aug. 8, Ark Investment manager CEO Cathie Wood explained that the 1.41 million Coinbase (COIN) shares sold in July were caused by regulatory uncertainty and its potential impact on the crypto exchange's business model.

Most bearish bets are below $23,000

Bitcoin's failure to break below $21,000 on July 27 surprised bears because only 8% of the put (sell) options for Aug. 12 have been placed above $23,000. Thus, Bitcoin bulls are better positioned for the $475 million weekly options expiry.

Bitcoin options aggregate open interest for Aug. 12. Source: CoinGlass

A broader view using the 1.23 call-to-put ratio shows more bullish bets because the call (buy) open interest stands at $262 million against the $212 million put (sell) options. Nevertheless, as Bitcoin currently stands above $23,000, most bearish bets will likely become worthless.

If Bitcoin's price remains above $23,000 at 8:00 am UTC on Aug. 12, only $16 million worth of these put (sell) options will be available. This difference happens because there is no use in the right to sell Bitcoin at $23,000 if it trades above that level on expiry.

Bulls could pocket a $150 million profit

Below are the four most likely scenarios based on the current price action. The number of options contracts available on Aug. 12 for call (bull) and put (bear) instruments varies, depending on the expiry price. The imbalance favoring each side constitutes the theoretical profit:

  • Between $21,000 and $22,000: 70 calls vs. 4,200 puts. The net result favors bears by $90 million.
  • Between $22,000 and $24,000: 1,600 calls vs. 1,460 puts. The net result is balanced between bulls and bears.
  • Between $24,000 and $25,000: 3,700 calls vs. 120 puts. The net result favors bulls by $90 million.
  • Between $25,000 and $26,000: 5,900 calls vs. 30 puts. Bulls increase their gains to $150 million.

This crude estimate considers the call options used in bullish bets and the put options exclusively in neutral-to-bearish trades. Even so, this oversimplification disregards more complex investment strategies.

Related: Bitcoin braces for US inflation data as CPI nerves halt BTC price gains

Futures markets show bulls are less inclined to show strength

Bitcoin bears need to pressure the price below $24,000 on Aug. 12 to balance the scales and avoid a potential $150 million loss. However, Bitcoin bulls got $265 million worth of leverage long futures positions liquidated between Aug. 8 and 9, so they are less inclined to push the price higher in the short term.

With that said, the most probable scenario for Aug. 12 is the $22,000 to $24,000 range, providing a balanced outcome between bulls and bears. Considering Bitcoin's negative 50% performance year-to-date, even a small $90 million win for bulls could be regarded as a victory, but that would require sustaining BTC above $24,000.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.

​

source: https://cointelegraph.com/news/475m-in-bitcoin-options-expire-this-week-are-bulls-or-bears-poised-to-win


A 2020-cathalon with events such as breadmaking, sea shanties, social distancing and bitcoin/stock trading.

Optional: dumpster fire extinguishing.


Name some secure & regulated crypto trading platform?

Regulatory agreements that will be the first major regulatory framework for the cryptocurrency industry were reached on Thursday by the European Commission, EU lawmakers and member states on June 30 in Brussels, CNBC reported.

​

Negotiations on a regulatory mechanism continued for several hours. The landmark law, known as Markets in Crypto-Assets, or MiCA, will regulate the activities of many players in the crypto market, including exchanges like Cryptex and issuers of so-called stable coins (stablecoins), tokens that must be pegged to existing assets such as the US dollar.

​

Under the new rules, stablecoins like tether and USDC Circle will need to maintain sufficient reserves to meet redemption requests in the event of mass withdrawals. The growing too large stablecoin segment is also facing a €200 million per day transaction cap.

​

The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) will be given the power to ban or restrict the operation of crypto platforms if it is seen that they do not adequately protect investors or threaten market integrity or financial stability.

​

The previous proposal would have led to the abandonment of crypto-mining, the energy-intensive process of producing new units of bitcoins and other tokens. However, in March lawmakers voted against it.

​

The rules will not affect non-issuer tokens such as Bitcoin, however, tr ading platforms will need to warn consumers of the risk of loss associated with trading digital tokens. NFTs, which represent ownership of digital objects such as works of art, have been excluded from the legislation. The EU Commission has been tasked with determining whether the NFT needs its own regime within 18 months.


The philosophy behind the PoW fork of the Ethereum network

At the end of September, Ethereum will follow its destiny: it will start to be secured by the Proof of Stake technology. This event is called the Merge. What will give value to this upgraded network? What will be the value of the forked network that dissidents will create?

Users make the value of a network because users are buyers and fee payers. Miners are sellers: they invested in expensive graphic cards and mining factories, so they need to sell the ETH that they create. That is why they (and only them) are planning this fork. The official Ethereum network will no longer have miners so its value is expected to be higher.

The network forked by the miners is a desperate attempt to save their investments, not a generous project for the users. The interest of the users is in the official Ethereum network after the Merge. Why would users deal with the forked network, which

Regarding the last point, the developers of applications for Ethereum understand that the PoW fork is not in the interest of anyone but the miners. Very important dApps already published their stance: Chainlink and DeBank and Argent and Circle and Tether will let their systems die on the PoW fork.

I will update this list when other projects release their stance in the coming weeks.