Thursday, June 4, 2020

Gold and Oil Rally

For Trading JUNE 5th

JUST ANOTHER MANIPULATED DAY

U.S. DOLLAR CONTINUES TO WEAKEN

Today’s market was just another that looked like it was going to have a nice steady decline into some well establish support and take a rest. Then, with just the last 40 minutes left it managed to move from the low of the day -180 or so it rallied straight up to finish the day +11.93 (.05%). Does the Orange Emperor really think that people don’t realize that the Dow is only 30 heavily weighted stocks that are easily manipulated at whim? Not the NASDAQ -67.10 (.69%) OR THE S&P 500 -10.52 (.34%), nobody really cares about the Russell -.03 (0%), or the Transports, which never made a new high since 2018, +134.48 (1.42%). Market internals were just okay with NYSE 4:1 up and the NAZ just 1:1, although volume was up a bit. As far as the manipulation goes, there were 3 big movers, BA +79 DPs, GS +29 and TRV +24DPs. 8 of 11 S&P sectors were lower with the winner’s financials, Industrials, and materials while the biggest losers were utilities, real estate, health-care and information technology. The DJIA was split 16/14, doesn’t even matter which way (down).

Our “open forum” on Discord, which allows me to interact with subscribers and others to allow direct questions and chart opinions on just about any stock, continues to grow with more participants every day. It is informative and allows me to share insights as the market is open and moving. The link is: https://discord.gg/ATvC7YZ and I will be there and active from before the open and all day. It’s a great place to share ideas and gain some insights, and we’ve grown to almost 1900 members. I also did this video titled “How to survive being an options trader and not blow up your account,” over the long weekend. I think it’s very informative as a guide to stock selection and option choices. The link is https://youtu.be/Y7H9RpWfLlo Enjoy!!

Tonight’s closing comment video https://youtu.be/Z7KUiEnqLMo

SECTORS: The big news was initial claims up less than expected but still up 1.88million and continuing claims 21,487 vs 20,838. When did it become so “well, it’s not as bad as we thought,” let’s take the NAZ100 to a new high? I mean, the Trade balance was “only up” another $5 billion over last month. On the earnings front we had Smartsheet (SMAR) beat on earnings and revenues but was a touch light on billings for the next Q and they took it down to $47.52 -11.56 (19.6%). Slack (WORK) also beat top and bottom, and gave solid guidance, just not solid enough and they took it to task and sent it from $40.00 to $32.00, pretty harsh, I thought.

On the defensive side, SJM reported too, it too beat but made mention that there might have been some rush buying ahead of the pandemic when PB&J looked like a good idea and sent the stock lower finishing $109.30 -5.29 (4.62%).

And last, I mentioned this in this mornings video, Genius Brands International (GNUS) a firm that produces animated TV for kids has been on a tear. It started in May @ $ .31, by 5/15 it was $1.95 and after a 10 or 11-day consolidation it took off on a 4-day run to 11.73 before closing $6.73 -1.20 after falling to 4.25 during the day.

FOOD SUPPLY: was MIXED with TSN +4.15, BGS +.38, FLO 0.04, CAG -.47, MDLZ -.80, KHC +.29, CALM +.84, JJSF +1.65, SAFM +1.65, LANC +.67, GO -.83, HRL +.06, SJM -5.39, and PBJ $32.41 -.24 (,76%).

BIOPHARMA was LOWER with BIIB -2.95, ABBV +2.11, REGN -5.74, ISRG -8.80, GILD +2.85, MYL +.12, TEVA -.12, VRTX -4.19, BHC +.25, INCY -5.03, ICPY +.33, LABU -2.45, and IBB $131.25 -1.40 (1.06%). CANNABIS: was LOWER with TLRY -.07, CGC +.08, CRON +.27, GWPH -1.23, ACB -.13, PYX -.08, NBEV -.01, CURLF +.01, KERN -.07 and MJ $14.03 -.03 (,21%).

DEFENSE was HIGHER with LMT + 1.85, GD +1.58, TXT +2.23, NOC -.21, BWXT -.85, TDY +7.34, RTX +.06, and ITA $178.80 +3.30 (1.88%).

RETAIL was MIXED with M +.40, JWN +2.07, KSS +1.35, DDS -.50, WMT -1.32, TGT -1.48, TJX -.24, RL +.24, UAA +.20, LULU -6.52, TPR +.72, CPRI +2.23, and XRT $43.32 +.14 (.32%).

FAANG and Big Cap: were LOWER with GOOGL -24.95, AMZN -16.72, AAPL -2.87, FB -3.91, NFLX -7.37, NVDA -.63, TSLA -16.46, BABA -.61, BIDU -3.15, CMG -2.71, CAT +1.87, BA +11.19, DIS +1.51, and XLK $98.90 -.73 (.73%).

FINANCIALS were HIGHER with GS +3.58, JPM +2.20, BAC +1.02, MS +1.77, C +2.47, PNC +3.29, AIG +2.06, TRV +3.53, AXP +1.34, V -3.17, and XLF $25.30 +.54 (2.18%).,

OIL, $37.41 +.12. Oil has managed to trade $37.62 today and has run into the 100-day MA and not even blinked. I will be on watch to get back into the USO puts for a move back to $30-31.00. The stocks were mixed and XLE was $41.74 +.01 (.02%).

METALS, GOLD: $1,1727.40 +22.60. After trading 1761 overnight the gold traded down to 1728 and closed near the lows. The action in the US$ is projecting higher prices for the metals, but it certainly didn’t happen today. Support is just below 1721. We bought back the 3rd and final lot of NEM yesterday @ $58.86.

BITCOIN: closed $9,895 +240. After breaking down from just over 10,000 and trading as low as 8630 last Tuesday we have been clawing our way back toward 10,000. Last night and this morning we traded over $10500 but fell all the way back to the lows. We added 350 shares of GBTC last Wednesday @ $10.02 to our position of 400 @ $8.06, bringing our average price to $8.97. GBTC closed $11.70 + .39 today.

Tomorrow is another day.

CAM



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