UFC 315: Belal Muhammad vs. Jack Della Maddalena – Full Breakdown, Stats, Odds, Styles & Prediction

📅 Fight Info

• Event: UFC 315
• Date: Saturday, May 10, 2025
• Venue: Bell Centre – Montreal, Canada
• Main Card Start: 10:00 PM ET (ESPN+ PPV)

📊 Tale of the Tape

Fighter	Belal Muhammad	Jack Della Maddalena
Age	36	28
Record	24–3–0 (1 NC)	17–2–0
Height / Reach	5’11” / 72”	5’11” / 73”
Stance	Orthodox	Switch
Strikes Landed/Min	4.39	6.74
Striking Accuracy	43%	53%
Strikes Absorbed/Min	3.48	4.27
Striking Defense	59%	66%

🧠 Fighter Style Breakdown

Belal Muhammad

• Smothering pressure and elite cardio.
• Chain-wrestler who thrives in long fights.
• Solid durability and fight IQ, but limited KO power.

Jack Della Maddalena

• Crisp boxing with elite shot selection.
• Dangerous power with 12 KOs in 17 wins.
• Needs to stay upright—hasn't been tested by an elite wrestler at this level.

💰 Betting Odds (via Bitcoin-Betting.com)

Bet Type	Outcome	American Odds	Decimal Odds
Moneyline	Della Maddalena	-192	1.52
	Belal Muhammad	+167	2.67
Over/Under (Rounds)	Over 4.5	-157	1.64
	Under 4.5	+133	2.33
Goes the Distance	Yes	-135	1.74
	No	+101	2.01

🔎 Odds suggest the market leans slightly toward this going the distance, and that Belal winning is seen as less likely—but possible, especially by decision.

🔑 Keys to Victory

Muhammad:
✅ Push the pace and get early takedowns
✅ Drain Maddalena’s gas tank with clinch work
✅ Avoid the pocket and fight long, gritty rounds

Maddalena:
✅ Use lateral movement and stuffing the takedown
✅ Rip body shots early to tax Belal’s cardio
✅ Time a big counter if Belal comes forward recklessly

📈 Prediction

This is the classic striker vs grappler showdown. Maddalena has explosive hands and the ability to end it early—but Belal's experience, pressure, and 5-round savvy make this interesting. If the Aussie can’t finish early, Belal might grind him out late.

👊 Pick: Belal Muhammad via Decision (+167 / 2.67)
Alt Lean: Fight Goes the Distance (-135 / 1.74)

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**Who you got? Belal to wrestle his way to a win, or does Jack land the big one?**👇 Drop your prediction.